Hellas Verona vs Fiorentina Prognose

Serie A Serie A · Regular Season - 31
FT
Post on X
KI-Tipp Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Fiorentina
14%
23%
63%
Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Hellas Verona vs. Fiorentina Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Hellas Verona eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 14%, für Fiorentina 63% und für ein Unentschieden 23%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 25 Jul 2026, 05:45.

Match Report

Hellas Verona and Fiorentina played out a goalless first half at the Stadio Bentegodi, with the visitors already showing greater intent as the stats would later reflect. Fiorentina dominated in attacking output, registering 21 total shots and nine corner kicks to Verona's five and one respectively, though the breakthrough took until the final stages to arrive.

The decisive moment came in the 82nd minute when Nicolò Fagioli broke the deadlock with a composed finish, only to receive a yellow card two minutes later. The drama intensified almost immediately as both Fagioli and Albert Guðmundsson were shown red cards in the 85th minute, reducing Fiorentina to nine men for the closing stages. Verona could not capitalise, however, and the visitors held on to claim all three points despite the numerical disadvantage.

Fiorentina's expected goals figure of 0.99 against Verona's 0.36 underlined their territorial and creative superiority throughout, and the result vindicated our pre-match AI model, which had rated a Fiorentina win as the most likely outcome at 63%.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Yellow Card
17'
HT 0–0
59'
Giovanni Fabbian ⇄ Roberto Piccoli
67'
75'
75'
76'
Moise Kean ⇄ Jacopo Fazzini
76'
Robin Gosens ⇄ Luís Balbo
Yellow Card
79'
0–1 82'
Nicolò Fagioli assist: Jack Harrison
84'
Nicolò Fagioli Yellow Card
Red Card
85'
85'
Albert Guðmundsson Red Card
Rafik Belghali Yellow Card
88'
90'
90'
Pietro Comuzzo
90'
Nicolò Fagioli
FT 0–1
Hellas Verona

Match Stats

Fiorentina
49% Ball Possession 51%
0.99 Expected Goals (xG) 0.36
21 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Goal 1
10 Shots off Goal 2
3 Blocked Shots 2
9 Shots insidebox 2
12 Shots outsidebox 3
9 Corner Kicks 1
1 Offsides 0
15 Fouls 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
1 Red Cards 1
0 Goalkeeper Saves 8
397 Total passes 431
325 Passes accurate 351
82% Passes % 81%
1.02 goals_prevented 1.02
Hellas Verona
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
7 Rafik Belghali M 7.5 90' 3 30 (30%) 1
63 Roberto Gagliardini M 7.3 90' 1 82 (74%) 4
3 Martin Frese D 7.0 90' 3 40 (34%) 2
24 Antoine Bernede M 7.0 75' 1 44 (35%) 3
18 Kieron Bowie F 7.0 90' 4 20 (14%)
15 Victor Nelsson D 6.9 89' 30 (23%) 2
2 Daniel Oyegoke M 6.9 75' 2 23 (19%)
9 Amin Sarr F 6.7 23' 8 (7%)
12 Domagoj Bradarić D 6.5 15' 6 (6%)
1 Lorenzo Montipò G 6.3 90' 17 (9%)
5 Andrias Edmundsson D 6.3 90' 2 41 (30%) 3
11 Jean-Daniel Akpa Akpro M 6.3 90' 33 (24%) 1
16 Gift Orban F 6.0 67' 2 22 (19%)
10 Tomáš Suslov M 5.5 10' 1 (1%)
25 Daniel Mosquera F 1'
Fiorentina
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
43 David De Gea G 9.3 90' 40 (25%)
44 Nicolò Fagioli M 7.7 89' 1 2 55 (47%) 2
5 Marin Pongračić D 7.5 90' 58 (53%) 2
21 Robin Gosens D 7.3 76' 46 (38%) 1
15 Pietro Comuzzo D 7.2 89' 46 (41%) 2
80 Giovanni Fabbian M 7.0 59' 18 (13%) 2
6 Luca Ranieri D 6.9 90' 59 (53%) 1
62 Luís Balbo D 6.9 14' 2 (1%)
20 Moise Kean F 6.7 76' 8 (4%)
22 Jacopo Fazzini M 6.6 14' 3 (1%)
27 Cher Ndour M 6.3 90' 27 (21%) 2
91 Roberto Piccoli F 6.3 31' 4 (2%)
17 Jack Harrison F 6.2 90' 1 34 (25%)
10 Albert Guðmundsson F 6.2 85' 1 30 (27%) 2
4 Marco Brescianini M 1'
3 Daniele Rugani D 1' 1
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Confidence Medium (58%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung
Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Fiorentina
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Hellas Verona
WLWWD
Fiorentina
DWWLL
Last 3 meetings Hellas Verona · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

