Everton vs Manchester City Prognose

Premier League · Regular Season - 35

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Manchester City

Away

Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool, Merseyside

KI-Tipp Manchester City oder Unentschieden

29%

27%

44%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Everton vs. Manchester City Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Everton eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 29%, für Manchester City 44% und für ein Unentschieden 27%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 28 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Manchester City took the lead just before half-time through Jérémy Doku's 43rd-minute strike, and despite dominating possession at 75%, the visitors found themselves pegged back in a chaotic second half. Everton, who generated an impressive 2.72 expected goals despite holding just a quarter of the ball, levelled through Thierno Barry on 68 minutes before Jake O'Brien added a second just five minutes later to put the hosts ahead.

Barry struck again on 81 minutes to give Everton a 3–1 lead, but City refused to capitulate. Erling Haaland pulled one back in the 83rd minute, and Doku completed his brace deep into stoppage time to snatch a dramatic 3–3 draw. The match was littered with bookings, with five yellow cards distributed across both sides.

Our pre-match AI model had rated a Manchester City win as the most likely outcome at 44%, though in the end neither side could claim victory. City's failure to convert their 21 total shots into a winning margin will be the key frustration for Pep Guardiola's side.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 43'

Jérémy Doku assist: Rayan Cherki

Michael Keane Yellow Card

45' ▮

HT 0–1

Beto Yellow Card

48' ▮

James Tarkowski Yellow Card

53' ▮

Beto ⇄ Thierno Barry

64' ⇄

Thierno Barry

68' ⚽ 1–1

▮ 73'

Gianluigi Donnarumma Yellow Card

Jake O'Brien assist: James Garner

73' ⚽ 2–1

⇄ 74'

Antoine Semenyo ⇄ Phil Foden

⇄ 75'

Nico González ⇄ Mateo Kovačić

Thierno Barry

81' ⚽ 3–1

⚽ 3–2 83'

Erling Haaland assist: Mateo Kovačić

Jake O'Brien Yellow Card

86' ▮

⇄ 87'

Bernardo Silva ⇄ Omar Marmoush

⚽ 3–3 90'

Jérémy Doku assist: Marc Guéhi

Merlin Röhl ⇄ Nathan Patterson

90+2' ⇄

Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall ⇄ Carlos Alcaraz

90+2' ⇄

Tim Iroegbunam ⇄ Harrison Armstrong

90+6' ⇄

FT 3–3

Everton

Match Stats

Manchester City

25% Ball Possession 75%

2.72 Expected Goals (xG) 1.54

14 Total Shots 21

6 Shots on Goal 4

2 Shots off Goal 8

6 Blocked Shots 9

10 Shots insidebox 13

4 Shots outsidebox 8

5 Corner Kicks 9

4 Offsides 0

15 Fouls 5

4 Yellow Cards 1

Red Cards

1 Goalkeeper Saves 3

201 Total passes 629

138 Passes accurate 568

69% Passes % 90%

0.72 goals_prevented 0.72

Everton

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
11 Thierno Barry F	8.9	26'	2	–	2	2	2
6 James Tarkowski D	7.2	90'	–	–	–	25 (16%)	1
42 Tim Iroegbunam M	7.0	89'	–	–	–	19 (12%)	6
5 Michael Keane D	7.0	90'	–	–	–	27 (23%)	2
37 James Garner M	6.9	90'	–	1	–	24 (21%)	4
22 Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall M	6.9	89'	–	–	2	11 (7%)	3
10 Iliman Ndiaye M	6.6	90'	–	–	3	9 (7%)	2
15 Jake O'Brien D	6.6	90'	1	–	1	11 (5%)	2
1 Jordan Pickford G	6.5	90'	–	–	–	35 (20%)	–
9 Beto F	6.3	64'	–	–	–	3 (1%)	–
34 Merlin Röhl M	6.3	89'	–	–	–	9 (6%)	1
16 Vitaliy Mykolenko D	5.9	90'	–	–	–	22 (18%)	3
2 Nathan Patterson D	—	1'	–	–	–	1	–
24 Carlos Alcaraz M	—	1'	–	–	–	3 (2%)	–
45 Harrison Armstrong M	—	1'	–	–	–	–	–

