SC Freiburg vs Motherwell Πρόβλεψη

UEFA Europa Conference League · Playoff round

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SC Freiburg

Home

4 : 1

HT 1 - 1

1ος αγώνας 3-1 · Συνολικό σκορ 7-2

Motherwell

Away

Πρόβλεψη AI SC Freiburg να κερδίσει ή ισοπαλία

73%

17%

10%

Νίκη Γηπεδούχου Ισοπαλία Νίκη Φιλοξενούμενης

Πρόβλεψη SC Freiburg vs Motherwell: Το Sportiko δίνει στην SC Freiburg πιθανότητα νίκης 73%, στην Motherwell 10% και στην ισοπαλία 17%. Τελευταία ενημέρωση 27 Aug 2026, 18:43.

Match Report

SC Freiburg made a bright start in this UEFA Europa Conference League playoff first leg, with Derry Scherhant opening the scoring in the sixth minute. Motherwell hit back against the run of play through Emmanuel Longelo on 22 minutes, and the Scottish side went into half-time level despite the Germans' clear territorial dominance.

The second half told a very different story. Jake Girdwood-Reich's red card on 57 minutes left Motherwell with ten men, and Freiburg wasted little time in capitalising. Igor Matanović restored the home side's lead on 60 minutes, and Cyriaque Irié added a third just three minutes later to effectively settle the tie. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Freiburg win as most likely at 73%, a call that proved well-founded. Keisuke Goto completed the scoring with a late fifth goal on 85 minutes.

The statistics underlined Freiburg's overwhelming control throughout: 72% possession, 22 total shots to Motherwell's two, and nine shots on target compared to just one for the visitors. The German side head into the second leg with a commanding 4–1 advantage.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Derry Scherhant assist: Maximilian Eggestein

6' ⚽ 1–0

⚽ 1–1 22'

Emmanuel Longelo assist: Ibrahim Said

HT 1–1

⇄ 46'

Tawanda Maswanhise ⇄ Tom Sparrow

▮ 55'

Jamie Knight-Lebel Yellow Card

▮ 57'

Jake Girdwood-Reich Red Card

Igor Matanović assist: Derry Scherhant

60' ⚽ 2–1

Cyriaque Irié assist: Derry Scherhant

63' ⚽ 3–1

Maximilian Rosenfelder ⇄ Philipp Lienhart

64' ⇄

Yuito Suzuki ⇄ Lucas Höler

64' ⇄

⇄ 65'

Ibrahim Said ⇄ Willy Vogt

⇄ 65'

Joe Hodge ⇄ Olly Whyte

⇄ 66'

Sebastian Palmer-Houlden ⇄ Regan Charles-Cook

Igor Matanović ⇄ Keisuke Goto

69' ⇄

Derry Scherhant ⇄ Vincenzo Grifo

69' ⇄

⇄ 76'

Alex Lowry ⇄ Dylan Williams

Matthias Ginter ⇄ Bruno Ogbus

78' ⇄

Keisuke Goto

85' ⚽ 4–1

FT 4–1

SC Freiburg

Match Stats

Motherwell

72% Ball Possession 28%

Expected Goals (xG)

22 Total Shots 2

9 Shots on Goal 1

9 Shots off Goal 1

4 Blocked Shots 0

17 Shots insidebox 1

5 Shots outsidebox 1

5 Corner Kicks 1

1 Offsides 2

5 Fouls 11

0 Yellow Cards 1

0 Red Cards 1

1 Goalkeeper Saves 5

571 Total passes 218

520 Passes accurate 171

91% Passes % 78%

goals_prevented

SC Freiburg

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
7 Derry Scherhant M	9.2	68'	1	2	4	16 (10%)	2
31 Igor Matanović F	8.5	67'	1	–	1	17 (12%)	1
8 Maximilian Eggestein M	7.9	79'	–	1	–	75 (72%)	1
22 Cyriaque Irié M	7.9	79'	1	–	5	35 (30%)	–
16 Yannik Engelhardt M	7.2	79'	–	–	1	44 (42%)	1
37 Maximilian Rosenfelder D	7.0	64'	–	–	–	80 (76%)	4
14 Yuito Suzuki M	6.9	64'	–	–	4	37 (31%)	–
28 Matthias Ginter D	6.9	78'	–	–	1	90 (88%)	1
30 Christian Günter D	6.9	79'	–	–	–	43 (40%)	1
3 Philipp Lienhart D	6.6	15'	–	–	–	19 (18%)	–
42 Keisuke Goto F	6.5	12'	–	–	–	3 (2%)	–
29 Philipp Treu D	6.3	79'	–	–	–	63 (56%)	1
32 Vincenzo Grifo M	6.3	11'	–	–	1	16 (14%)	–
9 Lucas Höler F	6.2	15'	–	–	1	2 (1%)	–
1 Mio Backhaus G	5.6	79'	–	–	–	31 (28%)	–
43 Bruno Ogbus D	—	1'	–	–	–	–	–

