Portland Timbers vs San Diego Prognose

Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 20

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San Diego

Away

KI-Tipp Portland Timbers oder Unentschieden

46%

26%

28%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Portland Timbers vs. San Diego Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Portland Timbers eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 46%, für San Diego 28% und für ein Unentschieden 26%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 20 Aug 2026, 04:37.

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Unter 3,5 Tore 73%
1st Half Over 0.5 73%
2nd Half Over 0.5 71%

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Timeline

Ariel Lassiter Yellow Card

17' ▮

Kristoffer Velde assist: Cole Bassett

29' ⚽ 1–0

⚽ 1–1 45+1'

Gabriel Pirani assist: Lewis Morgan

HT 1–1

Ariel Lassiter assist: Jímer Fory

51' ⚽ 2–1

⇄ 59'

Onni Valakari ⇄ Alejandro Alvarado Jr

⇄ 59'

Alex Mighten ⇄ Elias Achouri

Brandon Bye ⇄ Eric Miller

62' ⇄

David Pereira Da Costa assist: Kristoffer Velde

68' ⚽ 3–1

⇄ 74'

Dagur Dan Þórhallsson ⇄ Oscar Verhoeven

⇄ 74'

⇄ Luca Bombino

Kristoffer Velde ⇄ Antony Alves

74' ⇄

Cole Bassett ⇄ Joao Ortíz

74' ⇄

⇄ 74'

Marcus Ingvartsen ⇄ Amahl Pellegrino

David Pereira Da Costa ⇄ Diego Chará

83' ⇄

Ariel Lassiter ⇄ Vincent Janssen

83' ⇄

▮ 90+1'

Oscar Verhoeven Yellow Card

Yellow Card

90+7' ▮

FT 3–1

Portland Timbers

Match Stats

San Diego

30% Ball Possession 70%

1.60 Expected Goals (xG) 1.38

11 Total Shots 21

5 Shots on Goal 6

5 Shots off Goal 6

1 Blocked Shots 9

6 Shots insidebox 13

5 Shots outsidebox 8

0 Corner Kicks 7

3 Offsides 1

14 Fouls 9

1 Yellow Cards 1

Red Cards

5 Goalkeeper Saves 2

315 Total passes 730

262 Passes accurate 668

83% Passes % 92%

-1.21 goals_prevented -1.21

Portland Timbers

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
99 Kristoffer Velde M	8.5	74'	1	1	2	17 (13%)	2
4 Kamal Miller D	7.7	94'	–	–	–	44 (42%)	2
10 David Pereira Da Costa M	7.6	83'	1	–	1	24 (21%)	–
30 José Caicedo M	7.5	94'	–	–	–	34 (26%)	1
27 Jímer Fory D	7.3	94'	–	1	–	23 (20%)	4
20 Finn Surman D	7.2	94'	–	–	–	27 (23%)	2
41 James Pantemis G	7.2	94'	–	–	–	26 (17%)	–
17 Cole Bassett M	7.0	74'	–	1	1	35 (32%)	1
7 Ariel Lassiter M	7.0	83'	1	–	3	18 (12%)	1
11 Antony Alves F	6.7	20'	–	–	–	2 (1%)	–
15 Eric Miller D	6.7	32'	–	–	–	9 (7%)	–
80 Joao Ortíz M	6.7	20'	–	–	–	4 (4%)	–
14 Vincent Janssen F	6.7	11'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	–
19 Kevin Kelsy F	6.6	94'	–	–	3	25 (19%)	1
5 Brandon Bye D	6.3	62'	–	–	–	23 (21%)	1
21 Diego Chará M	6.3	11'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	1

San Diego

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
12 Gabriel Pirani M	7.6	94'	1	–	4	64 (54%)	–
6 Jeppe Tverskov M	7.5	94'	–	–	1	122 (113%)	3
26 Manu Duah D	7.0	94'	–	–	–	119 (108%)	3
27 Luca Bombino D	6.9	20'	–	–	–	12 (10%)	3
8 Onni Valakari M	6.6	58'	–	–	–	67 (64%)	–
70 Alejandro Alvarado Jr F	6.6	36'	–	–	1	37 (36%)	–
5 Kieran Sargeant D	6.5	74'	–	–	–	50 (47%)	4
90 Amahl Pellegrino F	6.5	20'	–	–	–	–	–
3 Dagur Dan Þórhallsson D	6.3	74'	–	–	–	62 (59%)	4
33 Oscar Verhoeven D	6.3	20'	–	–	1	6 (6%)	–
77 Alex Mighten F	6.3	59'	–	–	–	13 (11%)	–
9 Lewis Morgan F	6.3	94'	–	1	2	29 (26%)	1
99 Elias Achouri M	6.2	35'	–	–	1	23 (15%)	–
7 Marcus Ingvartsen F	6.2	74'	–	–	2	15 (12%)	–
32 Ian Murphy D	6.2	94'	–	–	–	82 (79%)	1
1 CJ Dos Santos G	5.9	94'	–	–	–	29 (28%)	–

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Confidence Low (46%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung

Portland Timbers oder Unentschieden

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.6%

Both teams to score

53%

Over 2.5 goals

49%

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Portland Timbers

LLDWL

San Diego

DLLLW

Last 1 meetings Portland Timbers · 1W 0D 0L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

46%

45%

Draw

26%

45%

Away

28%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

San Diego goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9	6	4	1
1	10	14	6	2	1
2	9	10	5	2
3	5	5	3	1
4	2	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Portland Timbers goals · most likely 1–1 (13.6%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

