Gremio vs Palmeiras Prognose
Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul
KI-Tipp
Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Palmeiras
20%
27%
53%
Heimsieg
Unentschieden
Auswärtssieg
Gremio vs. Palmeiras Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Gremio eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 20%, für Palmeiras 53% und für ein Unentschieden 27%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 20 Sep 2026, 16:04.
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Timeline
▮
33'
Agustín Giay
Yellow Card
Erick Noriega
Yellow Card
40'
▮
Erick Noriega
⇄ Danilo Barbosa
45'
⇄
HT 0–0
João Pedro
Yellow Card
64'
▮
Carlos Vinícius
Yellow Card
67'
▮
Cristian Pavón
⇄ José Enamorado
68'
⇄
Gustavo Martins
Yellow Card
69'
▮
Francis Amuzu
⇄ Jovane Cabral
69'
⇄
⇄
72'
Vitor Roque
⇄ Ramón Sosa
⇄
72'
Jhon Arias
⇄ Felipe Anderson
▮
73'
Alexander Barboza
Yellow Card
Carlos Vinícius
⇄ Martin Braithwaite
74'
⇄
▮
77'
Joaquín Piquerez
Yellow Card
▮
79'
Lucas Evangelista
Yellow Card
⇄
79'
Andreas Pereira
⇄ Mauricio
⇄
79'
Joaquín Piquerez
⇄ Arthur Gabriel
João Pedro
⇄ Marcos Rocha
81'
⇄
▮
88'
Ramón Sosa
Yellow Card
⇄
88'
Agustín Giay
⇄ Khellven
Pedro Gabriel
Yellow Card
89'
▮
FT 0–0
Gremio
Match Stats
Palmeiras
28%
Ball Possession
72%
7
Total Shots
31
4
Shots on Goal
10
2
Shots off Goal
13
1
Blocked Shots
8
5
Shots insidebox
19
2
Shots outsidebox
12
2
Corner Kicks
9
1
Offsides
1
19
Fouls
14
5
Yellow Cards
5
0
Red Cards
0
10
Goalkeeper Saves
4
236
Total passes
610
171
Passes accurate
535
14
Free Kicks
19
Gremio
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Weverton G | 8.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 23 (11%) | – |
| 82 Wallace D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 21 (18%) | 3 |
| 7 Cristian Pavón F | 6.9 | 68' | – | – | 2 | 28 (18%) | – |
| 9 Francis Amuzu F | 6.8 | 69' | – | – | 1 | 14 (12%) | 1 |
| 99 José Enamorado F | 6.8 | 22' | – | – | – | 3 (1%) | 1 |
| 2 Fabián Balbuena D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 19 (16%) | – |
| 77 Jovane Cabral F | 6.6 | 21' | – | – | – | 6 (2%) | – |
| 14 Marcos Rocha D | 6.5 | 9' | – | – | 1 | 5 (3%) | – |
| 15 Danilo Barbosa M | 6.5 | 44' | – | – | – | 13 (10%) | – |
| 54 Pedro Gabriel M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 11 (10%) | 3 |
| 8 Erick Noriega M | 6.4 | 46' | – | – | – | 13 (12%) | – |
| 20 Mathias Villasanti M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 30 (23%) | 2 |
| 18 João Pedro M | 6.2 | 81' | – | – | – | 16 (13%) | – |
| 95 Carlos Vinícius F | 6.1 | 74' | – | – | 1 | 9 (5%) | – |
| 22 Martin Braithwaite F | 6.0 | 16' | – | – | – | 2 (1%) | – |
| 6 Gustavo Martins D | 5.8 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 23 (16%) | 1 |
Palmeiras
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Carlos Miguel G | 7.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 18 (15%) | – |
| 15 Gustavo Gómez D | 7.4 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 59 (51%) | 1 |
| 11 Jhon Arias M | 7.3 | 72' | – | – | 2 | 53 (46%) | – |
| 42 José Manuel López M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 4 | 27 (21%) | 1 |
| 17 Marlon Freitas M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 5 | 125 (114%) | 3 |
| 30 Lucas Evangelista M | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 87 (85%) | 3 |
| 8 Andreas Pereira M | 6.9 | 79' | – | – | 1 | 42 (34%) | 1 |
| 2 Alexander Barboza D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 57 (49%) | 1 |
| 7 Felipe Anderson M | 6.8 | 18' | – | – | 1 | 8 (7%) | – |
| 22 Joaquín Piquerez D | 6.7 | 79' | – | – | 1 | 40 (37%) | 2 |
| 18 Mauricio M | 6.6 | 11' | – | – | 2 | 12 (10%) | 1 |
| 12 Khellven D | 6.5 | 2' | – | – | – | 6 (6%) | – |
| 56 Arthur Gabriel D | 6.5 | 11' | – | – | – | 8 (7%) | – |
| 9 Vitor Roque F | 6.3 | 72' | – | – | 4 | 11 (9%) | 1 |
| 19 Ramón Sosa F | 6.2 | 18' | – | – | 3 | 1 | – |
| 4 Agustín Giay D | 6.1 | 88' | – | – | 1 | 56 (44%) | – |
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Confidence
Medium (53%)
At a glance
Unsere Einschätzung
Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Palmeiras
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Gremio
DLLLW
Palmeiras
DWWDD
Last 3 meetings
Gremio · 1W 0D 2L
Live insights
76'
time check
80% sure
Min 76: Still level at 0-0. Draw looking likely at 69.5%. Late goal chance: 33.4%.