Manchester City

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
11 Jérémy Doku M	9.9	90'	2	–	2	48 (42%)	2
9 Erling Haaland F	7.3	90'	1	–	1	20 (14%)	–
20 Bernardo Silva M	6.9	87'	–	–	–	85 (78%)	1
8 Mateo Kovačić M	6.9	15'	–	1	1	19 (18%)	1
42 Antoine Semenyo M	6.7	74'	–	–	2	23 (22%)	2
45 Abdukodir Khusanov D	6.7	90'	–	–	1	64 (60%)	3
15 Marc Guéhi D	6.6	90'	–	1	–	99 (91%)	1
25 Gianluigi Donnarumma G	6.6	90'	–	–	–	12 (10%)	–
7 Omar Marmoush F	6.5	11'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	–
10 Rayan Cherki M	6.5	90'	–	1	4	66 (61%)	1
14 Nico González M	6.5	75'	–	–	–	59 (57%)	1
27 Matheus Nunes D	6.3	90'	–	–	–	76 (65%)	5
47 Phil Foden M	6.3	16'	–	–	1	10 (9%)	–
33 Nico O'Reilly D	6.0	90'	–	–	–	46 (39%)	1

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Confidence Medium (58%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung

Manchester City oder Unentschieden

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Everton

WWDDD

Manchester City

WWWWW

Last 3 meetings Everton · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier League clash on May 2, 2026, Everton hosts Manchester City at Goodison Park. Historically, City has dominated this fixture, winning 70% of their last ten encounters, with Everton struggling to secure points, especially against top-tier teams. Everton's home advantage could be crucial, as they have recorded a solid win rate at home this season, but they face a formidable challenge against City's high-octane attack, which boasts the league's top scorer. Key players for City, like Erling Haaland, will aim to exploit any defensive lapses from Everton, who must tighten their backline to avoid a heavy defeat. Overall, City enters the match as the favorites, but Everton could pull off an upset with a disciplined performance.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Manchester City goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9	12	8	4	1
1	9	13	9	4	1
2	5	7	5	2	1
3	2	2	2	1
4		1
5

↑ Everton goals · most likely 1–1 (12.8%)

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Players in form

Everton

No scorer data.

Manchester City

E. Haaland 5 gls

R. Cherki 3 gls

A. Semenyo 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Head to Head: Everton vs Manchester City

0 Everton Wins

1 Draws

2 Manchester City Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
18 Oct 2025	Manchester City	2 - 0	Everton
19 Apr 2025	Everton	0 - 2	Manchester City
26 Dec 2024	Manchester City	1 - 1	Everton

Alle 10 Begegnungen ansehen — Premium

Everton — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Ipswich	W	1 - 0
16 Sep	H Wolves	W	1 - 0
12 Sep	A Tottenham	D	0 - 0
06 Sep	H Manchester United	D	2 - 2
29 Aug	A Bournemouth	D	1 - 1

Manchester City — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Sunderland	W	5 - 3
17 Sep	H Norwich	W	5 - 0
13 Sep	A Manchester United	W	0 - 1
08 Sep	A FC Porto	W	0 - 2
05 Sep	H Coventry	W	1 - 0

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	5	0	0	13	5	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	8	4	+4	12
3	Brighton	5	3	1	1	16	5	+11	10
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	10	4	+6	9
5	Leeds	5	2	3	0	7	3	+4	9
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	7	4	+3	9
7	Everton	5	2	3	0	6	3	+3	9
8	Hull City	5	2	2	1	6	4	+2	8
9	Newcastle	5	2	2	1	9	9	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	10	12	-2	7
11	Ipswich	5	2	0	3	7	11	-4	6
12	Manchester United	5	1	2	2	8	8	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	1	2	2	4	5	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	6	10	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	6	11	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	4	9	-5	4
17	Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	6	8	-2	3
18	Coventry	5	1	0	4	1	10	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	5	8	-3	2
20	Tottenham	5	0	2	3	2	8	-6	2