46%

Away Win

28%

Draw

26%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

88%

4.5

12%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

46%

Away Win

28%

Draw

26%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

66% Home (No Draw) 34% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

25% Home Win by 2+ 10% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

48% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals 24% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

88%

4.5

12%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Exact Goals

16%

27%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.8%	6.1%	4.0%	1.4%	0.4%
1	9.8%	13.6%	6.4%	2.3%	0.6%
2	9.0%	9.5%	5.0%	1.8%	0.5%
3	4.7%	5.0%	2.7%	0.9%	0.3%
4	1.9%	2.0%	1.1%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Portland Timbers	Draw	San Diego
Portland Timbers	31.2%	4.1%	1.2%
Draw	15.5%	17.7%	8.3%
San Diego	2.2%	4.5%	15.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

53%

1.5

47%

79%

2.5

21%

93%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

21%

33%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

35%

37%

19%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Portland Timbers vs San Diego

1 Portland Timbers Wins

0 Draws

0 San Diego Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
26 Apr 2026	San Diego	1 - 2	Portland Timbers

Portland Timbers — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Atlanta United FC	L	0 - 1
13 Sep	A FC Dallas	L	2 - 1
10 Sep	H St. Louis City	D	2 - 2
06 Sep	H Minnesota United FC	W	5 - 4
30 Aug	H Austin	L	1 - 2

San Diego — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Inter Miami	D	2 - 2
14 Sep	H Philadelphia Union	L	0 - 5
10 Sep	H San Jose Earthquakes	L	2 - 3
05 Sep	A Orlando City SC	L	1 - 0
30 Aug	H Los Angeles Galaxy	W	3 - 1

Major League Soccer Standings

Eastern Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	26	17	6	3	53	21	+32	57
2	New England Revolution	26	14	4	8	45	33	+12	46
3	Inter Miami	26	12	10	4	63	48	+15	46
4	Charlotte	26	12	7	7	47	37	+10	43
5	Chicago Fire	25	11	6	8	45	38	+7	39
6	Philadelphia Union	26	10	6	10	50	42	+8	36
7	Orlando City SC	26	10	4	12	46	60	-14	34
8	New York Red Bulls	26	9	6	11	34	48	-14	33
9	FC Cincinnati	25	8	9	8	54	61	-7	33
10	New York City FC	26	8	8	10	39	34	+5	32
11	DC United	25	6	11	8	31	39	-8	29
12	Toronto FC	26	6	11	9	39	49	-10	29
13	Columbus Crew	26	7	5	14	37	42	-5	26
14	Atlanta United FC	26	7	5	14	30	43	-13	26
15	CF Montreal	26	5	6	15	31	53	-22	21

Western Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	25	15	4	6	56	23	+33	49
2	Houston Dynamo	26	13	5	8	34	30	+4	44
3	St. Louis City	26	12	8	6	45	36	+9	44
4	FC Dallas	26	12	8	6	49	42	+7	44
5	San Jose Earthquakes	26	12	6	8	46	38	+8	42
6	Los Angeles FC	27	11	8	8	43	29	+14	41
7	Colorado Rapids	26	11	3	12	36	35	+1	36
8	Los Angeles Galaxy	27	8	9	10	34	42	-8	33
9	Portland Timbers	26	9	5	12	47	48	-1	32
10	Seattle Sounders	25	8	8	9	30	33	-3	32
11	San Diego	26	8	7	11	44	44	0	31
12	Austin	26	7	9	10	32	44	-12	30
13	Real Salt Lake	26	8	5	13	37	44	-7	29
14	Minnesota United FC	26	7	8	11	39	46	-7	29
15	Sporting Kansas City	25	5	3	17	29	63	-34	18

Portland Timbers

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Jack Cassidy

41 Pantemis

27 Fory

4 Miller

20 Surman

5 Bye

30 Caicedo

17 Bassett

99 Velde

10 Costa

7 Lassiter

19 Kelsy

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
41	James Pantemis	G
5	Brandon Bye	D
20	Finn Surman	D
4	Kamal Miller	D
27	Jímer Fory	D
17	Cole Bassett	M
30	José Caicedo	M
7	Ariel Lassiter	M
10	David Pereira Da Costa	M
99	Kristoffer Velde	M
19	Kevin Kelsy	F

Substitutes

25	Trey Muse	G
23	Ian Smith	D
15	Eric Miller	D
21	Diego Chará	M
11	Antony Alves	F
80	Joao Ortíz	M
88	Gage Guerra	F
22	Omir Fernandez	F
14	Vincent Janssen	F

San Diego

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Mikey Varas

1 Santos

5 Sargeant

32 Murphy

26 Duah

3 Þórhallsson

12 Pirani

6 Tverskov

8 Valakari

9 Morgan

7 Ingvartsen

77 Mighten

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	CJ Dos Santos	G
3	Dagur Dan Þórhallsson	D
26	Manu Duah	D
32	Ian Murphy	D
5	Kieran Sargeant	D
8	Onni Valakari	M
6	Jeppe Tverskov	M
12	Gabriel Pirani	M
77	Alex Mighten	F
7	Marcus Ingvartsen	F
9	Lewis Morgan	F

Substitutes

18	Duran Ferree	G
33	Oscar Verhoeven	D
27	Luca Bombino	D
97	Christopher McVey	D
70	Alejandro Alvarado Jr	F
20	Aníbal Godoy	M
19	David Vazquez	M
99	Elias Achouri	M
90	Amahl Pellegrino	F