PEC Zwolle vs Excelsior Prognose

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 30

Post on X

Excelsior

Away

MAC³PARK Stadion, Zwolle

KI-Tipp PEC Zwolle gewinnt oder unentschieden

66%

23%

11%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

PEC Zwolle vs. Excelsior Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für PEC Zwolle eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 66%, für Excelsior 11% und für ein Unentschieden 23%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 26 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Timeline

Thijs Oosting

3' ⚽ 1–0

⚽ 1–1 16'

Derensili Sanches Fernandes assist: Casper Widell

HT 1–1

▮ 53'

Irakli Yegoian Yellow Card

Odysseus Velanas assist: Thijs Oosting

60' ⚽ 2–1

Odysseus Velanas ⇄ Kaj de Rooij

62' ⇄

Ryan Thomas ⇄ Tristan Gooijer

62' ⇄

⇄ 62'

Lewis Schouten ⇄ Emil Hansson

Koen Kostons ⇄ Thomas Buitink

74' ⇄

⇄ 79'

Irakli Yegoian ⇄ Mike van Duinen

⇄ 79'

Rick Meissen ⇄ Szymon Włodarczyk

⚽ 2–2 80'

Szymon Włodarczyk assist: Gyan de Regt

FT 2–2

PEC Zwolle

Match Stats

Excelsior

49% Ball Possession 51%

2.66 Expected Goals (xG) 1.50

15 Total Shots 16

5 Shots on Goal 3

5 Shots off Goal 8

5 Blocked Shots 5

11 Shots insidebox 9

4 Shots outsidebox 7

5 Corner Kicks 2

3 Offsides 1

10 Fouls 13

0 Yellow Cards 1

Red Cards

1 Goalkeeper Saves 3

408 Total passes 429

312 Passes accurate 323

76% Passes % 75%

-0.29 goals_prevented -0.29

PEC Zwolle

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
25 Thijs Oosting M	8.7	90'	1	1	1	21 (17%)	–
18 Odysseus Velanas M	8.2	62'	1	–	2	34 (26%)	3
9 Younes Namli M	7.7	90'	–	–	–	22 (13%)	1
30 Ryan Thomas M	7.5	62'	–	–	–	38 (35%)	3
8 Zico Buurmeester M	7.0	90'	–	–	1	31 (24%)	2
22 Kaj de Rooij F	6.7	28'	–	–	–	9 (5%)	1
6 Tristan Gooijer D	6.5	28'	–	–	–	13 (8%)	–
3 Olivier Aertssen D	6.5	90'	–	–	–	24 (20%)	2
28 Simon Graves D	6.5	90'	–	–	2	57 (51%)	–
2 Sherel Constancio Floranus D	6.2	90'	–	–	–	47 (36%)	3
16 Tom de Graaff G	6.2	90'	–	–	–	36 (17%)	–
4 Anselmo Garcia McNulty D	6.2	90'	–	–	–	63 (51%)	1
29 Thomas Buitink F	6.2	16'	–	–	1	4 (2%)	–
10 Koen Kostons F	5.6	74'	–	–	3	9 (7%)	–

Excelsior

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
12 Arthur Zagre D	7.3	90'	–	–	1	44 (41%)	2
9 Szymon Włodarczyk F	7.2	11'	1	–	1	2	–
1 Stijn van Gassel G	7.2	90'	–	–	–	52 (26%)	–
4 Casper Widell D	7.2	90'	–	1	2	62 (46%)	1
11 Gyan de Regt M	7.0	90'	–	1	1	19 (13%)	–
30 Derensili Sanches Fernandes M	6.9	90'	1	–	3	26 (25%)	2
10 Noah Naujoks F	6.7	90'	–	–	2	25 (15%)	1
20 Lennard Hartjes M	6.7	90'	–	–	–	34 (30%)	2
23 Irakli Yegoian M	6.7	79'	–	–	–	37 (28%)	3
2 Ilias Bronkhorst D	6.6	90'	–	–	–	46 (35%)	2
29 Mike van Duinen F	6.5	11'	–	–	–	5 (2%)	1
14 Lewis Schouten D	6.3	62'	–	–	–	30 (24%)	1
7 Emil Hansson F	6.3	28'	–	–	1	12 (10%)	–
3 Rick Meissen D	6.0	79'	–	–	–	35 (28%)	1

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Confidence Medium (55%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung

PEC Zwolle gewinnt oder unentschieden

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PEC Zwolle

LLDLW

Excelsior

DLDWW

Last 3 meetings PEC Zwolle · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Eredivisie clash, PEC Zwolle hosts Excelsior on April 12, 2026. Zwolle currently sits in the lower half of the table, struggling with consistency and defensive vulnerabilities, having conceded an average of 2 goals per game in their last five outings. Conversely, Excelsior has shown resilience, particularly in away matches, with a solid attack that has netted 1.5 goals per game on average. Key players to watch include Zwolle’s top scorer, who will need to capitalize on home advantage, while Excelsior’s midfield control could dictate the pace of the game. This match is critical for both teams' aspirations to avoid relegation and improve their standings.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Excelsior goals →

	0	1	2
0	12	6	1
1	19	10	2
2	16	8	2
3	9	4	1
4	4	2
5	1	1

↑ PEC Zwolle goals · most likely 1–0 (19.5%)

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Players in form

PEC Zwolle

No scorer data.

Excelsior

A. Sliti 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Head to Head: PEC Zwolle vs Excelsior

2 PEC Zwolle Wins

0 Draws

1 Excelsior Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
20 Dec 2025	Excelsior	2 - 1	PEC Zwolle
06 Apr 2024	PEC Zwolle	2 - 1	Excelsior
22 Oct 2023	Excelsior	2 - 4	PEC Zwolle

Alle 10 Begegnungen ansehen — Premium

PEC Zwolle — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Groningen	L	3 - 0
13 Sep	H Feyenoord	L	0 - 7
04 Sep	A Sparta Rotterdam	D	2 - 2
29 Aug	H NEC Nijmegen	L	1 - 3
22 Aug	A Heerenveen	W	0 - 2

Excelsior — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Ajax	D	2 - 2
13 Sep	H Utrecht	L	1 - 2
08 Sep	A NEC Nijmegen	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	A Willem II	W	0 - 3
29 Aug	H Sparta Rotterdam	W	2 - 1

Eredivisie Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AZ Alkmaar	7	6	1	0	18	6	+12	19
2	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	25	7	+18	17
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	1	1	24	10	+14	16
4	Twente	7	5	1	1	15	7	+8	16
5	Ajax	7	4	2	1	21	9	+12	14
6	Fortuna Sittard	7	4	1	2	13	14	-1	13
7	Excelsior	7	3	2	2	15	9	+6	11
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	15	13	+2	11
9	GO Ahead Eagles	7	2	4	1	16	14	+2	10
10	Heerenveen	7	2	3	2	11	9	+2	9
11	NEC Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	12	13	-1	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	2	4	10	17	-7	5
13	Telstar	7	1	2	4	5	12	-7	5
14	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	10	19	-9	5
15	Utrecht	7	1	2	4	11	24	-13	5
16	PEC Zwolle	7	1	1	5	6	20	-14	4
17	ADO Den Haag	7	0	2	5	7	17	-10	2
18	Willem II	7	0	2	5	6	20	-14	2

PEC Zwolle

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Henry Van Der Vegt

16 Graaff

2 Floranus

4 MacNulty

28 Graves

3 Aertssen

8 Buurmeester

30 Thomas

18 Velanas

25 Oosting

9 Namli

10 Kostons

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
16	T. de Graaff	G
3	O. Aertssen	D
28	S. Graves	D
4	A. Garcia MacNulty	D
2	S. Floranus	D
30	R. Thomas	M
8	Z. Buurmeester	M
9	Y. Namli	M
25	T. Oosting	M
18	O. Velanas	M
10	K. Kostons	F

Substitutes

41	D. Verduin	G
48	L. Bakker	G
29	T. Buitink	F
5	T. Velthuis	D
42	D. Ruward	D
34	N. Fichtinger	M
22	K. de Rooij	F
6	T. Gooijer	D
20	G. Reiziger	M

Excelsior

Formation: 5-4-1 Coach: R. den Uil

1 Gassel

12 Zagre

14 Schouten

4 Widell

3 Meissen

2 Bronkhorst

11 Regt

20 Hartjes

23 Yegoian

30 Fernandes

10 Naujoks

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	S. van Gassel	G
2	I. Bronkhorst	D
3	R. Meissen	D
4	C. Widell	D
14	L. Schouten	D
12	A. Zagre	D
30	D. Sanches Fernandes	M
23	I. Yegoian	M
20	L. Hartjes	M
11	G. de Regt	M
10	N. Naujoks	F

Substitutes

16	C. Raatsie	G
29	M. van Duinen	F
7	E. Hansson	F
15	S. Janssen	D
6	A. Carlen	M
33	J. Bergraaf	F
9	S. Wlodarczyk	F
24	G. Cairo	M