Portland Timbers vs Atlanta United FC Prognose

Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 26

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Atlanta United FC

Away

KI-Tipp Portland Timbers oder Unentschieden

50%

24%

26%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Portland Timbers vs. Atlanta United FC Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Portland Timbers eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 50%, für Atlanta United FC 26% und für ein Unentschieden 24%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 20 Sep 2026, 04:37.

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Under 4.5 76%
1st Half Home or Draw 75%

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Timeline

Diego Chará Yellow Card

25' ▮

⚽ 0–1 28'

Aleksey Miranchuk

⇄ 34'

Tomás Jacob ⇄ Matthew Edwards

Joel Waterman Yellow Card

45+2' ▮

▮ 45+2'

Giuliano Galoppo Yellow Card

HT 0–1

Antony Alves ⇄ Vincent Janssen

59' ⇄

▮ 65'

Tristan Muyumba Yellow Card

⇄ 66'

Giuliano Galoppo ⇄ Cooper Sanchez

Jímer Fory ⇄ Ian Smith

76' ⇄

Diego Chará ⇄ Joao Ortíz

76' ⇄

Cole Bassett ⇄ Omir Fernandez

77' ⇄

⇄ 83'

Tristan Muyumba ⇄ Ajani Fortune

⇄ 83'

Paulo Díaz ⇄ Enea Mihaj

Ronald Hernández ⇄ Gage Guerra

86' ⇄

FT 0–1

Portland Timbers

Match Stats

Atlanta United FC

53% Ball Possession 47%

1.53 Expected Goals (xG) 0.73

19 Total Shots 10

3 Shots on Goal 3

10 Shots off Goal 4

6 Blocked Shots 3

14 Shots insidebox 7

5 Shots outsidebox 3

5 Corner Kicks 3

3 Offsides 3

4 Fouls 13

2 Yellow Cards 2

Red Cards

2 Goalkeeper Saves 3

510 Total passes 454

447 Passes accurate 396

88% Passes % 87%

0.51 goals_prevented 0.51

Portland Timbers

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
2 Joel Waterman D	7.9	93'	–	–	–	72 (66%)	3
7 Ariel Lassiter F	7.7	93'	–	–	2	27 (21%)	–
10 David Pereira Da Costa M	7.5	93'	–	–	–	52 (47%)	2
27 Jímer Fory D	7.3	75'	–	–	–	48 (42%)	2
12 Ronald Hernández D	7.2	85'	–	–	–	50 (43%)	1
17 Cole Bassett M	7.0	75'	–	–	1	37 (35%)	2
21 Diego Chará M	6.9	75'	–	–	1	53 (48%)	1
20 Finn Surman D	6.7	93'	–	–	–	51 (46%)	1
23 Ian Smith D	6.7	18'	–	–	1	12 (12%)	–
41 James Pantemis G	6.6	93'	–	–	–	24 (20%)	–
99 Kristoffer Velde F	6.6	93'	–	–	5	27 (22%)	1
88 Gage Guerra F	6.5	8'	–	–	–	–	–
14 Vincent Janssen F	6.5	35'	–	–	–	6 (5%)	–
80 Joao Ortíz M	6.3	18'	–	–	–	18 (14%)	–
22 Omir Fernandez F	6.3	18'	–	–	1	6 (6%)	–
11 Antony Alves F	6.2	58'	–	–	1	21 (15%)	–

Atlanta United FC

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
59 Aleksey Miranchuk M	8.0	93'	1	–	1	41 (36%)	2
1 Lucas Hoyos G	7.7	93'	–	–	–	34 (25%)	–
4 Enea Mihaj D	7.7	11'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–
27 Paulo Díaz D	7.3	82'	–	–	–	53 (46%)	–
6 Junior Alonso D	7.2	93'	–	–	–	53 (49%)	–
3 Elías Báez D	7.0	93'	–	–	–	46 (40%)	1
10 Miguel Almirón M	6.9	93'	–	–	3	39 (34%)	2
11 Giuliano Galoppo M	6.9	65'	–	–	–	22 (19%)	3
14 Mauricio Amaro M	6.9	93'	–	–	–	50 (46%)	2
8 Tristan Muyumba M	6.7	82'	–	–	–	42 (40%)	1
36 Breel Embolo F	6.6	93'	–	–	3	23 (20%)	1
55 Tomás Jacob D	6.6	32'	–	–	–	11 (9%)	–
35 Ajani Fortune M	6.6	11'	–	–	–	6 (6%)	1
47 Matthew Edwards D	6.5	61'	–	–	–	17 (13%)	1
48 Cooper Sanchez M	6.5	28'	–	–	–	12 (10%)	–

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Confidence Low (50%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung

Portland Timbers oder Unentschieden

Most likely score

1:1 · 10.7%

Both teams to score

66%

Over 2.5 goals

66%

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Portland Timbers

LLDWL

Atlanta United FC

WDLDL

Live insights

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Atlanta United FC leads 0-1. Win probability: 77.2%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 22.8%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-1. Atlanta United FC leads. Win probability: 60.1%. Over 0.5 more goals: 80.2%.

29' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 0-1. Atlanta United FC win: 55.6%. BTTS: 74.3%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Atlanta United FC goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5	3	3	2	1
1	5	11	7	3	1
2	7	10	7	3	1
3	5	6	4	2	1
4	2	3	2	1
5	1	1	1

↑ Portland Timbers goals · most likely 1–1 (10.7%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

50%

Away Win

26%

Draw

24%

Both Teams To Score

66% BTTS Yes 34% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

14%

1.5

86%

34%

2.5

66%

57%

3.5

43%

76%

4.5

24%

89%

5.5

11%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

50%

Away Win

26%

Draw

24%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

66% Home (No Draw) 34% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

29% Home Win by 2+ 12% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

50% Home Scores More 26% Away Scores More 24% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

14%

1.5

86%

34%

2.5

66%

57%

3.5

43%

76%

4.5

24%

89%

5.5

11%

Both Teams To Score

66% BTTS Yes 34% BTTS No

Exact Goals

21%

22%

19%

13%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.6%	3.5%	3.3%	1.6%	0.6%
1	5.5%	10.7%	6.7%	3.1%	1.1%
2	6.7%	9.5%	6.7%	3.2%	1.1%
3	4.5%	6.4%	4.5%	2.1%	0.7%
4	2.3%	3.2%	2.3%	1.1%	0.4%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

52%

1.5

48%

79%

2.5

21%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

22%

29%

27%

13%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

43%

1.5

57%

72%

2.5

28%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

17%

26%

29%

17%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Portland Timbers	Draw	Atlanta United FC
Portland Timbers	30.4%	4.0%	1.7%
Draw	16.9%	13.5%	8.4%
Atlanta United FC	3.8%	5.1%	16.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

41%

1.5

59%

69%

2.5

31%

87%

3.5

13%

Home Exact Goals

14%

27%

28%

18%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

69%

1.5

31%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

76%

59%

1.5

41%

83%

2.5

17%

95%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Portland Timbers vs Atlanta United FC

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Portland Timbers — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Atlanta United FC	L	0 - 1
13 Sep	A FC Dallas	L	2 - 1
10 Sep	H St. Louis City	D	2 - 2
06 Sep	H Minnesota United FC	W	5 - 4
30 Aug	H Austin	L	1 - 2

Atlanta United FC — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Portland Timbers	W	0 - 1
12 Sep	A DC United	D	0 - 0
09 Sep	H Orlando City SC	L	2 - 3
05 Sep	A Inter Miami	D	2 - 2
29 Aug	H Charlotte	L	0 - 2

Major League Soccer Standings

Eastern Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	26	17	6	3	53	21	+32	57
2	New England Revolution	26	14	4	8	45	33	+12	46
3	Inter Miami	26	12	10	4	63	48	+15	46
4	Charlotte	26	12	7	7	47	37	+10	43
5	Chicago Fire	25	11	6	8	45	38	+7	39
6	Philadelphia Union	26	10	6	10	50	42	+8	36
7	Orlando City SC	26	10	4	12	46	60	-14	34
8	New York Red Bulls	26	9	6	11	34	48	-14	33
9	FC Cincinnati	25	8	9	8	54	61	-7	33
10	New York City FC	26	8	8	10	39	34	+5	32
11	DC United	25	6	11	8	31	39	-8	29
12	Toronto FC	26	6	11	9	39	49	-10	29
13	Columbus Crew	26	7	5	14	37	42	-5	26
14	Atlanta United FC	26	7	5	14	30	43	-13	26
15	CF Montreal	26	5	6	15	31	53	-22	21

Western Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	25	15	4	6	56	23	+33	49
2	Houston Dynamo	26	13	5	8	34	30	+4	44
3	St. Louis City	26	12	8	6	45	36	+9	44
4	FC Dallas	26	12	8	6	49	42	+7	44
5	San Jose Earthquakes	26	12	6	8	46	38	+8	42
6	Los Angeles FC	27	11	8	8	43	29	+14	41
7	Colorado Rapids	26	11	3	12	36	35	+1	36
8	Los Angeles Galaxy	27	8	9	10	34	42	-8	33
9	Portland Timbers	26	9	5	12	47	48	-1	32
10	San Diego	26	8	7	11	44	44	0	31
11	Austin	26	7	9	10	32	44	-12	30
12	Real Salt Lake	25	8	5	12	37	42	-5	29
13	Seattle Sounders	24	7	8	9	28	33	-5	29
14	Minnesota United FC	26	7	8	11	39	46	-7	29
15	Sporting Kansas City	25	5	3	17	29	63	-34	18

Atlanta United FC

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Gerardo Martino

1 Hoyos

3 Báez

6 Alonso

27 Díaz

55 Jacob

8 Muyumba

14 Amaro

10 Almirón

11 Galoppo

59 Miranchuk

36 Embolo

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Lucas Hoyos	G
55	Tomás Jacob	D
27	Paulo Díaz	D
6	Junior Alonso	D
3	Elías Báez	D
14	Mauricio Amaro	M
8	Tristan Muyumba	M
59	Aleksey Miranchuk	M
11	Giuliano Galoppo	M
10	Miguel Almirón	M
36	Breel Embolo	F

Substitutes

47	Matthew Edwards	D
48	Cooper Sanchez	M
42	Jayden Hibbert	G
4	Enea Mihaj	D
35	Ajani Fortune	M
16	Adrian Gill	M
20	Luke Brennan	M
22	Fafà Picault	F
19	Sergio Santos	F