Eintracht Frankfurt vs RB Leipzig Prognose

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 30

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RB Leipzig

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27%

25%

48%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Eintracht Frankfurt vs. RB Leipzig Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Eintracht Frankfurt eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 27%, für RB Leipzig 48% und für ein Unentschieden 25%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 27 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

RB Leipzig claimed a comfortable 3–1 victory away at Eintracht Frankfurt in Bundesliga Matchday 30, despite the sides being level at the break. Frankfurt drew first blood through Yan Diomande on 27 minutes, only for Hugo Larsson to equalise seven minutes later to set up an even contest at half-time.

Leipzig took control in the second half, with Antonio Nusa breaking the deadlock on 70 minutes before Conrad Harder added a third just eleven minutes later to put the result beyond doubt. Frankfurt's evening was further complicated by a yellow card for Max Finkgräfe in the first half, though the game remained competitive throughout, with the hosts finishing with 51% possession and 16 total shots.

The underlying numbers ultimately favoured the visitors, who recorded an expected goals figure of 2.09 against Frankfurt's 1.45 and edged the shot count 19 to 16. Our pre-match AI model had identified an RB Leipzig win as the most likely outcome at 48%, a call that proved correct as Leipzig moved clear with a well-earned three points.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 27'

Yan Diomande assist: Lukas Klostermann

Hugo Larsson assist: Ayoube Amaimouni Echghouyab

34' ⚽ 1–1

▮ 40'

Max Finkgräfe Yellow Card

HT 1–1

⇄ 59'

Assan Ouédraogo ⇄ Brajan Gruda

Oscar Højlund ⇄ Can Uzun

64' ⇄

⚽ 1–2 70'

Antonio Nusa assist: Max Finkgräfe

Ayoube Amaimouni Echghouyab ⇄ Ansgar Knauff

71' ⇄

Hugo Larsson ⇄ Ellyes Skhiri

72' ⇄

⇄ 79'

Max Finkgräfe ⇄ David Raum

⇄ 79'

Rômulo ⇄ Conrad Harder

⚽ 1–3 81'

Conrad Harder assist: Antonio Nusa

Arthur Theate ⇄ Elias Baum

81' ⇄

⇄ 90+3'

Antonio Nusa ⇄ Johan Bakayoko

⇄ 90+4'

Lukas Klostermann ⇄ Benjamin Henrichs

FT 1–3

Eintracht Frankfurt

Match Stats

RB Leipzig

51% Ball Possession 49%

1.45 Expected Goals (xG) 2.09

16 Total Shots 19

5 Shots on Goal 8

6 Shots off Goal 6

5 Blocked Shots 5

11 Shots insidebox 15

5 Shots outsidebox 4

4 Corner Kicks 6

3 Offsides 0

7 Fouls 7

0 Yellow Cards 1

Red Cards

5 Goalkeeper Saves 4

373 Total passes 352

315 Passes accurate 291

84% Passes % 83%

0.98 goals_prevented 0.98

Eintracht Frankfurt

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
21 Nathaniel Brown M	7.2	90'	–	–	–	30 (24%)	3
15 Ellyes Skhiri M	6.9	19'	–	–	–	16 (13%)	1
8 Farès Chaïbi M	6.9	90'	–	–	1	43 (34%)	4
23 Michael Zetterer G	6.9	90'	–	–	–	32 (22%)	–
7 Ansgar Knauff F	6.9	19'	–	–	1	10 (8%)	1
16 Hugo Larsson M	6.9	71'	1	–	1	22 (19%)	–
6 Oscar Højlund M	6.9	64'	–	–	2	24 (20%)	2
5 Aurèle Amenda D	6.7	90'	–	–	1	40 (34%)	1
42 Can Uzun M	6.6	26'	–	–	–	17 (15%)	–
25 Arnaud Kalimuendo F	6.6	90'	–	–	1	16 (14%)	1
2 Elias Baum D	6.6	9'	–	–	–	4 (4%)	–
3 Arthur Theate D	6.5	81'	–	–	–	59 (55%)	1
9 Jonathan Burkardt F	6.5	90'	–	–	1	13 (11%)	–
29 Ayoube Amaimouni Echghouyab F	6.3	71'	–	1	3	7 (5%)	2
4 Robin Koch D	6.3	90'	–	–	–	40 (37%)	2

RB Leipzig

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
49 Yan Diomande M	8.9	90'	1	–	3	29 (25%)	2
7 Antonio Nusa M	8.3	89'	1	1	1	16 (11%)	2
5 El Chadaille Bitshiabu D	7.5	90'	–	–	1	52 (49%)	2
16 Lukas Klostermann D	7.3	89'	–	1	1	46 (42%)	3
26 Maarten Vandevoordt G	7.2	90'	–	–	–	44 (35%)	–
17 Ridle Baku D	7.2	90'	–	–	1	33 (28%)	4
11 Conrad Harder F	7.2	11'	1	–	1	1 (1%)	–
22 David Raum D	6.9	11'	–	–	–	4 (2%)	–
13 Nicolas Seiwald M	6.9	90'	–	–	1	20 (17%)	2
14 Christoph Baumgartner M	6.9	90'	–	–	1	45 (37%)	4
35 Max Finkgräfe D	6.6	79'	–	1	–	24 (20%)	1
40 Rômulo F	6.5	79'	–	–	2	17 (12%)	2
10 Brajan Gruda F	6.5	31'	–	–	1	7 (5%)	1
20 Assan Ouédraogo M	6.2	59'	–	–	1	12 (5%)	–
39 Benjamin Henrichs D	—	1'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	–
9 Johan Bakayoko F	—	1'	–	–	–	–	–

