Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool Πρόβλεψη

UEFA Champions League UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 4
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Chobani Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi, İstanbul
Πρόβλεψη AI Δύσκολη νίκη ή ισοπαλία για Liverpool
16%
20%
63%
Νίκη Γηπεδούχου Ισοπαλία Νίκη Φιλοξενούμενης

Πρόβλεψη Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool: Το Sportiko δίνει στην Fenerbahçe πιθανότητα νίκης 16%, στην Liverpool 63% και στην ισοπαλία 20%. Τελευταία ενημέρωση 4 Nov 2026, 19:40.

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Match Report

Fenerbahçe produced a dramatic comeback to defeat Liverpool 3–2 in the Champions League league stage, despite the visitors dominating possession with 68% of the ball. Liverpool appeared to be in control at half-time following Trey Nyoni's opener, with Mason Greenwood levelling quickly for Fenerbahçe before the break. The match was finely poised heading into the second half, with both sides level at 1–1.

The second half proved chaotic. Alexander Isak restored Liverpool's lead on 69 minutes, but Archie Brown — who had been booked earlier in the match — equalised four minutes later to make it 2–2. Vedat Muriqi then struck the decisive blow on 79 minutes, completing the turnaround and securing all three points for the Turkish side. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Liverpool win as the most likely outcome at 63%, a call that ultimately proved wide of the mark.

Despite generating 22 total shots and 12 corners, Fenerbahçe's expected goals figure of 1.55 trailed Liverpool's 1.74, making the result a harsh reflection on the visitors, who could not convert their opportunities into the victory the underlying numbers suggested they deserved.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Archie Brown Yellow Card
25' ▮
⚽ 0–1 25'
Trey Nyoni
Yellow Card
27' ▮
Mason Greenwood
29' ⚽ 1–1
HT 1–1
Romelu Lukaku ⇄ Vedat Muriqi
63' ⇄
⇄ 66'
Joe Gomez ⇄ Florian Wirtz
⇄ 66'
Victor Muñoz ⇄ Alexander Isak
⇄ 66'
Rio Ngumoha ⇄ C. Gakpo
⚽ 1–2 69'
Alexander Isak assist: C. Gakpo
Archie Brown
73' ⚽ 2–2
İrfan Can Kahveci ⇄ Kerem Aktürkoğlu
75' ⇄
Nélson Semedo ⇄ Mert Müldür
75' ⇄
⇄ 76'
Konstantinos Tsimikas ⇄ Miloš Kerkez
Vedat Muriqi assist: Archie Brown
79' ⚽ 3–2
▮ 85'
Alexis Mac Allister Yellow Card
⇄ 85'
Trey Nyoni ⇄ Lewis Koumas
Mason Greenwood ⇄ Oğuz Aydın
89' ⇄
FT 3–2
Fenerbahçe

Match Stats

Liverpool
32% Ball Possession 68%
1.74 Expected Goals (xG) 1.55
17 Total Shots 22
6 Shots on Goal 6
8 Shots off Goal 11
3 Blocked Shots 5
10 Shots insidebox 19
7 Shots outsidebox 3
4 Corner Kicks 12
2 Offsides 2
13 Fouls 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 0
4 Goalkeeper Saves 3
259 Total passes 529
185 Passes accurate 475
12 Free Kicks 13
Fenerbahçe
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
11 Mason Greenwood F 8.2 89' 1 – 4 23 (17%) 1
19 Vedat Muriqi F 7.7 27' 1 – 1 13 (7%) –
3 Archie Brown D 7.3 90' 1 1 3 21 (10%) 3
6 Mattéo Guendouzi M 6.7 90' – – 3 28 (22%) –
31 Ederson G 6.6 90' – – – 28 (16%) –
7 Kerem Aktürkoğlu F 6.6 15' – – 1 2 (1%) –
70 Oğuz Aydın F 6.5 1' – – – – –
9 Romelu Lukaku F 6.5 63' – – 1 9 (7%) –
17 İrfan Can Kahveci F 6.3 75' – – 1 16 (11%) 3
37 Milan Škriniar D 6.3 90' – – – 34 (27%) 2
5 İsmail Yüksek M 6.2 90' – – 1 30 (25%) 5
91 N'Golo Kanté M 6.2 90' – – 1 29 (20%) 1
18 Mert Müldür D 6.1 15' – – – 3 (3%) –
27 Nélson Semedo D 6.1 75' – – 1 13 (12%) 1
21 Kojo Peprah Oppong D 5.8 90' – – – 9 (7%) 1
Liverpool
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
42 Trey Nyoni M 8.2 85' 1 – 1 96 (89%) 2
9 Alexander Isak F 7.6 24' 1 – 3 2 (1%) –
18 C. Gakpo F 7.0 24' – 1 1 9 (6%) 1
21 Konstantinos Tsimikas D 6.9 76' – – – 28 (26%) –
8 Dominik Szoboszlai M 6.9 90' – – 2 46 (43%) –
23 Victor Muñoz M 6.7 66' – – 3 15 (11%) –
4 V. van Dijk D 6.6 90' – – 2 83 (72%) –
2 Joe Gomez D 6.6 66' – – 1 40 (40%) –
29 Bradley Barcola F 6.4 90' – – 3 18 (17%) –
73 Rio Ngumoha M 6.4 66' – – 2 19 (18%) 1
67 Lewis Koumas F 6.3 5' – – – – –
1 Alisson G 6.2 90' – – – 28 (21%) –
10 Alexis Mac Allister M 6.2 90' – – 1 52 (48%) 2
5 Jérémy Jacquet D 6.1 90' – – 2 58 (51%) 1
7 Florian Wirtz M 5.9 24' – – – 19 (18%) –
6 Miloš Kerkez D 5.9 14' – – – 12 (12%) –
Premium

Ξεκλείδωσε την πλήρη ανάλυση AI για τον αγώνα Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool

  • Όλες οι 70+ αγορές πιθανοτήτων
  • Αναλυτική αναφορά αγώνα AI Deep-Dive
  • Τύποι επιλογών που διαλέγεις
Confidence Medium (63%)

At a glance

Η ανάλυσή μας
Δύσκολη νίκη ή ισοπαλία για Liverpool
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Fenerbahçe
WWLLD
Liverpool
LLDWW

Live insights

83' time check 80% sure

Min 83: Fenerbahçe leads 3-2. Win probability: 83.8%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 16.2%.

