Defensa Y Justicia vs Independiente Prognose

Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 15

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Independiente

Away

KI-Tipp Defensa Y Justicia oder Unentschieden

43%

30%

27%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Defensa Y Justicia vs. Independiente Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Defensa Y Justicia eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 43%, für Independiente 27% und für ein Unentschieden 30%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 2 Nov 2026, 23:59.

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Heimteam trifft 75%
2nd Half Over 0.5 73%
Über 1,5 Tore 72%

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Timeline

▮ 24'

Santiago Arias Yellow Card

Leandro Fernández assist: David Barbona

38' ⚽ 1–0

🖵 42'

Maxi Meza Penalty confirmed

⚽ 1–1 44'

Maxi Meza Penalty

HT 1–1

▮ 52'

Nahuel Banegas Yellow Card

▮ 61'

Santiago Montiel Yellow Card

David Barbona ⇄ Aaron Molinas

66' ⇄

César Pérez ⇄ Maximiliano Porcel

67' ⇄

▮ 68'

Sebastián Valdez Yellow Card

Maximiliano Porcel Yellow Card

71' ▮

⇄ 78'

Nahuel Banegas ⇄ Facundo Zabala

⇄ 78'

Josias Palais ⇄ Iván Morales

⇄ 78'

Maxi Meza ⇄ Lautaro Millán

▮ 79'

Juan Miguel Arrayago Yellow Card

Jeremías Lucco ⇄ Tiziano Perrotta

80' ⇄

⇄ 83'

Chimy Ávila ⇄ Felipe Tempone

⇄ 88'

Santiago Montiel ⇄ Imanol Machuca

⇄ Lucas Souto

90+3' ⇄

FT 1–1

Defensa Y Justicia

Match Stats

Independiente

57% Ball Possession 43%

1.05 Expected Goals (xG) 1.61

16 Total Shots 9

8 Shots on Goal 6

7 Shots off Goal 1

1 Blocked Shots 2

8 Shots insidebox 6

8 Shots outsidebox 3

5 Corner Kicks 7

6 Offsides 1

7 Fouls 14

1 Yellow Cards 5

0 Red Cards 0

5 Goalkeeper Saves 7

375 Total passes 270

281 Passes accurate 181

14 Free Kicks 7

Defensa Y Justicia

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
9 Leandro Fernández F	8.1	90'	1	–	6	23 (7%)	–
1 Matías Borgogno G	7.4	90'	–	–	–	27 (19%)	–
19 David Barbona M	7.3	66'	–	1	1	41 (31%)	–
8 César Pérez M	6.9	67'	–	–	1	32 (26%)	1
11 Tiziano Perrotta F	6.7	10'	–	–	1	1 (1%)	–
10 Aaron Molinas M	6.7	24'	–	–	1	11 (8%)	–
24 Juan Manuel Gutiérrez M	6.5	90'	–	–	3	10 (5%)	1
30 Demian Dominguez D	6.5	90'	–	–	–	30 (28%)	1
26 Jeremías Lucco M	6.4	80'	–	–	2	21 (17%)	–
21 David Martínez D	6.3	90'	–	–	1	48 (40%)	1
15 Santiago Sosa M	6.3	90'	–	–	–	49 (39%)	3
28 Valentín Loza D	6.2	90'	–	–	–	35 (24%)	3
22 Maximiliano Porcel M	6.0	23'	–	–	–	6 (5%)	–

Independiente

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
77 Santiago Mele G	7.5	90'	–	–	–	33 (17%)	–
34 Felipe Tempone F	6.9	7'	–	–	–	3 (1%)	–
7 Santiago Montiel M	6.7	88'	–	–	1	16 (8%)	1
11 Imanol Machuca F	6.6	2'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	–
6 Chimy Ávila F	6.6	83'	–	–	2	16 (12%)	–
9 Iván Morales F	6.5	12'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	–
20 Facundo Cruz M	6.5	90'	–	–	1	23 (17%)	4
22 Facundo Zabala D	6.4	12'	–	–	–	6 (4%)	1
16 Mateo Perez M	6.4	90'	–	–	1	28 (16%)	1
4 Santiago Arias D	6.3	90'	–	–	–	27 (22%)	3
14 Lautaro Millán M	6.3	12'	–	–	–	8 (6%)	–
35 Juan Miguel Arrayago D	6.2	90'	–	–	–	14 (13%)	3
36 Sebastián Valdez D	6.1	90'	–	–	–	28 (22%)	–
24 Josias Palais M	6.1	78'	–	–	–	11 (9%)	–
5 Nahuel Banegas D	6.0	78'	–	–	–	25 (12%)	3
8 Maxi Meza M	5.9	78'	1	–	4	27 (17%)	2

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Confidence Low (43%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung

Defensa Y Justicia oder Unentschieden

Most likely score

Both teams to score

Over 2.5 goals

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Defensa Y Justicia

LDWLW

Independiente

WDLDD

Last 3 meetings Defensa Y Justicia · 1W 1D 1L

Live insights

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: Still level at 1-1. Draw looking likely at 71.4%. Late goal chance: 31.4%.

45' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 44.1%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 1-1. Teams level going into the 2nd half. Home win 2H: 33.2%, Away win 2H: 22.8%.

39' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-0. Defensa Y Justicia win: 76.3%. BTTS: 45.2%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

43%

45%

Draw

30%

45%

Away

27%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Defensa Y Justicia

No scorer data.

Independiente

G. Ávalos 11 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Head to Head: Defensa Y Justicia vs Independiente

1 Defensa Y Justicia Wins

1 Draws

1 Independiente Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
18 Apr 2026	Independiente	2 - 1	Defensa Y Justicia
03 Jun 2024	Defensa Y Justicia	0 - 0	Independiente
19 Feb 2023	Independiente	0 - 2	Defensa Y Justicia

Alle 10 Begegnungen ansehen — Premium

Defensa Y Justicia — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
07 Nov	A Boca Juniors	L	1 - 0
02 Nov	H Independiente	D	1 - 1
24 Oct	A Talleres Cordoba	W	1 - 2
16 Oct	H Instituto Cordoba	L	0 - 1
10 Oct	A Union Santa Fe	W	0 - 2

Independiente — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
06 Nov	H Deportivo Riestra	W	2 - 1
02 Nov	A Defensa Y Justicia	D	1 - 1
25 Oct	H Boca Juniors	L	0 - 1
18 Oct	A Racing Club	D	1 - 1
12 Oct	A Talleres Cordoba	D	0 - 0

Liga Profesional Argentina Standings

Clausura - Group A

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Instituto Cordoba	16	10	4	2	26	15	+11	34
2	Boca Juniors	16	9	6	1	24	14	+10	33
3	Velez Sarsfield	16	7	7	2	25	17	+8	28
4	Defensa Y Justicia	16	8	4	4	21	15	+6	28
5	Lanus	15	7	4	4	18	11	+7	25
6	Newells Old Boys	16	5	8	3	16	13	+3	23
7	Independiente	16	6	5	5	15	16	-1	23
8	Gimnasia M.	16	6	4	6	18	17	+1	22
9	Union Santa Fe	16	6	3	7	24	24	0	21
10	Platense	16	5	5	6	18	20	-2	20
11	San Lorenzo	16	5	4	7	9	16	-7	19
12	Estudiantes L.P.	16	4	4	8	21	22	-1	16
13	Talleres Cordoba	16	3	4	9	17	23	-6	13
14	Deportivo Riestra	16	2	6	8	11	19	-8	12
15	Central Cordoba de Santiago	15	2	4	9	11	25	-14	10

Clausura - Group B

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Rosario Central	16	10	4	2	26	12	+14	34
2	Argentinos JRS	16	9	4	3	20	14	+6	31
3	Gimnasia L.P.	16	9	4	3	25	20	+5	31
4	River Plate	16	8	2	6	21	14	+7	26
5	Barracas Central	16	7	5	4	17	13	+4	26
6	Belgrano Cordoba	16	6	5	5	17	15	+2	23
7	Independ. Rivadavia	16	6	5	5	21	24	-3	23
8	Huracan	16	6	4	6	14	16	-2	22
9	Sarmiento Junin	16	6	3	7	23	24	-1	21
10	Tigre	16	5	4	7	16	16	0	19
11	Atletico Tucuman	16	4	6	6	16	17	-1	18
12	Banfield	16	3	6	7	18	25	-7	15
13	Racing Club	16	4	3	9	16	24	-8	15
14	Aldosivi	16	3	2	11	16	26	-10	11
15	Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto	16	2	3	11	10	23	-13	9

Defensa Y Justicia

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: J. Vaccari

1 Borgogno

30 Domínguez

21 Martínez

32 Roselli

28 Loza

8 Pérez

15 Sosa

26 Lucco

19 Barbona

24 Gutiérrez

9 Fernández

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	M. Borgogno	G
28	V. Loza	D
32	Nazareno Roselli	D
21	D. Martínez	D
30	D. Domínguez	D
15	S. Sosa	M
8	C. Pérez	M
24	J. Gutiérrez	M
19	D. Barbona	M
26	J. Lucco	M
9	L. Fernández	F

Substitutes

27	D. Blanco	M
6	E. Burdin	D
17	A. Hausch	F
10	A. Molinas	M
99	N. Palavecino	M
11	Tiziano Perrota	F
22	M. Porcel	M
16	A. Portillo	M
7	T. Pérez	F
3	F. Román	D
33	L. Souto	D
36	L. Amadé	G

Independiente

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Jádson Viera

77 Mele

5 Banegas

35 Arrayago

36 Valdez

4 Arias

20 Cruz

16 Perez

24 Palais

8 Meza

7 Montiel

6 Ávila

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
77	S. Mele	G
4	S. Arias	D
36	S. Valdez	D
35	J. Arrayago	D
5	N. Banegas	D
16	M. Perez	M
20	Facundo Cruz	M
7	S. Montiel	M
8	M. Meza	M
24	J. Palais	M
6	E. Ávila	F

Substitutes

2	F. Calderón	D
10	L. Cabral	M
13	J. Fedorco	D
29	L. Godoy	D
11	I. Machuca	F
32	D. Martínez	M
14	Lautaro Millán	M
9	I. Morales	F
30	Tomás Parmo	M
33	R. Rey	G
34	F. Tempone	F
22	F. Zabala	D