Atletico-MG vs Gremio Prognose

Serie A Serie A · Regular Season - 23
FT
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KI-Tipp Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Atletico-MG
54%
27%
19%
Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Atletico-MG vs. Gremio Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Atletico-MG eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 54%, für Gremio 19% und für ein Unentschieden 27%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 16 Aug 2026, 20:56.

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Timeline

Vitor Hugo assist: Igor Gomes
19' ⚽ 1–0
Igor Gomes ⇄ Bernard
31' ⇄
▮ 39'
Cristian Pavón Yellow Card
Ángelo Preciado Yellow Card
42' ▮
Mamady Cissé Yellow Card
45+2' ▮
HT 1–0
⇄ 46'
Gustavo Martins ⇄ Walter Kannemann
⇄ 46'
Cristian Pavón ⇄ Tetê
⇄ 46'
Juan Nardoni ⇄ Filip Krovinović
Renan Lodi Yellow Card
57' ▮
▮ 61'
Walter Kannemann Yellow Card
Alan Franco ⇄ Maycon
61' ⇄
Mamady Cissé ⇄ Kevin Castaño
61' ⇄
Tomás Cuello assist: Renan Lodi
62' ⚽ 2–0
⇄ 63'
Dodi ⇄ Gabriel Mec
Tomás Cuello
66' ⚽ 3–0
▮ 69'
Pedro Gabriel Yellow Card
⇄ 76'
Pedro Gabriel ⇄ Caio Paulista
Tomás Cuello ⇄ Dudu
81' ⇄
Victor Hugo ⇄ Alan Minda
81' ⇄
FT 3–0
Atletico-MG

Match Stats

Gremio
49% Ball Possession 51%
2.47 Expected Goals (xG) 0.41
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Goal 1
5 Shots off Goal 4
4 Blocked Shots 4
14 Shots insidebox 6
0 Shots outsidebox 3
8 Corner Kicks 6
0 Offsides 2
14 Fouls 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
Red Cards
1 Goalkeeper Saves 2
417 Total passes 443
373 Passes accurate 402
89% Passes % 91%
-0.61 goals_prevented -0.61
Atletico-MG
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
28 Tomás Cuello M 10.0 81' 2 – 3 31 (23%) 3
14 Vitor Hugo D 7.7 90' 1 – 2 43 (39%) –
22 Everson G 7.2 90' – – – 34 (30%) –
6 Renan Lodi D 7.2 90' – 1 3 37 (33%) 1
17 Igor Gomes M 7.2 31' – 1 – 11 (9%) 1
8 Maycon M 7.0 29' – – – 28 (25%) 1
11 Bernard M 7.0 59' – – – 25 (22%) –
23 Ángelo Preciado D 6.9 90' – – – 40 (36%) 3
39 Mamady Cissé M 6.9 61' – – – 28 (26%) 2
9 Mateo Cassierra F 6.9 90' – – 1 11 (10%) –
15 Kevin Castaño M 6.7 29' – – – 25 (24%) 1
21 Alan Franco M 6.6 61' – – – 31 (31%) 1
4 Ruan D 6.6 90' – – 1 40 (38%) 1
27 Alan Minda F 6.3 9' – – – 2 (1%) –
92 Dudu F 6.3 9' – – – 1 –
30 Victor Hugo M 6.0 81' – – – 30 (26%) –
Gremio
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
8 Erick Noriega M 7.0 90' – – – 72 (64%) 1
21 Tetê F 6.9 45' – – – 25 (22%) 2
4 Walter Kannemann D 6.7 45' – – – 22 (20%) 2
38 Caio Paulista D 6.7 14' – – – 11 (11%) –
7 Cristian Pavón M 6.6 45' – – – 12 (10%) –
82 Wallace D 6.3 90' – – 1 61 (56%) 1
1 Weverton G 6.3 90' – – – 23 (19%) –
6 Gustavo Martins D 6.3 45' – – 1 39 (39%) –
5 Juan Nardoni M 6.3 45' – – – 6 (6%) 1
37 Gabriel Mec F 6.3 27' – – – 6 (5%) 1
95 Carlos Vinícius F 6.3 90' – – – 7 (6%) –
9 Francis Amuzu M 6.3 90' – – 2 25 (20%) –
54 Pedro Gabriel D 6.3 76' – – 1 29 (25%) 3
27 Diego Caito D 6.3 90' – – – 51 (48%) –
10 Filip Krovinović M 6.3 45' – – – 33 (33%) –
17 Dodi M 6.2 63' – – – 21 (18%) –
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Confidence Medium (54%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung
Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Atletico-MG
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Atletico-MG
DWLLW
Gremio
DLLLW
Last 3 meetings Atletico-MG · 0W 0D 3L
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
54%
45%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
19%
10%

Most likely scores

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Players in form

Atletico-MG

No scorer data.

