Manchester United vs AS Roma Πρόβλεψη

UEFA Champions League UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 4
FT
Post on X
Old Trafford, Manchester
Πρόβλεψη AI Manchester United ή ισοπαλία
43%
26%
32%
Νίκη Γηπεδούχου Ισοπαλία Νίκη Φιλοξενούμενης

Πρόβλεψη Manchester United vs AS Roma: Το Sportiko δίνει στην Manchester United πιθανότητα νίκης 43%, στην AS Roma 32% και στην ισοπαλία 26%. Τελευταία ενημέρωση 3 Nov 2026, 21:56.

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  • 1st Half Over 0.5 74%
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Match Report

Manchester United produced a stunning second-half comeback to defeat AS Roma 3–2 in their UEFA Champions League league stage encounter, despite trailing by two goals at the interval. Roma had looked sharp in the opening exchanges, with Matías Soulé breaking the deadlock in the 11th minute before Donyell Malen converted a penalty six minutes later to double the visitors' lead. A flurry of yellow cards added to a feisty atmosphere before the break, with both sides making tactical substitutions as the half drew to a close.

United were transformed after the restart. Bruno Fernandes pulled one back from the spot in the 58th minute following a VAR review, and the hosts gradually asserted their dominance, reflected in their 53% possession and an expected goals figure of 2.8 against Roma's 1.59. Our pre-match AI model had rated a United win as the most likely outcome at 43%, and that assessment proved well-founded.

Matheus Cunha then delivered the decisive blows, netting twice in quick succession in the 83rd and 86th minutes to complete a remarkable turnaround. His evening ended on a sour note, however, receiving a yellow card moments after his winner before being sent off in stoppage time.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 11'
Matías Soulé assist: Rodrigo Mora
⚽ 0–2 17'
D. Malen Penalty
▮ 20'
Matías Soulé Yellow Card
Bruno Fernandes Yellow Card
20' ▮
⇄ 21'
Devyne Rensch ⇄ Emanuele Lulli
▮ 35'
Emanuele Lulli Yellow Card
▮ 42'
D. Malen Yellow Card
⇄ 45'
Rodrigo Mora ⇄ Niccolò Pisilli
HT 0–2
Carlos Baleba ⇄ Youri Tielemans
51' ⇄
Bruno Fernandes Penalty
58' ⚽ 1–2
Bruno Fernandes
58' 🖵
Ayden Heaven Yellow Card
70' ▮
Ayden Heaven ⇄ Lisandro Martínez
75' ⇄
Amad Diallo ⇄ Shea Lacey
75' ⇄
⇄ 75'
Gianluca Mancini ⇄ Daniele Ghilardi
⇄ 76'
Mario Hermoso ⇄ Evan Ndicka
Harry Maguire Yellow Card
78' ▮
⇄ 78'
D. Malen ⇄ Santiago Castro
Matheus Cunha
83' ⚽ 2–2
Matheus Cunha assist: Shea Lacey
86' ⚽ 3–2
Matheus Cunha Yellow Card
87' ▮
Harry Maguire ⇄ M. de Ligt
88' ⇄
Bruno Fernandes ⇄ Mason Mount
88' ⇄
Matheus Cunha Red Card
90+1' ▮
FT 3–2
Manchester United

