Lecce vs Fiorentina Prognose
Lecce vs. Fiorentina Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Lecce eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 20%, für Fiorentina 55% und für ein Unentschieden 25%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 27 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Match Report
Fiorentina took control of this Serie A encounter early, with Jack Harrison breaking the deadlock on 30 minutes to give the visitors a deserved half-time lead. The Florentines dominated possession at 55% and registered 14 total shots across the 90 minutes, reflecting their overall superiority throughout the contest.
Lecce responded after the break with a flurry of substitutions, and the equaliser arrived on 71 minutes through Tiago Gabriel — though the scorer was immediately booked the following minute in a frantic spell. The hosts' comeback was hard-earned against a Fiorentina side that had the better of the underlying numbers, with the visitors posting an expected goals figure of 1.26 to Lecce's 1.14. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Fiorentina win as the most likely outcome at 55%, and while the visitors ultimately couldn't hold on for three points, the call reflected their dominance well.
The closing stages were ill-tempered, with yellow cards shown to De Gea, Pongračić, Fazzini and Solomon as both sides grew frustrated. The draw leaves Fiorentina with a point from a game they might reasonably feel they should have won.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Lecce
Match Stats
Lecce
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Ylber Ramadani M | 8.0 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 55 (50%) | 4 |
| 19 Lameck Banda M | 7.3 | 34' | – | – | 1 | 9 (7%) | 2 |
| 17 Danilo Veiga D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 30 (23%) | 2 |
| 44 Tiago Gabriel D | 7.2 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 43 (38%) | – |
| 79 Oumar Ngom M | 7.0 | 57' | – | – | 1 | 28 (26%) | 3 |
| 25 Antonino Gallo D | 7.0 | 85' | – | 1 | – | 33 (22%) | 1 |
| 3 Corrie Ndaba D | 6.9 | 10' | – | – | – | 5 (4%) | – |
| 16 Omri Gandelman M | 6.9 | 33' | – | – | – | 12 (6%) | – |
| 11 Konan N'Dri M | 6.9 | 56' | – | – | 1 | 12 (7%) | 2 |
| 29 Lassana Coulibaly M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 37 (32%) | 2 |
| 9 Nikola Štulić F | 6.7 | 33' | – | – | 1 | 5 (4%) | – |
| 50 Santiago Pierotti M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 37 (28%) | 4 |
| 30 Wladimiro Falcone G | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 19 (12%) | – |
| 5 Jamil Siebert D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 40 (30%) | 1 |
| 99 Walid Cheddira F | 6.3 | 57' | – | – | 2 | 8 (4%) | – |
Fiorentina
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44 Nicolò Fagioli M | 7.9 | 80' | – | – | – | 33 (30%) | 3 |
| 2 Dodô D | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 26 (22%) | 2 |
| 17 Jack Harrison F | 7.3 | 80' | 1 | – | 1 | 23 (18%) | 1 |
| 5 Marin Pongračić D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 54 (47%) | – |
| 6 Luca Ranieri D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 41 (34%) | 3 |
| 80 Giovanni Fabbian M | 6.7 | 10' | – | – | – | 4 (2%) | – |
| 4 Marco Brescianini M | 6.7 | 10' | – | – | – | 5 (4%) | – |
| 21 Robin Gosens D | 6.6 | 11' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | – |
| 8 Rolando Mandragora M | 6.6 | 90' | – | 1 | 2 | 31 (22%) | 2 |
| 22 Jacopo Fazzini M | 6.6 | 10' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | 2 |
| 62 Luís Balbo D | 6.3 | 79' | – | – | – | 20 (14%) | 4 |
| 43 David De Gea G | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 29 (17%) | – |
| 19 Manor Solomon F | 6.2 | 30' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | – |
| 10 Albert Guðmundsson F | 6.2 | 60' | – | – | – | 16 (10%) | – |
| 91 Roberto Piccoli F | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 15 (9%) | – |
