Sao Paulo vs Bahia Prognose
KI-Tipp
Sao Paulo oder Unentschieden
49%
26%
26%
Heimsieg
Unentschieden
Auswärtssieg
Sao Paulo vs. Bahia Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Sao Paulo eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 49%, für Bahia 26% und für ein Unentschieden 26%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 29 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Timeline
André Silva
Yellow Card
0'
▮
Artur
assist: Wendell
17'
⚽
1–0
▮
41'
Nicolás Acevedo
Yellow Card
Damián Bobadilla
Yellow Card
45'
▮
HT 1–0
⇄ Cédric Soares
50'
⇄
⇄
56'
Cristian Olivera
⇄ Mateo Sanabria
⚽
1–1
62'
Luciano Juba
assist: Everton Ribeiro
Cauly
⇄ Lucas Moura
63'
⇄
Wendell
⇄ Enzo Díaz
71'
⇄
Luciano
⇄ Ferreirinha
71'
⇄
Danielzinho
⇄ Luan Santos
71'
⇄
Ferreirinha
assist: Jonathan Calleri
73'
⚽
2–1
Enzo Díaz
Yellow Card
81'
▮
⇄
82'
Erick Pulga
⇄ Ademir
⇄
82'
Jean Lucas
⇄ Michel Araújo
⇄
82'
Willian José
⇄ Everaldo
⇄
82'
Everton Ribeiro
⇄ Rodrigo Nestor
⚽
2–2
90'
Erick
▮
90+4'
Mateo Sanabria
Yellow Card
Jonathan Calleri
Yellow Card
90+6'
▮
▮
90+7'
Erick
Yellow Card
FT 2–2
Sao Paulo
Match Stats
Bahia
38%
Ball Possession
62%
2.14
Expected Goals (xG)
1.92
18
Total Shots
20
8
Shots on Goal
7
3
Shots off Goal
7
7
Blocked Shots
6
13
Shots insidebox
12
5
Shots outsidebox
8
13
Corner Kicks
10
2
Offsides
0
12
Fouls
11
4
Yellow Cards
3
Red Cards
4
Goalkeeper Saves
6
316
Total passes
508
253
Passes accurate
448
80%
Passes %
88%
-0.25
goals_prevented
-0.25
Sao Paulo
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37 Artur M | 8.0 | 100' | 1 | – | 3 | 26 (20%) | – |
| 19 Lucas Ramon D | 7.9 | 50' | – | – | 2 | 18 (14%) | 1 |
| 11 Ferreirinha F | 7.9 | 29' | 1 | – | 2 | 13 (12%) | – |
| 35 Sabino D | 7.5 | 100' | – | – | – | 28 (21%) | 2 |
| 28 Alan Franco D | 7.2 | 100' | – | – | – | 30 (26%) | 1 |
| 80 Cauly M | 7.0 | 63' | – | – | 1 | 20 (18%) | 1 |
| 94 Danielzinho M | 6.9 | 71' | – | – | – | 38 (33%) | 1 |
| 18 Wendell D | 6.7 | 71' | – | 1 | – | 32 (23%) | 1 |
| 9 Jonathan Calleri F | 6.7 | 100' | – | 1 | 1 | 13 (9%) | – |
| 16 Damián Bobadilla M | 6.6 | 100' | – | – | – | 36 (33%) | – |
| 10 Luciano M | 6.6 | 71' | – | – | 2 | 13 (12%) | 1 |
| 33 Luan Santos M | 6.5 | 29' | – | – | – | 7 (5%) | – |
| 7 Lucas Moura F | 6.3 | 22' | – | – | – | 8 (8%) | – |
| 23 Rafael G | 6.2 | 100' | – | – | – | 20 (11%) | – |
| 21 Cédric Soares D | 6.2 | 50' | – | – | – | 11 (6%) | 1 |
| 13 Enzo Díaz D | 6.2 | 29' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
Bahia
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33 David Duarte D | 8.2 | 100' | – | – | 1 | 54 (49%) | 2 |
| 46 Luciano Juba D | 8.0 | 100' | 1 | – | 1 | 48 (40%) | 2 |
| 22 Leo Vieira G | 8.0 | 100' | – | – | – | 21 (20%) | – |
| 10 Everton Ribeiro M | 7.7 | 82' | – | 1 | 1 | 61 (52%) | – |
| 14 Erick M | 7.2 | 100' | 1 | – | 2 | 59 (54%) | 2 |
| 12 Willian José F | 6.9 | 100' | – | – | 2 | 19 (15%) | 1 |
| 16 Erick Pulga M | 6.9 | 82' | – | – | 2 | 21 (20%) | – |
| 23 Mateo Sanabria F | 6.9 | 44' | – | – | – | 6 (4%) | – |
| 99 Cristian Olivera M | 6.6 | 56' | – | – | 1 | 26 (24%) | – |
| 5 Nicolás Acevedo D | 6.3 | 100' | – | – | 2 | 85 (71%) | – |
| 11 Rodrigo Nestor M | 6.3 | 18' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | 1 |
| 7 Ademir F | 6.3 | 18' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | 1 |
| 15 Michel Araújo M | 6.3 | 18' | – | – | 1 | 4 (4%) | 1 |
| 21 Santiago Ramos Mingo D | 6.2 | 100' | – | – | – | 65 (61%) | – |
| 6 Jean Lucas M | 6.2 | 82' | – | – | 1 | 31 (27%) | 3 |
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Confidence
Medium (60%)
At a glance
Unsere Einschätzung
Sao Paulo oder Unentschieden
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Sao Paulo
WDLLW
Bahia
LWWWW
Last 3 meetings
Sao Paulo · 2W 0D 1L
Match summary
In the upcoming Serie A match on May 3, 2026, São Paulo hosts Bahia at the Morumbi Stadium. São Paulo has been strong at home, boasting a solid win percentage of around 65% in their last 20 league matches here. Bahia, on the other hand, has struggled on the road, with only 30% of their away fixtures resulting in victories. Recent form indicates São Paulo is in better shape, having garnered points from their last five matches, while Bahia has faced challenges, including a lack of consistency in defense. Expect São Paulo to leverage their home advantage and offensive prowess to secure a vital three points.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Sao Paulo
