Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City Πρόβλεψη
Πρόβλεψη Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City: Το Sportiko δίνει στην Nottingham Forest πιθανότητα νίκης 21%, στην Manchester City 54% και στην ισοπαλία 25%. Τελευταία ενημέρωση 7 Nov 2026, 19:27.
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Match Report
Nottingham Forest produced a stunning upset at the City Ground, defeating Manchester City 3–1 despite being heavily outpossessed throughout the match. Forest struck early through Jair in the sixth minute, and although Liam Delap pulled one back for City on 18 minutes, Rayan Cherki restored the home side's lead just before half-time to send Forest in 2–1 ahead at the break.
City made changes at the interval, bringing on Joško Gvardiol, but Forest continued to threaten on the counter. Cherki added a third on 52 minutes, and despite City enjoying 78% of the ball and generating five shots on target, they could not find a way back into the game. Delap grabbed a consolation with a second goal on 73 minutes, though it proved little more than a footnote. James McAtee's yellow card and subsequent substitution on 65 minutes disrupted City's rhythm at a critical stage.
Our pre-match AI model had rated a Manchester City win as the most likely outcome at 54%, a call that proved well wide of the mark. Forest's clinical finishing — converting four of their 12 shots — made the difference on a memorable evening.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Nottingham Forest
Match Stats
Nottingham Forest
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Liam Delap F | 8.7 | 87' | 2 | – | 3 | 9 (5%) | – |
| 10 Morgan Gibbs-White M | 7.4 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 20 (15%) | 2 |
| 21 Xaver Schlager M | 7.1 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 17 (14%) | 4 |
| 23 Jair D | 7.0 | 90' | 1 | – | 3 | 22 (14%) | – |
| 5 Murillo D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 22 (16%) | 2 |
| 11 Igor Jesus F | 6.6 | 3' | – | – | – | 6 (2%) | 1 |
| 6 Ibrahim Sangaré M | 6.5 | 11' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | 1 |
| 31 Nikola Milenković D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 15 (12%) | – |
| 27 Daniel Muñoz M | 6.4 | 65' | – | – | 1 | 12 (11%) | 5 |
| 3 Neco Williams M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 9 (8%) | 2 |
| 14 Dan Ndoye F | 6.3 | 25' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | – |
| 22 Ryan Yates M | 6.2 | 79' | – | – | 1 | 17 (13%) | 2 |
| 26 Matz Sels G | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 30 (9%) | – |
| 24 James McAtee M | 6.0 | 65' | – | – | 1 | 14 (8%) | 1 |
| 25 Luca Netz D | 5.8 | 25' | – | – | – | 5 (4%) | – |
Manchester City
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Rayan Cherki M | 7.2 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 71 (59%) | 1 |
| 27 Matheus Nunes M | 7.1 | 44' | – | – | – | 55 (51%) | 3 |
| 6 Marc Guéhi D | 6.7 | 46' | – | – | – | 56 (52%) | – |
| 5 Elliot Anderson M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 115 (103%) | 2 |
| 45 Abdukodir Khusanov D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 95 (87%) | 1 |
| 9 Erling Haaland F | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 4 | 11 (9%) | – |
| 17 Enzo Fernández M | 6.4 | 78' | – | – | 2 | 61 (55%) | 1 |
| 7 Iliman Ndiaye M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 50 (43%) | – |
| 3 Rúben Dias D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 121 (110%) | – |
| 24 Joško Gvardiol D | 6.0 | 46' | – | – | – | 13 (6%) | 2 |
| 47 Phil Foden M | 6.0 | 12' | – | – | 2 | 7 (6%) | 2 |
| 1 Gianluigi Donnarumma G | 5.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 27 (26%) | – |
| 33 Nico O'Reilly D | 5.7 | 44' | – | – | 1 | 26 (21%) | – |
| 11 Jérémy Doku M | 5.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 44 (37%) | 1 |
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At a glance
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Live insights
Min 75: Nottingham Forest leads 3-1. Win probability: 96.5%. Comeback chance: 3.5%.
