Molde vs Aalesund Prognose

Eliteserien · Regular Season - 22

Post on X

Molde

Home

1 : 2

HT 0 - 2

Aalesund

Away

Aker Stadion, Molde

KI-Tipp Molde gewinnt oder unentschieden

71%

17%

12%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Molde vs. Aalesund Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Molde eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 71%, für Aalesund 12% und für ein Unentschieden 17%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 19 Sep 2026, 18:00.

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Home 1H Over 0.5 74%
Auswärtsteam trifft 70%

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 7'

Mathias Christensen assist: Uba Charles

▮ 32'

Marius Andresen Yellow Card

⚽ 0–2 44'

I. Skotheim

Trent Kone Doherty ⇄ Caleb Zady Sery

45' ⇄

Oskar Spiten-Nysæter ⇄ Mathias Løvik

45' ⇄

Samukelo Kabini ⇄ Mats Møller Dæhli

45' ⇄

HT 0–2

Jalal Abdullai Yellow Card

47' ▮

Yellow Card

47' ▮

🖵 59'

Luca Podlech Red card cancelled

▮ 60'

Luca Podlech Yellow Card

Niklas Odegard Yellow Card

70' ▮

Martin Linnes ⇄ Kristian Lonebu

71' ⇄

Jalal Abdullai Penalty cancelled

76' 🖵

⇄ 79'

Marcus Haagensen Reed ⇄ Elias Heggland Myrlid

⇄ 79'

I. Skotheim ⇄ Sander Erik Kartum

⇄ 79'

Aleksander Kjelsen ⇄ Simen Haram

F. Dahl ⇄ Sander Hestetun Kilen

79' ⇄

Kristian Lonebu assist: Emil Breivik

82' ⚽ 1–2

⇄ 86'

Endre Hjertager Osenbroch ⇄ Tobias Leikanger

▮ 90+7'

Mathias Christensen Yellow Card

FT 1–2

Molde

Match Stats

Aalesund

68% Ball Possession 32%

10 Total Shots 12

6 Shots on Goal 5

2 Shots off Goal 4

2 Blocked Shots 3

8 Shots insidebox 8

2 Shots outsidebox 4

10 Corner Kicks 6

3 Offsides 0

20 Fouls 11

2 Yellow Cards 3

0 Red Cards 0

3 Goalkeeper Saves 6

580 Total passes 279

499 Passes accurate 191

10 Free Kicks 18

Molde

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
20 Kristian Lonebu F	7.2	19'	1	–	1	1 (1%)	–
17 Mats Møller Dæhli M	7.1	44'	–	–	–	70 (64%)	–
23 Sondre Milian Granaas M	7.1	90'	–	–	2	52 (46%)	2
22 Albert Posiadała G	6.9	90'	–	–	–	28 (25%)	–
10 Emil Breivik M	6.6	90'	–	1	1	42 (32%)	2
30 Daniel Daga M	6.6	90'	–	–	–	38 (32%)	3
11 Caleb Zady Sery F	6.5	44'	–	–	1	38 (37%)	1
25 Martin Linnes D	6.4	71'	–	–	1	39 (33%)	2
6 Niklas Odegard D	6.4	90'	–	–	1	94 (82%)	5
27 F. Dahl D	6.4	79'	–	–	–	68 (58%)	1
9 Jalal Abdullai F	6.2	90'	–	–	1	7 (5%)	–
16 Sander Hestetun Kilen F	6.2	11'	–	–	–	8 (5%)	–
26 Samukelo Kabini D	6.1	46'	–	–	–	37 (31%)	–
8 Mathias Løvik D	6.1	44'	–	–	–	29 (24%)	–
21 Oskar Spiten-Nysæter M	5.9	46'	–	–	–	16 (12%)	–
24 Trent Kone Doherty M	5.8	46'	–	–	2	13 (12%)	–

