Boca Juniors vs Velez Sarsfield Prognose

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KI-Tipp Boca Juniors oder Unentschieden
44%
32%
24%
Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Boca Juniors vs. Velez Sarsfield Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Boca Juniors eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 44%, für Velez Sarsfield 24% und für ein Unentschieden 32%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 9 Aug 2026, 00:10.

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  • 1st Half Draw or Away 76%
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  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 72%
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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 12'
Diego Valdés
Lautaro Blanco Yellow Card
36' ▮
Santiago Ascacíbar
39' ⚽ 1–1
▮ 41'
Yellow Card
▮ 42'
Lucas Robertone Yellow Card
Ayrton Costa Yellow Card
44' ▮
HT 1–1
⇄ 46'
Diego Valdés ⇄ Simon Escobar
Ayrton Costa ⇄ Marco Pellegrino
46' ⇄
▮ 54'
Elías Gómez Yellow Card
▮ 60'
Matías Pellegrini Yellow Card
Miguel Merentiel ⇄ Milton Giménez
63' ⇄
⇄ 63'
Dilan Godoy ⇄ Thiago Aguirre
⇄ 63'
Elías Gómez ⇄ Claudio Baeza
Tomás Aranda ⇄ Alan Velasco
63' ⇄
Leonel Flores ⇄ Sebastián Villa
74' ⇄
⇄ 82'
Lucas Robertone ⇄ Luca Feler
⇄ 83'
Manuel Lanzini ⇄ Alex Verón
▮ 88'
Joaquín García Yellow Card
FT 1–1
Boca Juniors

Match Stats

Velez Sarsfield
60% Ball Possession 40%
1.95 Expected Goals (xG) 0.72
27 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Goal 4
12 Shots off Goal 3
6 Blocked Shots 1
16 Shots insidebox 3
11 Shots outsidebox 5
6 Corner Kicks 4
3 Offsides 2
12 Fouls 11
2 Yellow Cards 4
Red Cards
2 Goalkeeper Saves 8
551 Total passes 390
462 Passes accurate 300
84% Passes % 77%
0.91 goals_prevented 0.91
Boca Juniors
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
5 Leandro Paredes M 8.9 92' – – 4 89 (75%) 3
25 Santiago Ascacíbar M 7.5 92' 1 – 6 33 (30%) 3
18 Milton Delgado M 7.3 92' – – 2 46 (39%) 3
2 Lautaro Di Lollo D 7.3 92' – – – 84 (72%) 4
16 Miguel Merentiel F 7.2 63' – – 2 18 (15%) –
22 Sebastián Villa F 7.2 18' – – – 12 (11%) –
1 Álvaro Montero G 7.0 92' – – – 12 (8%) –
19 Leonel Flores F 7.0 74' – – 3 28 (26%) 2
3 Lautaro Blanco D 6.9 92' – – – 50 (36%) 3
10 Tomás Aranda F 6.9 63' – – 2 44 (39%) –
20 Alan Velasco M 6.7 29' – – – 15 (11%) –
9 Milton Giménez F 6.7 29' – – 1 2 1
26 Marco Pellegrino D 6.5 47' – – – 23 (17%) –
17 Leandro Lozano D 6.3 92' – – – 60 (49%) 1
32 Ayrton Costa D 6.2 45' – – 1 33 (32%) –
Velez Sarsfield
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
1 Tomás Marchiori G 8.5 92' – – – 36 (16%) –
32 Thiago Silvero D 7.9 92' – – 1 48 (33%) 2
10 Diego Valdés M 7.2 45' 1 – 1 22 (15%) –
2 Emanuel Mammana D 7.0 92' – – – 43 (34%) 5
22 Manuel Lanzini M 6.9 82' – – – 36 (33%) 3
5 Claudio Baeza M 6.9 29' – – – 20 (18%) 1
18 Simon Escobar D 6.9 47' – – – 13 (9%) 4
3 Elías Gómez D 6.7 63' – – – 18 (17%) 1
15 Dilan Godoy F 6.7 63' – – 2 12 (7%) –
48 Luca Feler M 6.7 10' – – 1 3 (3%) –
8 Lucas Robertone M 6.6 82' – – – 35 (30%) 2
4 Joaquín García D 6.3 92' – – – 30 (24%) 3
29 Rodrigo Aliendro M 6.3 92' – – 2 33 (30%) 1
17 Alex Verón F 6.3 10' – – – 3 (2%) –
39 Thiago Aguirre F 6.3 29' – – – 3 (3%) –
11 Matías Pellegrini M 5.9 92' – – – 32 (24%) –
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Confidence Low (44%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung
Boca Juniors oder Unentschieden
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Boca Juniors
WDWWD
Velez Sarsfield
WDWDD
Last 3 meetings Boca Juniors · 1W 1D 1L
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
44%
10%
Draw
32%
45%
Away
24%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Boca Juniors
M. Merentiel 7 gls
Velez Sarsfield
R. Martínez 8 gls

