Palmeiras vs Corinthians Prognose

Serie A Serie A · Regular Season - 30
FT
Post on X
Allianz Parque, São Paulo, São Paulo
KI-Tipp Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Palmeiras
57%
27%
16%
Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Palmeiras vs. Corinthians Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Palmeiras eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 57%, für Corinthians 16% und für ein Unentschieden 27%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 11 Oct 2026, 22:21.

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Timeline

Jhon Arias Yellow Card
9' ▮
▮ 15'
Raniele Yellow Card
Alexander Barboza assist: Lucas Evangelista
16' ⚽ 1–0
Agustín Giay assist: Jhon Arias
45+1' ⚽ 2–0
HT 2–0
Matheus Bidu Own Goal
46' ⚽ 3–0
▮ 48'
M. Depay Yellow Card
Agustín Giay Yellow Card
49' ▮
Agustín Giay
51' ⚽ 4–0
⇄ 57'
André Carrillo ⇄ Allan
⇄ 57'
Breno Bidon ⇄ Vitinho
▮ 59'
Gabriel Paulista Yellow Card
▮ 65'
Vitinho Yellow Card
José Manuel López ⇄ Mauricio
69' ⇄
Lucas Evangelista ⇄ Emiliano Martínez
69' ⇄
Vitor Roque ⇄ Ramón Sosa
69' ⇄
⇄ 69'
André Luiz ⇄ André Ramalho
⇄ 69'
Yuri Alberto ⇄ Pedro Raul
Gustavo Gómez Yellow Card
72' ▮
Ramón Sosa ⇄ Paulinho
77' ⇄
Paulinho Missed Penalty
81' ✗
⇄ 83'
Raniele ⇄ Dieguinho
Gustavo Gómez ⇄ Bruno Fuchs
83' ⇄
⚽ 4–1 90+1'
Gustavo Henrique
FT 4–1
Palmeiras

Match Stats

Corinthians
55% Ball Possession 45%
2.68 Expected Goals (xG) 0.67
22 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Goal 2
8 Shots off Goal 6
6 Blocked Shots 3
14 Shots insidebox 9
8 Shots outsidebox 2
7 Corner Kicks 3
2 Offsides 1
17 Fouls 11
3 Yellow Cards 4
0 Red Cards 0
2 Goalkeeper Saves 5
453 Total passes 374
392 Passes accurate 312
11 Free Kicks 16
Palmeiras
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
4 Agustín Giay M 9.5 89' 2 – 2 31 (27%) 2
2 Alexander Barboza D 9.0 89' 1 – 2 56 (49%) 3
11 Jhon Arias M 7.7 89' – 1 5 41 (38%) –
30 Lucas Evangelista M 7.7 69' – 1 1 45 (43%) 2
15 Gustavo Gómez D 7.3 83' – – 1 47 (42%) 2
8 Andreas Pereira M 7.2 89' – – 2 45 (41%) 1
26 Murilo D 7.1 89' – – – 44 (36%) –
1 Carlos Miguel G 7.0 89' – – – 19 (9%) –
3 Bruno Fuchs D 7.0 6' – – – 4 (4%) –
22 Joaquín Piquerez M 6.9 89' – – – 56 (47%) 3
18 Mauricio M 6.8 20' – – 1 13 (12%) –
32 Emiliano Martínez M 6.8 20' – – – 7 (7%) –
42 José Manuel López M 6.7 69' – – 3 21 (16%) 1
10 Paulinho F 6.6 12' – – 2 9 (9%) –
19 Ramón Sosa F 6.5 8' – – – – –
9 Vitor Roque F 6.4 69' – – 3 14 (11%) 1
Corinthians
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
1 Hugo Souza G 6.8 89' – – – 30 (20%) –
2 Matheuzinho D 6.5 89' – – 3 43 (35%) 2
18 Pedro Raul F 6.4 20' – – – 2 (2%) –
9 Yuri Alberto F 6.3 69' – – 3 3 (2%) –
11 Vitinho F 6.3 32' – – 1 7 (7%) 1
19 André Carrillo M 6.2 57' – – 1 34 (29%) –
13 Gustavo Henrique D 6.1 89' – – – 42 (39%) –
29 Allan M 6.1 32' – – – 20 (17%) –
10 M. Depay F 6.0 89' – – 1 39 (32%) –
7 Breno Bidon M 5.9 57' – – – 14 (11%) 4
5 André Ramalho D 5.8 20' – – – 11 (11%) 1
61 Dieguinho M 5.8 6' – – – 5 (5%) –
49 André Luiz M 5.7 69' – – – 19 (13%) –
14 Raniele M 5.6 83' – – 1 31 (26%) 3
3 Gabriel Paulista D 5.4 89' – – – 32 (29%) –
21 Matheus Bidu D 4.9 89' – – 1 39 (31%) –
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Confidence Medium (57%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung
Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Palmeiras
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Palmeiras
WWDWL
Corinthians
DWLDL
Last 3 meetings Palmeiras · 1W 2D 0L
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
57%
45%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
16%
10%

