Gwangju FC vs Ulsan Hyundai FC Prognose

K League 1 · Regular Season - 16

Post on X

Ulsan Hyundai FC

Away

Gwangju Football Stadium, Gwangju

KI-Tipp Ulsan Hyundai FC gewinnt

17%

79%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Gwangju FC vs. Ulsan Hyundai FC Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Gwangju FC eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 4%, für Ulsan Hyundai FC 79% und für ein Unentschieden 17%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 73%

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Timeline

Yellow Card

3' ▮

HT 0–0

⇄ 46'

⚽ 0–1 54'

60' ⇄

64' ⚽ 1–1

⇄ 70'

⇄ Dong-gyeong Lee

⇄ 70'

78' ⇄

⇄ 80'

82' ⇄

⇄ 84'

FT 1–1

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Alle 70+ Wahrscheinlichkeitsmärkte
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Confidence High (79%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung

Ulsan Hyundai FC gewinnt

Most likely score

0:2 · 20.4%

Both teams to score

23%

Over 2.5 goals

42%

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Gwangju FC

DDLDL

Ulsan Hyundai FC

LWWDW

Last 1 meetings Gwangju FC · 0W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming K League 1 matchup, Gwangju FC hosts Ulsan Hyundai FC. Historically, Ulsan has dominated this fixture, boasting a superior head-to-head record, including a 3-0 victory in their last encounter. Gwangju, however, has shown improvement at home, winning 60% of their matches there this season. Ulsan, currently positioned among the league leaders, relies heavily on their prolific attack, which has averaged 2.2 goals per game. This match presents a crucial opportunity for Gwangju to challenge Ulsan's title aspirations, but they will need to enhance their defensive performance to secure points against the league's best.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

10%

Draw

17%

45%

Away

79%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Ulsan Hyundai FC goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	10	19	20	14	8	3
1	2	7	6	4	2	1
2		1	1	1
3
4
5

↑ Gwangju FC goals · most likely 0–2 (20.4%)

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Players in form

Gwangju FC

Moon Min-seo 2 gls

Ulsan Hyundai FC

Yago Cariello 4 gls

Lee Dong-Gyeong 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

79%

Draw

17%

Home Win

Both Teams To Score

77% BTTS No 23% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

31%

1.5

69%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

79%

Draw

17%

Home Win

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

96% Away (No Draw) 4% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

54% Away Win by 2+ 1% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

79% Away Scores More 17% Equal Goals 4% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

31%

1.5

69%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

77% BTTS No 23% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

21%

27%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.9%	18.6%	20.4%	14.4%	7.6%
1	2.0%	6.6%	6.1%	4.3%	2.3%
2	0.4%	0.9%	0.9%	0.7%	0.3%
3	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

70%

1.5

30%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

34%

36%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

34%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Gwangju FC	Draw	Ulsan Hyundai FC
Gwangju FC	1.9%	1.6%	1.3%
Draw	1.8%	13.1%	24.6%
Ulsan Hyundai FC	0.1%	1.4%	54.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

74%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

87%

0.5

13%

99%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

85%

0.5

15%

99%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

39%

1.5

61%

66%

2.5

34%

85%

3.5

15%

Away Exact Goals

12%

26%

28%

19%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

75%

1.5

25%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

68%

1.5

32%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Gwangju FC vs Ulsan Hyundai FC

0 Gwangju FC Wins

0 Draws

1 Ulsan Hyundai FC Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
19 Apr 2026	Ulsan Hyundai FC	2 - 1	Gwangju FC

Gwangju FC — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Jeonbuk Motors	D	2 - 2
13 Sep	H FC Anyang	D	1 - 1
09 Sep	H Jeju United FC	L	0 - 1
06 Sep	A Gimcheon Sangmu FC	D	2 - 2
30 Aug	H FC Seoul	L	2 - 5

Ulsan Hyundai FC — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A FC Anyang	L	2 - 1
12 Sep	H Incheon United	W	2 - 1
08 Sep	H FC Seoul	W	1 - 0
05 Sep	A Jeju United FC	D	0 - 0
29 Aug	H Gimcheon Sangmu FC	W	3 - 1

K League 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Seoul	19	13	3	3	34	14	+20	42
2	Jeonbuk Motors	20	9	6	5	27	16	+11	33
3	Gangwon FC	19	8	8	3	24	12	+12	32
4	Ulsan Hyundai FC	19	8	4	7	27	28	-1	28
5	Pohang Steelers	20	8	4	8	20	21	-1	28
6	FC Anyang	19	6	9	4	26	22	+4	27
7	Incheon United	19	8	3	8	24	20	+4	27
8	Jeju United FC	19	6	6	7	17	19	-2	24
9	Daejeon Citizen	20	4	8	8	23	23	0	20
10	Gimcheon Sangmu FC	20	3	11	6	21	28	-7	20
11	Bucheon FC 1995	19	4	7	8	17	24	-7	19
12	Gwangju FC	19	1	7	11	10	43	-33	10

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.