Genoa vs Sassuolo Prognose

Serie A · Regular Season - 32

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Sassuolo

Away

Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris, Genova

KI-Tipp Genoa oder Unentschieden

45%

27%

28%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Genoa vs. Sassuolo Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Genoa eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 45%, für Sassuolo 28% und für ein Unentschieden 27%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 26 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Genoa edged out Sassuolo 2–1 in a fiercely contested Serie A encounter that was shaped as much by disciplinary drama as by the goals themselves. Ruslan Malinovskyi, despite picking up an early yellow card, broke the deadlock on 18 minutes to give the hosts a half-time lead. The closing stages of the first half descended into chaos, with both Mikael Ellertsson and Domenico Berardi receiving red cards deep into stoppage time, leaving both sides reduced to ten men for the remainder of the game.

Sassuolo responded well after the interval, with Ismael Koné levelling on 57 minutes shortly after a triple substitution reshaped the contest. The match remained finely balanced, with both teams posting similar expected goals figures of 1.24 and 1.18 respectively, reflecting how tight the encounter was throughout.

Genoa ultimately found a winner through Caleb Ekuban on 84 minutes, securing all three points in a dramatic finish. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Genoa victory as the most likely outcome at 45%, a call that proved correct. Sassuolo's late yellow card for Tarik Muharemović summed up a turbulent afternoon for the visitors.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Ruslan Malinovskyi Yellow Card

5' ▮

Ruslan Malinovskyi assist: Tommaso Baldanzi

18' ⚽ 1–0

Morten Frendrup Yellow Card

20' ▮

▮ 32'

Josh Doig Yellow Card

▮ 40'

Sebastian Walukiewicz Yellow Card

Mikael Ellertsson Red Card

45+2' ▮

▮ 45+2'

Domenico Berardi Red Card

HT 1–0

Lorenzo Colombo ⇄ Caleb Ekuban

55' ⇄

Tommaso Baldanzi ⇄ Aarón Martín

55' ⇄

Ruslan Malinovskyi ⇄ Patrizio Masini

55' ⇄

⚽ 1–1 57'

Ismael Koné

⇄ 67'

Sebastian Walukiewicz ⇄ Woyo Coulibaly

⇄ 67'

Nemanja Matić ⇄ Cristian Volpato

Vitinha ⇄ Junior Messias

75' ⇄

⇄ 81'

Josh Doig ⇄ Luca Lipani

⇄ 81'

Andrea Pinamonti ⇄ Edoardo Iannoni

Caleb Ekuban assist: Junior Messias

84' ⚽ 2–1

Stefano Sabelli ⇄ Sebastian Otoa

87' ⇄

⇄ 87'

Ismael Koné ⇄ Luca Moro

▮ 90+1'

Tarik Muharemović Yellow Card

FT 2–1

Genoa

Match Stats

Sassuolo

52% Ball Possession 48%

1.18 Expected Goals (xG) 1.24

14 Total Shots 15

7 Shots on Goal 6

4 Shots off Goal 7

3 Blocked Shots 2

6 Shots insidebox 9

8 Shots outsidebox 6

5 Corner Kicks 3

1 Offsides 1

9 Fouls 14

2 Yellow Cards 3

1 Red Cards 1

5 Goalkeeper Saves 5

440 Total passes 411

378 Passes accurate 349

86% Passes % 85%

0.54 goals_prevented 0.54

Genoa

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
17 Ruslan Malinovskyi M	7.6	55'	1	–	2	39 (32%)	–
20 Stefano Sabelli M	7.5	87'	–	–	1	40 (31%)	2
10 Junior Messias F	7.3	15'	–	1	–	9 (7%)	1
8 Tommaso Baldanzi F	7.2	55'	–	1	3	26 (23%)	4
18 Caleb Ekuban F	7.2	35'	1	–	2	5 (3%)	–
16 Justin Bijlow G	7.0	90'	–	–	–	35 (29%)	–
5 Leo Østigård D	6.9	90'	–	–	–	74 (70%)	–
29 Lorenzo Colombo F	6.9	55'	–	–	1	8 (5%)	–
32 Morten Frendrup M	6.7	90'	–	–	–	43 (40%)	2
27 Alessandro Marcandalli D	6.6	90'	–	–	–	45 (40%)	–
9 Vitinha F	6.6	75'	–	–	2	13 (11%)	2
22 Johan Vásquez D	6.5	90'	–	–	–	59 (51%)	2
3 Aarón Martín D	6.2	35'	–	–	–	12 (10%)	1
73 Patrizio Masini M	6.2	35'	–	–	–	18 (14%)	1
77 Mikael Ellertsson M	5.6	47'	–	–	–	14 (12%)	–
34 Sebastian Otoa D	—	3'	–	–	–	–	–