80' Goal 80% sure

Late goal makes it 3-2! Fenerbahçe win probability: 78.5%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 33.7%.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Still level at 2-2. Draw looking likely at 59.4%. Late goal chance: 45.9%.

74' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 2-2. Draw probability: 57.8%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

70' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-2. Liverpool win: 86.3%. BTTS: 100%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Fenerbahçe
M. Greenwood 4 gls
Talisca 4 gls
Liverpool

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Fenerbahçe — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
08 Nov A Çorum FK W 0 - 4
04 Nov H Liverpool W 3 - 2
31 Oct H Göztepe L 1 - 2
26 Oct A Galatasaray L 2 - 1
20 Oct H Slavia Praha D 2 - 2

Liverpool — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
04 Nov A Fenerbahçe L 3 - 2
01 Nov H Arsenal L 0 - 1
28 Oct H Chelsea D 1 - 1
25 Oct H Brighton W 2 - 0
20 Oct H Villarreal W 4 - 3

UEFA Champions League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Paris Saint Germain
4 4 0 0 +15 12
2
Real Madrid
4 4 0 0 +6 12
3
Arsenal
4 3 1 0 +5 10
4
Como
4 3 0 1 +13 9
5
Barcelona
4 3 0 1 +8 9
6
Aston Villa
4 3 0 1 +6 9
7
Manchester City
4 3 0 1 +5 9
8
Liverpool
4 3 0 1 +4 9
9
Club Brugge KV
4 3 0 1 +4 9
10
Sporting CP
4 3 0 1 +4 9
11
Real Betis
4 3 0 1 +2 9
12
Borussia Dortmund
4 3 0 1 +2 9
13
Bayern München
4 2 2 0 +7 8
14
VfB Stuttgart
4 2 1 1 +3 7
15
Inter
4 2 0 2 +2 6
16
Lask Linz
4 2 0 2 +1 6
17
Manchester United
4 2 0 2 0 6
18
Galatasaray
4 2 0 2 -1 6
19
Fenerbahçe
4 1 2 1 -5 5
20
AS Roma
4 1 1 2 +2 4
21
Shakhtar Donetsk
4 1 1 2 0 4
22
Viking
4 1 1 2 -1 4
23
Atletico Madrid
4 1 1 2 -1 4
24
PSV Eindhoven
4 1 1 2 -1 4
25
Bodo/Glimt
4 1 1 2 -5 4
26
FC Porto
4 1 0 3 -1 3
27
Napoli
4 1 0 3 -5 3
28
Villarreal
4 1 0 3 -6 3
29
AEK Athens FC
4 1 0 3 -6 3
30
RB Leipzig
4 1 0 3 -6 3
31
Sabah FA
4 1 0 3 -6 3
32
Feyenoord
4 1 0 3 -7 3
33
Lens
4 1 0 3 -12 3
34
Slavia Praha
4 0 1 3 -4 1
35
Lille
4 0 1 3 -6 1
36
Slovan Bratislava
4 0 0 4 -16 0

Liverpool

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Andoni Iraola
1 Becker
21 Tsimikas
4 Dijk
5 Jacquet
2 Gomez
10 Allister
42 Nyoni
73 Ngumoha
8 Szoboszlai
23 Muñoz
29 Barcola

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Alisson Becker G
2 J. Gomez D
5 J. Jacquet D
4 V. van Dijk D
21 K. Tsimikas D
42 T. Nyoni M
10 A. Mac Allister M
23 Víctor Muñoz M
8 D. Szoboszlai M
73 R. Ngumoha M
29 B. Barcola F

Substitutes

28 F. Woodman G
7 F. Wirtz M
53 J. McConnell M
25 G. Mamardashvili G
67 L. Koumas F
6 M. Kerkez D
9 A. Isak F
18 C. Gakpo F
76 J. Danns F
44 L. Chambers D
33 R. Araújo D

Fenerbahçe

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: E. Belözoğlu
31 Ederson
3 Brown
21 Oppong
37 Škriniar
27 Semedo
5 Yüksek
91 Kanté
6 Guendouzi
17 Kahveci
9 Lukaku
11 Greenwood

Starting XI

# Player Pos
31 Ederson G
27 Nélson Semedo D
37 M. Škriniar D
21 K. Peprah Oppong D
3 A. Brown D
6 M. Guendouzi M
91 N. Kanté M
5 İ. Yüksek M
11 M. Greenwood F
9 R. Lukaku F
17 İ. Kahveci F

Substitutes

45 N. Dorgeles F
19 V. Muriqi F
18 M. Müldür D
77 O. Mimović D
22 L. Mercan D
34 M. Günok G
28 B. Elmaz M
14 Y. Demir D
13 T. Çetin G
70 O. Aydın F
7 K. Aktürkoğlu F

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