Bologna vs Monza Πρόβλεψη

Serie A Serie A · Regular Season - 10
FT
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Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna
Πρόβλεψη AI Δύσκολη νίκη ή ισοπαλία για Bologna
56%
26%
18%
Νίκη Γηπεδούχου Ισοπαλία Νίκη Φιλοξενούμενης

Πρόβλεψη Bologna vs Monza: Το Sportiko δίνει στην Bologna πιθανότητα νίκης 56%, στην Monza 18% και στην ισοπαλία 26%. Τελευταία ενημέρωση 31 Oct 2026, 15:57.

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Match Report

Bologna secured a hard-fought 2–1 victory over Monza in Serie A's tenth matchday, with the game producing plenty of drama across both halves. Monza struck first through a Gustavo Varela penalty in the sixth minute, but Bologna levelled before the break as Tommaso Pobega converted a well-worked goal in the 33rd minute, sending the sides in level at 1–1 despite a feisty opening period that saw three yellow cards distributed.

The second half proved equally eventful. A VAR-confirmed penalty for Bologna in the 56th minute allowed Federico Bernardeschi to put the hosts ahead from the spot, and Monza's hopes of a comeback were dealt a further blow when Patrick Cutrone missed a VAR-confirmed penalty of their own in the 81st minute — a moment that ultimately proved decisive. Bologna's dominance was reflected in the statistics, with 60% possession and an expected goals figure of 2.1 to Monza's 1.8.

The result validated our pre-match AI model's assessment, which had rated a Bologna win as the most likely outcome at 56%. Bologna climb the table with three well-earned points, while Monza's afternoon was summed up by that late missed penalty.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 6'
Gustavo Varela Penalty
▮ 12'
Ricardo Mangas Yellow Card
Jens Odgaard Yellow Card
17' ▮
Tommaso Pobega Yellow Card
23' ▮
Tommaso Pobega assist: Juan Miranda
33' ⚽ 1–1
⇄ 45'
Exequiel Zeballos ⇄ Jay Robinson
HT 1–1
Arthur Theate Penalty confirmed
56' 🖵
▮ 58'
Lorenzo Lucchesi Yellow Card
Federico Bernardeschi Penalty
59' ⚽ 2–1
Jens Odgaard ⇄ Samuel Mbangula
64' ⇄
⇄ 66'
L. Colombo ⇄ Mathis Mout
⇄ 66'
Eddy Kouadio ⇄ Idrissa Touré
⇄ 71'
Dany Mota ⇄ Cyril Ngonge
⇄ 71'
Gustavo Varela ⇄ Patrick Cutrone
Nadir Zortea Yellow Card
74' ▮
Tommaso Pobega ⇄ Oussama El Azzouzi
74' ⇄
Martin Vitík ⇄ Matteo Darmian
75' ⇄
▮ 76'
Idrissa Touré Yellow Card
🖵 77'
Jay Robinson Penalty confirmed
✗ 81'
Patrick Cutrone Missed Penalty
Nadir Zortea ⇄ Mikel Amondarain
83' ⇄
Federico Bernardeschi ⇄ Artem Dovbyk
83' ⇄
Mikel Amondarain Yellow Card
90' ▮
FT 2–1
Bologna

Match Stats

Monza
60% Ball Possession 40%
2.1 Expected Goals (xG) 1.8
10 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Goal 4
3 Shots off Goal 1
2 Blocked Shots 1
8 Shots insidebox 3
2 Shots outsidebox 3
5 Corner Kicks 2
4 Offsides 1
13 Fouls 19
4 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 0
3 Goalkeeper Saves 3
462 Total passes 323
369 Passes accurate 226
18 Free Kicks 12
Bologna
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
33 Juan Miranda M 7.7 90' – 1 1 47 (36%) 2
4 Tommaso Pobega M 7.2 74' 1 – 1 36 (28%) 1
11 Samuel Mbangula F 6.9 26' – – 1 4 (3%) –
41 Martin Vitík D 6.8 75' – – 1 35 (31%) 2
16 Nicolò Casale D 6.8 90' – – 1 48 (40%) 1
36 Matteo Darmian D 6.7 15' – – – 3 (1%) –
19 Lewis Ferguson M 6.6 90' – – 1 70 (64%) 1
3 Arthur Theate D 6.5 90' – – – 54 (41%) 1
10 Federico Bernardeschi M 6.5 83' 1 – 1 31 (25%) –
1 Łukasz Skorupski G 6.4 90' – – – 28 (18%) –
9 Artem Dovbyk F 6.4 7' – – – 5 (3%) –
20 Nadir Zortea M 6.3 83' – – – 23 (17%) 2
17 Oussama El Azzouzi M 6.3 16' – – – 9 (8%) –
8 Mikel Amondarain M 6.2 7' – – – 11 (9%) 2
28 Nicolò Cambiaghi M 6.2 90' – – – 38 (31%) 4
21 Jens Odgaard F 6.1 64' – – 3 19 (13%) –
Monza
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
2 Saba Goglichidze D 6.8 90' – – – 25 (22%) 5
9 Gustavo Varela F 6.6 71' 1 – 1 8 (6%) 1
16 Cyril Ngonge F 6.4 19' – – 1 7 (4%) –
19 Samuele Birindelli M 6.4 90' – – 1 34 (29%) 3
80 Mathis Mout M 6.3 24' – – – 14 (12%) 1
10 Patrick Cutrone F 6.3 19' – – 1 4 (2%) 1
46 Jay Robinson F 6.2 44' – – – 4 (3%) –
22 Exequiel Zeballos M 6.1 46' – – 1 4 (2%) 1
3 Lorenzo Lucchesi D 6.1 90' – – – 27 (24%) 1
21 L. Colombo M 6.1 66' – – – 27 (22%) 1
47 Dany Mota M 6.0 71' – – – 16 (13%) –
1 Noel Törnqvist G 5.9 90' – – – 36 (18%) –
27 Idrissa Touré M 5.8 24' – – – 18 (9%) –
60 Eddy Kouadio D 5.5 66' – – – 29 (17%) 2
7 Ricardo Mangas M 5.5 90' – – – 23 (14%) 8
8 Manga Foe Ondoa M 5.4 90' – – – 40 (24%) 2
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Ξεκλείδωσε την πλήρη ανάλυση AI για τον αγώνα Bologna vs Monza

