Aston Villa vs Tottenham Prognose

Premier League · Regular Season - 35

Post on X

Tottenham

Away

Villa Park, Birmingham

KI-Tipp Aston Villa gewinnt oder unentschieden

68%

20%

12%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Aston Villa vs. Tottenham Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Aston Villa eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 68%, für Tottenham 12% und für ein Unentschieden 20%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 28 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Tottenham secured a crucial away victory at Villa Park, with Conor Gallagher breaking the deadlock in the 12th minute before Richarlison doubled the lead just 13 minutes later. The two-goal cushion at half-time gave Spurs a commanding platform despite Villa dominating possession at 55% and generating the better expected goals figure of 0.99 to Tottenham's 0.32.

The second half proved fractious, with five yellow cards distributed across both sides as Villa pushed for a way back into the match. Spurs made tactical substitutions to manage the game, withdrawing both Bentancur and Kolo Muani in the 67th minute, while Villa's pressure finally yielded a consolation goal through Emiliano Buendía deep in stoppage time.

Ultimately, Tottenham's clinical first-half display proved decisive despite Villa's statistical superiority in shots on goal (5–1) and overall territory. Our pre-match AI model had rated an Aston Villa win as most likely at 68%, a call that proved well wide of the mark as Spurs held firm to claim all three points.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 12'

Conor Gallagher

⚽ 0–2 25'

Richarlison assist: Mathys Tel

▮ 27'

Randal Kolo Muani Yellow Card

▮ 45'

Rodrigo Bentancur Yellow Card

HT 0–2

Ross Barkley Yellow Card

51' ▮

Tammy Abraham ⇄ Ollie Watkins

60' ⇄

⇄ 67'

Rodrigo Bentancur ⇄ Yves Bissouma

⇄ 67'

Randal Kolo Muani ⇄ Djed Spence

▮ 73'

Mathys Tel Yellow Card

Morgan Rogers Yellow Card

77' ▮

▮ 81'

Kevin Danso Yellow Card

Jadon Sancho ⇄ Leon Bailey

85' ⇄

Ross Barkley ⇄ Emiliano Buendía

85' ⇄

Emiliano Buendía assist: Matty Cash

90' ⚽ 1–2

⇄ 90+1'

Richarlison ⇄ Pape Matar Sarr

⇄ 90+1'

Mathys Tel ⇄ Lucas Bergvall

▮ 90+6'

Conor Gallagher Yellow Card

FT 1–2

Aston Villa

Match Stats

Tottenham

45% Ball Possession 55%

0.32 Expected Goals (xG) 0.99

5 Total Shots 10

1 Shots on Goal 5

1 Shots off Goal 3

3 Blocked Shots 2

2 Shots insidebox 6

3 Shots outsidebox 4

5 Corner Kicks 5

2 Offsides 4

12 Fouls 12

2 Yellow Cards 5

Red Cards

3 Goalkeeper Saves 0

374 Total passes 466

312 Passes accurate 400

83% Passes % 86%

-0.76 goals_prevented -0.76

Aston Villa

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
10 Emiliano Buendía M	7.7	12'	1	–	1	1	1
23 Emiliano Martínez G	7.3	90'	–	–	–	34 (27%)	–
2 Matty Cash D	7.0	90'	–	1	–	40 (32%)	7
3 Victor Lindelöf D	6.9	90'	–	–	–	71 (67%)	1
26 Lamare Bogarde M	6.9	90'	–	–	–	19 (17%)	4
31 Leon Bailey F	6.9	12'	–	–	–	5 (3%)	–
8 Youri Tielemans M	6.6	90'	–	–	–	35 (28%)	2
19 Jadon Sancho M	6.6	85'	–	–	–	24 (17%)	1
27 Morgan Rogers M	6.5	90'	–	–	–	19 (10%)	3
18 Tammy Abraham F	6.5	60'	–	–	–	8 (4%)	–
11 Ollie Watkins F	6.3	30'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–
5 Tyrone Mings D	6.2	90'	–	–	1	76 (71%)	–
6 Ross Barkley M	5.6	85'	–	–	–	24 (20%)	–
22 Ian Maatsen D	5.6	90'	–	–	–	17 (15%)	–

