Sassuolo vs Fiorentina Πρόβλεψη

Serie A · Regular Season - 10

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Fiorentina

Away

MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore, Reggio Emilia

Πρόβλεψη AI Fiorentina ή ισοπαλία

33%

27%

40%

Νίκη Γηπεδούχου Ισοπαλία Νίκη Φιλοξενούμενης

Πρόβλεψη Sassuolo vs Fiorentina: Το Sportiko δίνει στην Sassuolo πιθανότητα νίκης 33%, στην Fiorentina 40% και στην ισοπαλία 27%. Τελευταία ενημέρωση 2 Nov 2026, 19:25.

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1st Half Over 0.5 72%

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Match Report

Sassuolo dominated possession at the Mapei Stadium but it was Fiorentina who proved more clinical in a six-goal thriller. Armand Laurienté opened the scoring on 25 minutes for the hosts, only for Mateo Pellegrino to level deep into first-half stoppage time, sending the sides in level at the break. A flurry of yellow cards — for Sulemana, Drăguşin and Njie — added tension to a feisty closing spell before the interval.

Fiorentina took control after the restart, with Alieu Njie putting the visitors ahead just five minutes into the second half. Laurienté equalised again on 65 minutes to keep Sassuolo's hopes alive, but Franco Mastantuono restored Fiorentina's lead on 79 minutes before being substituted shortly after. Víctor Valdepeñas sealed the win deep in added time to confirm a 4–2 away victory.

The underlying numbers told the real story: Fiorentina registered 15 total shots and an expected goals figure of 1.37 against Sassuolo's modest 0.8, despite the hosts holding 58% of the ball. Our pre-match AI model had identified a Fiorentina win as the most likely outcome, a call that proved correct.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Armand Laurienté assist: Sebastiano Esposito

25' ⚽ 1–0

Ibrahim Sulemana Yellow Card

40' ▮

▮ 42'

Radu Drăguşin Yellow Card

▮ 44'

Alieu Njie Yellow Card

Ibrahim Sulemana ⇄ Darryl Bakola

45' ⇄

⚽ 1–1 45+2'

Mateo Pellegrino assist: Alieu Njie

HT 1–1

⚽ 1–2 50'

Alieu Njie assist: Marco Brescianini

Vasilije Adžić ⇄ Kieron Bowie

59' ⇄

⇄ 63'

Nicolò Fagioli ⇄ Christ Inao Oulaï

⇄ 63'

Alieu Njie ⇄ Wilfried Gnonto

Armand Laurienté assist: Nemanja Matić

65' ⚽ 2–2

⇄ 77'

Mateo Pellegrino ⇄ Beto

⇄ 77'

Marco Brescianini ⇄ Pedro Gonçalves

Sebastian Walukiewicz ⇄ S. Cinquegrano

77' ⇄

Josh Doig ⇄ Rafael Obrador

77' ⇄

⚽ 2–3 79'

Franco Mastantuono assist: Pedro Gonçalves

Sebastiano Esposito ⇄ G. Kulla

89' ⇄

⇄ 89'

Franco Mastantuono ⇄ Víctor Valdepeñas

▮ 90+2'

Wilfried Gnonto Yellow Card

⚽ 2–4 90+3'

