Sassuolo vs AC Milan Prognose
Sassuolo vs. AC Milan Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Sassuolo eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 21%, für AC Milan 55% und für ein Unentschieden 24%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 28 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Match Report
Sassuolo claimed a comfortable 2–0 Serie A victory over AC Milan, a result that will surprise many given the pre-match expectations — including our AI model, which had rated an AC Milan win as the most likely outcome at 55%.
The match turned decisively in the opening stages. Domenico Berardi struck early in the fifth minute to give Sassuolo the lead, and Milan's afternoon unravelled further when Fikayo Tomori collected two yellow cards within 15 minutes of each other, receiving his second booking and subsequent red card on 24 minutes. That dismissal left Milan chasing the game with ten men for the majority of the contest. Armand Laurienté added a second goal just after the interval to put the result beyond doubt.
Despite enjoying 58% possession, Milan managed only one shot on target across the entire match compared to Sassuolo's four, with the hosts' expected goals figure of 1.58 reflecting their dominance. A flurry of substitutions from both sides in the second half failed to alter the outcome, and Sassuolo ran out deserving winners.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Sassuolo
Match Stats
Sassuolo
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45 Armand Laurienté F | 9.3 | 84' | 1 | 1 | 1 | 35 (33%) | 1 |
| 90 Ismael Koné M | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 64 (61%) | 2 |
| 6 Sebastian Walukiewicz D | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 45 (44%) | – |
| 10 Domenico Berardi F | 7.5 | 59' | 1 | – | 2 | 12 (8%) | – |
| 80 Tarik Muharemović D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 69 (65%) | 2 |
| 42 Kristian Thorstvedt M | 7.3 | 90' | – | 1 | 3 | 63 (60%) | 3 |
| 23 Ulisses Garcia D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 65 (58%) | 2 |
| 25 Woyo Coulibaly D | 7.2 | 50' | – | – | – | 37 (34%) | 3 |
| 18 Nemanja Matić M | 7.2 | 45' | – | – | – | 46 (43%) | – |
| 35 Luca Lipani M | 7.2 | 45' | – | – | – | 38 (37%) | 2 |
| 20 Alieu Fadera F | 6.9 | 10' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | 2 |
| 13 Stefano Turati G | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 24 (18%) | – |
| 8 M'Bala Nzola F | 6.7 | 84' | – | – | 3 | 14 (13%) | – |
| 21 Jay Idzes D | 6.6 | 40' | – | – | – | 11 (11%) | – |
| 99 Andrea Pinamonti F | 6.6 | 10' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | 1 |
| 7 Cristian Volpato M | 6.5 | 31' | – | – | – | 19 (17%) | – |
AC Milan
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Pervis Estupiñán M | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 45 (41%) | 1 |
| 31 Strahinja Pavlović D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 50 (49%) | – |
| 12 Adrien Rabiot M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 39 (31%) | 4 |
| 56 Alexis Saelemaekers M | 6.7 | 59' | – | – | 1 | 20 (17%) | 3 |
| 4 Samuele Ricci M | 6.7 | 24' | – | – | – | 24 (21%) | – |
| 46 Matteo Gabbia D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 43 (39%) | 1 |
| 8 Ruben Loftus-Cheek M | 6.6 | 31' | – | – | – | 12 (11%) | 1 |
| 11 Christian Pulišić M | 6.5 | 31' | – | – | 1 | 12 (10%) | – |
| 19 Youssouf Fofana M | 6.5 | 59' | – | – | – | 31 (23%) | 1 |
| 30 Ardon Jashari M | 6.3 | 66' | – | – | 1 | 45 (39%) | 2 |
| 16 Mike Maignan G | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 15 (13%) | – |
| 10 Rafael Leão F | 6.3 | 59' | – | – | 1 | 15 (11%) | – |
| 18 Christopher Nkunku F | 6.3 | 45' | – | – | – | 8 (7%) | – |
| 24 Zachary Athekame D | 6.3 | 45' | – | – | 2 | 20 (16%) | 1 |
