Corinthians vs Atletico Paranaense Prognose

Serie A · Regular Season - 21

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Atletico Paranaense

Away

KI-Tipp Corinthians oder Unentschieden

43%

31%

25%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Corinthians vs. Atletico Paranaense Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Corinthians eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 43%, für Atletico Paranaense 25% und für ein Unentschieden 31%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 31 Jul 2026, 00:32.

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Timeline

▮ 44'

Gastón Benavídez Yellow Card

▮ 45+1'

Jádson Yellow Card

HT 0–0

Zakaria Labyad ⇄ Kaio César

46' ⇄

Dieguinho ⇄ Yuri Alberto

46' ⇄

⇄ 46'

Claudinho

⇄ 65'

Leozinho ⇄ Dudu

⇄ 65'

Steven Mendoza

Matheus Pereira ⇄ Breno Bidon

77' ⇄

Yuri Alberto ⇄ Rodrigo Garro

78' ⇄

⇄ 82'

Kevin Viveros ⇄ Jorge Rivaldo

André Carrillo ⇄ André Luiz

83' ⇄

André Ramalho Yellow Card

86' ▮

Matheuzinho Yellow Card

87' ▮

Rodrigo Garro Yellow Card

90+2' ▮

⇄ 90+3'

Carlos Terán ⇄ Juan Felipe Aguirre

▮ 90+5'

Santos Yellow Card

FT 0–0

Corinthians

Match Stats

Atletico Paranaense

51% Ball Possession 49%

1.35 Expected Goals (xG) 0.66

7 Total Shots 4

4 Shots on Goal 1

2 Shots off Goal 3

1 Blocked Shots 0

4 Shots insidebox 3

3 Shots outsidebox 1

6 Corner Kicks 2

1 Offsides 2

16 Fouls 15

3 Yellow Cards 3

Red Cards

1 Goalkeeper Saves 4

409 Total passes 400

355 Passes accurate 329

87% Passes % 82%

1.41 goals_prevented 1.41

Corinthians

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
14 Raniele D	7.6	96'	–	–	–	58 (52%)	3
2 Matheuzinho D	7.5	96'	–	–	1	36 (26%)	3
5 André Ramalho D	7.5	96'	–	–	1	54 (52%)	1
1 Hugo Souza G	6.9	96'	–	–	–	22 (19%)	–
29 Allan M	6.9	96'	–	–	–	60 (56%)	–
19 André Carrillo M	6.9	83'	–	–	–	39 (37%)	–
37 Kaio César F	6.7	51'	–	–	1	11 (9%)	–
9 Yuri Alberto F	6.7	33'	–	–	2	7 (4%)	–
23 Matheus Pereira M	6.7	77'	–	–	–	46 (36%)	1
77 Jesse Lingard F	6.6	96'	–	–	1	27 (24%)	–
7 Breno Bidon M	6.5	19'	–	–	–	2 (1%)	–
61 Dieguinho M	6.5	45'	–	–	–	7 (7%)	–
8 Rodrigo Garro M	6.5	18'	–	–	–	3 (2%)	2
49 André Luiz M	6.3	13'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	–
52 Zakaria Labyad M	6.3	45'	–	–	–	10 (8%)	2
20 Pedro Milans D	6.3	96'	–	–	–	25 (20%)	2

Atletico Paranaense

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
23 Santos G	8.2	96'	–	–	–	12 (9%)	–
16 Jádson M	7.0	96'	–	–	–	32 (32%)	2
22 Carlos Terán D	7.0	93'	–	–	–	67 (56%)	2
27 Juan Portilla M	6.9	96'	–	–	–	42 (35%)	2
29 Gastón Benavídez D	6.9	96'	–	–	–	61 (54%)	–
4 Arthur Dias D	6.7	96'	–	–	–	69 (57%)	–
19 Jorge Rivaldo F	6.7	14'	–	–	–	1	–
12 Gilberto M	6.6	96'	–	–	1	34 (26%)	–
8 João Cruz M	6.6	31'	–	–	1	8 (5%)	–
6 Leonardo Derik D	6.6	51'	–	–	–	11 (6%)	2
26 Claudinho M	6.6	45'	–	–	–	20 (17%)	2
53 Dudu M	6.6	31'	–	–	1	3 (3%)	1
21 Leozinho F	6.3	65'	–	–	–	17 (12%)	1
7 Steven Mendoza F	6.2	65'	–	–	–	18 (14%)	–
9 Kevin Viveros F	5.9	82'	–	–	1	5 (3%)	–
33 Juan Felipe Aguirre D	—	3'	–	–	–	–	–

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Confidence Low (43%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung

Corinthians oder Unentschieden

Most likely score

1:1 · 15.3%

Both teams to score

43%

Over 2.5 goals

34%

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Corinthians

LLLDL

Atletico Paranaense

WDLDW

Last 3 meetings Corinthians · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Serie A clash, Corinthians will face Atletico Paranaense, both teams striving for crucial points. Corinthians' recent form shows a solid defensive record, conceding only 1 goal in their last 5 matches, while their attacking unit has been inconsistent, averaging just 1.2 goals per game. On the other hand, Atletico Paranaense has demonstrated offensive prowess, scoring an average of 1.5 goals per game, but they have struggled defensively, allowing 1.4 goals per match. This matchup could hinge on whether Corinthians can capitalize on their defensive solidity or if Atletico can break through with their attacking flair. Expect a tactical battle where set pieces and midfield control might play pivotal roles.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

43%

45%

Draw

31%

45%

Away

25%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Atletico Paranaense goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	15	11	6	2	1
1	12	15	7	2	1
2	7	7	4	1
3	3	3	1
4	1	1
5

↑ Corinthians goals · most likely 1–1 (15.3%)

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Players in form

Corinthians

No scorer data.

