Minnesota United FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy Prognose

Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 26

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Los Angeles Galaxy

Away

KI-Tipp Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Minnesota United FC

53%

24%

23%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Minnesota United FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Minnesota United FC eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 53%, für Los Angeles Galaxy 23% und für ein Unentschieden 24%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 20 Sep 2026, 02:40.

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Auswärtsteam trifft 74%
Under 4.5 75%
1st Half Home or Draw 75%
Home 2H Over 0.5 71%

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 12'

Pablo Ruíz

Marcus Caldeira assist: Wil Trapp

23' ⚽ 1–1

▮ 26'

Robert Taylor Yellow Card

Kelvin Yeboah Penalty

28' ⚽ 2–1

HT 2–1

⇄ 60'

Kyogo Furuhashi ⇄ João Klauss

⇄ 60'

Harbor Miller ⇄ Marco Reus

Kelvin Yeboah ⇄ Tomás Chancalay

67' ⇄

⇄ 68'

Julián Aude ⇄ John Nelson

Carlos Harvey Yellow Card

69' ▮

⇄ 69'

Erik Thommy ⇄ Lucas Sanabria

Morris Duggan ⇄ Jefferson Díaz

73' ⇄

⚽ 2–2 76'

João Klauss assist: Marco Reus

⚽ 2–3 80'

Marco Reus assist: Calegari

Wil Trapp ⇄ Nectarios Triantis

82' ⇄

Marcus Caldeira ⇄ M. Malone

82' ⇄

FT 2–3

Minnesota United FC

Match Stats

Los Angeles Galaxy

43% Ball Possession 57%

1.84 Expected Goals (xG) 1.59

13 Total Shots 16

4 Shots on Goal 5

5 Shots off Goal 9

4 Blocked Shots 2

9 Shots insidebox 12

4 Shots outsidebox 4

5 Corner Kicks 8

1 Offsides 2

13 Fouls 8

1 Yellow Cards 1

Red Cards

2 Goalkeeper Saves 3

375 Total passes 502

299 Passes accurate 421

80% Passes % 84%

-1.00 goals_prevented -1.00

Minnesota United FC

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
13 Anthony Markanich M	7.6	92'	–	–	2	31 (21%)	1
9 Kelvin Yeboah F	7.6	66'	1	–	1	14 (10%)	2
22 Marcus Caldeira F	7.5	81'	1	–	2	12 (10%)	–
3 Kyle Duncan M	7.0	92'	–	–	–	28 (24%)	1
26 Joaquín Pereyra F	6.9	92'	–	–	2	43 (34%)	1
5 Nicolás Romero D	6.7	92'	–	–	–	37 (33%)	3
12 Drake Callender G	6.6	92'	–	–	–	29 (15%)	–
20 Wil Trapp M	6.6	81'	–	1	–	44 (40%)	1
25 Nectarios Triantis D	6.6	11'	–	–	–	6 (5%)	–
23 Morris Duggan D	6.5	73'	–	–	1	38 (33%)	1
8 Tomás Chancalay F	6.3	26'	–	–	1	6 (3%)	–
11 M. Malone F	6.3	11'	–	–	–	–	–
67 Carlos Harvey D	6.2	92'	–	–	–	37 (30%)	3
30 Owen Gene M	6.2	92'	–	–	–	40 (32%)	1
28 Jefferson Díaz D	6.2	19'	–	–	–	10 (9%)	–

Los Angeles Galaxy

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
18 Marco Reus M	8.3	33'	1	1	1	18 (17%)	–
99 João Klauss F	8.0	33'	1	–	4	7 (2%)	–
17 Pablo Ruíz M	7.9	92'	1	–	1	81 (73%)	1
15 Justin Haak D	7.0	92'	–	–	1	61 (57%)	2
11 Hirving Lozano M	6.9	92'	–	–	1	37 (31%)	2
14 John Nelson D	6.6	24'	–	–	–	8 (7%)	1
2 Calegari D	6.6	92'	–	1	1	45 (38%)	–
7 Kyogo Furuhashi F	6.6	59'	–	–	1	10 (7%)	1
3 Julián Aude D	6.5	68'	–	–	–	37 (35%)	2
8 Lucas Sanabria M	6.3	24'	–	–	–	9 (8%)	1
26 Harbor Miller M	6.3	59'	–	–	1	26 (20%)	1
27 Erik Thommy M	6.2	68'	–	–	–	29 (26%)	–
21 Robert Taylor M	6.2	92'	–	–	3	46 (34%)	1
5 Jakob Glesnes D	5.9	92'	–	–	–	68 (57%)	1
12 JT Marcinkowski G	5.9	92'	–	–	–	20 (9%)	–

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Confidence Medium (53%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung

Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Minnesota United FC

Most likely score

1:1 · 10.3%

Both teams to score

66%

Over 2.5 goals

67%

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Minnesota United FC

LLLLL

Los Angeles Galaxy

WWDLW

Last 1 meetings Minnesota United FC · 1W 0D 0L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

53%

10%

Draw

24%

45%

Away

23%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Los Angeles Galaxy goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4	3	3	1
1	6	10	6	3	1
2	7	10	7	3	1
3	5	7	5	2	1
4	3	4	2	1
5	1	2	1

↑ Minnesota United FC goals · most likely 1–1 (10.3%)