Motherwell

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
1 Alex Paulsen G	6.9	79'	–	–	–	27 (16%)	–
45 Emmanuel Longelo D	6.9	79'	1	–	1	13 (9%)	2
8 Lukas Fadinger M	6.9	79'	–	–	–	31 (29%)	1
4 Jamie Knight-Lebel D	6.7	79'	–	–	–	27 (22%)	–
25 Olly Whyte M	6.7	14'	–	–	–	–	1
18 Tawanda Maswanhise F	6.6	45'	–	–	–	4 (4%)	1
19 Ibrahim Said F	6.5	65'	–	1	–	19 (14%)	–
71 Joe Hodge M	6.5	65'	–	–	–	27 (22%)	1
7 Tom Sparrow M	6.3	34'	–	–	–	6 (3%)	1
77 Willy Vogt F	6.3	14'	–	–	–	–	–
17 Regan Charles-Cook F	6.3	14'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–
23 Ewan Wilson D	6.2	79'	–	–	–	26 (23%)	–
11 Alex Lowry M	6.2	76'	–	–	–	20 (15%)	–
47 Sebastian Palmer-Houlden F	6.2	65'	–	–	1	9 (7%)	–
3 Jake Girdwood-Reich D	5.9	57'	–	–	–	8 (6%)	–
20 Dylan Williams D	—	3'	–	–	–	–	–

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Confidence High (73%)

At a glance

Η ανάλυσή μας

SC Freiburg να κερδίσει ή ισοπαλία

Most likely score

1:1 · 11.9%

Both teams to score

55%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

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SC Freiburg

DWWWW

Motherwell

LLLWD

Last 1 meetings SC Freiburg · 1W 0D 0L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

73%

45%

Draw

17%

45%

Away

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Motherwell goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	7	4	3	1
1	9	12	5	2
2	10	10	5	2
3	7	6	3	1
4	3	3	2
5	1	1	1

↑ SC Freiburg goals · most likely 1–1 (11.9%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

73%

Draw

17%

Away Win

10%

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS Yes 45% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

45%

2.5

55%

68%

3.5

32%

84%

4.5

16%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

73%

Draw

17%

Away Win

10%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

76% Home (No Draw) 24% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

34% Home Win by 2+ 7% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

57% Home Scores More 25% Equal Goals 18% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

45%

2.5

55%

68%

3.5

32%

84%

4.5

16%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS Yes 45% BTTS No

Exact Goals

13%

25%

23%

16%

10%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.0%	4.1%	2.7%	0.9%	0.2%
1	9.4%	11.9%	5.2%	1.7%	0.4%
2	10.3%	10.1%	4.9%	1.6%	0.4%
3	6.6%	6.5%	3.2%	1.0%	0.3%
4	3.2%	3.1%	1.5%	0.5%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

68%

1.5

32%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

46%

1.5

54%

74%

2.5

26%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

18%

27%

28%

16%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	SC Freiburg	Draw	Motherwell
SC Freiburg	30.5%	2.9%	0.9%
Draw	24.1%	15.1%	6.6%
Motherwell	4.3%	5.0%	10.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

43%

1.5

57%

71%

2.5

29%

88%

3.5

12%

Home Exact Goals

15%

29%

27%

18%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

74%

1.5

26%

92%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

38%

37%

18%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: SC Freiburg vs Motherwell

1 SC Freiburg Wins

0 Draws

0 Motherwell Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
20 Aug 2026	Motherwell	1 - 3	SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Eintracht Frankfurt	D	2 - 2
12 Sep	H Borussia Mönchengladbach	W	5 - 0
05 Sep	A SC Paderborn 07	W	0 - 1
30 Aug	H Werder Bremen	W	4 - 1
27 Aug	H Motherwell	W	4 - 1

Motherwell — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Dundee	L	2 - 1
15 Sep	H Aberdeen	L	0 - 4
05 Sep	A Rangers	L	1 - 0
02 Sep	H Dundee Utd	W	3 - 0
30 Aug	A ST Mirren	D	3 - 3

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

SC Freiburg

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: J. Schuster

1 Backhaus

30 Günter

37 Rosenfelder

28 Ginter

29 Treu

16 Engelhardt

8 Eggestein

7 Scherhant

14 Suzuki

22 Irié

31 Matanović

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Mio Backhaus	G
29	Philipp Treu	D
28	Matthias Ginter	D
37	Maximilian Rosenfelder	D
30	Christian Günter	D
8	Maximilian Eggestein	M
16	Yannick Engelhardt	M
22	Cyriaque Irié	M
14	Yuito Suzuki	M
7	Derry Scherhant	M
31	Igor Matanović	F

Substitutes

3	Philipp Lienhart	D
9	Lucas Höler	F
21	Florian Müller	G
24	Jannik Huth	G
5	Anthony Jung	D
17	Lukas Kübler	D
27	Berkay Yılmaz	D
33	Jordy Makengo	D
43	Bruno Ogbus	D
19	Jan-Niklas Beste	M
32	Vincenzo Grifo	M
42	Keisuke Goto	F

Motherwell

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Alfred Johansson

1 Paulsen

45 Longelo

23 Wilson

4 Knight-Lebel

3 Girdwood-Reich

71 Hodge

11 Lowry

8 Fadinger

19 Said

47 Palmer-Houlden

18 Maswanhise

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Alex Paulsen	G
3	Jake Girdwood-Reich	D
4	Jamie Knight-Lebel	D
23	Ewan Wilson	D
45	Emmanuel Longelo	D
8	Lukas Fadinger	M
11	Alex Lowry	M
71	Joe Hodge	M
18	Tawanda Maswanhise	F
47	Sebastian Palmer-Houlden	F
19	Ibrahim Said	F

Substitutes

7	Tom Sparrow	M
25	Olly Whyte	M
17	Regan Charles-Cook	F
77	Willy Vogt	F
21	Matty Connelly	G
2	Stephen O'Donnell	D
27	Mikey Booth	M
29	Zander McAllister	M
20	Dylan Williams	D
9	Apostolos Stamatelopoulos	F
15	Eythor Bjørgolfsson	F
24	Luca Ross	M