Le Mans vs Toulouse Πρόβλεψη

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 7

17 Oct 2026, 15:00

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Toulouse

Away

Stade Marie-Marvingt, Le Mans

Πρόβλεψη AI Νίκη Le Mans

84%

13%

Νίκη Γηπεδούχου Ισοπαλία Νίκη Φιλοξενούμενης

Πρόβλεψη Le Mans vs Toulouse: Το Sportiko δίνει στην Le Mans πιθανότητα νίκης 84%, στην Toulouse 3% και στην ισοπαλία 13%. Τελευταία ενημέρωση 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

2:0 · 18.1%

Both teams to score

29%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

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Le Mans

WDDLD

Toulouse

WDLDL

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 1 match, Le Mans will face Toulouse. Le Mans has struggled defensively this season, conceding an average of 2 goals per match, while Toulouse has shown stronger offensive capabilities, averaging 1.5 goals per game. Both teams have inconsistent form; Le Mans secured only one win in their last five matches, while Toulouse has managed two wins in the same timeframe. This match could hinge on Le Mans finding a way to tighten their defense against a Toulouse side looking to capitalize on scoring opportunities.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Toulouse goals →

	0	1	2
0	6	1
1	13	6	1
2	18	7	1
3	16	6	1
4	11	4	1
5	6	2

↑ Le Mans goals · most likely 2–0 (18.1%)

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Players in form

Le Mans

A. Bourabaa 3 gls

L. Mafouta 3 gls

Toulouse

C. Tengstedt 3 gls

T. Jørgensen 2 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

84%

Draw

13%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

71% BTTS No 29% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

20%

1.5

80%

44%

2.5

56%

68%

3.5

32%

86%

4.5

14%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

84%

Draw

13%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

97% Home (No Draw) 3% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

63% Home Win by 2+ 1% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

84% Home Scores More 13% Equal Goals 3% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

20%

1.5

80%

44%

2.5

56%

68%

3.5

32%

86%

4.5

14%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

71% BTTS No 29% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

14%

24%

18%

11%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

51% Even Total Goals 49% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.9%	1.3%	0.4%	0.0%	0.0%
1	13.1%	5.7%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
2	18.1%	6.7%	1.2%	0.2%	0.0%
3	16.0%	5.9%	1.1%	0.1%	0.0%
4	10.5%	3.9%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

60%

1.5

40%

84%

2.5

16%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

26%

34%

24%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

50%

1.5

50%

77%

2.5

23%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

20%

30%

27%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Le Mans	Draw	Toulouse
Le Mans	61.4%	1.3%	0.2%
Draw	22.5%	8.7%	1.4%
Toulouse	1.6%	1.4%	1.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

77%

3.5

23%

Home Exact Goals

20%

26%

23%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

67%

1.5

33%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

58%

1.5

42%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

69%

0.5

31%

95%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

69%

26%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

84%

0.5

16%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

82%

0.5

18%

98%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Le Mans vs Toulouse

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Le Mans — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Lorient	W	2 - 1
13 Sep	H Lens	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	A Nice	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	A Rennes	L	3 - 2
22 Aug	H Stade Brestois 29	D	2 - 2

Toulouse — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Le Havre	W	3 - 2
12 Sep	A Lorient	D	2 - 2
03 Sep	H Lille	L	0 - 1
29 Aug	A Stade Brestois 29	D	2 - 2
22 Aug	H Lyon	L	0 - 2

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10	2	+8	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8	3	+5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8	9	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	8	7	+1	8
7	Angers	5	2	1	2	6	5	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10	10	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9	9	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7	12	-5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	1	2	2	7	8	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7	9	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3	6	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9	9	0	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	1	1	3	4	11	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7	8	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4	7	-3	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.