AS Roma vs Lazio Prognose
AS Roma vs. Lazio Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für AS Roma eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 44%, für Lazio 30% und für ein Unentschieden 26%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 30 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Match Report
AS Roma claimed a commanding 2–0 derby victory over Lazio in Serie A Matchday 37, with Gianluca Mancini proving the decisive figure on a dramatic afternoon. The defender broke the deadlock on 40 minutes to send Roma into half-time with the advantage, having already seen an early flurry of bookings set a feisty tone. An enforced substitution for Ndicka before the break added early tension to the encounter.
Mancini doubled his and Roma's tally on 66 minutes, all but sealing the points, before the match descended into chaos four minutes later. Both Wesley and Nicolò Rovella received red cards on 70 minutes, leaving Lazio severely depleted and any hope of a comeback effectively extinguished. The dismissals capped a miserable afternoon for the visitors, who had also accumulated multiple yellow cards throughout.
Roma managed the closing stages comfortably, rotating their squad with several late substitutions including the introductions of Dybala and Malen. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Roma win as the most likely outcome at 44%, a call that proved correct as the Giallorossi secured a fully deserved derby triumph.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
AS Roma
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Gianluca Mancini D | 9.5 | 83' | 2 | – | 2 | 46 (45%) | 1 |
| 21 Paulo Dybala F | 8.0 | 88' | – | 1 | 1 | 30 (25%) | 2 |
| 8 Neil El Aynaoui M | 7.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 53 (49%) | 3 |
| 18 Matías Soulé F | 7.3 | 13' | – | – | 1 | 5 (5%) | – |
| 4 Bryan Cristante M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 53 (43%) | 3 |
| 5 Evan Ndicka D | 6.9 | 37' | – | – | – | 29 (26%) | – |
| 99 Mile Svilar G | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 25 (13%) | – |
| 61 Niccolò Pisilli F | 6.9 | 45' | – | 1 | – | 15 (13%) | 2 |
| 22 Mario Hermoso D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 46 (42%) | 1 |
| 24 Jan Ziółkowski D | 6.7 | 13' | – | – | 1 | 5 (5%) | – |
| 2 Devyne Rensch D | 6.6 | 53' | – | – | – | 30 (27%) | 1 |
| 19 Zeki Çelik M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 46 (38%) | 3 |
| 14 D. Malen F | 6.2 | 83' | – | – | 1 | 10 (9%) | 1 |
| 92 Stephan El Shaarawy F | 6.2 | 45' | – | – | 2 | 10 (9%) | – |
| 9 Artem Dovbyk F | 6.2 | 8' | – | – | 2 | 3 (2%) | – |
| 43 Wesley M | 5.9 | 70' | – | – | 1 | 14 (12%) | – |
Lazio
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55 Alessio Furlanetto G | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 23 (20%) | – |
| 26 Toma Bašić M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 43 (38%) | 1 |
| 27 Daniel Maldini F | 6.9 | 28' | – | – | – | 13 (12%) | – |
| 29 Manuel Lazzari M | 6.9 | 11' | – | – | – | 11 (11%) | 1 |
| 34 Mario Gila Fuentes D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 50 (45%) | 2 |
| 19 Boulaye Dia F | 6.6 | 62' | – | – | – | 19 (15%) | 1 |
| 25 Oliver Provstgaard D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 59 (55%) | 3 |
| 7 Fisayo Dele-Bashiru M | 6.5 | 28' | – | – | – | 13 (12%) | – |
| 6 Nicolò Rovella M | 6.5 | 70' | – | – | – | 49 (46%) | – |
| 17 Nuno Tavares D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 53 (41%) | 2 |
| 9 Pedro F | 6.3 | 11' | – | – | – | 9 (7%) | – |
| 22 Matteo Cancellieri F | 6.3 | 71' | – | – | 2 | 15 (12%) | 3 |
| 24 Kenneth Taylor M | 6.2 | 62' | – | – | – | 25 (22%) | – |
| 18 Gustav Isaksen F | 6.2 | 19' | – | – | – | 12 (10%) | – |
| 14 Tijjani Noslin F | 6.2 | 79' | – | – | 1 | 27 (21%) | 1 |
| 77 Adam Marušić D | 5.9 | 79' | – | – | – | 19 (12%) | – |
