Coritiba vs Chapecoense-sc Prediction

Serie A · Regular Season - 22

08 Aug 2026, 23:30

Post on X

Chapecoense-sc

Away

KI-Tipp Coritiba gewinnt

63%

25%

13%

Heimsieg · 1.70 Unentschieden · 3.99 Auswärtssieg · 5.75

Coritiba vs Chapecoense-sc prediction: Sportiko gives Coritiba a 63% chance of winning, Chapecoense-sc 13% and the draw 25%. Last updated 7 Aug 2026, 08:00.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:0 · 22.7%

Both teams to score

22%

Over 2.5 goals

30%

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Coritiba

LDLLW

Chapecoense-sc

LDDLL

Last 3 meetings Coritiba · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Serie A clash, Coritiba will face Chapecoense-SC. Coritiba has demonstrated solid form at home, with a recent record of 2 wins and 1 draw in their last three league matches. On the other hand, Chapecoense has struggled away from home, managing only 1 win in their past five outings. Key player performances will be crucial, particularly Coritiba's attacking prowess, which has seen them score an average of 1.5 goals per game this season. This matchup could hinge on Coritiba's ability to capitalize on their home form against a Chapecoense side looking to find consistency.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

63%

45%

Draw

25%

45%

Away

13%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Chapecoense-sc goals →

	0	1	2
0	15	3	1
1	23	8	1
2	20	6	1
3	11	3
4	4	1
5	1

↑ Coritiba goals · most likely 1–0 (22.7%)

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Players in form

Coritiba

Breno Lopes 8 gls

J. Lavega 5 gls

Chapecoense-sc

No scorer data.

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

63%

Draw

25%

Away Win

13%

Both Teams To Score

78% BTTS No 22% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

41%

1.5

59%

70%

2.5

30%

87%

3.5

13%

96%

4.5

99%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

63%

Draw

25%

Away Win

13%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

93% Home (No Draw) 7% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

41% Home Win by 2+ 1% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

70% Home Scores More 24% Equal Goals 5% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

41%

1.5

59%

70%

2.5

30%

87%

3.5

13%

96%

4.5

99%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

78% BTTS No 22% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

15%

26%

28%

18%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	15.3%	3.4%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
1	22.7%	8.0%	1.1%	0.1%	0.0%
2	19.5%	5.9%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
3	10.7%	3.2%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
4	4.4%	1.3%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

78%

1.5

22%

94%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

43%

35%

16%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

70%

1.5

30%

90%

2.5

10%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

34%

35%

21%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Coritiba	Draw	Chapecoense-sc
Coritiba	45.6%	2.0%	0.2%
Draw	24.9%	19.2%	3.0%
Chapecoense-sc	1.0%	1.6%	2.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

51%

1.5

49%

78%

2.5

22%

92%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

19%

32%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

74%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

89%

0.5

11%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

84%

0.5

16%

99%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Coritiba vs Chapecoense-sc

1 Coritiba Wins

1 Draws

1 Chapecoense-sc Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
11 Feb 2026	Chapecoense-sc	3 - 3	Coritiba
03 Dec 2017	Chapecoense-sc	2 - 1	Coritiba
06 Aug 2017	Coritiba	2 - 0	Chapecoense-sc

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Coritiba — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
31 Jul	H Cruzeiro	L	0 - 1
26 Jul	A RB Bragantino	D	0 - 0
22 Jul	H Palmeiras	L	1 - 3
30 May	A Flamengo	L	3 - 0
25 May	H Bahia	W	3 - 2

Chapecoense-sc — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
05 Aug	A Cruzeiro	L	2 - 0
02 Aug	H Cruzeiro	D	0 - 0
25 Jul	A Santos	D	2 - 2
23 Jul	H Flamengo	L	0 - 4
17 Jul	A Bahia	L	2 - 0

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Palmeiras	21	14	5	2	38	16	+22	47
2	Flamengo	20	11	6	3	37	18	+19	39
3	Atletico Paranaense	21	11	4	6	28	19	+9	37
4	Fluminense	21	9	7	5	30	25	+5	34
5	Bahia	21	8	8	5	29	25	+4	32
6	RB Bragantino	20	9	4	7	26	20	+6	31
7	Cruzeiro	21	8	6	7	27	30	-3	30
8	Botafogo	20	8	5	7	34	32	+2	29
9	Corinthians	21	7	8	6	22	20	+2	29
10	Atletico-MG	20	8	4	8	25	25	0	28
11	Coritiba	21	7	6	8	25	28	-3	27
12	Sao Paulo	20	7	5	8	25	23	+2	26
13	Vitoria	21	7	5	9	22	31	-9	26
14	Mirassol	20	6	5	9	23	27	-4	23
15	Santos	20	5	7	8	29	33	-4	22
16	Internacional	21	5	7	9	23	27	-4	22
17	Gremio	20	5	7	8	22	26	-4	22
18	Vasco DA Gama	20	5	6	9	23	31	-8	21
19	Remo	21	5	6	10	24	34	-10	21
20	Chapecoense B	20	1	7	12	19	41	-22	10
20	Chapecoense-sc	20	1	7	12	19	41	-22	10

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.