Luciano
8 gls
J. Calleri
8 gls
Bahia
Luciano Juba
9 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Sao Paulo vs Bahia
2
Sao Paulo Wins
0
Draws
1
Bahia Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct 2025 | Sao Paulo | 2 - 0 | Bahia |
| 31 May 2025 | Bahia | 2 - 1 | Sao Paulo |
| 05 Nov 2024 | Bahia | 0 - 3 | Sao Paulo |
Sao Paulo — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Internacional | W | 1 - 0 |
| 16 Sep | H Boca Juniors | D | 1 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | A Palmeiras | L | 2 - 0 |
| 09 Sep | A Boca Juniors | L | 1 - 0 |
| 05 Sep | H Atletico-MG | W | 2 - 0 |
Bahia — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Atletico Paranaense | L | 2 - 1 |
| 14 Sep | H Remo | W | 2 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | A RB Bragantino | W | 2 - 3 |
| 30 Aug | H Internacional | W | 3 - 2 |
| 23 Aug | A Vitoria | W | 0 - 2 |
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Flamengo
|
28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 55 | 23 | +32 | 60 |
| 2 |
Palmeiras
|
28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 47 | 21 | +26 | 57 |
| 3 |
Atletico Paranaense
|
28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 32 | +11 | 49 |
| 4 |
Fluminense
|
28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 44 | 36 | +8 | 48 |
| 5 |
Bahia
|
28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 43 | 35 | +8 | 46 |
| 6 |
Cruzeiro
|
28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42 | 40 | +2 | 45 |
| 7 |
Atletico-MG
|
27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 36 | 32 | +4 | 40 |
| 8 |
Santos
|
27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 41 | 40 | +1 | 38 |
| 9 |
Coritiba
|
28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 38 |
| 10 |
RB Bragantino
|
27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 33 | 31 | +2 | 36 |
| 11 |
Sao Paulo
|
27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 30 | +2 | 36 |
| 12 |
Botafogo
|
28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 35 |
| 13 |
Vitoria
|
28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 33 |
| 14 |
Corinthians
|
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 32 |
| 15 |
Mirassol
|
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
| 16 |
Vasco DA Gama
|
27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 31 |
| 17 |
Gremio
|
28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 29 |
| 18 |
Internacional
|
28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 28 |
| 19 |
Remo
|
28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 23 |
| 20 |
Chapecoense B
|
20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 41 | -22 | 10 |
| 20 |
Chapecoense-sc
|
27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 29 | 53 | -24 | 18 |
Bahia
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Ceni Rogerio
22
Vieira
46
Juba
21
Ramos
33
Duarte
5
Acevedo
6
Lucas
14
Erick
16
Pulga
10
Ribeiro
99
Olivera
12
Jose
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 22 | Leo Vieira | G |
| 5 | Nicolas Acevedo | D |
| 33 | David Duarte | D |
| 21 | S. Ramos | D |
| 46 | Luciano Juba | D |
| 14 | Erick | M |
| 6 | Jean Lucas | M |
| 99 | C. Olivera | M |
| 10 | Everton Ribeiro | M |
| 16 | Erick Pulga | M |
| 12 | Willian Jose | F |
Substitutes
| 34 | Joao Paulo | G |
| 7 | Ademir | F |
| 15 | Michel Araujo | M |
| 23 | M. Sanabria | F |
| 31 | R. Gomez | D |
| 2 | Gilberto | D |
| 27 | Everaldo | F |
| 25 | Iago Borduchi | D |
| 4 | Kanu | D |
| 11 | Rodrigo | M |
| 3 | Gabriel Xavier | D |
| 44 | Marcos Victor | D |
Sao Paulo
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Machado Roger
23
Rafael
18
Wendell
35
Sabino
28
Franco
19
Ramon
94
Danielzinho
16
Bobadilla
80
Cauly
10
Luciano
37
Artur
9
Calleri
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 23 | Rafael | G |
| 19 | Lucas Ramon | - |
| 28 | A. Franco | D |
| 35 | Sabino | D |
| 18 | Wendell | D |
| 16 | D. Bobadilla | M |
| 94 | Danielzinho | M |
| 37 | Artur | M |
| 10 | Luciano | M |
| 80 | Cauly | M |
| 9 | Jonathan Calleri | F |
Substitutes
| 31 | Carlos Coronel | G |
| 21 | C. Soares | D |
| 4 | Matheus Doria | D |
| 13 | E. Diaz | D |
| 11 | Ferreira | F |
| 17 | Andre Silva | F |
| 33 | Luan Silva | M |
| 54 | Luis Osorio | D |
| 45 | Lucca Marques | F |
| 7 | Lucas Moura | F |
| 14 | G. Tapia | F |
| 48 | Djhordney | M |