Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia Πρόβλεψη
Πρόβλεψη Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia: Το Sportiko δίνει στην Torreense πιθανότητα νίκης 52%, στην Ararat-Armenia 21% και στην ισοπαλία 27%. Τελευταία ενημέρωση 5 Nov 2026, 21:59.
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Match Report
Torreense claimed a dramatic 3–2 victory over Ararat-Armenia in a Europa League league stage encounter that swung wildly on red cards and late drama. Jorge Aguirre gave the Portuguese side an early lead on 13 minutes, but a VAR-upgraded red card saw him dismissed just 12 minutes later, leaving Torreense to defend with ten men for much of the contest. Ararat levelled through K. Muradyan on 41 minutes, sending the sides into the break level at 1–1.
Bruno Wilson restored Torreense's advantage shortly after the hour mark, and the hosts appeared to be managing the game despite their numerical disadvantage. However, a second red card — this time for João Bravim on 76 minutes — reduced them to nine men and reopened the contest entirely. Javi Vázquez struck deep into stoppage time to seemingly seal the points, before M. Drammeh pulled one back for Ararat in the fifth minute of added time, setting up a nervy finish.
Torreense ultimately held on, dominating possession at 58% and registering 19 total shots to Ararat's 12. The win vindicated our pre-match AI model, which had rated a Torreense victory as the most likely outcome at 52%.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Torreense
Match Stats
Torreense
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Javi Vázquez D | 7.9 | 90' | 1 | 1 | 3 | 27 (21%) | 1 |
| 17 M. Drammeh F | 7.5 | 54' | 1 | – | 1 | 10 (5%) | 1 |
| 1 Lucas Paes G | 7.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 36 (26%) | – |
| 14 Jorge Aguirre F | 7.0 | 25' | 1 | – | 1 | 1 (1%) | 1 |
| 22 David Bruno D | 6.8 | 24' | – | 1 | – | 5 (4%) | – |
| 4 Volnei Feltes D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 70 (64%) | – |
| 29 L. Quintero F | 6.6 | 24' | – | – | 3 | 2 (2%) | – |
| 8 Alejandro Alfaro M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 39 (37%) | 1 |
| 11 Manu Pozo M | 6.4 | 66' | – | – | – | 14 (9%) | 3 |
| 33 Joao Marques M | 6.2 | 76' | – | – | 1 | 18 (14%) | 1 |
| 45 Jonathan Mutombo D | 6.2 | 66' | – | – | – | 13 (12%) | 1 |
| 5 M. Diadie D | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 63 (51%) | – |
| 7 D. Jean M | 6.1 | 76' | – | – | 1 | 18 (14%) | 2 |
| 6 A. Oudrhiri M | 6.0 | 14' | – | – | – | 10 (10%) | – |
| 19 Karem Zoabi M | 5.9 | 36' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 3 Juan María Alcedo D | 5.8 | 14' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | – |
Ararat-Armenia
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Z. Shaghoyan M | 7.6 | 68' | – | 1 | 1 | 31 (27%) | 2 |
| 43 Bruno Wilson D | 7.0 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 56 (54%) | 2 |
| 8 Juan Balanta M | 6.9 | 80' | – | – | 1 | 55 (52%) | – |
| 19 K. Muradyan M | 6.7 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 38 (28%) | – |
| 2 Hugo Oliveira D | 6.7 | 85' | – | – | 2 | 46 (42%) | 2 |
| 77 A. Serobyan M | 6.6 | 79' | – | 1 | 4 | 47 (39%) | – |
| 95 França F | 6.5 | 22' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | – |
| 91 Sandro Lima F | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 35 (29%) | 1 |
| 47 Alexandros Malis D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 57 (53%) | 1 |
| 16 E. Grigoryan D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 41 (36%) | 2 |
| 70 Bernardo M | 6.2 | 68' | – | – | 3 | 26 (23%) | – |
| 11 Zidane Banjaqui M | 6.0 | 22' | – | – | 2 | 16 (13%) | – |
| 13 K. Hovhannisyan D | 5.9 | 10' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 17 M. Carlier M | 5.8 | 5' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 98 João Bravim G | 5.1 | 76' | – | – | – | 10 (9%) | – |
| 1 Arman Nersesyan G | 4.5 | 11' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | – |
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At a glance
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Upgrade NowLive insights
Equalizer scored! Match now level at 2-2. Draw probability: 90.8%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.
Late goal makes it 3-2! Torreense win probability: 95.4%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 9.5%.
Min 76: Ararat-Armenia leads 1-2. Win probability: 86.2%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 13.8%.