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Head to Head: Boca Juniors vs Velez Sarsfield

1 Boca Juniors Wins
1 Draws
1 Velez Sarsfield Wins
Date Home Score Away
03 Sep 2026 Velez Sarsfield 0 - 0 Boca Juniors
09 Feb 2026 Velez Sarsfield 2 - 1 Boca Juniors
14 Jun 2024 Boca Juniors 1 - 0 Velez Sarsfield
Alle 10 Begegnungen ansehen — Premium

Boca Juniors — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A San Lorenzo W 0 - 2
16 Sep A Sao Paulo D 1 - 1
12 Sep H Central Cordoba de Santiago W 3 - 1
09 Sep H Sao Paulo W 1 - 0
05 Sep A Gimnasia M. D 2 - 2

Velez Sarsfield — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
21 Sep H Tigre W 3 - 2
11 Sep A Newells Old Boys D 1 - 1
06 Sep H Estudiantes L.P. W 1 - 0
03 Sep H Boca Juniors D 0 - 0
29 Aug A Deportivo Riestra D 1 - 1

Liga Profesional Argentina Standings

Clausura - Group A

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Instituto Cordoba
10 7 1 2 +6 22
2
Velez Sarsfield
10 5 5 0 +6 20
3
Defensa Y Justicia
10 5 3 2 +2 18
4
Gimnasia M.
10 5 2 3 +5 17
5
Boca Juniors
10 4 5 1 +3 17
6
Independiente
10 5 2 3 +2 17
7
Lanus
10 5 1 4 +4 16
8
Newells Old Boys
10 4 4 2 +3 16
9
Union Santa Fe
10 4 1 5 +1 13
10
San Lorenzo
10 3 2 5 -4 11
11
Estudiantes L.P.
10 3 1 6 -1 10
12
Deportivo Riestra
10 2 4 4 -2 10
13
Platense
10 2 3 5 -6 9
14
Talleres Cordoba
10 2 2 6 -6 8
15
Central Cordoba de Santiago
10 2 2 6 -6 8

Clausura - Group B

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Argentinos JRS
10 5 3 2 +4 18
2
Rosario Central
10 5 3 2 +3 18
3
Independ. Rivadavia
10 5 2 3 +1 17
4
Gimnasia L.P.
10 5 2 3 0 17
5
Belgrano Cordoba
10 4 4 2 +4 16
6
Huracan
10 4 4 2 +2 16
7
Sarmiento Junin
10 5 1 4 +1 16
8
River Plate
10 4 1 5 +1 13
9
Atletico Tucuman
10 3 4 3 +1 13
10
Tigre
10 3 3 4 0 12
11
Barracas Central
10 3 3 4 -2 12
12
Banfield
10 2 3 5 -5 9
13
Aldosivi
10 2 2 6 -4 8
14
Racing Club
10 2 2 6 -5 8
15
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
10 1 3 6 -8 6

Boca Juniors

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Rodolfo Arruabarrena
1 Montero
3 Blanco
32 Costa
2 Lollo
17 Lozano
18 Delgado
5 Paredes
25 Ascacíbar
10 Aranda
16 Merentiel
19 Flores

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Álvaro Montero G
17 Leandro Lozano D
2 Lautaro Di Lollo D
32 Ayrton Costa D
3 Lautaro Blanco D
25 Santiago Ascacíbar M
5 Leandro Paredes M
18 Milton Delgado M
19 Leonel Flores F
16 Miguel Merentiel F
10 Tomás Aranda F

Substitutes

26 Marco Pellegrino D
12 Leandro Brey G
24 Dylan Gorosito D
4 Nicolás Figal D
27 Malcom Braida M
15 Williams Alarcón M
21 Kevin Zenón M
23 Camilo Rey Domenech M
20 Alan Velasco M
22 Sebastián Villa F
11 Ángel Romero F
9 Milton Giménez F

Velez Sarsfield

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Guillermo Barros Schelotto
1 Marchiori
3 Gómez
2 Mammana
32 Silvero
4 García
8 Robertone
29 Aliendro
22 Lanzini
10 Valdés
11 Pellegrini
15 Godoy

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Tomás Marchiori G
4 Joaquín García D
32 Thiago Silvero D
2 Emanuel Mammana D
3 Elías Gómez D
29 Rodrigo Aliendro M
8 Lucas Robertone M
11 Matías Pellegrini M
10 Diego Valdés M
22 Manuel Lanzini M
15 Dilan Godoy F

Substitutes

18 Simon Escobar D
25 Franco Villalba G
34 Alvaro Busso G
47 Alexis Pereyra D
19 Leo Cristaldo D
16 Lisandro Magallán D
48 Luca Feler M
5 Claudio Baeza M
37 Juan Cruz Policella F
17 Alex Verón F
39 Thiago Aguirre F
30 Lautaro Piola F

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