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Confidence Medium (56%)

At a glance

Η ανάλυσή μας
Δύσκολη νίκη ή ισοπαλία για Bologna
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Bologna
WWWWL
Monza
LLLLW
Last 3 meetings Bologna · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Serie A match between Bologna and Monza, both teams are seeking crucial points to improve their standings. Bologna has shown a solid home record, scoring an average of 1.7 goals per match this season, while Monza's away form has been inconsistent, averaging just 0.9 goals per match. Defensively, Bologna has conceded only 1.2 goals per game at home, which could pose challenges for Monza's attack. Key players to watch include Bologna's leading scorer, who has been instrumental in their recent performances, and Monza's midfield playmaker, who can create opportunities. This matchup could hinge on Bologna's ability to exploit their offensive strengths against Monza's shaky defense.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
56%
45%
Draw
26%
45%
Away
18%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Bologna

No scorer data.

Monza
Gustavo Varela 9 gls

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Head to Head: Bologna vs Monza

2 Bologna Wins
1 Draws
0 Monza Wins
Date Home Score Away
18 Jan 2025 Bologna 3 - 1 Monza
22 Sep 2024 Monza 1 - 2 Bologna
13 Apr 2024 Bologna 0 - 0 Monza
Δες όλες τις 6 αναμετρήσεις — Premium

Bologna — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov A Parma W 1 - 2
31 Oct H Monza W 2 - 1
28 Oct A AC Milan W 2 - 4
24 Oct A Cagliari W 0 - 2
17 Oct H Inter L 1 - 3

Monza — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
08 Nov H Atalanta L 0 - 1
31 Oct A Bologna L 2 - 1
28 Oct H Napoli L 1 - 4
23 Oct A Torino L 3 - 2
19 Oct H Cagliari W 4 - 0

Serie A Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Lazio
11 9 2 0 +16 29
2
Inter
11 9 1 1 +15 28
3
AS Roma
11 8 3 0 +21 27
4
AC Milan
11 7 3 1 +10 24
5
Como
11 7 2 2 +8 23
6
Frosinone
11 6 2 3 +9 20
7
Juventus
11 5 3 3 +3 18
8
Bologna
11 5 2 4 +2 17
9
Cagliari
11 5 1 5 -5 16
10
Napoli
11 4 3 4 +4 15
11
Torino
11 4 2 5 -2 14
12
Atalanta
11 4 2 5 -3 14
13
Genoa
11 4 1 6 -5 13
14
Lecce
11 3 1 7 -10 10
15
Fiorentina
11 2 3 6 -8 9
16
Parma
11 2 2 7 -8 8
17
Sassuolo
11 2 2 7 -13 8
18
Monza
11 2 1 8 -8 7
19
Venezia
11 2 0 9 -13 6
20
Udinese
11 1 2 8 -13 5

Bologna

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Dean Brennan
1 Skorupski
3 Theate
16 Casale
41 Vitík
33 Miranda
4 Pobega
19 Ferguson
20 Zortea
28 Cambiaghi
10 Bernardeschi
21 Odgaard

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Ł. Skorupski G
41 M. Vitík D
16 N. Casale D
3 A. Theate D
20 N. Zortea M
19 L. Ferguson M
4 T. Pobega M
33 Juan Miranda M
10 F. Bernardeschi M
28 N. Cambiaghi M
21 J. Odgaard F

Substitutes

25 M. Pessina G
7 R. Orsolini F
6 N. Moro M
11 S. Mbangula F
18 M. Libra M
14 T. Heggem D
72 U. Happonen G
5 E. Helland D
17 O. El Azzouzi M
9 A. Dovbyk F
36 M. Darmian D
8 M. Amondarain M
23 R. Alhassane D

Monza

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: I. Juric
1 Törnqvist
3 Lucchesi
2 Goglichidze
60 Kouadio
7 Mangas
21 Colombo
8 Ondoa
19 Birindelli
22 Zeballos
47 Mota
9 Varela

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 N. Törnqvist G
60 E. Kouadio D
2 S. Goglichidze D
3 L. Lucchesi D
19 S. Birindelli M
8 M. Ondoa M
21 L. Colombo M
7 Ricardo Mangas M
47 Dany Mota M
22 E. Zeballos M
9 Gustavo Varela F

Substitutes

24 A. Bakoune D
27 I. Touré M
44 A. Carboni D
26 P. Ciurria F
28 A. Colpani M
10 P. Cutrone F
11 O. Forson F
80 M. Mout M
16 C. Ngonge F
46 Jay Robinson F
43 A. Strajnar G
20 D. Thiam G
6 V. Antov D
14 E. Akinsanmiro M

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