Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia Πρόβλεψη
Πρόβλεψη Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia: Το Sportiko δίνει στην Panathinaikos πιθανότητα νίκης 70%, στην CSKA Sofia 10% και στην ισοπαλία 20%. Τελευταία ενημέρωση 5 Nov 2026, 21:54.
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Match Report
Panathinaikos secured a 2–1 victory over CSKA Sofia in the UEFA Europa Conference League league stage, with the match's decisive moments arriving in a dramatic spell just before half-time. Davide Calabria opened the scoring in the 41st minute, only for Dinis Almeida to equalise three minutes later, sending the teams into the break level. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Panathinaikos win as the most likely outcome at 70%, a call that ultimately proved correct.
The Greek side dominated proceedings throughout, controlling 62% of possession and generating 23 total shots to CSKA Sofia's nine, with an expected goals figure of 2.51 reflecting their sustained pressure. Vicente Taborda's goal in the 68th minute proved to be the decisive moment, giving Panathinaikos the lead they would not relinquish.
The closing stages saw a flurry of bookings and substitutions from both sides, with yellow cards shown to Etienne Camara and Santino Andino among others, but Panathinaikos managed the game comfortably to claim all three points.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Panathinaikos
Match Stats
Panathinaikos
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Davide Calabria D | 8.9 | 86' | 1 | – | 4 | 51 (44%) | 3 |
| 77 Georgios Kyriakopoulos D | 8.0 | 86' | – | – | 2 | 52 (39%) | 4 |
| 20 Vicente Taborda M | 7.6 | 86' | 1 | 1 | 1 | 52 (35%) | 4 |
| 42 Kings Kangwa M | 7.5 | 86' | – | – | 1 | 44 (39%) | 5 |
| 1 Iñaki Peña G | 7.3 | 86' | – | – | – | 34 (27%) | – |
| 99 Levi García M | 7.3 | 76' | – | – | 4 | 21 (19%) | 1 |
| 26 Imrân Louza M | 7.3 | 65' | – | – | – | 55 (44%) | 1 |
| 55 Rick Van Drongelen D | 7.2 | 86' | – | – | 1 | 43 (41%) | – |
| 6 Stefan de Vrij D | 6.9 | 86' | – | – | – | 54 (47%) | 1 |
| 7 Andreas Tetteh F | 6.9 | 22' | – | 1 | – | 9 (5%) | – |
| 10 Santino Andino M | 6.9 | 85' | – | – | 3 | 33 (26%) | 2 |
| 74 Elmin Rastoder F | 6.7 | 64' | – | – | 4 | 16 (13%) | – |
| 22 Etienne Camara M | 6.3 | 21' | – | – | – | 20 (18%) | – |
| 9 Cyriel Dessers F | 6.2 | 10' | – | – | – | 4 (2%) | – |
| 8 Adriano Jagušić M | — | 1' | – | – | – | 2 (1%) | – |
CSKA Sofia
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 F. Lapoukhov G | 8.6 | 86' | – | – | – | 30 (14%) | – |
| 4 Dinis Almeida D | 7.9 | 86' | 1 | – | 1 | 28 (24%) | 3 |
| 17 Ángelo Martino D | 7.0 | 86' | – | – | 1 | 35 (26%) | 2 |
| 5 Jean-Philippe Gbamin M | 6.9 | 86' | – | – | 1 | 39 (30%) | 7 |
| 3 Tamimou Ouorou D | 6.9 | 31' | – | – | – | 15 (12%) | 1 |
| 14 T. Ivanov D | 6.9 | 86' | – | – | – | 31 (27%) | 1 |
| 7 M. Ebong M | 6.9 | 41' | – | – | 1 | 11 (4%) | 2 |
| 19 Andrey Yordanov M | 6.9 | 80' | – | – | 1 | 10 (8%) | 2 |
| 2 Pastor D | 6.7 | 55' | – | – | – | 17 (13%) | 4 |
| 8 Stefano Sensi M | 6.7 | 70' | – | 1 | 1 | 30 (26%) | – |
| 94 I. Solet Bomawoko M | 6.5 | 45' | – | – | – | 16 (12%) | 2 |
| 28 I. Pittas M | 6.3 | 45' | – | – | – | 11 (6%) | 2 |
| 9 Leandro Godoy F | 6.3 | 86' | – | – | 2 | 14 (12%) | 2 |
| 6 Bruno Jordão M | 6.2 | 41' | – | – | – | 18 (10%) | 1 |
| 11 Mohamed Amine Brahimi M | 6.2 | 16' | – | – | – | 1 | – |
| 10 Joël Zwarts F | — | 6' | – | – | – | – | – |
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At a glance
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Min 77: Panathinaikos leads 2-1. Win probability: 92.3%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 7.7%.
Goal! Score now 2-1. Panathinaikos win: 90.1%. BTTS: 100%.
Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 33.9%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.
