Riga vs Gyori ETO FC Πρόβλεψη

UEFA Europa Conference League · 3rd Qualifying Round

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Gyori ETO FC

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Πρόβλεψη AI Riga ή ισοπαλία

48%

26%

Νίκη Γηπεδούχου Ισοπαλία Νίκη Φιλοξενούμενης

Πρόβλεψη Riga vs Gyori ETO FC: Το Sportiko δίνει στην Riga πιθανότητα νίκης 48%, στην Gyori ETO FC 26% και στην ισοπαλία 26%. Τελευταία ενημέρωση 6 Aug 2026, 18:54.

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Match Report

Riga secured a narrow but significant 1–0 victory over Győri ETO FC in the UEFA Europa Conference League third qualifying round, with the decisive moment arriving as early as the third minute when Bálint Selyem turned the ball into his own net to hand the hosts an early advantage. The Latvian side carried that lead into half-time and ultimately protected it for the full ninety minutes.

Győri dominated possession at 60% and mustered 17 total shots to Riga's four, yet managed only five on target and were further frustrated in the 72nd minute when a goal was ruled out for offside following a VAR review. Riga's two shots on goal proved far more clinical, and a yellow card for Raki Aouani shortly after the disallowed goal added to Győri's difficult evening. Both sides made multiple substitutions in the final half-hour as the Hungarian visitors pushed for an equaliser that never came.

The result was a notable upset given Győri's statistical dominance throughout the match. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Riga win as the most likely outcome at 48%, a call that proved correct. Riga advance to the next round of European competition.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Bálint Selyem Own Goal

3' ⚽ 1–0

Paulo Yellow Card

18' ▮

HT 1–0

⇄ 61'

Claudiu Bumba ⇄ Marcell Huszár

Reginaldo Ramires ⇄ M. Badamosi

66' ⇄

Goal Disallowed - offside

72' 🖵

Raki Aouani Yellow Card

73' ▮

Raki Aouani ⇄ A. Taiwo

77' ⇄

⇄ A. Černomordijs

77' ⇄

⇄ 80'

Nfansu Njie ⇄ Daniel Štefulj

A. Salazar ⇄ Maksims Tonisevs

88' ⇄

Iago Siqueira Augusto ⇄ Salah Oulad M'Hand

88' ⇄

⇄ 90+1'

Szabolcs Schön ⇄ Noel Csorba

FT 1–0

Riga

Match Stats

Gyori ETO FC

60% Ball Possession 40%

Expected Goals (xG)

17 Total Shots 4

5 Shots on Goal 2

10 Shots off Goal 1

2 Blocked Shots 1

10 Shots insidebox 3

7 Shots outsidebox 1

7 Corner Kicks 1

2 Offsides 2

18 Fouls 14

2 Yellow Cards 0

Red Cards

2 Goalkeeper Saves 4

512 Total passes 341

447 Passes accurate 265

87% Passes % 78%

goals_prevented

Riga

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
8 Iago Siqueira Augusto M	7.9	88'	–	–	–	49 (44%)	3
21 B. Musah D	7.2	92'	–	–	1	72 (66%)	–
40 A. Ankrah M	7.0	92'	–	–	–	55 (47%)	3
33 Paulo D	6.9	92'	–	–	1	79 (72%)	–
22 M. Diop M	6.9	77'	–	–	–	20 (19%)	–
17 A. Salazar D	6.9	88'	–	–	1	74 (58%)	1
13 R. Jurkovskis D	6.9	92'	–	–	3	52 (45%)	–
4 O. Galo M	6.9	92'	–	–	3	45 (40%)	1
19 M. Badamosi F	6.6	26'	–	–	1	5 (3%)	–
91 Frenks Orols G	6.6	92'	–	–	–	14 (13%)	–
34 A. Černomordijs D	6.5	15'	–	–	–	4 (3%)	–
25 A. Taiwo F	6.3	15'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	–
10 Reginaldo Ramires F	6.2	66'	–	–	2	15 (13%)	1
7 Raki Aouani M	6.2	77'	–	–	3	24 (20%)	–
23 Maksims Tonisevs D	—	4'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–
18 Salah Oulad M'Hand M	—	4'	–	–	–	–	–

Gyori ETO FC

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
26 Ádám Umathum D	7.3	92'	–	–	–	40 (30%)	1
24 Miljan Krpić D	7.0	92'	–	–	–	60 (54%)	–
11 Nfansu Njie F	7.0	80'	–	–	–	17 (12%)	–
37 Norbert Urblík D	7.0	92'	–	–	–	35 (30%)	2
99 Samuel Petráš G	6.9	92'	–	–	–	41 (26%)	–
23 Daniel Štefulj D	6.5	12'	–	–	–	6 (4%)	–
17 Szabolcs Schön M	6.5	91'	–	–	1	22 (20%)	1
10 Claudiu Bumba F	6.5	61'	–	–	1	24 (15%)	–
96 Marcell Huszár F	6.5	31'	–	–	–	3 (2%)	–
53 Bálint Selyem M	6.3	92'	–	–	–	20 (14%)	2
47 Ádám Décsy M	6.3	92'	–	–	–	32 (28%)	–
34 Viktor Đukanović F	6.3	92'	–	–	1	13 (8%)	–
14 Márton Szép M	6.2	92'	–	–	–	27 (22%)	1
75 Noel Csorba D	—	1'	–	–	–	1	–

