ML Vitebsk vs Arsenal Πρόβλεψη

Premier League · Regular Season - 23

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ML Vitebsk

Home

5 : 1

HT 1 - 1

Arsenal

Away

Πρόβλεψη AI Νίκη ML Vitebsk

80%

15%

Νίκη Γηπεδούχου Ισοπαλία Νίκη Φιλοξενούμενης

Πρόβλεψη ML Vitebsk vs Arsenal: Το Sportiko δίνει στην ML Vitebsk πιθανότητα νίκης 80%, στην Arsenal 6% και στην ισοπαλία 15%. Τελευταία ενημέρωση 18 Sep 2026, 17:56.

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 5'

▮ 45'

Red Card

45' ⇄

▮ 45+5'

Yellow Card

45+5' ⚽ 1–1

HT 1–1

⇄ 56'

▮ 57'

Yellow Card

63' ⚽ 2–1

⇄ 66'

69' ⚽ 3–1

76' ⚽ 4–1

⇄ Milad Mohammadi

77' ⇄

⇄ 78'

82' ⚽ 5–1

83' ⇄

FT 5–1

ML Vitebsk

Match Stats

Arsenal

61% Ball Possession 39%

8 Total Shots 3

4 Shots on Goal 1

4 Shots off Goal 2

0 Blocked Shots 0

8 Corner Kicks 0

0 Yellow Cards 0

0 Red Cards 1

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Ξεκλείδωσε την πλήρη ανάλυση AI για τον αγώνα ML Vitebsk vs Arsenal

Όλες οι 70+ αγορές πιθανοτήτων
Αναλυτική αναφορά αγώνα AI Deep-Dive
Value Edge — μοντέλο vs αγορά
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Confidence High (80%)

At a glance

Η ανάλυσή μας

Νίκη ML Vitebsk

Most likely score

2:0 · 13%

Both teams to score

47%

Over 2.5 goals

65%

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ML Vitebsk

WDDDW

Arsenal

LDDLL

Live insights

84' Goal 85% sure

ML Vitebsk now leads 5-1 with 100% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 21.1%.

84' time check 80% sure

Min 84: ML Vitebsk leads 5-1. Win probability: 100%. Comeback chance: 0%.

77' Goal 85% sure

ML Vitebsk now leads 4-1 with 100% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 37.9%.

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: ML Vitebsk leads 3-1. Win probability: 99.8%. Comeback chance: 0.2%.

70' Goal 85% sure

ML Vitebsk now leads 3-1 with 99.7% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 51.8%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

80%

45%

Draw

15%

45%

Away

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Arsenal goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	4	1	1
1	8	7	2
2	13	9	3	1
3	12	8	3	1
4	9	6	2
5	5	3	1

↑ ML Vitebsk goals · most likely 2–0 (13.0%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

80%

Draw

15%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

96%

14%

1.5

86%

35%

2.5

65%

58%

3.5

42%

78%

4.5

22%

92%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

80%

Draw

15%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

93% Home (No Draw) 7% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

59% Home Win by 2+ 2% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

80% Home Scores More 15% Equal Goals 6% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

96%

14%

1.5

86%

35%

2.5

65%

58%

3.5

42%

78%

4.5

22%

92%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

21%

23%

20%

14%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

51% Even Total Goals 49% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.1%	1.4%	0.7%	0.2%	0.0%
1	8.4%	7.0%	2.1%	0.5%	0.1%
2	13.0%	8.7%	2.9%	0.7%	0.1%
3	12.2%	8.2%	2.7%	0.6%	0.1%
4	8.6%	5.8%	1.9%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

54%

1.5

46%

80%

2.5

20%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

23%

31%

27%

13%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

41%

1.5

59%

69%

2.5

31%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

15%

26%

28%

18%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	ML Vitebsk	Draw	Arsenal
ML Vitebsk	54.3%	1.6%	0.3%
Draw	23.6%	8.4%	2.0%
Arsenal	3.6%	2.7%	3.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

24%

1.5

76%

50%

2.5

50%

74%

3.5

26%

Home Exact Goals

18%

25%

24%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

67%

1.5

33%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

52%

1.5

48%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

97%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

51%

34%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

70%

0.5

30%

95%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

73%

0.5

27%

96%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: ML Vitebsk vs Arsenal

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

ML Vitebsk — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Arsenal	W	5 - 1
13 Sep	A FC Dnepr Mogilev	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	H Dinamo Minsk	D	0 - 0
02 Sep	H Belshina	D	1 - 1
29 Aug	A Dinamo Brest	W	1 - 3

Arsenal — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A ML Vitebsk	L	5 - 1
12 Sep	H Baranovichi	D	0 - 0
07 Sep	A FC Isloch Minsk R.	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	H Torpedo Zhodino	L	2 - 4
22 Aug	A Belshina	L	2 - 0

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Isloch Minsk R.	22	13	6	3	37	18	+19	45
2	ML Vitebsk	21	12	8	1	42	17	+25	44
3	Dinamo Minsk	21	13	4	4	37	16	+21	43
4	Dinamo Brest	23	12	4	7	38	23	+15	40
5	FC Gomel	23	11	6	6	33	18	+15	39
6	Neman	22	11	4	7	26	20	+6	37
7	FC Vitebsk	23	10	6	7	28	21	+7	36
8	FC Minsk	23	10	4	9	30	28	+2	34
9	Torpedo Zhodino	22	7	6	9	28	29	-1	27
10	Slavia Mozyr	22	6	7	9	23	26	-3	25
11	Baranovichi	23	6	7	10	24	38	-14	25
12	Arsenal	23	5	8	10	24	41	-17	23
13	Belshina	22	5	6	11	22	36	-14	21
14	Bate Borisov	22	3	9	10	16	27	-11	18
15	FC Dnepr Mogilev	23	2	10	11	20	36	-16	16
16	Naftan	23	3	5	15	20	54	-34	14

ML Vitebsk

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: David Pagou

1 Pavlyuchenko

45 Moskalenchik

6 Gomanov

20 Volkov

23 Balanovich

27 Mesarović

8 Gnaka

55 Gromyko

12 Bosić

9 Diabaté

10 Cleonise

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	P. Pavlyuchenko	G
23	S. Balanovich	D
20	Z. Volkov	D
6	K. Gomanov	D
45	I. Moskalenchik	D
55	V. Gromyko	M
8	S. Gnaka	M
27	A. Mesarović	M
10	D. Cleonise	F
9	B. Diabaté	F
12	R. Bosić	F

Substitutes

3	N. Baranok	D
15	V. Bocherov	M
80	A. Kontsevoy	M
5	M. Mohammadi	D
7	T. Ivanov	F
4	A. Ode	M
30	Pavel Shcherbachenya	G
22	Y. Skibskiy	M

Arsenal

Formation: 3-5-2 Coach: David Pagou

16 Vaschenko

71 Matveev

41 Lutik

31 Zaleskiy

4 Ramires

11 Tsallagov

77 Sotnikov

79 Badoev

69 Ermolin

90 Antilevskiy

33 Gorbachik

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
16	A. Vaschenko	G
31	A. Zaleskiy	D
41	D. Lutik	D
71	M. Matveev	D
69	R. Ermolin	M
79	K. Badoev	M
77	N. Sotnikov	M
11	D. Tsallagov	M
4	Ramires	M
33	V. Gorbachik	F
90	D. Antilevskiy	F

Substitutes

8	N. Kaplenko	M
13	I. Oreshkevich	D
1	I. Sanko	G
10	S. Sazonchik	M
30	A. Soroko	G
9	I. Vasin	F
19	A. Veretennikov	M
18	D. Volskiy	M