Half-time: 1-1. Teams level going into the 2nd half. Home win 2H: 54.6%, Away win 2H: 11.5%.
Goal! Score now 1-0. Panathinaikos win: 88.5%. BTTS: 35.4%.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Most likely scores
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C. Dessers
6 gls
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
Panathinaikos — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | H CSKA Sofia | W | 2 - 1 |
| 01 Nov | H AEK Athens FC | W | 2 - 0 |
| 28 Oct | H Aris Thessalonikis | W | 2 - 1 |
| 25 Oct | A Volos NFC | W | 0 - 1 |
| 22 Oct | A Kairat Almaty | W | 1 - 5 |
CSKA Sofia — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | A Panathinaikos | L | 2 - 1 |
| 31 Oct | H Slavia Sofia | D | 0 - 0 |
| 26 Oct | H Ludogorets | W | 2 - 0 |
| 22 Oct | A FC Nordsjaelland | D | 2 - 2 |
| 18 Oct | A Nesebar | W | 0 - 2 |
UEFA Europa Conference League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Lugano
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 9 |
| 2 |
Panathinaikos
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | +6 | 9 |
| 3 |
Twente
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | +6 | 9 |
| 4 |
Monaco
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | +6 | 9 |
| 5 |
Brighton
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | +5 | 7 |
| 6 |
Brann
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 7 |
| 7 |
FC Copenhagen
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 7 |
| 8 |
Universitatea Craiova
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 7 |
| 9 |
Mjallby AIF
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 7 |
| 10 |
St. Truiden
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 7 |
| 11 |
Ajax
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | +6 | 6 |
| 12 |
Trabzonspor
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 6 |
| 13 |
HNK Hajduk Split
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 |
SC Freiburg
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 6 |
| 15 |
FK Crvena Zvezda
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 |
| 16 |
Atalanta
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 17 |
SC Braga
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 18 |
Gent
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 19 |
Riga
|
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 20 |
FC Thun
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 21 |
Borac Banja Luka
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 22 |
Lincoln Red Imps FC
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 3 |
| 23 |
FK Jablonec
|
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 |
| 24 |
Aarhus
|
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 2 |
| 25 |
FC Nordsjaelland
|
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 2 |
| 26 |
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
|
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 |
| 27 |
Kairat Almaty
|
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 2 |
| 28 |
CSKA Sofia
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 1 |
| 29 |
FC Iberia 1999
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 |
| 30 |
Pafos
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 1 |
| 31 |
Getafe
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 1 |
| 32 |
Heart Of Midlothian
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 |
| 33 |
KuPS
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 |
| 34 |
FC Midtjylland
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 1 |
| 35 |
Inter Club d'Escaldes
|
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 0 |
| 36 |
Kauno Žalgiris
|
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 11 | -10 | 0 |
Panathinaikos
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Seong-jae Kim
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iñaki Peña | G |
| 2 | Davide Calabria | D |
| 6 | Stefan de Vrij | D |
| 55 | Rick Van Drongelen | D |
| 77 | Georgios Kyriakopoulos | D |
| 26 | Imrân Louza | M |
| 42 | Kings Kangwa | M |
| 20 | Vicente Taborda | M |
| 99 | Levi García | M |
| 10 | Santino Andino | M |
| 74 | Elmin Rastoder | F |
Substitutes
| 71 | Christos Gitonas | G |
| 70 | Konstantinos Kotsaris | G |
| 3 | Georgios Katris | D |
| 14 | Erik Palmer Brown | D |
| 19 | Triantafyllos Tsapras | M |
| 4 | Pedro Chirivella | M |
| 8 | Adriano Jagušić | M |
| 18 | Sotiris Kontouris | M |
| 22 | Etienne Camara | M |
| 28 | Facundo Pellistri | M |
| 7 | Andreas Tetteh | F |
| 9 | Cyriel Dessers | F |
CSKA Sofia
Formation: 4-1-4-1
Coach: Seong-jae Kim
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | Fedor Lapoukhov | G |
| 2 | Pastor | D |
| 14 | Teodor Ivanov | D |
| 4 | Dinis Almeida | D |
| 17 | Ángelo Martino | D |
| 5 | Jean-Philippe Gbamin | M |
| 28 | Ioannis Pittas | M |
| 94 | Isaac Solet | M |
| 8 | Stefano Sensi | M |
| 19 | Andrey Yordanov | M |
| 9 | Leandro Godoy | F |
Substitutes
| 7 | Max Ebong | M |
| 6 | Bruno Jordão | M |
| 3 | Tamimou Ouorou | D |
| 25 | Dimitar Evtimov | G |
| 91 | Aleks Tunchev | D |
| 32 | Facundo Rodríguez | D |
| 99 | James Eto'o | M |
| 67 | Cătălin Itu | M |
| 34 | Vasil Kaymakanov | F |
| 30 | Petko Panayotov | M |
| 11 | Mohamed Amine Brahimi | M |
| 10 | Joël Zwarts | F |