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Confidence Low (48%)

At a glance

Η ανάλυσή μας

Riga ή ισοπαλία

Most likely score

1:1 · 11.3%

Both teams to score

62%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

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Riga

WWDDW

Gyori ETO FC

WWWLD

Last 1 meetings Riga · 0W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the UEFA Europa Conference League clash, Riga faces Gyori ETO FC. Riga has demonstrated solid form in recent matches, leveraging their defensive strategy, which has seen them concede less than a goal per game on average. Gyori ETO FC, on the other hand, has shown offensive prowess, scoring an average of 2 goals per match in their last five outings. The key battle will likely be between Riga's resilient defense and Gyori's attacking lineup. Given the stakes in a knockout format, expect a closely contested match with tactical adjustments from both sides.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Gyori ETO FC goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5	4	3	1
1	7	11	6	3	1
2	8	10	6	3	1
3	5	6	4	2	1
4	3	3	2	1
5	1	1	1

↑ Riga goals · most likely 1–1 (11.3%)

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Match Result

Home Win

48%

Draw

26%

Away Win

26%

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS Yes 38% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

16%

1.5

84%

38%

2.5

62%

61%

3.5

39%

79%

4.5

21%

91%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

48%

Draw

26%

Away Win

26%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

70% Home (No Draw) 30% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

31% Home Win by 2+ 10% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

52% Home Scores More 25% Equal Goals 23% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

16%

1.5

84%

38%

2.5

62%

61%

3.5

39%

79%

4.5

21%

91%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS Yes 38% BTTS No

Exact Goals

11%

22%

23%

18%

12%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.4%	3.8%	3.2%	1.3%	0.4%
1	6.8%	11.3%	6.2%	2.6%	0.8%
2	8.0%	9.9%	6.1%	2.5%	0.8%
3	5.2%	6.5%	4.0%	1.7%	0.5%
4	2.6%	3.2%	2.0%	0.8%	0.3%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

28%

32%

25%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

42%

1.5

58%

71%

2.5

29%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

17%

25%

29%

17%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Riga	Draw	Gyori ETO FC
Riga	34.2%	4.9%	2.2%
Draw	17.1%	14.3%	9.7%
Gyori ETO FC	2.7%	3.7%	11.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

42%

1.5

58%

70%

2.5

30%

88%

3.5

12%

Home Exact Goals

14%

28%

27%

18%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

79%

1.5

21%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

70%

1.5

30%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

87%

2.5

13%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

29%

36%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Riga vs Gyori ETO FC

0 Riga Wins

1 Draws

0 Gyori ETO FC Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
13 Aug 2026	Gyori ETO FC	1 - 1	Riga

Riga — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A FS Jelgava	W	0 - 1
15 Sep	A Super Nova	W	0 - 1
11 Sep	H Auda	D	2 - 2
07 Sep	H BFC Daugavpils	D	1 - 1
03 Sep	A Rīgas FS	W	2 - 3

Gyori ETO FC — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A MTK Budapest	W	1 - 2
13 Sep	A Karcag SE	W	1 - 5
06 Sep	H Budapest Honved	W	3 - 2
03 Sep	H Ferencvarosi TC	L	0 - 3
30 Aug	A Kisvarda FC	D	1 - 1

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Gyori ETO FC

Formation: 3-4-3 Coach: Efrain Juarez

99 Petráš

24 Krpić

37 Urblík

26 Umathum

17 Schön

14 Szép

47 Décsy

53 Selyem

10 Bumba

34 Đukanović

11 Njie

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
99	Samuel Petráš	G
26	Ádám Umathum	D
37	Norbert Urblík	D
24	Miljan Krpić	D
53	Bálint Selyem	M
47	Ádám Décsy	M
14	Márton Szép	M
17	Szabolcs Schön	M
11	Nfansu Njie	F
34	Viktor Đukanović	F
10	Claudiu Bumba	F

Substitutes

96	Marcell Huszár	F
16	Balázs Megyeri	G
64	Dániel Brecska	G
23	Daniel Štefulj	D
20	Barnabás Bíró	D
2	Ștefan Vlădoiu	D
75	Noel Csorba	D
90	Kevin Bánáti	M
70	Imre Tollár	M
18	Modou Lamin Mass	M
55	Krisztián Kószás	D

Riga

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Adrian Gula

91 Orols

17 Salazar

33 Paulo

21 Musah

13 Jurkovskis

4 Galo

40 Ankrah

7 Aouani

8 Augusto

22 Diop

10 Ramires

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
91	Frenks Orols	G
13	Raivis Jurkovskis	D
21	Baba Musah	D
33	Paulo	D
17	Andrés Salazar	D
40	Ahmed Ankrah	M
4	Orlando Galo	M
22	Meïssa Diop	M
8	Iago Siqueira Augusto	M
7	Raki Aouani	M
10	Reginaldo Ramires	F

Substitutes

19	Muhammed Badamosi	F
1	Krišjānis Zviedris	G
44	Marcis Kazainis	G
3	Abner	D
5	Karl Gameni Wassom	D
23	Maksims Tonisevs	D
34	Antonijs Černomordijs	D
6	Coli Saco	M
18	Salah Oulad M'Hand	M
25	Abdulrahman Taiwo	F
99	Caio Ferreira	M