Goal! Score now 1-2. Ararat-Armenia win: 77.2%. BTTS: 100%.
Half-time: 1-1. Teams level going into the 2nd half. Home win 2H: 27.1%, Away win 2H: 27.7%.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
Torreense — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | H Ararat-Armenia | W | 3 - 2 |
| 31 Oct | A Portimonense | D | 0 - 0 |
| 26 Oct | H Amarante | W | 1 - 0 |
| 22 Oct | A Ferencvarosi TC | L | 4 - 1 |
| 15 Oct | H Sunderland | L | 1 - 2 |
Ararat-Armenia — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | A Torreense | L | 3 - 2 |
| 01 Nov | H Gandzasar | W | 3 - 0 |
| 26 Oct | H FC Noah | W | 2 - 1 |
| 22 Oct | H AZ Alkmaar | L | 0 - 4 |
| 18 Oct | A BKMA | W | 0 - 1 |
UEFA Europa League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Benfica
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 3 | +10 | 12 |
| 2 |
Bournemouth
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | +9 | 12 |
| 3 |
Ferencvarosi TC
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | +8 | 12 |
| 4 |
Union St. Gilloise
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 2 | +8 | 10 |
| 5 |
Juventus
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 10 |
| 6 |
Olympiakos Piraeus
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
| 7 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | +7 | 9 |
| 8 |
Beşiktaş
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 7 |
| 9 |
Dinamo Zagreb
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 |
Levski Sofia
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 7 |
| 11 |
Sunderland
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 |
NEC Nijmegen
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 |
Lyon
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 6 |
| 15 |
Anderlecht
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 6 |
| 16 |
OFI
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 17 |
Rennes
|
4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 6 |
| 18 |
Omonia Nicosia
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 6 |
| 19 |
Torreense
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 6 |
| 20 |
Real Sociedad
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 5 |
| 21 |
Crystal Palace
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 5 |
| 22 |
Sparta Praha
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 |
| 23 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 |
| 24 |
Sturm Graz
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 |
| 25 |
Celje
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 |
| 26 |
Red Bull Salzburg
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 4 |
| 27 |
Celta Vigo
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 |
| 28 |
AC Milan
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 |
| 29 |
Jagiellonia
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 |
| 30 |
Plzen
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 3 |
| 31 |
Marseille
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 3 |
| 32 |
Celtic
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
| 33 |
Hapoel Beer Sheva
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 1 |
| 34 |
Lillestrom
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 1 |
| 35 |
Lech Poznan
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 12 | -10 | 1 |
| 36 |
Ararat-Armenia
|
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 0 |
Ararat-Armenia
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Seong-jae Kim
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 98 | João Bravim | G |
| 2 | Hugo Oliveira | D |
| 43 | Bruno Wilson | D |
| 47 | A. Malis | D |
| 16 | E. Grigoryan | D |
| 19 | K. Muradyan | M |
| 8 | J. Balanta | M |
| 77 | A. Serobyan | M |
| 70 | B. Oliveira | M |
| 7 | Z. Shaghoyan | M |
| 91 | Sandro Lima | F |
Substitutes
| 10 | A. Ambartsumyan | M |
| 20 | A. Tera | M |
| 14 | Bruno Pereira | D |
| 25 | A. Ndour | F |
| 5 | Luís Felipe | D |
| 13 | K. Hovhannisyan | D |
| 95 | França | F |
| 9 | A. Eloyan | M |
| 17 | M. Carlier | M |
| 11 | Zidane Banjaqui | M |
| 1 | A. Nersesyan | G |
Torreense
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: João Nuno
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lucas Paes | G |
| 45 | J. Mutombo | D |
| 5 | M. Diadie | D |
| 4 | Volnei Feltes | D |
| 23 | Javi Vázquez | D |
| 33 | João Marques | M |
| 8 | Alejandro Alfaro | M |
| 11 | Manu Pozo | M |
| 19 | K. Zoabi | M |
| 7 | D. Jean | M |
| 14 | Jorge Aguirre | F |
Substitutes
| 31 | Adriel | G |
| 3 | Juan María Alcedo | D |
| 44 | S. Henriksen | G |
| 22 | David Bruno | D |
| 17 | M. Drammeh | F |
| 21 | Nuha Jatta | M |
| 6 | A. Oudrhiri | M |
| 29 | L. Quintero | F |
| 26 | André Simões | M |
| 2 | Stopira | D |
| 63 | Daniel Zamith De Oliveira Noro | F |
| 86 | Gustavo Sousa Alhinho Alves Rijo | M |