Sassuolo

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
90 Ismael Koné M	7.5	87'	1	–	2	41 (40%)	2
49 Arijanet Murić G	7.3	90'	–	–	–	24 (16%)	–
7 Cristian Volpato M	6.9	23'	–	–	–	17 (12%)	3
21 Jay Idzes D	6.7	90'	–	–	–	48 (45%)	–
25 Woyo Coulibaly D	6.6	23'	–	–	–	13 (13%)	2
35 Luca Lipani M	6.6	9'	–	–	–	7 (6%)	–
18 Nemanja Matić M	6.3	67'	–	–	–	38 (34%)	–
3 Josh Doig D	6.3	81'	–	–	1	33 (31%)	1
80 Tarik Muharemović D	6.2	90'	–	–	1	48 (40%)	–
42 Kristian Thorstvedt M	6.2	90'	–	–	1	49 (39%)	2
6 Sebastian Walukiewicz D	6.2	67'	–	–	–	18 (16%)	2
99 Andrea Pinamonti F	6.2	81'	–	–	1	13 (11%)	–
44 Edoardo Iannoni M	6.2	9'	–	–	–	7 (4%)	–
45 Armand Laurienté F	6.0	90'	–	–	4	42 (35%)	1
10 Domenico Berardi F	5.9	47'	–	–	3	13 (7%)	–
24 Luca Moro F	—	3'	–	–	–	–	–

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Confidence Medium (59%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung

Genoa oder Unentschieden

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Genoa

LWDLL

Sassuolo

LWDDW

Last 3 meetings Genoa · 3W 0D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Serie A clash between Genoa and Sassuolo, both teams will be looking to solidify their mid-table positions. Genoa has shown resilience at home, with a record of 5 wins in their last 8 matches at the Stadio Luigi Ferraris, capitalizing on their defensive solidity. Sassuolo, however, has been more dynamic in attack, averaging 1.6 goals per match this season, but their away form remains inconsistent, with only 2 wins in their last 6 away fixtures. The match will likely hinge on Genoa's ability to contain Sassuolo's attacking threats, while exploiting their defensive vulnerabilities. Expect a tactical battle with potential for goals, given both teams' recent form.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Sassuolo goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8	9	5	2
1	12	13	7	2	1
2	9	9	5	2
3	4	4	2	1
4	1	2	1
5

↑ Genoa goals · most likely 1–1 (12.6%)

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Players in form

Genoa

No scorer data.

Sassuolo

Vasilije Adžić 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Head to Head: Genoa vs Sassuolo

3 Genoa Wins

0 Draws

0 Sassuolo Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
03 Nov 2025	Sassuolo	1 - 2	Genoa
12 May 2024	Genoa	2 - 1	Sassuolo
22 Dec 2023	Sassuolo	1 - 2	Genoa

Alle 10 Begegnungen ansehen — Premium

Genoa — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Parma	L	2 - 1
15 Sep	H Sudtirol	W	1 - 0
12 Sep	H Frosinone	D	1 - 1
04 Sep	H Como	L	1 - 4
30 Aug	A Lazio	L	1 - 0

Sassuolo — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Monza	L	2 - 1
13 Sep	H Juventus	W	3 - 2
06 Sep	A Bologna	D	2 - 2
02 Sep	H Frosinone	D	1 - 1
29 Aug	H Torino	W	2 - 1

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AS Roma	5	4	1	0	14	3	+11	13
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	15	8	+7	13
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	5	2	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	10	4	+6	11
6	Frosinone	5	3	1	1	9	4	+5	10
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
8	Como	5	3	1	1	9	6	+3	10
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	7	6	+1	7
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	9	9	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	5	7	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	5	10	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	8	11	-3	4
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	5	8	-3	4
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	4	7	-3	4
16	Monza	5	1	1	3	8	12	-4	4
17	Fiorentina	5	1	1	3	6	12	-6	4
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3	6	-3	2
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	3	10	-7	1
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	4	13	-9	0

Sassuolo

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: F. Grosso

49 Muric

3 Doig

80 Muharemovic

21 Idzes

6 Walukiewicz

42 Thorstvedt

18 Matic

90 Kone

45 Lauriente

99 Pinamonti

10 Berardi

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
49	A. Muric	G
6	S. Walukiewicz	D
21	J. Idzes	D
80	T. Muharemovic	D
3	J. Doig	D
90	I. Kone	M
18	N. Matic	M
42	K. Thorstvedt	M
10	D. Berardi	F
99	A. Pinamonti	F
45	A. Lauriente	F

Substitutes

13	S. Turati	G
12	G. Satalino	G
16	G. Zacchi	G
24	L. Moro	F
25	W. Coulibaly	D
20	A. Fadera	F
7	C. Volpato	M
35	L. Lipani	M
66	Pedro Felipe	D
8	M. Nzola	F
44	E. Iannoni	M
33	C. Frangella	M

Genoa

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Daniele De Rossi

16 Bijlow

22 Vasquez

5 Ostigard

27 Marcandalli

77 Ellertsson

17 Malinovskyi

32 Frendrup

20 Sabelli

9 Vitinha

8 Baldanzi

29 Colombo

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
16	J. Bijlow	G
27	A. Marcandalli	D
5	L. Ostigard	D
22	J. Vasquez	D
20	S. Sabelli	M
32	M. Frendrup	M
17	R. Malinovskyi	M
77	M. E. Ellertsson	M
8	T. Baldanzi	F
9	Vitinha	F
29	L. Colombo	F

Substitutes

1	N. Leali	G
39	D. Sommariva	G
21	J. Ekhator	F
40	L. Klisys	D
18	C. Ekuban	F
3	A. Martin	D
10	Junior Messias	F
73	P. Masini	M
34	S. Otoa	D
4	Amorim	M
80	J. Grossi	M
13	N. Zatterstrom	D
99	W. L. Ouedraogo	D