Hellas Verona will host Fiorentina in a crucial Serie A clash on April 4, 2026. Currently, Verona is struggling in the relegation zone, having secured only 5 wins from 30 matches this season. In contrast, Fiorentina is competing for a European spot, sitting mid-table with a solid away record, including 8 wins on the road. Historically, Fiorentina has dominated this matchup, winning 7 of the last 10 encounters. Verona will need a strong defensive performance and to capitalize on counter-attacks to stand a chance against a more consistent Fiorentina side.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

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Players in form

Hellas Verona

No scorer data.

Fiorentina
Franco Mastantuono 3 gls

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Head to Head: Hellas Verona vs Fiorentina

2 Hellas Verona Wins
0 Draws
1 Fiorentina Wins
Date Home Score Away
14 Dec 2025 Fiorentina 1 - 2 Hellas Verona
23 Feb 2025 Hellas Verona 1 - 0 Fiorentina
10 Nov 2024 Fiorentina 3 - 1 Hellas Verona
Alle 10 Begegnungen ansehen — Premium

Hellas Verona — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Vicenza Virtus W 2 - 1
11 Sep A Benevento L 3 - 1
06 Sep H Arezzo W 5 - 0
03 Sep A Cagliari W 1 - 2
29 Aug A Padova D 1 - 1

Fiorentina — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Napoli D 1 - 1
15 Sep H Pisa W 3 - 0
11 Sep A Venezia W 2 - 4
05 Sep H Torino L 1 - 2
29 Aug H Frosinone L 0 - 3

Serie A Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
AS Roma
5 4 1 0 +11 13
2
Inter
5 4 1 0 +7 13
3
Lazio
5 4 1 0 +5 13
4
Cagliari
5 4 0 1 +3 12
5
AC Milan
5 3 2 0 +6 11
6
Frosinone
5 3 1 1 +5 10
7
Juventus
5 3 1 1 +4 10
8
Como
5 3 1 1 +3 10
9
Napoli
5 2 1 2 +1 7
10
Sassuolo
5 2 1 2 0 7
11
Atalanta
5 2 0 3 -2 6
12
Lecce
5 2 0 3 -5 6
13
Udinese
5 1 1 3 -3 4
14
Torino
5 1 1 3 -3 4
15
Parma
5 1 1 3 -3 4
16
Monza
5 1 1 3 -4 4
17
Fiorentina
5 1 1 3 -6 4
18
Bologna
5 0 2 3 -3 2
19
Genoa
5 0 1 4 -7 1
20
Venezia
5 0 0 5 -9 0

Fiorentina

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Paolo Vanoli
43 Gea
21 Gosens
6 Ranieri
5 Pongracic
15 Comuzzo
27 Ndour
44 Fagioli
80 Fabbian
10 Gudmundsson
20 Kean
17 Harrison

Starting XI

# Player Pos
43 D. de Gea G
15 P. Comuzzo D
5 M. Pongracic D
6 L. Ranieri D
21 R. Gosens D
80 G. Fabbian M
44 N. Fagioli M
27 C. Ndour M
17 J. Harrison F
20 M. Kean F
10 A. Gudmundsson F

Substitutes

1 L. Lezzerini G
53 O. Christensen G
91 R. Piccoli F
22 J. Fazzini M
61 R. Braschi F
23 E. Kospo D
60 E. Kouadio D
63 P. Bonanno M
3 D. Rugani D
4 M. Brescianini M
67 E. Sadotti D
62 L. Balbo D
64 L. Deli M

Hellas Verona

Formation: 3-5-2 Coach: Paolo Sammarco
1 Montipo
3 Frese
5 Edmundsson
15 Nelsson
7 Belghali
24 Bernede
63 Gagliardini
11 Akpro
2 Oyegoke
16 Orban
18 Bowie

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 L. Montipo G
15 V. Nelsson D
5 A. Edmundsson D
3 M. Frese D
2 D. Oyegoke M
11 J. Akpa Akpro M
63 R. Gagliardini M
24 A. Bernede M
7 R. Belghali M
18 K. Bowie F
16 G. Orban F

Substitutes

34 S. Perilli G
94 G. Toniolo G
6 N. Valentini D
19 T. Slotsager D
41 Isaac F
73 Al Musrati M
14 P. Lirola D
21 A. Harroui M
12 D. Bradaric D
10 T. Suslov M
36 C. Niasse M
25 D. Mosquera F
9 A. Sarr F
70 F. Cham D

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