PAOK vs Anderlecht Prediction
PAOK vs Anderlecht prediction: Sportiko gives PAOK a 55% chance of winning, Anderlecht 19% and the draw 25%. Last updated 6 Aug 2026, 19:45.
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Match Report
Anderlecht secured a hard-fought 1–0 victory away at PAOK in the UEFA Europa League third qualifying round, with the decisive moment arriving inside the opening minute. The Belgian side struck almost immediately after kick-off, setting the tone for a disciplined defensive display that would carry them through to the final whistle.
The match's pivotal sequence came midway through the first half when PAOK had a goal disallowed following a VAR review at the 36th minute, moments after a missed penalty had already denied the hosts an equaliser. That double blow effectively ended PAOK's best opportunity to level proceedings before the break. Our pre-match AI model had rated a PAOK win as the most likely outcome at 55%, a call that proved wide of the mark.
The second half saw both managers turn to their benches freely, with a combined eight substitutions made after the interval. Aritz Elustondo was among five players cautioned across the 90 minutes. Despite dominating possession at 64%, Anderlecht managed just two shots on target — the same as PAOK — but their early goal proved sufficient to claim a crucial away win.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
PAOK
Match Stats
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At a glance
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Live insights
Min 76: Anderlecht leads 0-1. Win probability: 78.6%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 21.4%.
Half-time: 0-1. Anderlecht leads. Win probability: 58.3%. Over 0.5 more goals: 76.1%.
Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 35.3%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.
Goal! Score now 0-1. Anderlecht win: 47%. BTTS: 84.2%.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: PAOK vs Anderlecht
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
PAOK — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug | H Anderlecht | L | 0 - 1 |
| 30 Jul | H Dynamo Kyiv | W | 2 - 0 |
| 23 Jul | A Dynamo Kyiv | W | 2 - 3 |
| 07 Jul | H AEK Larnaca | W | 3 - 2 |
| 01 Jul | H SK Beveren | W | 4 - 1 |
Anderlecht — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug | A PAOK | W | 0 - 1 |
| 30 Jul | H Hammarby FF | W | 3 - 1 |
| 23 Jul | A Hammarby FF | D | 1 - 1 |
| 11 Jul | H NEC Nijmegen | W | 3 - 2 |
| 22 Mar | H Cercle Brugge | L | 2 - 3 |
UEFA Europa League Standings
League standings are not available for this competition.
Anderlecht
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: Vitor Bruno
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 26 | Colin Coosemans | G |
| 79 | Ali Maamar | D |
| 27 | Léo Pétrot | D |
| 4 | Giulian Biancone | D |
| 5 | Moussa Ndiaye | D |
| 24 | Enric Llansana | M |
| 18 | Lukáš Ambros | M |
| 55 | Marco Kana | D |
| 49 | Jayden Onia Seke | M |
| 14 | Danylo Sikan | F |
| 9 | Mihajlo Cvetković | F |
Substitutes
| 11 | Oliver Antman | M |
| 13 | Nathan-Dylan Saliba | M |
| 83 | Tristan Degreef | M |
| 32 | Justin Heekeren | G |
| 2 | Zoumana Keita | D |
| 6 | Ludwig Augustinsson | D |
| 50 | Kaïs Barry | D |
| 62 | Basile Vroninks | D |
| 61 | Joshua Nga Kana | M |
| 68 | Noah Kalonji | M |
| 91 | Adriano Bertaccini | F |
| 53 | Noa Thomas Ojea Cobiella | F |
PAOK
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Alessio Lisci
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jiří Pavlenka | G |
| 3 | Jonjoe Kenny | D |
| 4 | Pantelis Hatzidiakos | D |
| 5 | Giannis Michailidis | D |
| 18 | Jonathan Gómez | D |
| 20 | Christos Zafeiris | M |
| 7 | Baptiste Santamaria | M |
| 14 | Andrija Živković | M |
| 65 | Giannis Konstantelias | M |
| 11 | Taison | M |
| 56 | Anestis Mythou | F |
Substitutes
| 6 | Aritz Elustondo | D |
| 21 | Rahman Baba | D |
| 32 | Greg Taylor | D |
| 19 | Alexander Jeremejeff | F |
| 10 | Dimitrios Pelkas | M |
| 99 | Antonis Tsiftsis | G |
| 25 | Konstantinos Thymianis | D |
| 97 | Dimitrios Bataoulas | D |
| 2 | Mady Camara | M |
| 23 | Tom Louchet | M |
| 52 | Dimitrios Chatsidis | M |
| 47 | Shola Shoretire | F |