Most likely scores

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Players in form

Palmeiras
J. López 10 gls
Maurício 10 gls
Corinthians

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Palmeiras vs Corinthians

1 Palmeiras Wins
2 Draws
0 Corinthians Wins
Date Home Score Away
12 Apr 2026 Corinthians 0 - 0 Palmeiras
31 Aug 2025 Corinthians 1 - 1 Palmeiras
12 Apr 2025 Palmeiras 2 - 0 Corinthians
Alle 10 Begegnungen ansehen — Premium

Palmeiras — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
05 Nov H Remo W 6 - 1
01 Nov H Vasco DA Gama W 1 - 0
28 Oct A Santos D 0 - 0
24 Oct H RB Bragantino W 2 - 0
22 Oct H Fluminense L 0 - 1

Corinthians — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
05 Nov A Sao Paulo D 0 - 0
30 Oct H Mirassol W 2 - 0
24 Oct A Vasco DA Gama L 3 - 2
19 Oct H Vitoria D 1 - 1
11 Oct A Palmeiras L 4 - 1

Serie A Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Flamengo
34 23 7 4 +42 76
2
Palmeiras
34 21 10 3 +39 73
3
Cruzeiro
34 18 6 10 +7 60
4
Fluminense
34 16 9 9 +13 57
5
Atletico Paranaense
34 15 9 10 +8 54
6
Bahia
34 14 11 9 +5 53
7
Atletico-MG
34 14 8 12 +4 50
8
RB Bragantino
34 13 8 13 +5 47
9
Santos
34 12 11 11 +1 47
10
Sao Paulo
34 12 8 14 0 44
11
Botafogo
34 11 9 14 -7 42
12
Coritiba
34 11 9 14 -11 42
13
Vasco DA Gama
33 11 8 14 -7 41
14
Mirassol
34 10 10 14 -9 40
15
Vitoria
34 10 8 16 -16 38
16
Internacional
34 9 11 14 -4 38
17
Corinthians
34 9 10 15 -6 37
18
Gremio
34 9 10 15 -9 37
19
Remo
34 6 11 17 -20 29
20
Chapecoense B
20 1 7 12 -22 10
20
Chapecoense-sc
33 4 9 20 -35 21

Palmeiras

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Abel Ferreira
1 Miguel
2 Barboza
15 Gómez
26 Murilo
22 Piquerez
30 Evangelista
8 Pereira
4 Giay
11 Arias
42 López
9 Roque

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Carlos Miguel G
26 Murilo D
15 G. Gómez D
2 A. Barboza D
4 A. Giay M
8 Andreas Pereira M
30 Lucas Evangelista M
22 J. Piquerez M
42 J. López M
11 J. Arias M
9 Vitor Roque F

Substitutes

18 Maurício M
32 E. Martínez M
14 Marcelo Lomba G
50 Luis Felipe M
17 Marlon Freitas M
10 Paulinho F
56 Arthur D
12 Khellven D
19 R. Sosa F
48 Larson M
3 Bruno Fuchs D
7 Felipe Anderson M

Corinthians

Formation: 4-1-3-2 Coach: C. Seedorf
1 Souza
21 Bidu
13 Henrique
3 Paulista
2 Matheuzinho
14 Raniele
49 Andre
19 Carrillo
7 Breno
10 Depay
9 Alberto

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Hugo Souza G
2 Matheuzinho D
3 Gabriel Paulista D
13 Gustavo Henrique D
21 Matheus Bidu D
14 Raniele M
7 Breno M
19 A. Carrillo M
49 Andre M
9 Yuri Alberto F
10 M. Depay F

Substitutes

11 Vitinho F
18 Pedro Raul F
77 J. Lingard M
5 André Ramalho D
35 Charles M
29 Allan M
56 Guilherme Inácio F
61 Dieguinho M
55 I. Machado D
4 João Pedro D
51 Kauê Camargo G
26 F. Angileri D

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