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Players in form

Minnesota United FC

K. Yeboah 14 gls

Los Angeles Galaxy

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

53%

Draw

24%

Away Win

23%

Both Teams To Score

66% BTTS Yes 34% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

96%

13%

1.5

87%

33%

2.5

67%

56%

3.5

44%

75%

4.5

25%

88%

5.5

12%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

53%

Draw

24%

Away Win

23%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

70% Home (No Draw) 30% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

32% Home Win by 2+ 10% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

53% Home Scores More 24% Equal Goals 23% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

96%

13%

1.5

87%

33%

2.5

67%

56%

3.5

44%

75%

4.5

25%

88%

5.5

12%

Both Teams To Score

66% BTTS Yes 34% BTTS No

Exact Goals

20%

22%

19%

13%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.4%	3.1%	2.9%	1.3%	0.4%
1	5.6%	10.3%	6.2%	2.8%	0.9%
2	7.2%	9.7%	6.5%	2.9%	1.0%
3	5.1%	6.8%	4.6%	2.1%	0.7%
4	2.7%	3.6%	2.5%	1.1%	0.4%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

51%

1.5

49%

79%

2.5

21%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

22%

29%

27%

14%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

42%

1.5

58%

71%

2.5

29%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

17%

26%

29%

17%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Minnesota United FC	Draw	Los Angeles Galaxy
Minnesota United FC	31.5%	3.4%	1.3%
Draw	18.7%	12.9%	7.0%
Los Angeles Galaxy	4.5%	5.5%	15.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

38%

1.5

62%

66%

2.5

34%

85%

3.5

15%

Home Exact Goals

12%

26%

28%

19%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

95%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

26%

35%

24%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

84%

1.5

16%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Minnesota United FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy

1 Minnesota United FC Wins

0 Draws

0 Los Angeles Galaxy Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
05 Apr 2026	Los Angeles Galaxy	1 - 2	Minnesota United FC

Minnesota United FC — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
27 Sep	A Seattle Sounders	L	3 - 1
20 Sep	H Los Angeles Galaxy	L	2 - 3
13 Sep	A St. Louis City	L	4 - 2
10 Sep	H FC Dallas	L	1 - 2
06 Sep	A Portland Timbers	L	5 - 4

Los Angeles Galaxy — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
27 Sep	H Colorado Rapids	W	3 - 2
20 Sep	A Minnesota United FC	W	2 - 3
13 Sep	H Seattle Sounders	D	1 - 1
10 Sep	A Vancouver Whitecaps	L	3 - 0
06 Sep	H New England Revolution	W	2 - 1

Major League Soccer Standings

Eastern Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	18	6	3	55	21	+34	60
2	New England Revolution	26	14	4	8	45	33	+12	46
3	Inter Miami	26	12	10	4	63	48	+15	46
4	Charlotte	27	12	7	8	47	38	+9	43
5	Chicago Fire	26	12	6	8	46	38	+8	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	11	6	10	54	44	+10	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	10	4	13	48	64	-16	34
8	New York Red Bulls	26	9	6	11	34	48	-14	33
9	New York City FC	27	8	9	10	41	36	+5	33
10	FC Cincinnati	26	8	9	9	55	64	-9	33
11	DC United	25	6	11	8	31	39	-8	29
12	Toronto FC	27	6	11	10	39	51	-12	29
13	Atlanta United FC	27	7	6	14	32	45	-13	27
14	Columbus Crew	26	7	5	14	37	42	-5	26
15	CF Montreal	27	6	6	15	34	54	-20	24

Western Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	25	15	4	6	56	23	+33	49
2	FC Dallas	27	13	8	6	50	42	+8	47
3	Houston Dynamo	27	13	5	9	34	32	+2	44
4	St. Louis City	26	12	8	6	45	36	+9	44
5	San Jose Earthquakes	26	12	6	8	46	38	+8	42
6	Los Angeles FC	28	11	8	9	43	30	+13	41
7	Colorado Rapids	26	11	3	12	36	35	+1	36
8	Seattle Sounders	26	9	8	9	33	34	-1	35
9	Los Angeles Galaxy	27	8	9	10	34	42	-8	33
10	Portland Timbers	26	9	5	12	47	48	-1	32
11	San Diego	27	8	8	11	47	47	0	32
12	Austin	27	7	10	10	35	47	-12	31
13	Real Salt Lake	26	8	5	13	37	44	-7	29
14	Minnesota United FC	27	7	8	12	40	49	-9	29
15	Sporting Kansas City	26	6	3	17	31	63	-32	21

Los Angeles Galaxy

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Greg Vanney

12 Marcinkowski

3 Aude

15 Haak

5 Glesnes

2 Calegari

27 Thommy

17 Ruíz

21 Taylor

11 Lozano

7 Furuhashi

26 Miller

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
12	JT Marcinkowski	G
2	Calegari	D
5	Jakob Glesnes	D
15	Justin Haak	D
3	Julián Aude	D
21	Robert Taylor	M
17	Pablo Ruíz	M
27	Erik Thommy	M
26	Harbor Miller	F
7	Kyogo Furuhashi	F
11	Hirving Lozano	F

Substitutes

1	Novak Mićović	G
14	John Nelson	D
25	Carlos Garcés	D
4	Maya Yoshida	D
18	Marco Reus	M
8	Lucas Sanabria	M
76	Troy Elgersma	M
16	Isaiah Parente	M
99	João Klauss	F