Aalesund

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
8 I. Skotheim F	8.2	79'	1	–	2	17 (13%)	2
14 Uba Charles D	7.5	90'	–	1	3	14 (10%)	1
21 Mathias Christensen M	7.3	90'	1	–	2	34 (24%)	4
5 Aleksander Kjelsen D	7.0	79'	–	–	–	26 (23%)	1
1 Luca Podlech G	7.0	90'	–	–	–	48 (19%)	–
17 Elias Heggland Myrlid F	6.7	11'	–	–	–	5 (3%)	–
7 Kristoffer Nessø D	6.6	90'	–	–	–	25 (20%)	–
15 Endre Hjertager Osenbroch M	6.5	86'	–	–	1	16 (11%)	–
27 Marcus Haagensen Reed F	6.4	79'	–	–	2	11 (8%)	–
4 Simen Haram D	6.3	11'	–	–	–	2 (1%)	–
19 Sander Erik Kartum M	6.3	11'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	1
28 Cheick Mbacke Diop D	6.2	90'	–	–	1	32 (22%)	1
2 Marius Andresen D	6.1	90'	–	–	–	24 (17%)	5
18 Elias Kristoffersen Hagen M	6.0	90'	–	–	1	21 (17%)	1
38 Tobias Leikanger M	5.9	4'	–	–	–	1	–

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Confidence High (71%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung

Molde gewinnt oder unentschieden

Most likely score

3:1 · 8.9%

Both teams to score

67%

Over 2.5 goals

78%

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Molde

LWWWW

Aalesund

WWLWL

Last 3 meetings Molde · 1W 1D 1L

Live insights

83' Goal 80% sure

Late goal makes it 1-2! Aalesund win probability: 80.9%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 28%.

83' time check 80% sure

Min 83: Aalesund leads 1-2. Win probability: 80.9%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 19.1%.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Aalesund leads 0-2. Win probability: 92.2%. Comeback chance: 7.8%.

45' Goal 85% sure

Aalesund now leads 0-2 with 68.7% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 86.6%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-2. Aalesund leads. Win probability: 68.7%. Over 0.5 more goals: 86.6%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

71%

45%

Draw

17%

45%

Away

12%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Aalesund goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	2	1	1
1	4	7	4	1
2	7	9	5	2	1
3	7	9	5	2	1
4	6	7	4	2	1
5	3	4	2	1

↑ Molde goals · most likely 3–1 (8.9%)

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Players in form

Molde

E. Hestad 8 gls

E. Breivik 7 gls

K. Lonebu 7 gls

Trent Toure Kone Doherty 6 gls

Aalesund

M. Christensen 8 gls

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Match Result

Home Win

71%

Draw

17%

Away Win

12%

Both Teams To Score

67% BTTS Yes 33% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

98%

1.5

93%

22%

2.5

78%

42%

3.5

58%

64%

4.5

37%

82%

5.5

18%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

71%

Draw

17%

Away Win

12%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

85% Home (No Draw) 15% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

51% Home Win by 2+ 5% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

71% Home Scores More 17% Equal Goals 12% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

98%

1.5

93%

22%

2.5

78%

42%

3.5

58%

64%

4.5

37%

82%

5.5

18%

Both Teams To Score

67% BTTS Yes 33% BTTS No

Exact Goals

15%

20%

21%

18%

11%

Goal Range

3-5 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

51% Even Total Goals 49% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	2.3%	1.1%	1.2%	0.5%	0.1%
1	4.0%	6.5%	3.5%	1.4%	0.4%
2	7.2%	8.7%	5.3%	2.2%	0.7%
3	7.3%	8.9%	5.4%	2.2%	0.7%
4	5.5%	6.7%	4.1%	1.7%	0.5%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

40%

1.5

60%

69%

2.5

31%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

16%

25%

29%

18%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

32%

1.5

68%

60%

2.5

40%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

11%

21%

28%

20%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Molde	Draw	Aalesund
Molde	50.0%	2.8%	1.0%
Draw	19.2%	8.3%	3.8%
Aalesund	4.4%	3.6%	7.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