Atletico Paranaense

K. Viveros 18 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

43%

Draw

31%

Away Win

25%

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS No 43% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

37%

1.5

63%

66%

2.5

34%

85%

3.5

15%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

43%

Draw

31%

Away Win

25%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

53% Home (No Draw) 47% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

15% Home Win by 2+ 12% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

35% Home Scores More 34% Equal Goals 31% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

37%

1.5

63%

66%

2.5

34%

85%

3.5

15%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS No 43% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

15%

23%

29%

19%

10%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	14.5%	10.9%	6.3%	2.1%	0.5%
1	11.9%	15.3%	6.7%	2.2%	0.6%
2	7.3%	7.2%	3.6%	1.2%	0.3%
3	2.6%	2.6%	1.3%	0.4%	0.1%
4	0.7%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

75%

1.5

25%

93%

2.5

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

41%

34%

18%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Corinthians	Draw	Atletico Paranaense
Corinthians	23.3%	4.2%	1.1%
Draw	11.9%	23.4%	10.9%
Atletico Paranaense	1.1%	4.1%	20.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

34%

37%

20%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

92%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

37%

18%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

90%

1.5

10%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

92%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Corinthians vs Atletico Paranaense

2 Corinthians Wins

1 Draws

0 Atletico Paranaense Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
19 Feb 2026	Atletico Paranaense	0 - 1	Corinthians
17 Oct 2024	Corinthians	5 - 2	Atletico Paranaense
23 Jun 2024	Atletico Paranaense	1 - 1	Corinthians

Alle 10 Begegnungen ansehen — Premium

Corinthians — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Fluminense	L	1 - 3
17 Sep	H Estudiantes L.P.	L	0 - 1
13 Sep	A Flamengo	L	2 - 1
10 Sep	A Estudiantes L.P.	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	H Chapecoense-sc	L	1 - 2

Atletico Paranaense — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Bahia	W	2 - 1
12 Sep	A Coritiba	D	3 - 3
06 Sep	A Cruzeiro	L	3 - 1
30 Aug	H Fluminense	D	3 - 3
24 Aug	A Botafogo	W	2 - 3

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	28	18	6	4	55	23	+32	60
2	Palmeiras	28	16	9	3	47	21	+26	57
3	Atletico Paranaense	28	14	7	7	43	32	+11	49
4	Fluminense	28	13	9	6	44	36	+8	48
5	Bahia	28	12	10	6	43	35	+8	46
6	Cruzeiro	28	13	6	9	42	40	+2	45
7	Atletico-MG	27	11	7	9	36	32	+4	40
8	Santos	27	10	8	9	41	40	+1	38
9	Coritiba	28	10	8	10	37	43	-6	38
10	RB Bragantino	27	10	6	11	33	31	+2	36
11	Sao Paulo	27	10	6	11	32	30	+2	36
12	Botafogo	28	9	8	11	41	45	-4	35
13	Vitoria	28	9	6	13	28	42	-14	33
14	Corinthians	28	8	8	12	29	32	-3	32
15	Mirassol	28	8	8	12	33	42	-9	32
16	Vasco DA Gama	27	8	7	12	34	41	-7	31
17	Gremio	28	7	8	13	30	38	-8	29
18	Internacional	28	6	10	12	30	36	-6	28
19	Remo	28	5	8	15	32	47	-15	23
20	Chapecoense B	20	1	7	12	19	41	-22	10
20	Chapecoense-sc	27	3	9	15	29	53	-24	18

Corinthians

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Fernando Diniz

1 Souza

2 Matheuzinho

14 Raniele

5 Ramalho

20 Milans

29 Allan

19 Carrillo

52 Labyad

23 Pereira

61 Dieguinho

77 Lingard

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Hugo Souza	G
20	Pedro Milans	D
5	André Ramalho	D
14	Raniele	D
2	Matheuzinho	D
19	André Carrillo	M
29	Allan	M
61	Dieguinho	M
23	Matheus Pereira	M
52	Zakaria Labyad	M
77	Jesse Lingard	F

Substitutes

51	Kauê	G
3	Gabriel Paulista	D
13	Gustavo Henrique	D
55	Iago Machado	D
4	João Pedro Tchoca	D
49	André Luiz	M
7	Breno Bidon	M
8	Rodrigo Garro	M
35	Charles	M
37	Kaio César	F
9	Yuri Alberto	F
56	Gui Negão	F

Atletico Paranaense

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Joao Correia

23 Santos

4 Dias

22 Terán

29 Benavídez

26 Claudinho

27 Portilla

16 Jádson

12 Gilberto

7 Mendoza

21 Leozinho

9 Viveros

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
23	Santos	G
29	Gastón Benavídez	D
22	Carlos Terán	D
4	Arthur Dias	D
12	Gilberto	M
16	Jádson	M
27	Juan Portilla	M
26	Claudinho	M
21	Leozinho	F
7	Steven Mendoza	F
9	Kevin Viveros	F

Substitutes

42	Matheus Soares	G
33	Juan Felipe Aguirre	D
6	Leonardo Derik	D
3	Léo	D
2	Gilberto Junior	D
53	Dudu	M
11	Isaac	F
10	Bruno Zapelli	M
5	Felipinho	D
8	João Cruz	M
19	Jorge Rivaldo	F
70	Renan Peixoto Nepomuceno	F