| 27 Cher Ndour M | 5.6 | 80' | – | – | 1 | 21 (16%) | 1 |
Vollständige KI-Analyse für Lecce vs Fiorentina freischalten
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At a glance
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Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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L. Coulibaly
2 gls
Franco Mastantuono
3 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Lecce vs Fiorentina
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov 2025 | Fiorentina | 0 - 1 | Lecce |
| 28 Feb 2025 | Fiorentina | 1 - 0 | Lecce |
| 20 Oct 2024 | Lecce | 0 - 6 | Fiorentina |
Lecce — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A AC Milan | L | 3 - 0 |
| 13 Sep | H Monza | W | 3 - 2 |
| 07 Sep | A Cagliari | L | 1 - 0 |
| 31 Aug | H AS Roma | L | 0 - 4 |
| 23 Aug | A Venezia | W | 0 - 2 |
Fiorentina — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Napoli | D | 1 - 1 |
| 15 Sep | H Pisa | W | 3 - 0 |
| 11 Sep | A Venezia | W | 2 - 4 |
| 05 Sep | H Torino | L | 1 - 2 |
| 29 Aug | H Frosinone | L | 0 - 3 |
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
AS Roma
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 3 | +11 | 13 |
| 2 |
Inter
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 8 | +7 | 13 |
| 3 |
Lazio
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 |
Cagliari
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 12 |
| 5 |
AC Milan
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 11 |
| 6 |
Frosinone
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 10 |
| 7 |
Juventus
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 10 |
| 8 |
Como
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 |
Napoli
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 |
Sassuolo
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 |
Atalanta
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 |
Lecce
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 6 |
| 13 |
Udinese
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 |
Torino
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 |
Parma
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 |
Monza
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 |
Fiorentina
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |
Bologna
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 |
Genoa
|
5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 1 |
| 20 |
Venezia
|
5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 0 |
Fiorentina
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: Paolo Vanoli
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 43 | D. de Gea | G |
| 2 | Dodo | D |
| 5 | M. Pongracic | D |
| 6 | L. Ranieri | D |
| 21 | R. Gosens | D |
| 8 | R. Mandragora | M |
| 44 | N. Fagioli | M |
| 27 | C. Ndour | M |
| 17 | J. Harrison | F |
| 91 | R. Piccoli | F |
| 10 | A. Gudmundsson | F |
Substitutes
| 1 | L. Lezzerini | G |
| 53 | O. Christensen | G |
| 22 | J. Fazzini | M |
| 80 | G. Fabbian | M |
| 61 | R. Braschi | F |
| 23 | E. Kospo | D |
| 60 | E. Kouadio | D |
| 3 | D. Rugani | D |
| 19 | M. Solomon | F |
| 4 | M. Brescianini | M |
| 62 | L. Balbo | D |
| 15 | P. Comuzzo | D |
| 69 | G. Puzzoli | F |
Lecce
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Eusebio Di Francesco
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 30 | W. Falcone | G |
| 17 | D. Veiga | D |
| 5 | J. Siebert | D |
| 44 | Tiago Gabriel | D |
| 25 | A. Gallo | D |
| 20 | Y. Ramadani | M |
| 79 | O. Ngom | M |
| 50 | S. Pierotti | M |
| 29 | L. Coulibaly | M |
| 11 | K. Ndri | M |
| 99 | W. Cheddira | F |
Substitutes
| 1 | C. Fruchtl | G |
| 32 | J. Samooja | G |
| 14 | T. J. Helgason | M |
| 36 | F. Marchwinski | M |
| 16 | O. Gandelman | M |
| 6 | A. Sala | M |
| 28 | O. Gorter | M |
| 3 | C. Ndaba | D |
| 19 | L. Banda | M |
| 18 | G. Jean | D |
| 9 | N. Stulic | F |
| 80 | N. Kovac | M |
| 13 | M. Perez | D |