Estac Troyes vs Lens Πρόβλεψη

Ligue 1 Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 7
FT
Post on X
Stade de l'Aube, Troyes
Πρόβλεψη AI Δύσκολη νίκη ή ισοπαλία για Lens
23%
27%
50%
Νίκη Γηπεδούχου Ισοπαλία Νίκη Φιλοξενούμενης

Πρόβλεψη Estac Troyes vs Lens: Το Sportiko δίνει στην Estac Troyes πιθανότητα νίκης 23%, στην Lens 50% και στην ισοπαλία 27%. Τελευταία ενημέρωση 17 Oct 2026, 20:43.

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  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 75%
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Match Report

Lens claimed a comfortable 3-1 victory at Troyes in Ligue 1's seventh matchday, with the visitors dominating from the outset. An own goal from Adrien Monfray opened the scoring as early as the 13th minute, before Timothé Nkada doubled Lens's advantage on 26 minutes. Troyes briefly threatened a comeback but were denied, and Odsonne Édouard struck deep into first-half stoppage time to give Lens a commanding 2-1 lead at the break — a scoreline that reflected their 59% possession and superior expected goals figure of 1.55.

The second half followed a similar pattern. Ruben Aguilar put the result beyond doubt on 55 minutes, extending Lens's lead to three. Both sides then turned to their benches, with a flurry of substitutions disrupting the game's rhythm. A tetchy spell around the 76th minute saw three yellow cards issued in quick succession to players from both teams, adding some late drama to an otherwise controlled Lens performance.

Our pre-match AI model had rated a Lens win as the most likely outcome at 50%, a call that proved correct as the visitors rarely looked troubled throughout.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 13'
Adrien Monfray Own Goal
Timothé Nkada
26' ⚽ 1–1
⚽ 1–2 45+2'
Odsonne Édouard assist: Florian Thauvin
HT 1–2
⚽ 1–3 55'
Ruben Aguilar assist: Florian Thauvin
⇄ 60'
Jean-Clair Todibo ⇄ Samson Baidoo
Timothé Nkada ⇄ Kandet Diawara
60' ⇄
Paolo Gozzi ⇄ Noah Donkor
64' ⇄
⇄ 67'
Florian Thauvin ⇄ Mezian Mesloub
⇄ 67'
Odsonne Édouard ⇄ Franjo Ivanović
⇄ 67'
Yassine Titraoui ⇄ Amadou Haidara
⇄ 72'
Ruben Aguilar ⇄ Saud Abdulhamid
Michel Diaz Yellow Card
76' ▮
Renaud Ripart Yellow Card
76' ▮
▮ 77'
Samson Baidoo Yellow Card
Mouhamed Diop ⇄ Jérémy Le Douaron
79' ⇄
L. Maronnier ⇄ Iron Gomis
79' ⇄
▮ 82'
Amadou Haidara Yellow Card
FT 1–3
Estac Troyes

Match Stats

Lens
41% Ball Possession 59%
0.92 Expected Goals (xG) 1.55
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Goal 3
4 Shots off Goal 6
3 Blocked Shots 4
7 Shots insidebox 9
5 Shots outsidebox 4
6 Corner Kicks 4
0 Offsides 1
13 Fouls 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
1 Goalkeeper Saves 4
365 Total passes 540
300 Passes accurate 450
11 Free Kicks 12
Estac Troyes
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
23 Timothé Nkada M 8.0 60' 1 – 4 16 (9%) 1
29 Karim Dermane M 6.8 90' – – 2 47 (39%) 4
9 Jérémy Le Douaron F 6.7 11' – – – 2 (1%) –
10 Merwan Ifnaoui M 6.5 90' – – – 34 (29%) –
7 Kandet Diawara F 6.3 30' – – – 10 (7%) –
5 Paolo Gozzi D 6.3 64' – – 1 21 (18%) 2
17 Antoine Mille M 6.3 90' – – 1 37 (31%) –
4 Michel Diaz D 6.1 90' – – – 40 (37%) 1
2 L. Maronnier D 6.0 79' – – 1 21 (15%) –
8 Mouhamed Diop M 5.9 79' – – – 20 (15%) –
20 Renaud Ripart F 5.9 90' – – 3 20 (14%) –
11 Iron Gomis M 5.8 11' – – – 13 (13%) –
31 Noah Donkor D 5.8 26' – – – 18 (16%) –
6 Adrien Monfray D 5.7 90' – – – 50 (46%) 2
33 Patrick Beach G 5.6 90' – – – 15 (10%) –
Lens
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
10 Florian Thauvin M 8.6 67' – 2 – 25 (17%) –
2 Ruben Aguilar M 8.2 72' 1 – 4 32 (30%) 1
11 Odsonne Édouard F 7.9 67' 1 – 3 10 (4%) –
40 Robin Risser G 7.0 90' – – – 55 (41%) –
32 Kyllian Antonio D 6.9 90' – – – 34 (32%) 4
25 Ismaelo Ganiou D 6.8 90' – – – 75 (66%) 1
20 Jean-Clair Todibo D 6.8 60' – – 1 67 (61%) 2
5 Andrija Bulatovic M 6.7 90' – – 3 39 (36%) 3
21 Amadou Haidara M 6.6 23' – – – 20 (19%) –
8 Yassine Titraoui M 6.5 67' – – – 53 (44%) 3
22 Michał Skóraś M 6.5 90' – – 1 42 (30%) –
7 Florian Sotoca M 6.4 90' – – – 39 (34%) –
23 Saud Abdulhamid D 6.3 18' – – – 6 (6%) –
29 Franjo Ivanović F 6.3 23' – – – 13 (7%) –
38 Mezian Mesloub M 6.3 23' – – 1 15 (11%) –
6 Samson Baidoo D 6.0 30' – – – 13 (11%) –
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Ξεκλείδωσε την πλήρη ανάλυση AI για τον αγώνα Estac Troyes vs Lens

