Union St. Gilloise vs Dender Prediction

Jupiler Pro League Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 29
FT
Post on X
Stade Joseph Mariën, Brussels
KI-Tipp Union St. Gilloise gewinnt
77%
18%
5%
Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Union St. Gilloise vs Dender prediction: Sportiko gives Union St. Gilloise a 77% chance of winning, Dender 5% and the draw 18%. Last updated 13 Jul 2026, 16:15.

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Confidence Medium (53%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung
Union St. Gilloise gewinnt
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Union St. Gilloise
DDWWW
Dender
LLLDD
Last 3 meetings Union St. Gilloise · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

Union St. Gilloise currently sits in a strong position in the Jupiler Pro League, showcasing a solid home record with a high goal-scoring average. They have been particularly effective in creating goal-scoring opportunities, ranking in the top three for shots on target per match. Conversely, Dender has struggled on the road, often conceding multiple goals, which may play into Union's hands. With their offensive prowess and Dender's defensive vulnerabilities, this match could see a decisive victory for the home side. Expect Union to dominate possession and capitalize on any defensive lapses from Dender.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
77%
45%
Draw
18%
45%
Away
5%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Union St. Gilloise
K. Rodríguez 10 gls
P. David 9 gls
Dender
B. Nsimba 9 gls

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Head to Head: Union St. Gilloise vs Dender

2 Union St. Gilloise Wins
1 Draws
0 Dender Wins
Date Home Score Away
13 Sep 2025 Dender 0 - 1 Union St. Gilloise
01 Mar 2025 Union St. Gilloise 4 - 1 Dender
27 Jul 2024 Dender 0 - 0 Union St. Gilloise

Union St. Gilloise — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
04 Aug H Bodo/Glimt D 3 - 3
31 Jul A Club Brugge KV D 1 - 1
05 Jul H FCSB W 4 - 0
30 Jun A Diegem Sport W 0 - 7
22 Mar A St. Truiden W 1 - 3

Dender — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
01 Aug A Lokeren-Temse L 3 - 0
22 Mar H Gent L 1 - 3
14 Mar A Union St. Gilloise L 2 - 0
07 Mar H Charleroi D 2 - 2
01 Mar A Cercle Brugge D 0 - 0

Jupiler Pro League Standings

Pro League

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Union St. Gilloise
30 19 9 2 +33 66
2
Club Brugge KV
30 20 3 7 +23 63
3
St. Truiden
30 18 3 9 +12 57
4
Gent
30 13 6 11 +6 45
5
KV Mechelen
30 12 9 9 +2 45
6
Anderlecht
30 12 8 10 +4 44
13
Zulte Waregem
30 8 8 14 -9 32
14
Cercle Brugge
30 7 10 13 -8 31
15
RAAL La Louvière
30 6 13 11 -7 31
16
Dender
30 3 10 17 -27 19

Pro League , Qualifying Round

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Genk
40 15 14 11 +4 38
2
Standard Liege
40 16 9 15 -2 37
3
Charleroi
40 14 9 17 0 34
4
KVC Westerlo
40 14 10 16 -7 33
5
Antwerp
40 13 9 18 -5 31
6
OH Leuven
40 10 10 20 -19 23

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.

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