1899 Hoffenheim vs Werder Bremen Prognose
1899 Hoffenheim vs. Werder Bremen Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für 1899 Hoffenheim eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 57%, für Werder Bremen 20% und für ein Unentschieden 23%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 29 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Match Report
Hoffenheim claimed all three points against Werder Bremen in a match that was shaped dramatically in its opening minutes. Yukinari Sugawara was shown a red card in the fifth minute following a VAR review and card upgrade, leaving Bremen to play the entire match with ten men. Hoffenheim capitalised on the numerical advantage when Bazoumana Touré scored a straightforward goal in the 26th minute, a lead the hosts would protect through to the final whistle.
Despite their disadvantage, Bremen dominated possession with 72% of the ball and created the greater expected goals figure of 1.52 compared to Hoffenheim's 1.07, though they managed just four shots on target across the ninety minutes. Hoffenheim's defensive resolve proved the difference, as Bremen's pressure — including eight corner kicks — ultimately failed to produce an equaliser.
Our pre-match AI model rated a Hoffenheim win as the most likely outcome at 57%, a call that proved correct. The result keeps Hoffenheim competitive in the Bundesliga standings, while Bremen will rue the early dismissal that fundamentally altered the contest.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
1899 Hoffenheim
Match Stats
1899 Hoffenheim
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Albian Hajdari D | 8.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 88 (81%) | 2 |
| 34 Vladimír Coufal D | 8.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 77 (69%) | 2 |
| 7 Leon Avdullahu M | 8.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 106 (100%) | – |
| 5 Ozan Kabak D | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 75 (71%) | – |
| 29 Bazoumana Touré M | 7.3 | 57' | 1 | – | 1 | 24 (20%) | 1 |
| 18 Wouter Burger M | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 82 (72%) | 1 |
| 1 Oliver Baumann G | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 22 (19%) | – |
| 2 Robin Hranáč D | 6.9 | 19' | – | – | – | 18 (14%) | 1 |
| 27 Andrej Kramarić M | 6.9 | 89' | – | 1 | 1 | 45 (41%) | 2 |
| 13 Bernardo D | 6.9 | 71' | – | – | – | 59 (45%) | – |
| 11 Fisnik Asllani M | 6.5 | 89' | – | – | 3 | 27 (19%) | – |
| 20 Cole Campbell F | 6.5 | 19' | – | – | – | 12 (12%) | – |
| 22 Alexander Prass D | 6.3 | 33' | – | – | 1 | 17 (14%) | – |
| 19 Tim Lemperle F | 6.3 | 71' | – | – | 2 | 22 (12%) | – |
| 23 Adam Hložek F | — | 1' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | – |
| 6 Grischa Prömel M | — | 1' | – | – | – | 6 (5%) | – |
Werder Bremen
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mio Backhaus G | 7.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 50 (24%) | – |
| 39 Maximilian Wöber D | 7.5 | 10' | – | – | – | 6 (3%) | – |
| 2 Olivier Deman D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 24 (12%) | 4 |
| 14 Senne Lynen M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 22 (18%) | 5 |
| 18 Cameron Puertas M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 28 (26%) | 2 |
| 6 Jens Stage M | 6.7 | 71' | – | – | – | 26 (18%) | – |
| 17 Marco Grüll F | 6.6 | 19' | – | – | – | 4 (1%) | 1 |
| 20 Romano Schmid M | 6.5 | 71' | – | – | – | 29 (16%) | 1 |
| 11 Justin Njinmah M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 16 (12%) | – |
| 29 Salim Musah F | 6.5 | 12' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
| 32 Marco Friedl D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 12 (9%) | 1 |
| 5 Amos Pieper D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 23 (16%) | – |
| 7 Samuel Mbangula F | 6.3 | 19' | – | – | – | 8 (5%) | – |
| 23 Isaac Schmidt D | 6.3 | 68' | – | – | – | 15 (9%) | 2 |
| 3 Yukinari Sugawara D | 3.0 | 5' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: 1899 Hoffenheim vs Werder Bremen
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct 2026 | Werder Bremen | 2 - 0 | 1899 Hoffenheim |
| 27 Jan 2026 | Werder Bremen | 0 - 2 | 1899 Hoffenheim |
| 16 Feb 2025 | Werder Bremen | 1 - 3 | 1899 Hoffenheim |
1899 Hoffenheim — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | A Crystal Palace | D | 1 - 1 |
| 31 Oct | A Werder Bremen | L | 2 - 0 |
| 28 Oct | A Holstein Kiel | D | 1 - 1 |
| 25 Oct | H Bayer Leverkusen | W | 3 - 0 |
| 22 Oct | H Lyon | W | 3 - 0 |
Werder Bremen — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | A VfB Stuttgart | L | 1 - 0 |
| 31 Oct | H 1899 Hoffenheim | W | 2 - 0 |
| 27 Oct | A Borussia Dortmund | L | 3 - 2 |
| 24 Oct | A FSV Mainz 05 | W | 2 - 3 |
| 17 Oct | H SC Paderborn 07 | D | 2 - 2 |
Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayern München
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 29 | 9 | +20 | 21 |
| 2 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 21 |
| 3 |
RB Leipzig
|
9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 13 | +14 | 18 |
| 4 |
SC Freiburg
|
8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 10 | +8 | 16 |
| 5 |
Werder Bremen
|
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 15 | +2 | 15 |
| 6 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 16 | +2 | 13 |
| 7 |
SV Elversberg
|
9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 |
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
| 10 |
Hamburger SV
|
9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
| 11 |
FSV Mainz 05
|
9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 |
SC Paderborn 07
|
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 |
FC Augsburg
|
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 9 |
| 14 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
| 15 |
1. FC Köln
|
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 9 |
| 16 |
Union Berlin
|
8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 7 |
| 17 |
FC Schalke 04
|
8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 6 |
| 18 |
Borussia Mönchengladbach
|
9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 4 |
Werder Bremen
Formation: 4-1-4-1
Coach: Daniel Thioune
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 30 | M. Backhaus | G |
| 3 | Y. Sugawara | D |
| 5 | A. Pieper | D |
| 32 | M. Friedl | D |
| 2 | O. Deman | D |
| 14 | S. Lynen | M |
| 11 | J. Njinmah | M |
| 6 | J. Stage | M |
| 18 | C. Puertas | M |
| 20 | R. Schmid | M |
| 29 | S. Musah | F |
Substitutes
| 25 | M. Kolke | G |
| 4 | N. Stark | D |
| 39 | M. Wober | D |
| 24 | P. Covic | M |
| 17 | M. Grull | F |
| 23 | I. Schmidt | D |
| 7 | S. Mbangula | F |
| 19 | J. Milosevic | F |
| 31 | K. Coulibaly | D |
1899 Hoffenheim
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: C. Ilzer
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | O. Baumann | G |
| 34 | V. Coufal | D |
| 5 | O. Kabak | D |
| 21 | A. Hajdari | D |
| 13 | Bernardo | D |
| 7 | L. Avdullahu | M |
| 18 | W. Burger | M |
| 27 | A. Kramaric | M |
| 11 | F. Asllani | M |
| 29 | B. Toure | M |
| 19 | T. Lemperle | F |
Substitutes
| 37 | L. Philipp | G |
| 22 | A. Prass | D |
| 23 | A. Hlozek | F |
| 2 | R. Hranac | D |
| 10 | M. Damar | M |
| 33 | M. Moerstedt | F |
| 25 | K. Akpoguma | D |
| 6 | G. Promel | M |
| 20 | C. Campbell | F |