| 7 Santiago Giménez F | 6.2 | 31' | – | – | – | 2 (1%) | – |
| 23 Fikayo Tomori D | 3.7 | 24' | – | – | – | 11 (10%) | – |
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At a glance
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Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Vasilije Adžić
3 gls
Diego Moreira
3 gls
A. Rabiot
2 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Sassuolo vs AC Milan
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec 2025 | AC Milan | 2 - 2 | Sassuolo |
| 14 Apr 2024 | Sassuolo | 3 - 3 | AC Milan |
| 30 Dec 2023 | AC Milan | 1 - 0 | Sassuolo |
Sassuolo — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep | A Monza | L | 2 - 1 |
| 13 Sep | H Juventus | W | 3 - 2 |
| 06 Sep | A Bologna | D | 2 - 2 |
| 02 Sep | H Frosinone | D | 1 - 1 |
| 29 Aug | H Torino | W | 2 - 1 |
AC Milan — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Lecce | W | 3 - 0 |
| 16 Sep | H Benfica | L | 0 - 2 |
| 12 Sep | A Lazio | D | 2 - 2 |
| 06 Sep | A Juventus | D | 1 - 1 |
| 28 Aug | H Venezia | W | 2 - 0 |
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
AS Roma
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 3 | +11 | 13 |
| 2 |
Inter
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 8 | +7 | 13 |
| 3 |
Lazio
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 |
Cagliari
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 12 |
| 5 |
AC Milan
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 11 |
| 6 |
Frosinone
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 10 |
| 7 |
Juventus
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 10 |
| 8 |
Como
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 |
Napoli
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 |
Sassuolo
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 |
Atalanta
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 |
Lecce
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 6 |
| 13 |
Udinese
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 |
Torino
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 |
Parma
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 |
Monza
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 |
Fiorentina
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |
Bologna
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 |
Genoa
|
5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 1 |
| 20 |
Venezia
|
5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 0 |
Sassuolo
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: F. Grosso
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | S. Turati | G |
| 6 | S. Walukiewicz | D |
| 21 | J. Idzes | D |
| 80 | T. Muharemovic | D |
| 23 | U. Garcia | D |
| 90 | I. Kone | M |
| 18 | N. Matic | M |
| 42 | K. Thorstvedt | M |
| 10 | D. Berardi | F |
| 8 | M. Nzola | F |
| 45 | A. Lauriente | F |
Substitutes
| 49 | A. Muric | G |
| 12 | G. Satalino | G |
| 16 | G. Zacchi | G |
| 99 | A. Pinamonti | F |
| 24 | L. Moro | F |
| 25 | W. Coulibaly | D |
| 20 | A. Fadera | F |
| 7 | C. Volpato | M |
| 35 | L. Lipani | M |
| 66 | Pedro Felipe | D |
| 19 | F. Romagna | D |
| 3 | J. Doig | D |
| 40 | A. Vranckx | M |
| 44 | E. Iannoni | M |
| 33 | C. Frangella | M |
AC Milan
Formation: 3-5-2
Coach: Massimiliano Allegri
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | M. Maignan | G |
| 23 | F. Tomori | D |
| 46 | M. Gabbia | D |
| 31 | S. Pavlovic | D |
| 56 | A. Saelemaekers | M |
| 19 | Y. Fofana | M |
| 30 | A. Jashari | M |
| 12 | A. Rabiot | M |
| 2 | P. Estupinan | M |
| 18 | C. Nkunku | F |
| 10 | R. Leao | F |
Substitutes
| 1 | P. Terracciano | G |
| 37 | M. Pittarella | G |
| 8 | R. Loftus-Cheek | M |
| 4 | S. Ricci | M |
| 33 | D. Bartesaghi | D |
| 24 | Z. Athekame | D |
| 9 | N. Fullkrug | F |
| 11 | C. Pulisic | M |
| 7 | S. Gimenez | F |
| 5 | K. De Winter | D |