Brentford vs Everton Prognose

Premier League · Regular Season - 32

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Everton

Away

Gtech Community Stadium, Brentford, Middlesex

KI-Tipp Everton oder Unentschieden

32%

27%

41%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Brentford vs. Everton Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Brentford eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 32%, für Everton 41% und für ein Unentschieden 27%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 26 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Brentford and Everton shared the spoils in a lively 2–2 draw at the Gtech Community Stadium, with the match producing drama from the very first minutes. Igor Thiago opened the scoring from the penalty spot in the third minute after Jordan Pickford had been shown a yellow card in the second, before Everton levelled through a goal on 26 minutes to make it 1–1 at the break.

Thiago struck again on 76 minutes to restore Brentford's lead, giving the hosts what appeared to be a firm grip on the contest. However, Everton equalised in stoppage time to earn a point, a result that reflected their superior expected goals figure of 2.84 compared to Brentford's 1.53. Everton also edged possession at 55%, though Brentford registered more shots on target — seven to four.

It was a point that will feel more valuable to Everton given the late nature of their equaliser. Notably, our pre-match AI model had identified an Everton win as the most likely outcome at 41%, and the visitors' overall performance broadly justified that assessment.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

▮ 2'

Jordan Pickford Yellow Card

Igor Thiago Penalty

3' ⚽ 1–0

⚽ 1–1 26'

assist: Idrissa Gana Gueye

HT 1–1

46' ⇄

▮ 47'

Yellow Card

⇄ 74'

Idrissa Gana Gueye

Igor Thiago

76' ⚽ 2–1

⚽ 2–2 90'

FT 2–2

Brentford

Match Stats

Everton

55% Ball Possession 45%

2.84 Expected Goals (xG) 1.53

17 Total Shots 14

4 Shots on Goal 7

7 Shots off Goal 3

6 Blocked Shots 4

12 Shots insidebox 9

5 Shots outsidebox 5

2 Corner Kicks 3

0 Offsides 1

6 Fouls 7

0 Yellow Cards 2

Red Cards

4 Goalkeeper Saves 2

457 Total passes 376

380 Passes accurate 304

83% Passes % 81%

-0.37 goals_prevented -0.37

Brentford

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
9 Igor Thiago F	8.0	90'	2	–	2	14 (11%)	–
8 Mathias Jensen M	7.9	90'	–	–	1	68 (57%)	–
1 Caoimhin Kelleher G	7.2	90'	–	–	–	36 (27%)	–
33 Michael Kayode D	6.9	90'	–	1	–	45 (35%)	2
4 Sepp van den Berg D	6.9	90'	–	–	–	59 (52%)	–
23 Keane Lewis-Potter D	6.9	90'	–	–	–	33 (26%)	3
18 Yehor Yarmolyuk M	6.9	90'	–	–	–	71 (62%)	3
19 Dango Ouattara M	6.9	90'	–	–	1	24 (18%)	–
7 Kevin Schade M	6.6	90'	–	–	3	15 (11%)	3
11 Reiss Nelson F	6.6	45'	–	–	1	25 (22%)	1
22 Nathan Collins D	6.3	90'	–	–	2	50 (45%)	1
24 Mikkel Damsgaard M	6.3	45'	–	–	1	17 (14%)	2

Everton

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
22 Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall M	7.7	90'	1	–	2	31 (25%)	2
27 Idrissa Gana Gueye M	6.9	74'	–	1	2	38 (30%)	1
32 Jarrad Branthwaite D	6.9	90'	–	–	1	35 (30%)	1
16 Vitaliy Mykolenko D	6.9	90'	–	–	–	28 (22%)	2
9 Beto F	6.9	74'	1	–	1	15 (11%)	–
19 Tyrique George F	6.7	16'	–	–	2	6 (5%)	1
42 Tim Iroegbunam M	6.7	16'	–	–	–	6 (3%)	2
6 James Tarkowski D	6.6	90'	–	–	–	46 (37%)	1
10 Iliman Ndiaye M	6.5	90'	–	–	1	26 (23%)	3
11 Thierno Barry F	6.5	16'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	–
37 James Garner M	6.3	90'	–	–	–	62 (50%)	2
7 Dwight McNeil M	6.3	74'	–	–	–	24 (18%)	–
15 Jake O'Brien D	6.2	90'	–	–	1	26 (24%)	1
1 Jordan Pickford G	5.7	90'	–	–	–	30 (23%)	–

