Real Sociedad vs Espanyol Πρόβλεψη

La Liga · Regular Season - 3

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Espanyol

Away

Πρόβλεψη AI Real Sociedad ή ισοπαλία

46%

29%

25%

Νίκη Γηπεδούχου Ισοπαλία Νίκη Φιλοξενούμενης

Πρόβλεψη Real Sociedad vs Espanyol: Το Sportiko δίνει στην Real Sociedad πιθανότητα νίκης 46%, στην Espanyol 25% και στην ισοπαλία 29%. Τελευταία ενημέρωση 29 Aug 2026, 18:59.

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1st Half Draw or Away 72%

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Match Report

Real Sociedad claimed a hard-fought 2–1 victory over Espanyol in La Liga's third matchday, despite being outplayed for long stretches. Ander Barrenetxea gave the hosts an early lead in the fourth minute, only for Roberto Fernández to level matters on the stroke of half-time, sending the teams in level at 1–1.

The decisive moment came early in the second half, when Orri Steinn Óskarsson netted on 61 minutes to restore Real Sociedad's advantage. The Icelandic forward's goal proved to be the winner, as Imanol Alguacil's side held firm despite Espanyol's statistical dominance — the visitors controlled 61% of possession, registered 10 shots on target to Sociedad's three, and earned seven corners compared to three. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Real Sociedad win as the most likely outcome at 46%, a call that proved correct.

The closing stages were feisty, with a flurry of yellow cards distributed to both sides and a late red card rounding off a tense finish. Real Sociedad's resilience and clinical finishing ultimately proved the difference, securing three points despite riding their luck against a persistent Espanyol side.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Ander Barrenetxea assist: Mikel Oyarzabal

4' ⚽ 1–0

Beñat Turrientes Yellow Card

17' ▮

▮ 22'

Urko González Yellow Card

⚽ 1–1 45'

Roberto Fernández assist: Javier Hernández

⇄ 45'

Urko González ⇄ Gabriel Moscardo

HT 1–1

Orri Steinn Óskarsson assist: Mikel Oyarzabal

61' ⚽ 2–1

Beñat Turrientes ⇄ Yangel Herrera

62' ⇄

Ander Barrenetxea ⇄ Alex Marchal

63' ⇄

⇄ 70'

Javier Hernández ⇄ Marcos Fernández

⇄ 70'

Edu Expósito ⇄ Rafael Bauzà

▮ 75'

Marcos Fernández Yellow Card

Orri Steinn Óskarsson ⇄ Gonçalo Guedes

78' ⇄

Luka Sučić ⇄ Takefusa Kubo

78' ⇄

▮ 82'

Roger Hinojo Yellow Card

⇄ 83'

Tyrhys Dolan ⇄ Jofre Carreras

⇄ 83'

Roberto Fernández ⇄ Pere Milla

▮ 88'

Rafael Bauzà Yellow Card

Mikel Oyarzabal ⇄ Jon Gorrotxategi

90' ⇄

Igor Zubeldia Yellow Card

90+3' ▮

Red Card

90+4' ▮

FT 2–1

Real Sociedad

Match Stats

Espanyol

61% Ball Possession 39%

17 Total Shots 11

10 Shots on Goal 3

3 Shots off Goal 6

4 Blocked Shots 2

13 Shots insidebox 6

4 Shots outsidebox 5

7 Corner Kicks 3

19 Fouls 14

2 Yellow Cards 4

0 Red Cards 0

2 Goalkeeper Saves 7

410 Total passes 402

336 Passes accurate 316

14 Free Kicks 18

Real Sociedad

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
10 Mikel Oyarzabal F	7.6	90'	–	2	4	25 (16%)	–
9 Orri Steinn Óskarsson F	7.6	78'	1	–	3	15 (11%)	1
7 Ander Barrenetxea M	7.4	63'	1	–	2	17 (15%)	–
31 Jon Martin D	7.2	90'	–	–	1	53 (47%)	3
18 Carlos Soler M	7.1	90'	–	–	1	46 (41%)	1
11 Gonçalo Guedes F	7.0	12'	–	–	3	5 (4%)	1
29 Alex Marchal F	7.0	27'	–	–	1	5 (5%)	1
17 Sergio Gómez D	6.8	90'	–	–	–	46 (39%)	–
24 Luka Sučić M	6.7	78'	–	–	1	28 (24%)	2
14 Takefusa Kubo F	6.5	12'	–	–	–	1	1
2 Jon Aramburu D	6.5	90'	–	–	–	34 (28%)	3
8 Beñat Turrientes M	6.3	62'	–	–	1	38 (34%)	3
21 Yangel Herrera M	6.3	28'	–	–	–	10 (8%)	2
1 Álex Remiro G	6.1	90'	–	–	–	36 (22%)	–
5 Igor Zubeldia D	6.0	90'	–	–	–	49 (40%)	–

Espanyol

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
13 Marko Dmitrović G	7.9	90'	–	–	–	23 (16%)	–
9 Roberto Fernández F	7.7	83'	1	–	2	19 (14%)	–
28 Javier Hernández M	6.7	70'	–	1	1	12 (8%)	1
18 Marcos Fernández F	6.6	20'	–	–	1	4 (4%)	1
14 Unai Núñez D	6.5	90'	–	–	–	54 (42%)	1
23 Omar El Hilali D	6.4	90'	–	–	–	40 (33%)	1
20 Gabriel Moscardo M	6.3	44'	–	–	1	19 (17%)	3
4 Urko González M	6.3	46'	–	–	–	21 (19%)	1
17 Jofre Carreras F	6.3	7'	–	–	1	3 (2%)	–
16 Vanja Drkušić D	6.2	90'	–	–	–	56 (45%)	1
11 Pere Milla M	6.1	7'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–
21 Roger Hinojo D	6.1	90'	–	–	–	51 (38%)	2
22 Álex Calatrava M	6.1	90'	–	–	2	31 (23%)	4
26 Rafael Bauzà M	5.9	20'	–	–	–	10 (7%)	–
8 Edu Expósito M	5.8	70'	–	–	3	38 (32%)	2
24 Tyrhys Dolan M	5.7	83'	–	–	–	17 (15%)	–

