Everton vs Liverpool Prognose

Premier League · Regular Season - 33

Post on X

Liverpool

Away

Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool, Merseyside

KI-Tipp Zu knapp für eine klare Prognose

35%

27%

38%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Everton vs. Liverpool Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Everton eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 35%, für Liverpool 38% und für ein Unentschieden 27%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 27 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Everton dominated possession and territory for much of this Merseyside derby, but Liverpool struck first through Mohamed Salah in the 29th minute, moments after a Jake O'Brien goal was ruled out by VAR. Jordan Pickford had already been cautioned earlier in the half, and Everton went into the break trailing despite enjoying the better of the statistics, with 56% possession and six corners to Liverpool's one.

The hosts levelled through Beto nine minutes after the restart, and the match appeared to be swinging Everton's way. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Liverpool win at just 38%, a figure that looked increasingly accurate as the game wore on. A flurry of substitutions from both sides added fresh legs without immediately altering the contest's direction.

It was Virgil van Dijk who ultimately settled the derby, heading home in the 90th minute to snatch all three points for Liverpool. Everton's xG of 1.45 against Liverpool's 0.79 underlined the home side's frustration, having created the clearer opportunities only to be undone by a late set-piece moment that proved decisive.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Jordan Pickford Yellow Card

22' ▮

Jake O'Brien Goal cancelled

28' 🖵

⚽ 0–1 29'

Mohamed Salah assist: C. Gakpo

HT 0–1

Beto assist: Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall

54' ⚽ 1–1

⇄ 58'

Giorgi Mamardashvili ⇄ Freddie Woodman

⇄ 72'

Alexander Isak ⇄ Rio Ngumoha

Beto ⇄ Thierno Barry

73' ⇄

Dwight McNeil ⇄ Tyrique George

80' ⇄

⇄ 84'

Florian Wirtz ⇄ Alexis Mac Allister

⇄ 84'

C. Gakpo ⇄ Jeremie Frimpong

⇄ 86'

Andy Robertson ⇄ Miloš Kerkez

Jarrad Branthwaite ⇄ Michael Keane

87' ⇄

⚽ 1–2 90'

V. van Dijk assist: Dominik Szoboszlai

James Garner Yellow Card

90+12' ▮

FT 1–2

Everton

Match Stats

Liverpool

44% Ball Possession 56%

0.79 Expected Goals (xG) 1.45

10 Total Shots 14

4 Shots on Goal 6

5 Shots off Goal 4

1 Blocked Shots 4

7 Shots insidebox 7

3 Shots outsidebox 7

1 Corner Kicks 6

4 Offsides 0

8 Fouls 12

2 Yellow Cards 0

Red Cards

3 Goalkeeper Saves 3

377 Total passes 498

288 Passes accurate 413

76% Passes % 83%

0.56 goals_prevented 0.56

Everton

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
22 Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall M	7.6	90'	–	1	–	43 (32%)	3
37 James Garner M	7.5	90'	–	–	1	39 (30%)	9
9 Beto F	7.2	73'	1	–	4	11 (7%)	1
32 Jarrad Branthwaite D	7.0	87'	–	–	–	36 (32%)	4
27 Idrissa Gana Gueye M	6.9	90'	–	–	–	33 (31%)	–
10 Iliman Ndiaye M	6.9	90'	–	–	1	32 (28%)	4
15 Jake O'Brien D	6.9	90'	–	–	–	29 (18%)	–
16 Vitaliy Mykolenko D	6.9	90'	–	–	–	41 (30%)	4
1 Jordan Pickford G	6.7	90'	–	–	–	44 (25%)	–
19 Tyrique George F	6.7	10'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	2
6 James Tarkowski D	6.6	90'	–	–	1	39 (32%)	–
7 Dwight McNeil M	6.5	80'	–	–	2	18 (15%)	2
11 Thierno Barry F	6.3	17'	–	–	–	6 (3%)	–
5 Michael Keane D	6.3	16'	–	–	–	4 (3%)	–

