FC St. Pauli vs SC Freiburg Prognose

Bundesliga Bundesliga · Regular Season - 27
FT
Post on X
Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg
KI-Tipp FC St. Pauli oder Unentschieden
37%
32%
31%
Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

FC St. Pauli vs. SC Freiburg Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für FC St. Pauli eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 37%, für SC Freiburg 31% und für ein Unentschieden 32%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 13 Jul 2026, 16:01.

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Confidence Medium (53%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung
FC St. Pauli oder Unentschieden
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FC St. Pauli
DWDLL
SC Freiburg
DWWWW
Last 3 meetings FC St. Pauli · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

FC St. Pauli will host SC Freiburg in a crucial Bundesliga clash on March 22, 2026. St. Pauli has struggled defensively this season, conceding an average of 2 goals per match, which could be exploited by Freiburg's efficient attack, led by their top scorer, who averages 0.5 goals per game. Freiburg, currently positioned in the upper half of the table, boasts a solid away record, winning 60% of their matches on the road. The outcome may hinge on St. Pauli's ability to contain Freiburg's pace and creativity in the midfield, while also needing to capitalize on set-piece opportunities to secure vital points.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
37%
10%
Draw
32%
45%
Away
31%
45%

Most likely scores

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Players in form

FC St. Pauli

No scorer data.

SC Freiburg
I. Matanović 11 gls

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Head to Head: FC St. Pauli vs SC Freiburg

1 FC St. Pauli Wins
0 Draws
2 SC Freiburg Wins
Date Home Score Away
09 Nov 2025 SC Freiburg 2 - 1 FC St. Pauli
15 Feb 2025 FC St. Pauli 0 - 1 SC Freiburg
28 Sep 2024 SC Freiburg 0 - 3 FC St. Pauli
Alle 5 Begegnungen ansehen — Premium

FC St. Pauli — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Energie Cottbus D 1 - 1
12 Sep H VfL Wolfsburg W 1 - 0
04 Sep A Arminia Bielefeld D 2 - 2
30 Aug H 1. FC Kaiserslautern L 1 - 2
23 Aug A Rot-Weiß Essen L 2 - 0

SC Freiburg — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Eintracht Frankfurt D 2 - 2
12 Sep H Borussia Mönchengladbach W 5 - 0
05 Sep A SC Paderborn 07 W 0 - 1
30 Aug H Werder Bremen W 4 - 1
27 Aug H Motherwell W 4 - 1

Bundesliga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Bayern München
34 28 5 1 +86 89
2
Borussia Dortmund
34 22 7 5 +36 73
3
RB Leipzig
34 20 5 9 +19 65
4
VfB Stuttgart
34 18 8 8 +22 62
5
1899 Hoffenheim
34 18 7 9 +13 61
6
Bayer Leverkusen
34 17 8 9 +21 59
7
SC Freiburg
34 13 8 13 -6 47
8
Eintracht Frankfurt
34 11 11 12 -4 44
9
FC Augsburg
34 12 7 15 -16 43
10
FSV Mainz 05
34 10 10 14 -9 40
11
Union Berlin
34 10 9 15 -14 39
12
Borussia Mönchengladbach
34 9 11 14 -11 38
13
Hamburger SV
34 9 11 14 -14 38
14
1. FC Köln
34 7 11 16 -14 32
15
Werder Bremen
34 8 8 18 -23 32
16
VfL Wolfsburg
34 7 8 19 -24 29
17
1. FC Heidenheim
34 6 8 20 -31 26
18
FC St. Pauli
34 6 8 20 -31 26

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.

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