Match Stats

AS Roma
53% Ball Possession 47%
2.8 Expected Goals (xG) 1.59
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Goal 4
5 Shots off Goal 2
4 Blocked Shots 1
7 Shots insidebox 4
8 Shots outsidebox 3
3 Corner Kicks 1
1 Offsides 2
10 Fouls 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
1 Red Cards 0
2 Goalkeeper Saves 2
503 Total passes 444
416 Passes accurate 360
13 Free Kicks 8
Manchester United
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
10 Matheus Cunha M 8.4 91' 2 – 4 33 (25%) 3
8 Bruno Fernandes M 7.3 88' 1 – 4 53 (46%) –
31 Shea Lacey F 6.8 15' – 1 – 7 (7%) 1
16 Amad Diallo M 6.7 75' – – 1 26 (23%) 2
2 Diogo Dalot D 6.7 90' – – 2 38 (32%) 4
18 Youri Tielemans M 6.6 39' – – – 26 (25%) –
6 Lisandro Martínez D 6.5 15' – – – 9 (8%) –
37 Kobbie Mainoo M 6.4 90' – – 1 80 (67%) 3
20 Carlos Baleba M 6.4 51' – – 1 32 (26%) –
1 Senne Lammens G 6.3 90' – – – 37 (18%) –
19 Bryan Mbeumo F 6.3 90' – – 1 18 (13%) 2
26 Ayden Heaven D 6.3 75' – – – 48 (42%) 2
15 Leny Yoro D 6.2 90' – – – 38 (34%) 1
5 Harry Maguire D 6.2 88' – – 1 55 (49%) 1
4 M. de Ligt D 6.1 2' – – – 2 (1%) –
7 Mason Mount M 6.0 2' – – – 1 1
AS Roma
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
86 Rodrigo Mora M 7.5 46' – 1 – 20 (18%) –
26 Leonardo Balerdi D 6.8 90' – – 1 46 (40%) 3
18 Matías Soulé M 6.7 90' 1 – 3 46 (34%) 1
14 D. Malen F 6.6 78' 1 – 2 20 (17%) –
22 Mario Hermoso D 6.5 76' – – – 40 (34%) 1
15 M. de Roon M 6.4 90' – – 1 49 (43%) 4
9 Santiago Castro F 6.4 12' – – – 3 (3%) 1
4 Bryan Cristante M 6.3 90' – – – 57 (47%) 1
87 Daniele Ghilardi D 6.2 15' – – – 8 (8%) –
5 Evan Ndicka D 6.1 14' – – – 9 (7%) –
23 Gianluca Mancini D 6.0 75' – – – 37 (30%) 2
77 Emanuele Lulli D 6.0 69' – – – 21 (18%) –
2 Devyne Rensch M 5.9 21' – – – 8 (7%) 1
43 Wesley M 5.9 90' – – – 33 (25%) 6
61 Niccolò Pisilli M 5.8 44' – – – 15 (14%) 1
32 Devis Vásquez G 5.5 90' – – – 36 (19%) –
Premium

Ξεκλείδωσε την πλήρη ανάλυση AI για τον αγώνα Manchester United vs AS Roma

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Confidence Low (43%)

At a glance

Η ανάλυσή μας
Manchester United ή ισοπαλία
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Manchester United
WLLLD
AS Roma
WLWWD
Last 2 meetings Manchester United · 1W 0D 1L

Live insights

86' Goal 80% sure

Late goal makes it 3-2! Manchester United win probability: 94.1%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 13.5%.

84' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 2-2. Draw probability: 81.6%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: AS Roma leads 1-2. Win probability: 80%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 20%.

61' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-2. AS Roma win: 70.9%. BTTS: 100%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-2. AS Roma leads. Win probability: 87.2%. Over 0.5 more goals: 78.8%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
43%
45%
Draw
26%
45%
Away
32%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Manchester United

No scorer data.

AS Roma
D. Malen 4 gls

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Head to Head: Manchester United vs AS Roma

1 Manchester United Wins
0 Draws
1 AS Roma Wins
Date Home Score Away
06 May 2021 AS Roma 3 - 2 Manchester United
29 Apr 2021 Manchester United 6 - 2 AS Roma

Manchester United — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
03 Nov H AS Roma W 3 - 2
31 Oct A Chelsea L 2 - 0
25 Oct H Bournemouth L 0 - 3
21 Oct A Como L 4 - 1
18 Oct A Leeds D 1 - 1