Liverpool

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
11 Mohamed Salah M	7.3	90'	1	–	1	38 (34%)	2
4 V. van Dijk D	7.3	90'	1	–	1	45 (37%)	–
17 Curtis Jones D	7.3	90'	–	–	–	84 (79%)	2
5 Ibrahima Konaté D	7.2	90'	–	–	–	60 (51%)	3
25 Giorgi Mamardashvili G	6.9	58'	–	–	–	14 (6%)	–
8 Dominik Szoboszlai M	6.9	90'	–	1	–	58 (54%)	2
26 Andy Robertson D	6.7	86'	–	–	1	38 (27%)	1
28 Freddie Woodman G	6.6	32'	–	–	–	16 (5%)	–
6 Miloš Kerkez D	6.6	17'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	–
9 Alexander Isak F	6.5	72'	–	–	1	5 (3%)	–
10 Alexis Mac Allister M	6.5	19'	–	–	–	8 (7%)	–
38 R. Gravenberch M	6.5	90'	–	–	1	55 (46%)	1
7 Florian Wirtz M	6.3	84'	–	–	–	48 (42%)	–
18 C. Gakpo M	6.3	84'	–	1	4	19 (15%)	1
30 Jeremie Frimpong D	6.3	19'	–	–	–	3 (1%)	–
73 Rio Ngumoha F	6.2	18'	–	–	1	5 (4%)	–

Premium

Vollständige KI-Analyse für Everton vs Liverpool freischalten

Alle 70+ Wahrscheinlichkeitsmärkte
KI Deep-Dive Spielbericht
Value Edge — Modell vs. Markt
Von dir gewählte Tipp-Typen

Zu Premium wechseln

Confidence Medium (58%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung

Zu knapp für eine klare Prognose

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Everton

WWDDD

Liverpool

WWDWW

Last 3 meetings Everton · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Merseyside derby, Everton will host Liverpool at Goodison Park. Everton has struggled for consistency this season, currently sitting in the lower half of the table, while Liverpool remains a top contender for the title, showcasing a strong attacking front led by Mohamed Salah. Historically, this fixture has been tightly contested, but Liverpool has had the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 7 of the last 10 encounters. Everton will need to tighten their defense to withstand Liverpool's pace and creativity, especially in transitions. Expect a high-intensity match as both teams vie for crucial points, with Everton seeking to leverage home advantage.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Liverpool goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8	10	7	3	1
1	10	13	8	4	1
2	6	8	5	2	1
3	3	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Everton goals · most likely 1–1 (12.8%)

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Players in form

Everton

No scorer data.

Liverpool

A. Isak 4 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

Warum diese Auswahl? · Premium KI Deep-Dive · Premium

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.

Unlock all models

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Head to Head: Everton vs Liverpool

0 Everton Wins

1 Draws

2 Liverpool Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
20 Sep 2025	Liverpool	2 - 1	Everton
02 Apr 2025	Liverpool	1 - 0	Everton
12 Feb 2025	Everton	2 - 2	Liverpool

Alle 10 Begegnungen ansehen — Premium

Everton — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Ipswich	W	1 - 0
16 Sep	H Wolves	W	1 - 0
12 Sep	A Tottenham	D	0 - 0
06 Sep	H Manchester United	D	2 - 2
29 Aug	A Bournemouth	D	1 - 1

Liverpool — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Bournemouth	W	0 - 1
15 Sep	H Tottenham	W	3 - 1
12 Sep	H Fulham	D	0 - 0
09 Sep	H Atletico Madrid	W	2 - 1
04 Sep	A Ipswich	W	0 - 2

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	5	0	0	13	5	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	8	4	+4	12
3	Brighton	5	3	1	1	16	5	+11	10
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	10	4	+6	9
5	Leeds	5	2	3	0	7	3	+4	9
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	7	4	+3	9
7	Everton	5	2	3	0	6	3	+3	9
8	Hull City	5	2	2	1	6	4	+2	8
9	Newcastle	5	2	2	1	9	9	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	10	12	-2	7
11	Ipswich	5	2	0	3	7	11	-4	6
12	Manchester United	5	1	2	2	8	8	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	1	2	2	4	5	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	6	10	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	6	11	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	4	9	-5	4
17	Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	6	8	-2	3
18	Coventry	5	1	0	4	1	10	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	5	8	-3	2
20	Tottenham	5	0	2	3	2	8	-6	2