Vollständige KI-Analyse für AS Roma vs Lazio freischalten
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At a glance
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Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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D. Malen
6 gls
M. Soulé
2 gls
D. Frattesi
3 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: AS Roma vs Lazio
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep 2025 | Lazio | 0 - 1 | AS Roma |
| 13 Apr 2025 | Lazio | 1 - 1 | AS Roma |
| 05 Jan 2025 | AS Roma | 2 - 0 | Lazio |
AS Roma — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Inter | D | 2 - 2 |
| 14 Sep | A Torino | W | 0 - 2 |
| 10 Sep | A Fenerbahçe | D | 1 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | H Atalanta | W | 2 - 1 |
| 31 Aug | A Lecce | W | 0 - 4 |
Lazio — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Venezia | W | 0 - 2 |
| 12 Sep | H AC Milan | D | 2 - 2 |
| 07 Sep | A Udinese | W | 1 - 2 |
| 30 Aug | H Genoa | W | 1 - 0 |
| 24 Aug | A Bologna | W | 0 - 1 |
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
AS Roma
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 3 | +11 | 13 |
| 2 |
Inter
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 8 | +7 | 13 |
| 3 |
Lazio
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 |
Cagliari
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 12 |
| 5 |
AC Milan
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 11 |
| 6 |
Frosinone
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 10 |
| 7 |
Juventus
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 10 |
| 8 |
Como
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 |
Napoli
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 |
Sassuolo
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 |
Atalanta
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 |
Lecce
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 6 |
| 13 |
Udinese
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 |
Torino
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 |
Parma
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 |
Monza
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 |
Fiorentina
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |
Bologna
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 |
Genoa
|
5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 1 |
| 20 |
Venezia
|
5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 0 |
Lazio
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: Maurizio Sarri
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 55 | A. Furlanetto | G |
| 77 | A. Marusic | D |
| 34 | M. Gila | D |
| 25 | O. Provstgaard | D |
| 17 | N. Tavares | D |
| 26 | T. Basic | M |
| 6 | N. Rovella | M |
| 24 | K. Taylor | M |
| 22 | M. Cancellieri | F |
| 19 | B. Dia | F |
| 14 | T. Noslin | F |
Substitutes
| 99 | G. Giacomone | G |
| 72 | N. Pannozzo | G |
| 9 | Pedro | F |
| 23 | E. Hysaj | D |
| 29 | M. Lazzari | M |
| 3 | L. Pellegrini | D |
| 32 | D. Cataldi | M |
| 2 | S. Gigot | D |
| 18 | G. Isaksen | F |
| 7 | F. Dele-Bashiru | M |
| 27 | D. Maldini | F |
| 20 | P. Ratkov | F |
| 21 | R. Belahyane | M |
| 28 | A. Przyborek | M |
AS Roma
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: Piero Gasperini Gian
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 99 | M. Svilar | G |
| 23 | G. Mancini | D |
| 5 | E. Ndicka | D |
| 22 | M. Hermoso | D |
| 19 | Z. Celik | M |
| 4 | B. Cristante | M |
| 8 | N. El Aynaoui | M |
| 43 | Wesley Franca | M |
| 21 | P. Dybala | F |
| 61 | N. Pisilli | F |
| 14 | D. Malen | F |
Substitutes
| 70 | G. De Marzi | G |
| 95 | P. Gollini | G |
| 92 | S. El Shaarawy | F |
| 12 | K. Tsimikas | D |
| 24 | J. Ziolkowski | D |
| 78 | R. Vaz | F |
| 3 | Angelino | D |
| 9 | A. Dovbyk | F |
| 2 | D. Rensch | D |
| 18 | M. Soule | F |
| 87 | D. Ghilardi | D |