Víctor Valdepeñas assist: Cher Ndour

G. Kulla Yellow Card

90+6' ▮

FT 2–4

Sassuolo

Match Stats

Fiorentina

58% Ball Possession 42%

0.8 Expected Goals (xG) 1.37

6 Total Shots 15

2 Shots on Goal 6

1 Shots off Goal 6

3 Blocked Shots 3

4 Shots insidebox 10

2 Shots outsidebox 5

5 Corner Kicks 3

4 Offsides 0

12 Fouls 14

1 Yellow Cards 3

0 Red Cards 0

2 Goalkeeper Saves 0

557 Total passes 403

490 Passes accurate 331

14 Free Kicks 11

Sassuolo

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
45 Armand Laurienté F	9.2	90'	2	–	3	43 (33%)	4
18 Nemanja Matić M	7.7	90'	–	1	–	100 (92%)	3
94 Sebastiano Esposito F	6.9	89'	–	1	1	34 (28%)	2
50 Darryl Bakola M	6.5	44'	–	–	1	45 (40%)	1
10 Domenico Berardi F	6.4	90'	–	–	1	41 (33%)	3
9 Kieron Bowie F	6.4	31'	–	–	–	9 (6%)	–
14 G. Kulla F	6.4	1'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–
17 Vasilije Adžić M	6.3	59'	–	–	–	21 (21%)	–
6 Sebastian Walukiewicz D	6.1	77'	–	–	–	27 (25%)	–
5 Fali Candé D	6.1	90'	–	–	–	69 (64%)	2
21 Jay Idzes D	5.9	90'	–	–	–	62 (60%)	–
80 Stefano Turati G	5.9	90'	–	–	–	43 (30%)	–
3 Josh Doig D	5.8	77'	–	–	–	37 (37%)	2
33 Rafael Obrador D	5.7	13'	–	–	–	9 (6%)	1
46 S. Cinquegrano M	5.7	13'	–	–	–	4 (2%)	–
55 Ibrahim Sulemana M	5.5	46'	–	–	–	14 (14%)	–

Fiorentina

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
25 Alieu Njie F	8.5	63'	1	1	2	15 (11%)	3
30 Franco Mastantuono F	8.2	89'	1	–	5	26 (17%)	3
32 Mateo Pellegrino F	8.1	77'	1	–	2	15 (9%)	2
21 Víctor Valdepeñas D	6.9	1'	1	–	1	–	–
33 Viery D	6.8	90'	–	–	2	68 (62%)	2
20 Álex Jiménez D	6.7	90'	–	–	–	44 (40%)	2
17 João Mário D	6.6	90'	–	–	1	25 (22%)	1
4 Marco Brescianini M	6.5	77'	–	1	–	22 (17%)	1
23 Beto F	6.5	13'	–	–	2	3 (2%)	–
27 Cher Ndour M	6.4	90'	–	1	–	47 (34%)	2
29 Wilfried Gnonto F	6.4	27'	–	–	–	11 (11%)	1
44 Nicolò Fagioli M	6.3	63'	–	–	–	35 (33%)	–
43 David De Gea G	6.2	90'	–	–	–	17 (12%)	–
3 Radu Drăguşin D	6.2	90'	–	–	–	58 (47%)	1
28 Pedro Gonçalves M	6.1	13'	–	1	–	5 (4%)	–
42 Christ Inao Oulaï M	6.0	27'	–	–	–	12 (10%)	1

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At a glance

Η ανάλυσή μας

Fiorentina ή ισοπαλία

Most likely score

Both teams to score

Over 2.5 goals

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Sassuolo

LLLLL

Fiorentina

DWDLL

Last 3 meetings Sassuolo · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

Sassuolo faces Fiorentina in a Serie A encounter that promises to be competitive. Sassuolo has shown a solid attacking presence, averaging 1.5 goals per game this season, while Fiorentina's defense has been relatively robust, conceding just 1.2 goals per match. Both teams have been inconsistent, with Fiorentina holding a slight edge in recent head-to-head matchups. The outcome may hinge on Sassuolo's ability to convert scoring opportunities against a disciplined Fiorentina backline. Look for key players on both sides to make a significant impact in this crucial fixture.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

33%

10%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

40%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Sassuolo

No scorer data.

