Dynamo Kyiv vs Qarabag Πρόβλεψη

UEFA Europa Conference League · 3rd Qualifying Round

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Qarabag

Away

Πρόβλεψη AI Dynamo Kyiv ή ισοπαλία

40%

29%

32%

Νίκη Γηπεδούχου Ισοπαλία Νίκη Φιλοξενούμενης

Πρόβλεψη Dynamo Kyiv vs Qarabag: Το Sportiko δίνει στην Dynamo Kyiv πιθανότητα νίκης 40%, στην Qarabag 32% και στην ισοπαλία 29%. Τελευταία ενημέρωση 6 Aug 2026, 18:57.

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Match Report

Dynamo Kyiv secured a narrow but decisive 1–0 victory over Qarabag in the UEFA Europa Conference League third qualifying round, with the only goal arriving as early as the tenth minute. That early strike proved enough to separate the two sides, with the scoreline unchanged at the break and Kyiv successfully protecting their lead throughout the second half. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Dynamo Kyiv win as the most likely outcome at 40%, and that call proved correct.

Qarabag dominated possession with 61% of the ball and generated a remarkable 11 corner kicks compared to Kyiv's three, yet they managed only two shots on target and could not find a way through. Dynamo, despite seeing far less of the ball, were clinical with their limited opportunities, registering three shots on target of their own.

The closing stages grew heated, with a red card shown to Qarabag's Cebrail Makreckis in the 88th minute compounding the visitors' frustration, and yellow cards issued to both sides deep into stoppage time. Kyiv will now advance to the next qualifying round.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

10' ⚽ 1–0

Yellow Card

14' ▮

HT 1–0

⇄ 62'

Renaldo Cephas

⇄ 62'

69' ⇄

⇄ 75'

⇄ Bruno Langa

⇄ 79'

80' ⇄

Yellow Card

81' ▮

87' ⇄

▮ 88'

Cebrail Makreckis Red Card

▮ 90+4'

Yellow Card

90+6' ▮

FT 1–0

Dynamo Kyiv

Match Stats

Qarabag

39% Ball Possession 61%

Expected Goals (xG)

Total Shots

3 Shots on Goal 2

8 Shots off Goal 5

0 Blocked Shots 1

Shots insidebox

Shots outsidebox

3 Corner Kicks 11

3 Offsides 1

17 Fouls 11

2 Yellow Cards 2

0 Red Cards 1

Goalkeeper Saves

Total passes

Passes accurate

Passes %

goals_prevented

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Confidence Low (40%)

At a glance

Η ανάλυσή μας

Dynamo Kyiv ή ισοπαλία

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.3%

Both teams to score

54%

Over 2.5 goals

48%

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Dynamo Kyiv

WWDLW

Qarabag

WDWWL

Last 1 meetings Dynamo Kyiv · 0W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the UEFA Europa Conference League clash, Dynamo Kyiv faces Qarabag. Dynamo Kyiv has a solid home record, with a strong emphasis on defensive stability, conceding only 0.9 goals per match in their last five home fixtures. Qarabag, known for their tactical discipline, has averaged 1.5 goals per game in their recent away matches, indicating a potent counter-attacking threat. The matchup will likely hinge on whether Dynamo can break down Qarabag's defense while maintaining their own solidity at the back. This encounter promises to be competitive, with both teams having distinct strengths.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Qarabag goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9	8	6	3	1
1	8	14	8	3	1
2	7	8	5	2	1
3	3	4	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Dynamo Kyiv goals · most likely 1–1 (14.3%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

40%

Away Win

32%

Draw

29%

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

40%

Away Win

32%

Draw

29%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

52% Home (No Draw) 48% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

17% Home Win by 2+ 15% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

37% Home Scores More 33% Away Scores More 30% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Exact Goals

16%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.2%	7.9%	6.0%	2.5%	0.8%
1	8.4%	14.3%	8.0%	3.3%	1.1%
2	6.7%	8.4%	5.3%	2.2%	0.7%
3	3.0%	3.7%	2.4%	1.0%	0.3%
4	1.0%	1.2%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

72%

1.5

28%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

38%

34%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

52%

1.5

48%

79%

2.5

21%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

22%

29%

27%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Dynamo Kyiv	Draw	Qarabag
Dynamo Kyiv	17.7%	3.5%	1.5%
Draw	17.1%	18.8%	12.7%
Qarabag	3.0%	5.4%	20.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

62%

1.5

38%

85%

2.5

15%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

27%

35%

23%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

37%

92%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

78%

1.5

22%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

28%

36%

23%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

89%

1.5

11%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Dynamo Kyiv vs Qarabag

0 Dynamo Kyiv Wins

0 Draws

1 Qarabag Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
13 Aug 2026	Qarabag	2 - 0	Dynamo Kyiv

Dynamo Kyiv — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Zorya Luhansk	W	0 - 2
14 Sep	H Epitsentr Dunayivtsi	W	3 - 0
06 Sep	H LNZ Cherkasy	D	0 - 0
31 Aug	A Bukovyna	L	3 - 0
16 Aug	H Kolos Kovalivka	W	2 - 1

Qarabag — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Safa Baku	W	1 - 0
13 Sep	A Zira	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	H Araz	W	3 - 2
31 Aug	A Sumqayıt	W	0 - 1
27 Aug	H Twente	L	1 - 4

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Dynamo Kyiv

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Igor Kostyuk

71 Surkis

44 Dubinchak

32 Mykhavko

94 Kędziora

5 Sych

15 Rubchynskyi

6 Brazhko

70 Redushko

21 Lonwijk

39 Guerrero

11 Ponomarenko

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
71	Vyacheslav Surkis	G
5	Oleksii Sych	D
94	Tomasz Kędziora	D
32	Taras Mykhavko	D
44	Vladyslav Dubinchak	D
6	Volodymyr Brazhko	M
15	Valentyn Rubchynskyi	M
39	Eduardo Guerrero	F
21	Justin Lonwijk	M
70	Bogdan Redushko	M
11	Matvii Ponomarenko	F

Substitutes

18	Oleksandr Tymchyk	D
10	Mykola Shaparenko	M
9	Nazar Voloshyn	M
35	Ruslan Neshcheret	G
43	Ilya Olkhovyi	G
40	Kristian Bilovar	D
66	Aliou Thiare	D
8	Oleksandr Pikhalyonok	M
7	Andriy Yarmolenko	M
22	Vladyslav Kabaiev	M
29	Vitaliy Buyalskiy	M
99	Pierre Mounguengue	F

Qarabag

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Qurban Qurbanov

99 Kochalski

44 Cafarquliyev

4 Várkonyi

2 Silva

25 Makreckis

8 Janković

35 Bicalho

29 Cephas

10 Zoubir

7 Mouaddib

21 Kashchuk

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
99	Mateusz Kochalski	G
25	Cebrail Makreckis	M
2	Matheus Silva	D
4	Bence Várkonyi	D
44	Elvin Cafarquliyev	D
35	Pedro Bicalho	M
8	Marko Janković	M
7	Jaly Mouaddib	M
10	Abdellah Zoubir	M
29	Renaldo Cephas	F
21	Olexiy Kashchuk	M

Substitutes

20	Kady Borges	M
22	Musa Qurbanlı	F
1	Shakhrudin Magomedaliyev	G
23	Martin Zlomislić	G
55	Bədavi Hüseynov	D
5	Bruno Langa	D
13	Bahlul Mustafazada	D
88	Samuel Lobato	M
9	Joni Montiel	M
49	Ali Bashirov	M
32	Hikmat Cabrayilzada	M