Fluminense vs Bahia Prediction
KI-Tipp
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54%
27%
19%
Heimsieg
Unentschieden
Auswärtssieg
Fluminense vs Bahia prediction: Sportiko gives Fluminense a 54% chance of winning, Bahia 19% and the draw 27%. Last updated 30 Jul 2026, 02:31.
Timeline
Ignácio
Yellow Card
11'
▮
Juan Pablo Freytes
⇄ Thiago Silva
42'
⇄
HT 0–0
▮
49'
Erick Pulga
Yellow Card
Luciano Acosta
⇄ Jefferson Savarino
62'
⇄
Thiago Silva
⇄ Igor Rabello
62'
⇄
Martinelli
⇄ Hércules
62'
⇄
⇄
65'
Ademir
⇄ Everton Ribeiro
⇄
65'
Luciano Juba
⇄ Michel Araújo
⇄
74'
Jean Lucas
⇄ David Martins
⇄
75'
Erick Pulga
⇄ Kauê Furquim
Hulk
⇄ Germán Cano
75'
⇄
⇄
88'
Alejo Véliz
⇄ Willian José
FT 0–0
Fluminense
Match Stats
Bahia
57%
Ball Possession
43%
2.09
Expected Goals (xG)
0.37
21
Total Shots
8
10
Shots on Goal
0
9
Shots off Goal
5
2
Blocked Shots
3
12
Shots insidebox
4
9
Shots outsidebox
4
8
Corner Kicks
1
0
Offsides
3
7
Fouls
9
1
Yellow Cards
1
Red Cards
0
Goalkeeper Saves
9
508
Total passes
384
444
Passes accurate
325
87%
Passes %
85%
1.62
goals_prevented
1.62
Fluminense
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Martinelli M | 7.3 | 62' | – | – | 2 | 50 (46%) | 1 |
| 2 Samuel Xavier D | 7.3 | 94' | – | – | 1 | 66 (62%) | 3 |
| 17 Agustín Canobbio M | 7.2 | 94' | – | – | 3 | 46 (37%) | – |
| 7 Hulk F | 7.2 | 75' | – | – | 4 | 18 (12%) | 2 |
| 6 Renê D | 7.0 | 94' | – | – | – | 51 (42%) | 3 |
| 11 Jefferson Savarino F | 7.0 | 32' | – | – | 1 | 19 (17%) | – |
| 4 Ignácio D | 7.0 | 94' | – | – | – | 50 (42%) | 1 |
| 35 Hércules M | 6.9 | 32' | – | – | 1 | 20 (18%) | 2 |
| 32 Luciano Acosta M | 6.9 | 62' | – | – | 1 | 25 (21%) | 1 |
| 22 Juan Pablo Freytes D | 6.9 | 42' | – | – | – | 24 (22%) | – |
| 16 Nonato M | 6.9 | 94' | – | – | 1 | 65 (57%) | 2 |
| 14 Germán Cano F | 6.9 | 19' | – | – | 2 | 5 (4%) | – |
| 21 Igor Rabello D | 6.9 | 32' | – | – | 1 | 15 (14%) | 1 |
| 3 Thiago Silva D | 6.7 | 20' | – | – | 1 | 12 (12%) | – |
| 1 Fábio G | 6.6 | 94' | – | – | – | 17 (16%) | – |
| 30 Yeferson Soteldo M | 6.3 | 94' | – | – | 1 | 25 (22%) | – |
Bahia
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Ronaldo G | 9.3 | 94' | – | – | – | 29 (24%) | – |
| 44 Marcos Victor D | 7.6 | 94' | – | – | – | 45 (38%) | 1 |
| 21 Santiago Ramos Mingo D | 7.0 | 94' | – | – | – | 33 (28%) | – |
| 5 Nicolás Acevedo M | 7.0 | 94' | – | – | – | 76 (62%) | 2 |
| 46 Luciano Juba D | 7.0 | 65' | – | – | – | 22 (19%) | 3 |
| 31 Román Gómez D | 6.9 | 94' | – | – | – | 29 (29%) | 2 |
| 57 Kauê Furquim M | 6.7 | 19' | – | – | – | 5 (5%) | – |
| 6 Jean Lucas M | 6.7 | 74' | – | – | 1 | 28 (27%) | 1 |
| 63 David Martins M | 6.6 | 20' | – | – | – | 14 (13%) | 1 |
| 11 Rodrigo Nestor M | 6.5 | 94' | – | – | 1 | 36 (30%) | 1 |
| 16 Erick Pulga M | 6.5 | 75' | – | – | – | 16 (12%) | – |
| 7 Ademir M | 6.3 | 65' | – | – | 1 | 20 (14%) | 2 |
| 15 Michel Araújo M | 6.3 | 29' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | – |
| 9 Alejo Véliz F | 6.3 | 88' | – | – | 2 | 8 (6%) | – |
| 10 Everton Ribeiro M | 6.2 | 29' | – | – | – | 17 (13%) | 1 |
| 12 Willian José F | — | 6' | – | – | – | 2 (1%) | – |
Premium
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Confidence
Medium (54%)
At a glance
Unsere Einschätzung
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Fluminense
LDDDD
Bahia
DDDWW
Last 3 meetings
Fluminense · 1W 2D 0L
Match summary
In the upcoming Serie A clash, Fluminense faces Bahia, with both teams looking to bolster their league positions. Fluminense has shown strong attacking prowess this season, averaging 1.8 goals per match, while Bahia has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.4 goals. Key players to watch include Fluminense's top scorer, who has netted 10 goals this season, and Bahia's playmaker, who leads the team in assists. The outcome may hinge on Fluminense's ability to capitalize on defensive lapses from Bahia. Overall, this match presents a critical opportunity for both teams to secure vital points.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
54%
45%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
19%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Fluminense
John Kennedy
9 gls
Bahia
Luciano Juba
7 gls
AI match tools