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Confidence Medium (50%)

At a glance

Η ανάλυσή μας
Δύσκολη νίκη ή ισοπαλία για Lens
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Estac Troyes
LWDLL
Lens
LLWLW
Last 3 meetings Estac Troyes · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 1 match, Estac Troyes will face Lens, both looking to solidify their league positions. Troyes has struggled for consistency, currently sitting lower in the standings, while Lens has shown stronger form with a solid defensive record this season. Key players to watch include Troyes' forward line, which needs to capitalize on chances, and Lens' compact defense that has limited goals against. The outcome may hinge on Troyes' ability to break down Lens' organized setup.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
23%
10%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
50%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Estac Troyes

No scorer data.

Lens
F. Thauvin 4 gls

AI match tools

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Head to Head: Estac Troyes vs Lens

0 Estac Troyes Wins
1 Draws
2 Lens Wins
Date Home Score Away
28 Jan 2023 Estac Troyes 1 - 1 Lens
09 Sep 2022 Lens 1 - 0 Estac Troyes
14 May 2022 Estac Troyes 1 - 3 Lens
Δες όλες τις 4 αναμετρήσεις — Premium

Estac Troyes — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov A Paris Saint Germain L 1 - 0
31 Oct H Le Mans W 2 - 0
25 Oct A Toulouse D 0 - 0
17 Oct H Lens L 1 - 3
11 Oct H Marseille L 0 - 2

Lens — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
04 Nov H Como L 1 - 9
30 Oct A Lille L 1 - 0
24 Oct H Paris FC W 2 - 1
21 Oct A Club Brugge KV L 3 - 0
17 Oct A Estac Troyes W 1 - 3

Ligue 1 Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Paris Saint Germain
10 7 2 1 +12 23
2
Paris FC
10 6 2 2 +7 20
3
Lille
9 5 3 1 +6 18
4
Lyon
9 5 2 2 +8 17
5
Rennes
9 5 1 3 +1 16
6
Marseille
9 5 0 4 +7 15
7
Monaco
9 4 3 2 +2 15
8
Nice
9 4 2 3 +1 14
9
Lens
9 4 1 4 +3 13
10
Toulouse
10 3 4 3 +1 13
11
Stade Brestois 29
9 3 3 3 +4 12
12
Lorient
9 3 3 3 -1 12
13
Strasbourg
10 3 1 6 -4 10
14
Auxerre
10 3 1 6 -11 10
15
Angers
9 2 2 5 -8 8
16
Estac Troyes
10 2 2 6 -10 8
17
Le Mans
9 1 4 4 -7 7
18
Le Havre
9 0 2 7 -11 2

Estac Troyes

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: S. Dumont
33 Beach
5 Gozzi
4 Diaz
6 Monfray
2 Maronnier
29 Karim
8 Diop
23 Nkada
17 Mille
10 Ifnaoui
20 Ripart

Starting XI

# Player Pos
33 P. Beach G
2 L. Maronnier D
6 A. Monfray D
4 M. Diaz D
5 P. Gozzi D
8 M. Diop M
29 D. Karim M
10 M. Ifnaoui M
17 A. Mille M
23 T. Nkada M
20 R. Ripart F

Substitutes

40 H. Konaté G
11 I. Gomis M
31 Noah Donkor D
26 A. Phliponeau M
9 J. Le Douaron F
22 H. Picard M
34 Lassana Simakha D
7 K. Diawara F
37 C. Batola F

Lens

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Tamás Bódog
40 Risser
20 Todibo
25 Ganiou
32 Antonio
22 Skóraś
5 Bulatović
8 Titraoui
2 Aguilar
7 Sotoca
10 Thauvin
11 Édouard

Starting XI

# Player Pos
40 R. Risser G
32 K. Antonio D
25 I. Ganiou D
20 J. Todibo D
2 R. Aguilar M
8 Y. Titraoui M
5 A. Bulatović M
22 M. Skóraś M
10 F. Thauvin M
7 F. Sotoca M
11 O. Édouard F

Substitutes

38 M. Soares M
23 Saud Abdulhamid D
6 S. Baidoo D
27 M. Cuisance M
16 M. Gorgelin G
21 A. Haidara M
9 T. Hazard M
29 F. Ivanović F
28 J. Kadile F

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