Fiorentina

Mateo Pellegrino 4 gls

Franco Mastantuono 4 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Head to Head: Sassuolo vs Fiorentina

1 Sassuolo Wins

1 Draws

1 Fiorentina Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
26 Apr 2026	Fiorentina	0 - 0	Sassuolo
06 Dec 2025	Sassuolo	3 - 1	Fiorentina
28 Apr 2024	Fiorentina	5 - 1	Sassuolo

Δες όλες τις 10 αναμετρήσεις — Premium

Sassuolo — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
07 Nov	A AS Roma	L	3 - 0
02 Nov	H Fiorentina	L	2 - 4
27 Oct	H Lazio	L	2 - 6
24 Oct	A Como	L	2 - 0
16 Oct	A Frosinone	L	4 - 2

Fiorentina — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
08 Nov	H Juventus	D	2 - 2
02 Nov	A Sassuolo	W	2 - 4
29 Oct	H Atalanta	D	2 - 2
25 Oct	A Inter	L	2 - 1
18 Oct	H Como	L	1 - 3

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Lazio	11	9	2	0	25	9	+16	29
2	Inter	11	9	1	1	28	13	+15	28
3	AS Roma	11	8	3	0	31	10	+21	27
4	AC Milan	11	7	3	1	23	13	+10	24
5	Como	11	7	2	2	18	10	+8	23
6	Frosinone	11	6	2	3	24	15	+9	20
7	Juventus	11	5	3	3	15	12	+3	18
8	Bologna	11	5	2	4	16	14	+2	17
9	Cagliari	11	5	1	5	10	15	-5	16
10	Napoli	11	4	3	4	18	14	+4	15
11	Torino	11	4	2	5	15	17	-2	14
12	Atalanta	11	4	2	5	17	20	-3	14
13	Genoa	11	4	1	6	11	16	-5	13
14	Lecce	11	3	1	7	12	22	-10	10
15	Fiorentina	11	2	3	6	17	25	-8	9
16	Parma	11	2	2	7	9	17	-8	8
17	Sassuolo	11	2	2	7	16	29	-13	8
18	Monza	11	2	1	8	17	25	-8	7
19	Venezia	11	2	0	9	8	21	-13	6
20	Udinese	11	1	2	8	12	25	-13	5

Sassuolo

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: A. Aquilani

80 Turati

3 Doig

5 Candé

21 Idzes

6 Walukiewicz

55 Sulemana

18 Matić

17 Adžić

45 Laurienté

94 Esposito

10 Berardi

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
80	S. Turati	G
6	S. Walukiewicz	D
21	J. Idzes	D
5	Fali Candé	D
3	J. Doig	D
17	Vasilije Adžić	M
18	N. Matić	M
55	I. Sulemana	M
10	D. Berardi	F
94	S. Esposito	F
45	A. Laurienté	F

Substitutes

20	I. Van der Brempt	D
9	K. Bowie	F
12	G. Satalino	G
50	D. Bakola	M
15	D. Ćaleta-Car	D
46	S. Cinquegrano	M
25	B. Domínguez	F
8	A. Ghion	M
14	G. Kulla	F
35	L. Lipani	M
49	A. Murić	G
33	Rafael Obrador	D
26	C. Odenthal	D
70	E. Pieragnolo	D
77	N. Pierini	F

Fiorentina

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: P. Vanoli

43 Gea

17 Mário

33 Viery

3 Drăgușin

20 Jiménez

4 Brescianini

44 Fagioli

27 Ndour

25 Njie

32 Pellegrino

30 Mastantuono

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
43	David de Gea	G
20	Álex Jiménez	D
3	R. Drăgușin	D
33	Viery	D
17	João Mário	D
27	C. Ndour	M
44	N. Fagioli	M
4	M. Brescianini	M
30	Franco Mastantuono	F
32	Mateo Pellegrino	F
25	A. Njie	F

Substitutes

21	Valde	D
28	Pote	M
19	L. Lezzerini	G
42	C. Inao OulaÃ¯	M
29	W. Gnonto	F
2	Dodô	D
70	F. Croci	F
53	O. Christensen	G
23	Beto	F
75	D. Beldenti	D
76	Salvatore Cianciulli	M