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Fluminense vs Bahia
1
Fluminense Wins
2
Draws
0
Bahia Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb 2026 | Bahia | 1 - 1 | Fluminense |
| 07 Dec 2025 | Fluminense | 2 - 0 | Bahia |
| 09 Aug 2025 | Bahia | 3 - 3 | Fluminense |
Fluminense — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug | H Vasco DA Gama | L | 1 - 3 |
| 01 Aug | A Vasco DA Gama | D | 0 - 0 |
| 30 Jul | H Bahia | D | 0 - 0 |
| 26 Jul | A Gremio | D | 1 - 1 |
| 17 Jul | H RB Bragantino | D | 1 - 1 |
Bahia — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul | A Fluminense | D | 0 - 0 |
| 26 Jul | H Corinthians | D | 1 - 1 |
| 21 Jul | A Atletico-MG | D | 1 - 1 |
| 17 Jul | H Chapecoense-sc | W | 2 - 0 |
| 30 May | H Botafogo | W | 2 - 1 |
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Palmeiras
|
21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 38 | 16 | +22 | 47 |
| 2 |
Flamengo
|
20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 18 | +19 | 39 |
| 3 |
Atletico Paranaense
|
21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 19 | +9 | 37 |
| 4 |
Fluminense
|
21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 30 | 25 | +5 | 34 |
| 5 |
Bahia
|
21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 29 | 25 | +4 | 32 |
| 6 |
RB Bragantino
|
20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 20 | +6 | 31 |
| 7 |
Cruzeiro
|
21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 30 |
| 8 |
Botafogo
|
20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 34 | 32 | +2 | 29 |
| 9 |
Corinthians
|
21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 20 | +2 | 29 |
| 10 |
Atletico-MG
|
20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 28 |
| 11 |
Coritiba
|
21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 27 |
| 12 |
Sao Paulo
|
20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 23 | +2 | 26 |
| 13 |
Vitoria
|
21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 26 |
| 14 |
Mirassol
|
20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 23 |
| 15 |
Santos
|
20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 22 |
| 16 |
Internacional
|
21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 22 |
| 17 |
Gremio
|
20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 22 |
| 18 |
Vasco DA Gama
|
20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 21 |
| 19 |
Remo
|
21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 21 |
| 20 |
Chapecoense B
|
20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 41 | -22 | 10 |
| 20 |
Chapecoense-sc
|
20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 41 | -22 | 10 |
Bahia
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Ceni Rogerio
1
Ronaldo
46
Juba
21
Mingo
44
Victor
31
Gómez
11
Nestor
5
Acevedo
16
Pulga
6
Lucas
7
Ademir
9
Véliz
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ronaldo | G |
| 31 | Román Gómez | D |
| 44 | Marcos Victor | D |
| 21 | Santiago Ramos Mingo | D |
| 46 | Luciano Juba | D |
| 5 | Nicolás Acevedo | M |
| 11 | Rodrigo Nestor | M |
| 7 | Ademir | M |
| 6 | Jean Lucas | M |
| 16 | Erick Pulga | M |
| 9 | Alejo Véliz | F |
Substitutes
| 17 | Guido Herrera | G |
| 43 | Luiz Gustavo | D |
| 4 | Kanu | D |
| 67 | Wendel Passos | M |
| 63 | David Martins | M |
| 57 | Kauê Furquim | M |
| 77 | Ruan Pablo | F |
| 15 | Michel Araújo | M |
| 10 | Everton Ribeiro | M |
| 23 | Mateo Sanabria | F |
| 55 | Sidney Duarte | M |
| 12 | Willian José | F |
Fluminense
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Francisco Zubeldia Luis
1
Fábio
6
Renê
22
Freytes
4
Ignácio
2
Xavier
8
Martinelli
16
Nonato
30
Soteldo
32
Acosta
17
Canobbio
7
Hulk
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fábio | G |
| 2 | Samuel Xavier | D |
| 4 | Ignácio | D |
| 22 | Juan Pablo Freytes | D |
| 6 | Renê | D |
| 16 | Nonato | M |
| 8 | Martinelli | M |
| 17 | Agustín Canobbio | M |
| 32 | Luciano Acosta | M |
| 30 | Yeferson Soteldo | M |
| 7 | Hulk | F |
Substitutes
| 27 | Marcelo Pitaluga | G |
| 23 | Guga | D |
| 3 | Thiago Silva | D |
| 21 | Igor Rabello | D |
| 35 | Hércules | M |
| 11 | Jefferson Savarino | F |
| 25 | Alisson | M |
| 94 | Otávio | M |
| 28 | Riquelme Felipe | F |
| 90 | Kevin Serna | F |
| 10 | Ganso | M |
| 14 | Germán Cano | F |