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Confidence Medium (60%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung

RB Leipzig oder Unentschieden

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Eintracht Frankfurt

DWLDW

RB Leipzig

LWLLW

Last 3 meetings Eintracht Frankfurt · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Bundesliga clash, Eintracht Frankfurt hosts RB Leipzig on April 18, 2026. Frankfurt has been solid at home, with a strong attacking presence, averaging 2.1 goals per game at Deutsche Bank Park this season. In contrast, Leipzig boasts the league's best defensive record, conceding only 0.9 goals per match. The encounter will likely hinge on Frankfurt's ability to penetrate Leipzig's organized backline while Leipzig aims to exploit counter-attacking opportunities. This matchup is crucial for both teams in their pursuit of European qualification.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

RB Leipzig goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7	10	8	5	2	1
1	7	12	10	5	2	1
2	4	7	5	3	1
3	2	3	2	1
4		1	1
5

↑ Eintracht Frankfurt goals · most likely 1–1 (11.8%)

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Players in form

Eintracht Frankfurt

Y. Ebnoutalib 4 gls

J. Burkardt 3 gls

RB Leipzig

A. Nusa 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Head to Head: Eintracht Frankfurt vs RB Leipzig

1 Eintracht Frankfurt Wins

0 Draws

2 RB Leipzig Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
06 Dec 2025	RB Leipzig	6 - 0	Eintracht Frankfurt
26 Apr 2025	Eintracht Frankfurt	4 - 0	RB Leipzig
15 Dec 2024	RB Leipzig	2 - 1	Eintracht Frankfurt

Alle 10 Begegnungen ansehen — Premium

Eintracht Frankfurt — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H SC Freiburg	D	2 - 2
12 Sep	A FSV Mainz 05	W	1 - 3
06 Sep	H FC Augsburg	L	1 - 4
29 Aug	A Union Berlin	D	3 - 3
21 Aug	A SC St. Tönis	W	0 - 11

RB Leipzig — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Bayer Leverkusen	L	2 - 0
13 Sep	H Hamburger SV	W	5 - 0
10 Sep	A Como	L	4 - 1
05 Sep	A Werder Bremen	L	3 - 1
29 Aug	H Borussia Mönchengladbach	W	3 - 0

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	4	0	0	9	2	+7	12
2	Bayern München	4	3	1	0	14	2	+12	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	3	1	0	12	3	+9	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	2	1	1	11	6	+5	7
5	Bayer Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	10	5	+5	7
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	2	1	1	10	6	+4	7
7	SV Elversberg	4	2	1	1	8	7	+1	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	8	8	0	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	9	5	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	9	10	-1	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	1	2	1	3	4	-1	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	1	1	2	3	5	-2	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	1	1	2	6	9	-3	4
14	1899 Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	7	10	-3	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	6	9	-3	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	2	13	-11	3
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	4	17	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0	0	4	6	16	-10	0

Eintracht Frankfurt

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Albert Riera

23 Zetterer

3 Theate

4 Koch

5 Amenda

21 Brown

6 Hojlund

16 Larsson

8 Chaibi

25 Kalimuendo

29 Amaimouni

9 Burkardt

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
23	M. Zetterer	G
5	A. Amenda	D
4	R. Koch	D
3	A. Theate	D
8	F. Chaibi	M
16	H. Larsson	M
6	O. Hojlund	M
21	N. Brown	M
29	A. Amaimouni	F
25	A. Kalimuendo	F
9	J. Burkardt	F

Substitutes

33	J. Grahl	G
27	M. Gotze	M
15	E. Skhiri	M
7	A. Knauff	F
2	E. Baum	D
31	L. Arrhov	M
20	R. Doan	M
42	C. Y. Uzun	M
11	Y. Ebnoutalib	F

RB Leipzig

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: Ole Werner

26 Vandevoordt

35 Finkgrafe

5 Bitshiabu

16 Klostermann

17 Baku

13 Seiwald

7 Nusa

14 Baumgartner

20 Ouedraogo

49 Diomande

40 Cardoso

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
26	M. Vandevoordt	G
17	R. Baku	D
16	L. Klostermann	D
5	E. Bitshiabu	D
35	M. Finkgrafe	D
13	N. Seiwald	M
49	Y. Diomande	M
20	A. Ouedraogo	M
14	C. Baumgartner	M
7	A. Nusa	M
40	Romulo Cardoso	F

Substitutes

1	P. Gulacsi	G
23	C. Lukeba	D
9	J. Bakayoko	F
10	B. Gruda	F
33	A. Maksimovic	M
27	T. Gomis	F
39	B. Henrichs	D
22	D. Raum	D
11	C. Harder	F