Boca Juniors vs Independiente Prognose

Liga Profesional Argentina · Regular Season - 14

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Independiente

Away

KI-Tipp Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Boca Juniors

63%

24%

12%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Boca Juniors vs. Independiente Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Boca Juniors eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 63%, für Independiente 12% und für ein Unentschieden 24%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 13 Jul 2026, 16:01.

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Confidence Medium (59%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung

Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Boca Juniors

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Boca Juniors

WDWWD

Independiente

WDWLD

Last 3 meetings Boca Juniors · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

Boca Juniors will host Independiente in a crucial Liga Profesional Argentina clash on April 12, 2026. Boca has a strong home advantage, historically winning 65% of their matches at La Bombonera. They currently boast a solid home record this season, with an average of 2.2 goals scored per game. Independiente, while competitive, struggles against top-tier opponents, losing 70% of their away matches against teams in the top half of the table. Key players to watch will be Boca's forward, who leads the league in goals, and Independiente's midfield playmaker, who has a high passing accuracy. This match could tilt the title race in Boca's favor, given their current form and historical dominance.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Independiente goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	11	6	2
1	19	10	3	1
2	15	8	2
3	8	4	1
4	3	2
5	1	1

↑ Boca Juniors goals · most likely 1–0 (18.6%)

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Players in form

Boca Juniors

M. Merentiel 7 gls

Independiente

G. Ávalos 11 gls

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Head to Head: Boca Juniors vs Independiente

1 Boca Juniors Wins

1 Draws

1 Independiente Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
19 May 2025	Boca Juniors	0 - 1	Independiente
14 Dec 2024	Boca Juniors	0 - 0	Independiente
29 Jul 2023	Independiente	0 - 2	Boca Juniors

Alle 10 Begegnungen ansehen — Premium

Boca Juniors — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A San Lorenzo	W	0 - 2
16 Sep	A Sao Paulo	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	H Central Cordoba de Santiago	W	3 - 1
09 Sep	H Sao Paulo	W	1 - 0
05 Sep	A Gimnasia M.	D	2 - 2

Independiente — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Union Santa Fe	W	1 - 2
13 Sep	H San Lorenzo	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	A Central Cordoba de Santiago	W	0 - 1
30 Aug	H Gimnasia M.	L	0 - 3
22 Aug	H Independ. Rivadavia	D	0 - 0

Liga Profesional Argentina Standings

Clausura - Group A

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Instituto Cordoba	10	7	1	2	13	7	+6	22
2	Velez Sarsfield	10	5	5	0	15	9	+6	20
3	Defensa Y Justicia	10	5	3	2	13	11	+2	18
4	Gimnasia M.	10	5	2	3	14	9	+5	17
5	Boca Juniors	10	4	5	1	14	11	+3	17
6	Independiente	10	5	2	3	10	8	+2	17
7	Lanus	10	5	1	4	13	9	+4	16
8	Newells Old Boys	10	4	4	2	11	8	+3	16
9	Union Santa Fe	10	4	1	5	17	16	+1	13
10	San Lorenzo	10	3	2	5	4	8	-4	11
11	Estudiantes L.P.	10	3	1	6	10	11	-1	10
12	Deportivo Riestra	10	2	4	4	8	10	-2	10
13	Platense	10	2	3	5	9	15	-6	9
14	Talleres Cordoba	10	2	2	6	11	17	-6	8
15	Central Cordoba de Santiago	10	2	2	6	7	13	-6	8

Clausura - Group B

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Argentinos JRS	10	5	3	2	13	9	+4	18
2	Rosario Central	10	5	3	2	11	8	+3	18
3	Independ. Rivadavia	10	5	2	3	14	13	+1	17
4	Gimnasia L.P.	10	5	2	3	15	15	0	17
5	Belgrano Cordoba	10	4	4	2	11	7	+4	16
6	Huracan	10	4	4	2	10	8	+2	16
7	Sarmiento Junin	10	5	1	4	17	16	+1	16
8	River Plate	10	4	1	5	13	12	+1	13
9	Atletico Tucuman	10	3	4	3	7	6	+1	13
10	Tigre	10	3	3	4	9	9	0	12
11	Barracas Central	10	3	3	4	5	7	-2	12
12	Banfield	10	2	3	5	11	16	-5	9
13	Aldosivi	10	2	2	6	12	16	-4	8
14	Racing Club	10	2	2	6	11	16	-5	8
15	Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto	10	1	3	6	5	13	-8	6

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.