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Confidence Low (46%)

At a glance

Η ανάλυσή μας

Real Sociedad ή ισοπαλία

Most likely score

1:1 · 15%

Both teams to score

45%

Over 2.5 goals

36%

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Real Sociedad

WLLWD

Espanyol

LLWDL

Last 3 meetings Real Sociedad · 1W 2D 0L

Match summary

Real Sociedad will face Espanyol in a La Liga clash on August 29, 2026. Real Sociedad has demonstrated strong form at home, leveraging their tactical discipline and possession-based play. In contrast, Espanyol has struggled defensively, with a high xG conceded per match this season. Key players for Sociedad, particularly in midfield and attack, will look to exploit Espanyol's weaknesses. Expect a tightly contested match where Sociedad's home performance will be crucial in determining the outcome.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

46%

10%

Draw

29%

45%

Away

25%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Espanyol goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	13	9	5	2
1	12	15	6	2
2	8	8	4	1
3	3	3	2
4	1	1
5

↑ Real Sociedad goals · most likely 1–1 (15.0%)

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Players in form

Real Sociedad

L. Sučić 3 gls

Espanyol

Roberto Fernández 6 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

46%

Draw

29%

Away Win

25%

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS No 45% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

35%

1.5

65%

64%

2.5

36%

83%

3.5

17%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

46%

Draw

29%

Away Win

25%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

59% Home (No Draw) 41% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

18% Home Win by 2+ 10% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

40% Home Scores More 33% Equal Goals 27% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

35%

1.5

65%

64%

2.5

36%

83%

3.5

17%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS No 45% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

22%

29%

19%

10%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	13.4%	9.4%	5.3%	1.7%	0.4%
1	12.3%	15.0%	6.3%	2.0%	0.5%
2	8.4%	8.0%	3.8%	1.2%	0.3%
3	3.4%	3.2%	1.5%	0.5%	0.1%
4	1.0%	1.0%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

75%

1.5

25%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

40%

35%

18%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

31%

33%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Real Sociedad	Draw	Espanyol
Real Sociedad	23.0%	4.0%	1.3%
Draw	16.4%	22.3%	11.6%
Espanyol	1.8%	4.2%	15.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

30%

36%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

75%

1.5

25%

93%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

39%

37%

17%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

93%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Real Sociedad vs Espanyol

1 Real Sociedad Wins

2 Draws

0 Espanyol Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
23 May 2026	Espanyol	1 - 1	Real Sociedad
24 Aug 2025	Real Sociedad	2 - 2	Espanyol
09 Feb 2025	Real Sociedad	2 - 1	Espanyol

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Real Sociedad — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Valencia	W	2 - 3
17 Sep	H Bournemouth	L	1 - 2
13 Sep	H Atletico Madrid	L	0 - 3
07 Sep	A Elche	W	2 - 3
03 Sep	H Celta Vigo	D	0 - 0

Espanyol — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Elche	L	1 - 3
15 Sep	A Rayo Vallecano	L	2 - 1
12 Sep	A Osasuna	W	0 - 2
06 Sep	H Sevilla	D	1 - 1
29 Aug	A Real Sociedad	L	2 - 1

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3

Espanyol

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: David Pagou

13 Dmitrović

21 Hinojo

14 Núñez

16 Drkušić

23 Hilali

8 Expósito

4 González

24 Dolan

28 Hernandez

22 Calatrava

9 Fernández

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
13	M. Dmitrović	G
23	O. El Hilali	D
16	V. Drkušić	D
14	Unai Núñez	D
21	Roger Hinojo	D
4	Urko González	M
8	Edu Expósito	M
22	Álex Calatrava	M
28	Javier Hernandez	M
24	T. Dolan	M
9	Roberto Fernández	F

Substitutes

1	Ángel Fortuño	G
31	Llorenç Serred	G
27	Adama Timera	F
32	José Ángel	D
3	Q. Hartman	D
5	C. Riedel	D
26	Rafel Bauzà	M
20	Gabriel Moscardo	M
17	Jofre Carreras	F
10	Pol Lozano	M
11	Pere Milla	M
18	Marcos Fernández	F

Real Sociedad

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: David Pagou

1 Remiro

17 Gómez

31 Martín

5 Zubeldia

2 Aramburu

7 Barrenetxea

18 Soler

8 Turrientes

24 Sučić

10 Oyarzabal

9 Óskarsson

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Álex Remiro	G
2	J. Aramburu	D
5	Zubeldia	D
31	Jon Martín	D
17	Sergio Gómez	D
24	L. Sučić	M
8	Beñat Turrientes	M
18	Carlos Soler	M
7	Barrenetxea	M
9	O. Óskarsson	F
10	Mikel Oyarzabal	F

Substitutes

27	Gorka Carrera	F
11	Gonçalo Guedes	F
4	Jon Gorrotxategi	M
21	Y. Herrera	M
14	T. Kubo	F
29	Alex Garcia	F
13	Unai Marrero	G
3	Aihen Muñoz	D
12	J. Ochieng	F
19	M. Sarr	D
23	A. Zakharyan	M
34	Luken Beitia	D