45'
half time
65% sure
Half-time: 0-0. Second half goals expected - Over 0.5 remaining: 72%. Over 1.5 remaining: 39.6%.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
20%
10%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
53%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Gremio
Carlos Vinícius
10 gls
Palmeiras
J. López
8 gls
Maurício
7 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Gremio vs Palmeiras
1
Gremio Wins
0
Draws
2
Palmeiras Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr 2026 | Palmeiras | 2 - 1 | Gremio |
| 25 Nov 2025 | Gremio | 3 - 2 | Palmeiras |
| 26 Jul 2025 | Palmeiras | 1 - 0 | Gremio |
Gremio — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Palmeiras | D | 0 - 0 |
| 16 Sep | A Botafogo | L | 3 - 2 |
| 12 Sep | H Vasco DA Gama | L | 1 - 2 |
| 07 Sep | A Vitoria | L | 1 - 0 |
| 03 Sep | H Internacional | W | 3 - 1 |
Palmeiras — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Gremio | D | 0 - 0 |
| 12 Sep | H Sao Paulo | W | 2 - 0 |
| 09 Sep | H LDU de Quito | W | 1 - 0 |
| 06 Sep | A Botafogo | D | 0 - 0 |
| 03 Sep | A Santos | D | 0 - 0 |
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Flamengo
|
28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 55 | 23 | +32 | 60 |
| 2 |
Palmeiras
|
28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 47 | 21 | +26 | 57 |
| 3 |
Atletico Paranaense
|
28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 32 | +11 | 49 |
| 4 |
Fluminense
|
28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 44 | 36 | +8 | 48 |
| 5 |
Bahia
|
28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 43 | 35 | +8 | 46 |
| 6 |
Cruzeiro
|
28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42 | 40 | +2 | 45 |
| 7 |
Atletico-MG
|
27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 36 | 32 | +4 | 40 |
| 8 |
Santos
|
27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 41 | 40 | +1 | 38 |
| 9 |
Coritiba
|
28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 38 |
| 10 |
RB Bragantino
|
27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 33 | 31 | +2 | 36 |
| 11 |
Sao Paulo
|
27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 30 | +2 | 36 |
| 12 |
Botafogo
|
28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 35 |
| 13 |
Vitoria
|
28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 33 |
| 14 |
Corinthians
|
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 32 |
| 15 |
Mirassol
|
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
| 16 |
Vasco DA Gama
|
27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 31 |
| 17 |
Gremio
|
28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 29 |
| 18 |
Internacional
|
28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 28 |
| 19 |
Remo
|
28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 23 |
| 20 |
Chapecoense B
|
20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 41 | -22 | 10 |
| 20 |
Chapecoense-sc
|
27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 29 | 53 | -24 | 18 |
Palmeiras
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Abel Ferreira
1
Miguel
22
Piquerez
2
Barboza
15
Gómez
4
Giay
17
Freitas
30
Evangelista
42
López
8
Pereira
11
Arias
9
Roque
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carlos Miguel | G |
| 4 | A. Giay | D |
| 15 | G. Gómez | D |
| 2 | A. Barboza | D |
| 22 | J. Piquerez | D |
| 30 | Lucas Evangelista | M |
| 17 | Marlon Freitas | M |
| 11 | J. Arias | M |
| 8 | Andreas Pereira | M |
| 42 | J. López | M |
| 9 | Vitor Roque | F |
Substitutes
| 3 | Bruno Fuchs | D |
| 7 | Felipe Anderson | M |
| 39 | Heittor | F |
| 12 | Khellven | D |
| 48 | Larson | M |
| 50 | Luis Felipe | M |
| 14 | Marcelo Lomba | G |
| 32 | E. Martínez | M |
| 18 | Maurício | M |
| 19 | R. Sosa | F |
| 56 | Arthur | D |
| 43 | Benedetti | D |
Gremio
Formation: 3-4-3
Coach: Renato Gaúcho
1
Weverton
82
Wallace
2
Balbuena
6
Martins
54
Gabriel
8
Noriega
20
Villasanti
18
Pedro
9
Amuzu
95
Vinícius
7
Pavón
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Weverton | G |
| 6 | Gustavo Martins | D |
| 2 | F. Balbuena | D |
| 82 | Wallace | D |
| 18 | João Pedro | M |
| 20 | M. Villasanti | M |
| 8 | E. Noriega | M |
| 54 | Pedro Gabriel | M |
| 7 | C. Pavón | F |
| 95 | Carlos Vinícius | F |
| 9 | F. Amuzu | F |
Substitutes
| 77 | Jovane Cabral | F |
| 22 | M. Braithwaite | F |
| 50 | Bernardo Zortea | M |
| 15 | Danilo Barbosa | M |
| 99 | J. Enamorado | F |
| 12 | Gabriel Grando | G |
| 10 | F. Krovinović | M |
| 43 | Luis Eduardo | D |
| 14 | Marcos Rocha | D |
| 30 | Matheus Nascimento | F |
| 11 | Tetê | F |
| 3 | Wagner Leonardo | D |