Lanus vs Independiente Prognose
FT
KI-Tipp
Lanus oder Unentschieden
39%
33%
28%
Heimsieg
Unentschieden
Auswärtssieg
Lanus vs. Independiente Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Lanus eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 39%, für Independiente 28% und für ein Unentschieden 33%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 17 Aug 2026, 21:56.
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Timeline
⚽
0–1
37'
Lautaro Millán
assist: Santiago Montiel
HT 0–1
⚽
0–2
47'
Lautaro Millán
Allan Wlk
assist: Ramiro Carrera
50'
⚽
1–2
⇄
61'
Mateo Perez
⇄ David Martínez
⇄
61'
Lautaro Millán
⇄ Maxi Meza
Eduardo Salvio
⇄ Matías Sepúlveda
64'
⇄
Allan Wlk
⇄ Yoshan Valois
64'
⇄
Ramiro Carrera
Yellow Card
69'
▮
Felipe Peña Biafore
⇄ Lucas Besozzi
77'
⇄
⇄
77'
Santiago Montiel
⇄ Matías Abaldo
⇄
77'
Josias Palais
⇄ Maximiliano Gutiérrez
Tomás Guidara
⇄ Nicolás Morgantini
85'
⇄
Dylan Aquino
⇄ Benjamin Acosta
85'
⇄
▮
87'
Iván Marcone
Yellow Card
▮
87'
Gabriel Ávalos
Yellow Card
Benjamin Acosta
Yellow Card
89'
▮
⇄
90+1'
Gabriel Ávalos
⇄ Facundo Cruz
⚽
1–3
90+4'
Maximiliano Gutiérrez
assist: Matías Abaldo
▮
90+5'
Rodrigo Rey
Yellow Card
FT 1–3
Lanus
Match Stats
Independiente
52%
Ball Possession
48%
1.87
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
20
Total Shots
14
6
Shots on Goal
4
11
Shots off Goal
6
3
Blocked Shots
4
13
Shots insidebox
10
7
Shots outsidebox
4
9
Corner Kicks
5
1
Offsides
1
18
Fouls
11
2
Yellow Cards
2
Red Cards
1
Goalkeeper Saves
5
394
Total passes
378
307
Passes accurate
288
78%
Passes %
76%
0.83
goals_prevented
0.83
Lanus
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Allan Wlk F | 7.9 | 64' | 1 | – | 6 | 12 (9%) | 1 |
| 23 Ramiro Carrera M | 7.5 | 95' | – | 1 | 3 | 29 (19%) | 4 |
| 24 Carlos Izquierdoz D | 7.0 | 95' | – | – | – | 48 (41%) | 2 |
| 5 Felipe Peña Biafore M | 7.0 | 77' | – | – | – | 42 (34%) | – |
| 30 Agustín Cardozo M | 6.9 | 95' | – | – | 2 | 56 (49%) | 1 |
| 19 Yoshan Valois F | 6.9 | 31' | – | – | 2 | 2 (2%) | – |
| 33 Tomás Guidara D | 6.7 | 84' | – | – | – | 33 (25%) | 4 |
| 16 Matías Sepúlveda M | 6.7 | 31' | – | – | 1 | 8 (3%) | 1 |
| 25 Dylan Aquino M | 6.7 | 85' | – | – | 2 | 35 (26%) | 4 |
| 77 Lucas Besozzi F | 6.5 | 18' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 6 Sasha Marcich D | 6.2 | 95' | – | – | – | 30 (24%) | 3 |
| 35 Ronaldo De Jesus D | 6.2 | 95' | – | – | – | 47 (41%) | 2 |
| 3 Nicolás Morgantini D | 6.2 | 11' | – | – | – | 3 (1%) | – |
| 38 Benjamin Acosta F | 6.2 | 10' | – | – | – | 3 (1%) | – |
| 11 Eduardo Salvio M | 6.0 | 64' | – | – | 1 | 19 (13%) | 1 |
| 26 Nahuel Losada G | 5.5 | 95' | – | – | – | 26 (18%) | – |
Independiente
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Lautaro Millán M | 9.0 | 61' | 2 | – | 2 | 28 (28%) | 2 |
| 33 Rodrigo Rey G | 8.2 | 95' | – | – | – | 31 (21%) | – |