Gremio
Carlos Vinícius 10 gls

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Head to Head: Atletico-MG vs Gremio

0 Atletico-MG Wins
0 Draws
3 Gremio Wins
Date Home Score Away
26 Feb 2026 Gremio 2 - 1 Atletico-MG
17 Aug 2025 Atletico-MG 1 - 3 Gremio
29 Mar 2025 Gremio 2 - 1 Atletico-MG
Alle 10 Begegnungen ansehen — Premium

Atletico-MG — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Chapecoense-sc D 1 - 1
12 Sep H Fluminense W 3 - 1
09 Sep A Santos L 2 - 0
05 Sep A Sao Paulo L 2 - 0
02 Sep H Cruzeiro W 2 - 1

Gremio — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Palmeiras D 0 - 0
16 Sep A Botafogo L 3 - 2
12 Sep H Vasco DA Gama L 1 - 2
07 Sep A Vitoria L 1 - 0
03 Sep H Internacional W 3 - 1

Serie A Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Flamengo
28 18 6 4 +32 60
2
Palmeiras
28 16 9 3 +26 57
3
Atletico Paranaense
28 14 7 7 +11 49
4
Fluminense
28 13 9 6 +8 48
5
Bahia
28 12 10 6 +8 46
6
Cruzeiro
28 13 6 9 +2 45
7
Atletico-MG
27 11 7 9 +4 40
8
Santos
27 10 8 9 +1 38
9
Coritiba
28 10 8 10 -6 38
10
RB Bragantino
27 10 6 11 +2 36
11
Sao Paulo
27 10 6 11 +2 36
12
Botafogo
28 9 8 11 -4 35
13
Vitoria
28 9 6 13 -14 33
14
Corinthians
28 8 8 12 -3 32
15
Mirassol
28 8 8 12 -9 32
16
Vasco DA Gama
27 8 7 12 -7 31
17
Gremio
28 7 8 13 -8 29
18
Internacional
28 6 10 12 -6 28
19
Remo
28 5 8 15 -15 23
20
Chapecoense B
20 1 7 12 -22 10
20
Chapecoense-sc
27 3 9 15 -24 18

Gremio

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: Luis Castro
1 Weverton
54 Gabriel
82 Wallace
6 Martins
27 Caito
8 Noriega
9 Amuzu
17 Dodi
5 Nardoni
7 Pavón
95 Vinícius

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Weverton G
27 Diego Caito D
6 Gustavo Martins D
82 Wallace D
54 Pedro Gabriel D
8 Erick Noriega M
7 Cristian Pavón M
5 Juan Nardoni M
17 Dodi M
9 Francis Amuzu M
95 Carlos Vinícius F

Substitutes

4 Walter Kannemann D
10 Filip Krovinović M
21 Tetê F
37 Gabriel Mec F
12 Gabriel Grando G
3 Wagner Leonardo D
14 Marcos Rocha D
38 Caio Paulista D
50 Zortéa M
77 Jovane Cabral F
99 José Enamorado F
22 Martin Braithwaite F

Atletico-MG

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Eduardo Dominguez
22 Everson
6 Lodi
14 Hugo
4 Ruan
23 Preciado
21 Franco
39 Cissé
17 Gomes
30 Hugo
28 Cuello
9 Cassierra

Starting XI

# Player Pos
22 Everson G
23 Ángelo Preciado D
4 Ruan D
14 Vitor Hugo D
6 Renan Lodi D
39 Mamady Cissé M
21 Alan Franco M
28 Tomás Cuello M
30 Victor Hugo M
17 Igor Gomes M
9 Mateo Cassierra F

Substitutes

11 Bernard M
8 Maycon M
15 Kevin Castaño M
1 Gabriel Delfim G
2 Natanael D
40 Vitor Fernandes Chaves Teixeira D
36 Kauã Pascini D
19 Reinier M
25 Tomás Pérez M
27 Alan Minda F
18 Thiago Borbas F
92 Dudu F

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