Nottingham Forest now leads 3-1 with 96.1% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 41.1%.
Goal! Score now 2-1. Nottingham Forest win: 61%. BTTS: 100%.
Half-time: 2-0. Nottingham Forest leads. Win probability: 83.2%. Over 0.5 more goals: 76.5%.
Nottingham Forest now leads 2-0 with 73.4% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 89.2%.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
No scorer data.
E. Haaland
9 gls
R. Cherki
4 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar 2026 | Manchester City | 2 - 2 | Nottingham Forest |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Nottingham Forest | 1 - 2 | Manchester City |
| 08 Mar 2025 | Nottingham Forest | 1 - 0 | Manchester City |
Nottingham Forest — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H Manchester City | W | 3 - 1 |
| 31 Oct | A Brentford | L | 2 - 0 |
| 23 Oct | A Ipswich | D | 1 - 1 |
| 18 Oct | H Arsenal | L | 0 - 1 |
| 11 Oct | A Crystal Palace | L | 3 - 1 |
Manchester City — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | A Nottingham Forest | L | 3 - 1 |
| 04 Nov | A RB Leipzig | W | 2 - 3 |
| 31 Oct | H Brighton | L | 0 - 1 |
| 28 Oct | H Brighton | D | 2 - 2 |
| 24 Oct | A Aston Villa | L | 2 - 1 |
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Arsenal
|
10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | +10 | 27 |
| 2 |
Manchester City
|
10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 13 | +8 | 21 |
| 3 |
Brighton
|
9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 7 | +17 | 19 |
| 4 |
Chelsea
|
9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 15 | +4 | 16 |
| 5 |
Everton
|
10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 16 |
| 6 |
Liverpool
|
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 15 |
| 7 |
Brentford
|
9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 9 | +7 | 14 |
| 8 |
Leeds
|
10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 14 |
| 9 |
Bournemouth
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | +1 | 12 |
| 10 |
Tottenham
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 |
Newcastle
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 12 |
| 12 |
Aston Villa
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 |
Hull City
|
10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 11 |
| 14 |
Ipswich
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
| 15 |
Fulham
|
10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 |
Nottingham Forest
|
10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 9 |
| 17 |
Coventry
|
10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 9 |
| 18 |
Manchester United
|
9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 7 |
| 19 |
Crystal Palace
|
9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 7 |
| 20 |
Sunderland
|
9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 5 |
Manchester City
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: E. Maresca
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | G. Donnarumma | G |
| 45 | A. Khusanov | D |
| 3 | Rúben Dias | D |
| 6 | M. Guéhi | D |
| 24 | J. Gvardiol | D |
| 5 | E. Anderson | M |
| 17 | E. Fernández | M |
| 7 | I. Ndiaye | M |
| 10 | R. Cherki | M |
| 11 | J. Doku | M |
| 9 | E. Haaland | F |
Substitutes
| 47 | P. Foden | M |
| 32 | A. Bouaddi | M |
| 8 | M. Kovačić | M |
| 82 | R. Lewis | D |
| 27 | Matheus Nunes | M |
| 22 | Vitor Nunes | D |
| 28 | G. Rulli | G |
| 37 | Allan | F |
| 33 | N. O'Reilly | D |
Nottingham Forest
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: O. Glasner
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 26 | M. Sels | G |
| 23 | Jair | D |
| 31 | N. Milenković | D |
| 5 | Murillo | D |
| 27 | D. Muñoz | M |
| 22 | R. Yates | M |
| 21 | X. Schlager | M |
| 3 | N. Williams | M |
| 24 | J. McAtee | M |
| 10 | M. Gibbs-White | M |
| 19 | L. Delap | F |
Substitutes
| 11 | Igor Jesus | F |
| 15 | A. Kalimuendo | F |
| 12 | John | G |
| 2 | O. Diomande | D |
| 25 | L. Netz | D |
| 6 | I. Sangaré | M |
| 7 | C. Hudson-Odoi | F |
| 14 | D. Ndoye | F |
| 9 | C. Wood | F |