| 22 Facundo Zabala D | 7.3 | 95' | – | – | 1 | 38 (24%) | 6 |
| 23 Iván Marcone M | 7.3 | 95' | – | – | – | 40 (31%) | 6 |
| 28 Maximiliano Gutiérrez F | 7.2 | 18' | 1 | – | 2 | 5 (4%) | – |
| 7 Santiago Montiel M | 7.0 | 77' | – | 1 | – | 26 (16%) | – |
| 9 Gabriel Ávalos F | 6.9 | 91' | – | – | 1 | 30 (13%) | – |
| 19 Matías Abaldo F | 6.6 | 18' | – | 1 | – | 4 (3%) | – |
| 32 David Martínez M | 6.6 | 34' | – | – | – | 8 (7%) | 1 |
| 4 Santiago Arias D | 6.3 | 95' | – | – | 1 | 33 (28%) | 2 |
| 26 Kevin Lomónaco D | 6.3 | 95' | – | – | 1 | 47 (41%) | 1 |
| 35 Juan Miguel Arrayago D | 6.3 | 95' | – | – | – | 38 (32%) | 2 |
| 16 Mateo Perez M | 6.2 | 61' | – | – | 1 | 19 (17%) | – |
| 8 Maxi Meza F | 6.2 | 34' | – | – | – | 12 (8%) | – |
| 24 Josias Palais M | 6.2 | 77' | – | – | 1 | 16 (15%) | 2 |
| 20 Facundo Cruz M | — | 4' | – | – | – | 3 | – |
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Confidence
Low (39%)
At a glance
Unsere Einschätzung
Lanus oder Unentschieden
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Lanus
DDWWD
Independiente
WDLDD
Last 3 meetings
Lanus · 1W 1D 1L
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
39%
10%
Draw
33%
45%
Away
28%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Lanus
No scorer data.
Independiente
G. Ávalos
11 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Lanus vs Independiente
1
Lanus Wins
1
Draws
1
Independiente Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb 2026 | Independiente | 2 - 0 | Lanus |
| 12 Oct 2025 | Independiente | 0 - 2 | Lanus |
| 06 Apr 2025 | Lanus | 1 - 1 | Independiente |
Lanus — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov | H Gimnasia M. | D | 1 - 1 |
| 24 Oct | A Banfield | D | 1 - 1 |
| 17 Oct | A Platense | W | 0 - 1 |
| 12 Oct | H Velez Sarsfield | W | 2 - 0 |
| 03 Oct | A Newells Old Boys | D | 0 - 0 |
Independiente — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov | H Deportivo Riestra | W | 2 - 1 |
| 02 Nov | A Defensa Y Justicia | D | 1 - 1 |
| 25 Oct | H Boca Juniors | L | 0 - 1 |
| 18 Oct | A Racing Club | D | 1 - 1 |
| 12 Oct | A Talleres Cordoba | D | 0 - 0 |
Liga Profesional Argentina Standings
Clausura - Group A
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Instituto Cordoba
|
16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 15 | +11 | 34 |
| 2 |
Boca Juniors
|
16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 24 | 14 | +10 | 33 |
| 3 |
Velez Sarsfield
|
16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 25 | 17 | +8 | 28 |
| 4 |
Defensa Y Justicia
|
16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 15 | +6 | 28 |
| 5 |
Lanus
|
15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 11 | +7 | 25 |
| 6 |
Newells Old Boys
|
16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 13 | +3 | 23 |
| 7 |
Independiente
|
16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 23 |
| 8 |
Gimnasia M.
