Sunderland vs Tottenham Prognose
Sunderland vs. Tottenham Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Sunderland eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 48%, für Tottenham 25% und für ein Unentschieden 27%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 26 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Match Report
Sunderland claimed a hard-fought 1–0 victory over Tottenham at the Stadium of Light, ending a goalless first half that was dominated by controversy and caution. A VAR-cancelled penalty in the 22nd minute set the tone for a fractious opening period, with four yellow cards distributed before the break — Cristian Romero, Pedro Porro, and Marten van de Ven all booked for Spurs, alongside Sunderland's Brobbey.
The decisive moment arrived on the hour mark, when Sunderland broke the deadlock with a goal that coincided with a triple substitution from Tottenham, including the introduction of Lucas Bergvall. Despite Spurs enjoying 52% possession and generating an expected goals figure of 1.33 — superior to Sunderland's 0.84 — they managed only two shots on target all evening. Romero's withdrawal in the 70th minute, likely precautionary given his booking, further disrupted Tottenham's defensive shape.
Sunderland held firm through a tense closing period, with further bookings and substitutions unable to alter the scoreline. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Sunderland win as the most probable outcome at 48%, a call that proved correct.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Sunderland
Match Stats
Sunderland
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 R. Roefs G | 8.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 30 (17%) | – |
| 20 Nordi Mukiele D | 8.2 | 82' | 1 | – | 2 | 26 (23%) | 4 |
| 28 Enzo Le Fée M | 8.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 40 (31%) | 1 |
| 34 Granit Xhaka M | 7.9 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 65 (55%) | 5 |
| 17 Reinildo Mandava D | 7.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 36 (30%) | 4 |
| 19 Habib Diarra M | 7.2 | 90' | – | 1 | 2 | 28 (23%) | – |
| 27 Noah Sadiki M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 39 (30%) | 3 |
| 13 Luke O'Nien D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 39 (35%) | – |
| 32 Trai Hume D | 7.2 | 8' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | 2 |
| 15 Omar Alderete D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 61 (48%) | 1 |
| 7 Chemsdine Talbi F | 6.7 | 8' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | 1 |
| 11 Chris Rigg M | 6.3 | 82' | – | – | – | 21 (11%) | 1 |
| 9 B. Brobbey F | 5.5 | 89' | – | – | 2 | 12 (10%) | – |
| 18 Wilson Isidor F | — | 1' | – | – | – | 1 | – |
Tottenham
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Cristian Romero D | 7.2 | 70' | – | – | 1 | 32 (29%) | 3 |
| 4 Kevin Danso D | 7.2 | 20' | – | – | – | 18 (18%) | 2 |
| 29 Pape Matar Sarr M | 6.9 | 29' | – | – | – | 17 (15%) | – |
| 22 Conor Gallagher M | 6.9 | 85' | – | – | – | 39 (34%) | – |
| 9 Richarlison M | 6.9 | 61' | – | – | 3 | 13 (5%) | 1 |
| 6 João Palhinha M | 6.7 | 29' | – | – | – | 14 (12%) | 1 |
| 23 Pedro Porro D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 37 (28%) | 1 |
| 37 M. van de Ven D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 58 (57%) | – |
| 19 Dominic Solanke F | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 6 (4%) | 1 |
| 7 Xavi Simons M | 6.6 | 17' | – | – | – | 7 (7%) | – |
| 13 Destiny Udogie D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 33 (25%) | 1 |
| 14 Archie Gray M | 6.3 | 61' | – | – | – | 20 (18%) | – |
| 39 Randal Kolo Muani M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 17 (10%) | – |
| 11 Mathys Tel F | 6.3 | 29' | – | – | – | 8 (7%) | – |
| 31 Antonín Kinský G | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 36 (25%) | – |
| 15 Lucas Bergvall M | 5.6 | 61' | – | – | – | 10 (7%) | – |
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At a glance
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Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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B. Brobbey
3 gls
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Sunderland vs Tottenham
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan 2026 | Tottenham | 1 - 1 | Sunderland |
| 31 Jan 2017 | Sunderland | 0 - 0 | Tottenham |
| 18 Sep 2016 | Tottenham | 1 - 0 | Sunderland |
Sunderland — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Manchester City | L | 5 - 3 |
| 16 Sep | H AZ Alkmaar | W | 1 - 0 |
| 12 Sep | H Arsenal | L | 0 - 2 |
| 08 Sep | H Hull City | W | 1 - 0 |
| 05 Sep | A Brentford | D | 1 - 1 |
Tottenham — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Aston Villa | L | 2 - 3 |
| 15 Sep | A Liverpool | L | 3 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | H Everton | D | 0 - 0 |
| 05 Sep | A Nottingham Forest | D | 0 - 0 |
| 29 Aug | H Newcastle | L | 0 - 2 |
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Manchester City
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | +8 | 15 |
| 2 |
Arsenal
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 12 |
| 3 |
Brighton
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 5 | +11 | 10 |
| 4 |
Brentford
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 9 |
| 5 |
Leeds
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 9 |
| 6 |
Liverpool
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 9 |
| 7 |
Everton
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 |
Hull City
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 |
Newcastle
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 |
Chelsea
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 |
Ipswich
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 6 |
| 12 |
Manchester United
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 |
Nottingham Forest
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 |
Sunderland
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 |
Crystal Palace
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 |
Aston Villa
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 |
Bournemouth
|
5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 3 |
| 18 |
Coventry
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 3 |
| 19 |
Fulham
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 2 |
| 20 |
Tottenham
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 |
Tottenham
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: R. De Zerbi
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | A. Kinsky | G |
| 23 | P. Porro | D |
| 17 | C. Romero | D |
| 37 | M. van de Ven | D |
| 13 | D. Udogie | D |
| 14 | A. Gray | M |
| 22 | C. Gallagher | M |
| 39 | R. Kolo Muani | M |
| 15 | L. Bergvall | M |
| 9 | Richarlison | M |
| 19 | D. Solanke | F |
Substitutes
| 40 | B. Austin | G |
| 6 | J. Palhinha | M |
| 3 | R. Dragusin | D |
| 11 | M. Tel | F |
| 4 | K. Danso | D |
| 8 | Y. Bissouma | M |
| 24 | D. Spence | D |
| 7 | X. Simons | M |
| 29 | P. M. Sarr | M |
Sunderland
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: R. Le Bris
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 22 | R. Roefs | G |
| 20 | N. Mukiele | D |
| 13 | L. O'Nien | D |
| 15 | O. Alderete | D |
| 17 | R. Mandava | D |
| 34 | G. Xhaka | M |
| 27 | N. Sadiki | M |
| 11 | C. Rigg | M |
| 19 | H. Diarra | M |
| 28 | E. Le Fee | M |
| 9 | B. Brobbey | F |
Substitutes
| 31 | M. Ellborg | G |
| 3 | D. Cirkin | D |
| 50 | H. Jones | M |
| 7 | C. Talbi | F |
| 51 | J. Jones | D |
| 6 | L. Geertruida | D |
| 18 | W. Isidor | F |
| 32 | T. Hume | D |
| 12 | E. Mayenda | F |