21%

1.5

79%

45%

2.5

55%

70%

3.5

30%

Home Exact Goals

16%

24%

25%

19%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

61%

1.5

39%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

50%

1.5

50%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

30%

36%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Molde vs Aalesund

1 Molde Wins

1 Draws

1 Aalesund Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
11 Jul 2026	Aalesund	2 - 2	Molde
16 May 2023	Aalesund	3 - 1	Molde
03 May 2023	Molde	3 - 0	Aalesund

Alle 10 Begegnungen ansehen — Premium

Molde — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Aalesund	L	1 - 2
16 Sep	A Trygg/Lade	W	0 - 5
13 Sep	A Ham-Kam	W	1 - 5
06 Sep	H KFUM Oslo	W	2 - 0
30 Aug	A Valerenga	W	3 - 4

Aalesund — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Molde	W	1 - 2
16 Sep	A Førde	W	3 - 4
13 Sep	A KFUM Oslo	L	2 - 1
04 Sep	H Start	W	2 - 0
30 Aug	A Viking	L	2 - 1

Eliteserien Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Viking	21	16	2	3	54	20	+34	50
2	Bodo/Glimt	21	16	2	3	53	19	+34	50
3	Tromso	21	11	5	5	40	29	+11	38
4	Molde	21	11	3	7	44	32	+12	36
5	Rosenborg	21	10	3	8	39	30	+9	33
6	Lillestrom	21	10	2	9	28	29	-1	32
7	Brann	21	9	2	10	39	32	+7	29
8	Fredrikstad	21	8	4	9	25	32	-7	28
9	Sarpsborg 08 FF	21	6	7	8	24	29	-5	25
10	KFUM Oslo	21	7	4	10	25	35	-10	25
11	Sandefjord	21	6	5	10	21	27	-6	23
12	Valerenga	21	6	5	10	34	43	-9	23
13	Ham-Kam	21	6	5	10	29	44	-15	23
14	Aalesund	21	4	9	8	33	46	-13	21
15	Kristiansund BK	21	5	4	12	21	40	-19	19
16	Start	21	4	4	13	22	44	-22	16

Molde

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: S. Tjelmeland

22 Posiadała

26 Kabini

27 Dahl

6 Ødegård

25 Linnes

30 Daga

10 Breivik

21 Spiten-Nysæter

23 Granaas

24 Doherty

9 Abdulai

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
22	A. Posiadała	G
25	M. Linnes	D
6	N. Ødegård	D
27	F. Dahl	D
26	S. Kabini	D
10	E. Breivik	M
30	D. Daga	M
24	Trent Toure Kone Doherty	M
23	S. Granaas	M
21	O. Spiten-Nysæter	M
9	J. Abdulai	F

Substitutes

28	V. Bender	M
17	M. Møller Dæhli	M
16	S. Kilen	F
12	P. Lervik	G
20	K. Lonebu	F
8	M. Løvik	D
52	D. Sylte	D
11	C. Zady Sery	F
55	Ulrik Langlie Skrede	D

Aalesund

Formation: 5-3-2 Coach: K. Rekdal

1 Podlech

14 Charles

5 Kjelsen

28 Mbacke

2 Andresen

7 Nessø

15 Osenbroch

18 Hagen

21 Christensen

27 Reed

8 Skotheim

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Luca Podlech	G
7	K. Nessø	D
2	M. Andresen	D
28	D. Mbacke	D
5	A. Hammer Kjelsen	D
14	U. Charles	D
21	M. Christensen	M
18	E. Hagen	M
15	E. Osenbroch	M
8	I. Skotheim	F
27	H. M. Reed	F

Substitutes

4	S. Haram	D
19	S. Kartum	M
30	S. K. Knutsen	F
26	T. Larsen	G
17	E. Myrlid	F
16	J. Ørsahl	D
25	U. Syversen	D
38	T. Leikanger	M
22	E. Engqvist	D