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Confidence Medium (59%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung

Everton oder Unentschieden

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Brentford

WWDDD

Everton

WWDDD

Last 3 meetings Brentford · 1W 2D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier League clash, Brentford hosts Everton at Gtech Community Stadium. Brentford has shown strong home form, securing points against top teams with an average of 1.8 goals per match at home this season. Conversely, Everton has struggled on the road, averaging just 0.9 goals per match away from Goodison Park, which could be a decisive factor. Moreover, Brentford's defensive solidity, with only 1.2 goals conceded per game at home, may stifle Everton’s attacking efforts. A close contest is expected, but Brentford's home advantage could tip the scales in their favor.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Everton goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8	11	7	3	1
1	9	13	9	4	1
2	5	7	5	2	1
3	2	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Brentford goals · most likely 1–1 (12.7%)

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Players in form

Brentford

K. Schade 3 gls

Everton

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Head to Head: Brentford vs Everton

1 Brentford Wins

2 Draws

0 Everton Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
04 Jan 2026	Everton	2 - 4	Brentford
26 Feb 2025	Brentford	1 - 1	Everton
23 Nov 2024	Everton	0 - 0	Brentford

Alle 9 Begegnungen ansehen — Premium

Brentford — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Chelsea	W	3 - 0
15 Sep	A Reading	W	1 - 2
12 Sep	A Bournemouth	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	H Sunderland	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	A Leeds	D	1 - 1

Everton — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Ipswich	W	1 - 0
16 Sep	H Wolves	W	1 - 0
12 Sep	A Tottenham	D	0 - 0
06 Sep	H Manchester United	D	2 - 2
29 Aug	A Bournemouth	D	1 - 1

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	5	0	0	13	5	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	8	4	+4	12
3	Brighton	5	3	1	1	16	5	+11	10
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	10	4	+6	9
5	Leeds	5	2	3	0	7	3	+4	9
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	7	4	+3	9
7	Everton	5	2	3	0	6	3	+3	9
8	Hull City	5	2	2	1	6	4	+2	8
9	Newcastle	5	2	2	1	9	9	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	10	12	-2	7
11	Ipswich	5	2	0	3	7	11	-4	6
12	Manchester United	5	1	2	2	8	8	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	1	2	2	4	5	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	6	10	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	6	11	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	4	9	-5	4
17	Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	6	8	-2	3
18	Coventry	5	1	0	4	1	10	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	5	8	-3	2
20	Tottenham	5	0	2	3	2	8	-6	2

Everton

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Leighton Baines

1 Pickford

16 Mykolenko

32 Branthwaite

6 Tarkowski

15 O'Brien

37 Garner

27 Gueye

10 Ndiaye

22 Dewsbury-Hall

7 McNeil

9 Beto

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	J. Pickford	G
15	J. O'Brien	D
6	J. Tarkowski	D
32	J. Branthwaite	D
16	V. Mykolenko	D
27	I. Gueye	M
37	J. Garner	M
7	D. McNeil	M
22	K. Dewsbury-Hall	M
10	I. Ndiaye	M
9	Beto	F

Substitutes

12	M. Travers	G
2	N. Patterson	D
20	T. Dibling	M
19	T. George	F
11	T. Barry	F
23	S. Coleman	D
5	M. Keane	D
42	T. Iroegbunam	M
34	M. Rohl	M

Brentford

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Keith Andrews

1 Kelleher

23 Lewis-Potter

22 Collins

4 Berg

33 Kayode

8 Jensen

18 Yarmolyuk

7 Schade

24 Damsgaard

19 Ouattara

9 Thiago

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	C. Kelleher	G
33	M. Kayode	D
4	S. van den Berg	D
22	N. Collins	D
23	K. Lewis-Potter	D
18	Y. Yarmolyuk	M
8	M. Jensen	M
19	D. Ouattara	M
24	M. Damsgaard	M
7	K. Schade	M
9	I. Thiago	F

Substitutes

12	H. R. Valdimarsson	G
20	K. Ajer	D
5	E. Pinnock	D
52	R. Owen	M
50	J. Stephenson	D
11	R. Nelson	F
45	R. Donovan	M
49	O. Shield	D
48	L. Bentt	M