|
16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 17 | +1 | 22 |
| 9 |
Union Santa Fe
|
16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 |
Platense
|
16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 20 |
| 11 |
San Lorenzo
|
16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 19 |
| 12 |
Estudiantes L.P.
|
16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 16 |
| 13 |
Talleres Cordoba
|
16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 13 |
| 14 |
Deportivo Riestra
|
16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 12 |
| 15 |
Central Cordoba de Santiago
|
15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 10 |
Clausura - Group B
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Rosario Central
|
16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 12 | +14 | 34 |
| 2 |
Argentinos JRS
|
16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 14 | +6 | 31 |
| 3 |
Gimnasia L.P.
|
16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 20 | +5 | 31 |
| 4 |
River Plate
|
16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 14 | +7 | 26 |
| 5 |
Barracas Central
|
16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 13 | +4 | 26 |
| 6 |
Belgrano Cordoba
|
16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 15 | +2 | 23 |
| 7 |
Independ. Rivadavia
|
16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 23 |
| 8 |
Huracan
|
16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 22 |
| 9 |
Sarmiento Junin
|
16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 21 |
| 10 |
Tigre
|
16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 19 |
| 11 |
Atletico Tucuman
|
16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 18 |
| 12 |
Banfield
|
16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 15 |
| 13 |
Racing Club
|
16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 15 |
| 14 |
Aldosivi
|
16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 11 |
| 15 |
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
|
16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 9 |
Lanus
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: M. Pellegrino
26
Losada
6
Marcich
35
Jesus
24
Izquierdoz
33
Guidara
30
Cardozo
5
Biafore
25
Aquino
23
Carrera
11
Salvio
20
Wlk
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 26 | Nahuel Losada | G |
| 33 | Tomás Guidara | D |
| 24 | Carlos Izquierdoz | D |
| 35 | Ronaldo De Jesus | D |
| 6 | Sasha Marcich | D |
| 5 | Felipe Peña Biafore | M |
| 30 | Agustín Cardozo | M |
| 11 | Eduardo Salvio | M |
| 23 | Ramiro Carrera | M |
| 25 | Dylan Aquino | M |
| 20 | Allan Wlk | F |
Substitutes
| 16 | Matías Sepúlveda | M |
| 19 | Yoshan Valois | F |
| 1 | Franco Petroli | G |
| 40 | Tomás López | D |
| 4 | Gonzalo Perez | D |
| 3 | Nicolás Morgantini | D |
| 13 | José Canale | D |
| 27 | Facundo Sánchez | D |
| 39 | Thiago Laplace | M |
| 8 | Franco Watson | M |
| 38 | Benjamin Acosta | F |
| 77 | Lucas Besozzi | F |
Independiente
Formation: 4-1-4-1
Coach: Gustavo Quinteros
33
Rey
22
Zabala
35
Arrayago
26
Lomónaco
4
Arias
23
Marcone
24
Palais
14
Millán
16
Curci
7
Montiel
9
Ávalos
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 33 | Rodrigo Rey | G |
| 4 | Santiago Arias | D |
| 26 | Kevin Lomónaco | D |
| 35 | Juan Miguel Arrayago | D |
| 22 | Facundo Zabala | D |
| 23 | Iván Marcone | M |
| 7 | Santiago Montiel | M |
| 16 | Mateo Perez Curci | M |
| 14 | Lautaro Millán | M |
| 24 | Josias Palais | M |
| 9 | Gabriel Ávalos | F |
Substitutes
| 32 | David Martínez | M |
| 8 | Maxi Meza | F |
| 77 | Santiago Mele | G |
| 39 | Ramiro Martino | D |
| 40 | Joshua Velárdez | D |
| 21 | Fernando Closter | D |
| 28 | Maximiliano Gutiérrez | F |
| 19 | Matías Abaldo | F |
| 20 | Facundo Cruz | M |
| 10 | Luciano Cabral | M |
| 34 | Felipe Tempone | F |
| 25 | Horacio Junco | F |