Tottenham

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
22 Conor Gallagher M	7.7	90'	1	–	1	43 (37%)	3
23 Pedro Porro D	7.2	90'	–	–	1	47 (37%)	6
39 Randal Kolo Muani M	7.2	67'	–	–	2	22 (17%)	3
6 João Palhinha M	7.2	90'	–	–	1	63 (57%)	2
9 Richarlison F	7.0	89'	1	–	1	11 (8%)	2
30 Rodrigo Bentancur M	6.9	67'	–	–	–	43 (42%)	2
11 Mathys Tel M	6.7	89'	–	1	1	29 (24%)	–
4 Kevin Danso D	6.6	90'	–	–	1	62 (56%)	3
37 M. van de Ven D	6.6	90'	–	–	–	63 (62%)	1
13 Destiny Udogie D	6.5	90'	–	–	–	28 (28%)	1
8 Yves Bissouma M	6.5	23'	–	–	–	9 (6%)	–
24 Djed Spence D	6.3	23'	–	–	–	5 (4%)	–
31 Antonín Kinský G	5.6	90'	–	–	–	40 (21%)	–
15 Lucas Bergvall M	—	1'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–
29 Pape Matar Sarr M	—	1'	–	–	–	–	–

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Confidence Medium (58%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung

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Aston Villa

WWLWD

Tottenham

LLDDL

Last 3 meetings Aston Villa · 3W 0D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier League clash on May 2, 2026, Aston Villa will host Tottenham Hotspur at Villa Park. Aston Villa has shown strong home form this season, averaging 2.1 goals per game at home, while Tottenham, known for their attacking prowess, averages 1.9 goals per game away. Defensively, Villa has a solid record, conceding just 1.1 goals per match at home, whereas Spurs have struggled with consistency on the road, allowing 1.5 goals per game. This matchup could hinge on Villa's ability to contain Tottenham's dynamic attack, led by their key playmakers. A tightly contested match is expected, with both teams vying for crucial points in the race for European qualification.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Tottenham goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	7	5	2
1	14	9	3	1
2	14	10	3	1
3	9	6	2	1
4	5	3	1
5	2	1

↑ Aston Villa goals · most likely 2–0 (13.7%)

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Head to Head: Aston Villa vs Tottenham

3 Aston Villa Wins

0 Draws

0 Tottenham Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
19 Sep 2026	Tottenham	2 - 3	Aston Villa
19 Oct 2025	Tottenham	1 - 2	Aston Villa
16 May 2025	Aston Villa	2 - 0	Tottenham

Alle 10 Begegnungen ansehen — Premium

Aston Villa — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Tottenham	W	2 - 3
16 Sep	A Coventry	W	1 - 3
12 Sep	H Nottingham Forest	L	1 - 2
08 Sep	A Club Brugge KV	W	2 - 3
05 Sep	A Hull City	D	0 - 0

Tottenham — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Aston Villa	L	2 - 3
15 Sep	A Liverpool	L	3 - 1
12 Sep	H Everton	D	0 - 0
05 Sep	A Nottingham Forest	D	0 - 0
29 Aug	H Newcastle	L	0 - 2

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	5	0	0	13	5	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	8	4	+4	12
3	Brighton	5	3	1	1	16	5	+11	10
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	10	4	+6	9
5	Leeds	5	2	3	0	7	3	+4	9
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	7	4	+3	9
7	Everton	5	2	3	0	6	3	+3	9
8	Hull City	5	2	2	1	6	4	+2	8
9	Newcastle	5	2	2	1	9	9	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	10	12	-2	7
11	Ipswich	5	2	0	3	7	11	-4	6
12	Manchester United	5	1	2	2	8	8	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	1	2	2	4	5	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	6	10	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	6	11	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	4	9	-5	4
17	Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	6	8	-2	3
18	Coventry	5	1	0	4	1	10	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	5	8	-3	2
20	Tottenham	5	0	2	3	2	8	-6	2