Gwangju FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC Prognose

K League 1 · Regular Season - 19

Post on X

Gimcheon Sangmu FC

Away

Gwangju Football Stadium, Gwangju

KI-Tipp Gwangju FC oder Unentschieden

41%

28%

32%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Gwangju FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Gwangju FC eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 41%, für Gimcheon Sangmu FC 32% und für ein Unentschieden 28%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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1st Half Home or Draw 75%
Heimteam trifft 73%
2nd Half Over 0.5 74%

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Timeline

J. Iredale assist: Moon Min-seo

5' ⚽ 1–0

⚽ 1–1 7'

Go Jae-Hyeon assist: Jeong Jae-Min

⇄ A. Ba Loua

38' ⇄

HT 1–1

Ahn Young-Kyu

46' ⇄

⇄ Kwon Sung-Yun

46' ⇄

⇄ 46'

Jeong Jae-Min ⇄ Lee Kun-Hee

⇄ 60'

🖵 67'

Goal Disallowed - offside

Ha Seung-Un

69' ⇄

⇄ 72'

⇄ Kim In-Gyun

⇄ Ju Se-Jong

79' ⇄

⇄ 82'

Lee Kang-Hyun

Kwon Sung-Yun Yellow Card

85' ▮

FT 1–1

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Confidence Medium (52%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung

Gwangju FC oder Unentschieden

Most likely score

1:1 · 13%

Both teams to score

49%

Over 2.5 goals

43%

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Gwangju FC

DDLDL

Gimcheon Sangmu FC

WDDDL

Last 2 meetings Gwangju FC · 0W 2D 0L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

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Independent

Home

41%

10%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

32%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Gimcheon Sangmu FC goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9	10	6	2	1
1	12	13	7	3	1
2	8	8	5	2
3	3	4	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Gwangju FC goals · most likely 1–1 (13.0%)

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Players in form

Gwangju FC

Moon Min-seo 2 gls

Gimcheon Sangmu FC

Go Jae-Hyeon 3 gls

Lee Kun-Hee 1 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

41%

Away Win

32%

Draw

28%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

31%

1.5

69%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

41%

Away Win

32%

Draw

28%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

56% Home (No Draw) 44% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

18% Home Win by 2+ 13% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

41% Home Scores More 32% Away Scores More 28% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

31%

1.5

69%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

22%

26%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

50% Even Total Goals 50% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.0%	10.0%	5.6%	2.1%	0.6%
1	11.7%	13.0%	7.2%	2.7%	0.7%
2	7.6%	8.5%	4.7%	1.7%	0.5%
3	3.3%	3.7%	2.0%	0.8%	0.2%
4	1.1%	1.2%	0.7%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

34%

37%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

62%

1.5

38%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

35%

23%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Gwangju FC	Draw	Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Gwangju FC	12.4%	8.4%	9.6%
Draw	18.2%	12.3%	14.1%
Gimcheon Sangmu FC	10.2%	6.9%	8.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

63%

1.5

37%

86%

2.5

14%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

27%

36%

23%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

70%

1.5

30%

90%

2.5

10%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

33%

37%

20%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Gwangju FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC

0 Gwangju FC Wins

2 Draws

0 Gimcheon Sangmu FC Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
06 Sep 2026	Gimcheon Sangmu FC	2 - 2	Gwangju FC
17 Mar 2026	Gimcheon Sangmu FC	1 - 1	Gwangju FC

Gwangju FC — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Jeonbuk Motors	D	2 - 2
13 Sep	H FC Anyang	D	1 - 1
09 Sep	H Jeju United FC	L	0 - 1
06 Sep	A Gimcheon Sangmu FC	D	2 - 2
30 Aug	H FC Seoul	L	2 - 5

Gimcheon Sangmu FC — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Bucheon FC 1995	W	0 - 2
13 Sep	H Gangwon FC	D	2 - 2
09 Sep	A Pohang Steelers	D	0 - 0
06 Sep	H Gwangju FC	D	2 - 2
29 Aug	A Ulsan Hyundai FC	L	3 - 1

K League 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Seoul	19	13	3	3	34	14	+20	42
2	Jeonbuk Motors	20	9	6	5	27	16	+11	33
3	Gangwon FC	19	8	8	3	24	12	+12	32
4	Ulsan Hyundai FC	19	8	4	7	27	28	-1	28
5	Pohang Steelers	20	8	4	8	20	21	-1	28
6	FC Anyang	19	6	9	4	26	22	+4	27
7	Incheon United	19	8	3	8	24	20	+4	27
8	Jeju United FC	19	6	6	7	17	19	-2	24
9	Daejeon Citizen	20	4	8	8	23	23	0	20
10	Gimcheon Sangmu FC	20	3	11	6	21	28	-7	20
11	Bucheon FC 1995	19	4	7	8	17	24	-7	19
12	Gwangju FC	19	1	7	11	10	43	-33	10

Gwangju FC

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: Jeong-kyu Lee

1 Kim

17 Pedro

6 Ahn

4 Grunsven

33 Park

14 Je-ho

9 Ha

88 Moon

10 Choi

7 Saitoski

18 Iredale

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Kyeong-min Kim	G
33	Won-jae Park	D
4	Teun van Grunsven	D
6	Yeong-kyu Ahn	D
17	João Pedro	D
14	Yu Je-ho	M
7	Emir Saitoski	M
10	Kyoung-Rok Choi	M
88	Min-seo Moon	M
9	Seung-un Ha	M
18	John Iredale	F

Substitutes

50	Adriel D'Avila Ba Loua	M
23	Dong-hwa Kim	G
22	Sung-yun Kwon	M
20	Seung-kyeom Im	D
2	Suk-Hwan Jang	D
16	Ji-hoon Jeong	M
8	Se-jong Ju	M
37	Yong-jik Ri	M
40	Chang-mu Shin	F

Gimcheon Sangmu FC

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Seung-jin Joo

1 Baek

33 Jin-Seong

15 Lim

45 Jun-soo

11 Kim

48 Hong

56 Kang-Hyeon

55 Park

7 Go

57 Jae-Min

14 Park

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Jong-beom Baek	G
11	Tae-hwan Kim	D
45	Byeon Jun-soo	D
15	Deok-geun Lim	D
33	Park Jin-Seong	D
7	Jae-hyeon Go	M
55	Tae-jun Park	M
56	Lee Kang-Hyeon	M
48	Yun-sang Hong	M
14	Se-jin Park	F
57	Jeong Jae-Min	F

Substitutes

37	Hyeon-ho Moon	G
20	Lee Chan-wook	D
46	Chung Ma-ho	M
10	Jeon Byung-kwan	M
8	Kim Lee-Seok	M
21	In-kyun Kim	F
42	Si-hoo Hong	D
9	Kun-hee Lee	F
47	Lee Sangheon	F