Lille vs Nice Prognose
Lille vs. Nice Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Lille eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 58%, für Nice 15% und für ein Unentschieden 27%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 27 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Match Report
Lille and Nice played out a goalless draw in Ligue 1 Matchday 30, a result that defied the pre-match expectations of our AI model, which had rated a Lille win as the most likely outcome at 58%.
The hosts dominated proceedings at the Stade Pierre-Mauroy, controlling 62% of possession and generating the better of the limited chances, yet were twice denied by VAR interventions. Elye Wahi had a goal ruled out in the 13th minute, before a potential penalty for Lille was overturned on review in the 71st minute. Both sides also picked up early yellow cards, with Mukau and Mbemba booked in the first half. The low expected goals figures — 0.54 for Lille and just 0.19 for Nice — reflected a cautious, tight contest throughout.
Both managers turned to their benches heavily in the final stages in search of a winner, with a combined nine substitutions made from the 56th minute onwards. Despite the late flurry of activity, neither side could find a breakthrough, and the match ended level in a largely forgettable affair.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Lille
Match Stats
Lille
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aïssa Mandi D | 8.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 103 (97%) | 3 |
| 10 Hakon Arnar Haraldsson M | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 51 (48%) | 1 |
| 12 Thomas Meunier D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 70 (63%) | 1 |
| 18 Chancel Mbemba D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 64 (61%) | – |
| 21 Benjamin André M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 60 (50%) | 3 |
| 1 Berke Özer G | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 25 (21%) | – |
| 15 Romain Perraud D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 63 (55%) | 1 |
| 17 Ngal'ayel Mukau M | 6.9 | 56' | – | – | – | 24 (18%) | 2 |
| 32 Ayyoub Bouaddi M | 6.7 | 78' | – | – | 1 | 53 (48%) | 1 |
| 8 Ethan Mbappé M | 6.7 | 34' | – | – | – | 21 (14%) | – |
| 11 Osame Sahraoui F | 6.7 | 12' | – | – | – | 11 (10%) | – |
| 7 Matías Fernández-Pardo F | 6.6 | 89' | – | – | 1 | 17 (14%) | – |
| 9 Olivier Giroud F | 6.6 | 34' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | 2 |
| 27 Félix Correia M | 6.2 | 56' | – | – | – | 21 (14%) | – |
| 28 Gaëtan Perrin F | — | 1' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | – |
Nice
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80 Yehvann Diouf G | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 26 (10%) | – |
| 33 Antoine Mendy D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 43 (34%) | 5 |
| 92 Jonathan Clauss D | 7.2 | 83' | – | – | 2 | 38 (26%) | 3 |
| 28 Abdulay Juma Bah D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 31 (28%) | – |
| 37 Kojo Peprah Oppong D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 47 (44%) | – |
| 10 Sofiane Diop M | 6.9 | 89' | – | – | – | 32 (19%) | 3 |
| 25 Mohamed-Ali Cho M | 6.9 | 83' | – | – | – | 21 (19%) | 3 |
| 99 Salis Abdul Samed M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 41 (39%) | – |
| 32 Kaïl Boudache F | 6.7 | 8' | – | – | – | 2 (1%) | – |
| 26 Melvin Bard D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 40 (31%) | 2 |
| 20 Tom Louchet M | 6.6 | 15' | – | – | – | 2 (1%) | 3 |
| 22 Tanguy Ndombélé M | 6.6 | 84' | – | – | 1 | 28 (26%) | – |
| 39 Djibril Coulibaly M | 6.6 | 14' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | – |
| 11 Elye Wahi F | 6.5 | 89' | – | – | – | 17 (14%) | 1 |
| 21 Isak Jansson F | 6.5 | 15' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 47 Tiago Gouveia F | 6.5 | 8' | – | – | – | 3 (1%) | – |
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At a glance
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Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Tiago Santos
2 gls
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Lille vs Nice
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2026 | Nice | 2 - 1 | Lille |
| 29 Oct 2025 | Nice | 2 - 0 | Lille |
| 17 Jan 2025 | Lille | 2 - 1 | Nice |
Lille — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Nice | L | 2 - 1 |
| 13 Sep | H Estac Troyes | W | 2 - 0 |
| 08 Sep | H Real Betis | L | 2 - 3 |
| 03 Sep | A Toulouse | W | 0 - 1 |
| 28 Aug | H Paris Saint Germain | D | 2 - 2 |
Nice — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Lille | W | 2 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | A Auxerre | L | 1 - 0 |
| 05 Sep | H Le Mans | D | 1 - 1 |
| 30 Aug | A Paris FC | L | 3 - 0 |
| 22 Aug | H Lorient | D | 0 - 0 |
Ligue 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Monaco
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 13 |
| 2 |
Lyon
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 2 | +8 | 11 |
| 3 |
Paris FC
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 11 |
| 4 |
Lille
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 |
Rennes
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 8 |
| 7 |
Angers
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 |
Strasbourg
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 |
Le Mans
|
5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 |
Auxerre
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 6 |
| 11 |
Stade Brestois 29
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 |
Lorient
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 |
Toulouse
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 |
Nice
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 |
Lens
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 4 |
| 16 |
Estac Troyes
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 |
Marseille
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 3 |
| 18 |
Le Havre
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 2 |
Lille
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Bruno Genesio
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | B. Ozer | G |
| 12 | T. Meunier | D |
| 18 | C. Mbemba | D |
| 23 | A. Mandi | D |
| 15 | R. Perraud | D |
| 21 | B. Andre | M |
| 32 | A. Bouaddi | M |
| 17 | N. Mukau | M |
| 10 | H. Haraldsson | M |
| 27 | F. Correia | M |
| 7 | M. Fernandez-Pardo | F |
Substitutes
| 16 | A. Bodart | G |
| 9 | O. Giroud | F |
| 11 | O. Sahraoui | F |
| 4 | Alexsandro | D |
| 8 | E. Mbappe | M |
| 20 | N. Edjouma | F |
| 24 | C. Verdonk | D |
| 28 | G. Perrin | F |
| 22 | T. Santos | D |
Nice
Formation: 5-4-1
Coach: Claude Puel
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 80 | Y. Diouf | G |
| 92 | J. Clauss | D |
| 33 | A. Mendy | D |
| 28 | J. Bah | D |
| 37 | K. Peprah | D |
| 26 | M. Bard | D |
| 25 | M. Cho | M |
| 99 | S. Abdul Samed | M |
| 22 | T. Ndombele | M |
| 10 | S. Diop | M |
| 11 | E. Wahi | F |
Substitutes
| 31 | M. Dupe | G |
| 2 | A. Abdi | D |
| 32 | K. Boudache | F |
| 47 | T. Gouveia | F |
| 21 | I. Jansson | F |
| 20 | T. Louchet | M |
| 36 | B. Mantsounga | D |
| 23 | G. Bernardeau | M |
| 39 | D. Coulibaly | M |