AS Roma — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov H Sassuolo W 3 - 0
03 Nov A Manchester United L 3 - 2
31 Oct A Udinese W 2 - 5
27 Oct H Cagliari W 4 - 2
24 Oct A Napoli D 3 - 3

UEFA Champions League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Paris Saint Germain
4 4 0 0 +15 12
2
Real Madrid
4 4 0 0 +6 12
3
Arsenal
4 3 1 0 +5 10
4
Como
4 3 0 1 +13 9
5
Barcelona
4 3 0 1 +8 9
6
Aston Villa
4 3 0 1 +6 9
7
Manchester City
4 3 0 1 +5 9
8
Liverpool
4 3 0 1 +4 9
9
Club Brugge KV
4 3 0 1 +4 9
10
Sporting CP
4 3 0 1 +4 9
11
Real Betis
4 3 0 1 +2 9
12
Borussia Dortmund
4 3 0 1 +2 9
13
Bayern München
4 2 2 0 +7 8
14
VfB Stuttgart
4 2 1 1 +3 7
15
Inter
4 2 0 2 +2 6
16
Lask Linz
4 2 0 2 +1 6
17
Manchester United
4 2 0 2 0 6
18
Galatasaray
4 2 0 2 -1 6
19
Fenerbahçe
4 1 2 1 -5 5
20
AS Roma
4 1 1 2 +2 4
21
Shakhtar Donetsk
4 1 1 2 0 4
22
Viking
4 1 1 2 -1 4
23
Atletico Madrid
4 1 1 2 -1 4
24
PSV Eindhoven
4 1 1 2 -1 4
25
Bodo/Glimt
4 1 1 2 -5 4
26
FC Porto
4 1 0 3 -1 3
27
Napoli
4 1 0 3 -5 3
28
Villarreal
4 1 0 3 -6 3
29
AEK Athens FC
4 1 0 3 -6 3
30
RB Leipzig
4 1 0 3 -6 3
31
Sabah FA
4 1 0 3 -6 3
32
Feyenoord
4 1 0 3 -7 3
33
Lens
4 1 0 3 -12 3
34
Slavia Praha
4 0 1 3 -4 1
35
Lille
4 0 1 3 -6 1
36
Slovan Bratislava
4 0 0 4 -16 0

Manchester United

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: M. Carrick
1 Lammens
2 Dalot
26 Heaven
5 Maguire
15 Yoro
37 Mainoo
20 Baleba
10 Cunha
8 Fernandes
16 Diallo
19 Mbeumo

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 S. Lammens G
15 L. Yoro D
5 H. Maguire D
26 A. Heaven D
2 Diogo Dalot D
20 C. Baleba M
37 K. Mainoo M
16 A. Diallo M
8 Bruno Fernandes M
10 Matheus Cunha M
19 B. Mbeumo F

Substitutes

3 N. Mazraoui D
6 Lisandro Martínez D
31 S. Lacey F
22 T. Heaton G
39 T. Fletcher M
12 K. Darlow G
7 M. Mount M
17 Andrey Santos M
18 Y. Tielemans M
11 J. Zirkzee F
4 M. de Ligt D
41 H. Amass D

AS Roma

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: G. Gasperini
32 Vásquez
22 Hermoso
26 Balerdi
23 Mancini
43 Wesley
15 Roon
4 Cristante
2 Rensch
86 Mora
18 Soulé
14 Malen

Starting XI

# Player Pos
32 D. Vásquez G
23 G. Mancini D
26 L. Balerdi D
22 Hermoso D
2 D. Rensch M
4 B. Cristante M
15 M. de Roon M
43 Wesley M
18 M. Soulé M
86 Rodrigo Mora M
14 D. Malen F

Substitutes

20 N. Molina D
77 E. Lulli D
3 K. Koulierakis D
87 D. Ghilardi D
63 Alessandro Di Nunzio M
70 G. De Marzi G
9 S. Castro F
61 N. Pisilli M
5 E. Ndicka D

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