Twente vs Pafos Prognose
Twente vs. Pafos Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Twente eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 73%, für Pafos 11% und für ein Unentschieden 16%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 5 Nov 2026, 21:55.
Match Report
Twente came from behind to claim a commanding 3–1 victory over Pafos in the UEFA Europa Conference League, though it took until the second half for the Dutch side to assert their dominance. Pafos took a surprise lead just before the break through Lelê's 39th-minute strike, but the Cypriot forward's evening unravelled quickly — he picked up a second yellow card on 64 minutes and was dismissed, leaving his side to defend with ten men for the final half-hour.
Twente capitalised swiftly on the numerical advantage. Ruud Nijstad levelled on 62 minutes, and Sondre Ørjasæter added a third on 76 before Daouda Weidmann wrapped up the scoring six minutes later. The match statistics underlined Twente's overall superiority — 77% possession, 11 corner kicks to none, and an expected goals figure of 2.99 compared to Pafos's 0.91.
Our pre-match AI model had rated a Twente win as the most likely outcome at 73%, a call that proved well-founded. The result strengthens Twente's position in the Conference League league stage.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Twente
Match Stats
Twente
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Daouda Weidmann M | 8.6 | 85' | 1 | 1 | 4 | 85 (80%) | – |
| 6 Ramiz Zerrouki M | 7.9 | 85' | – | – | 2 | 109 (100%) | 4 |
| 28 Bart van Rooij D | 7.9 | 85' | – | – | – | 68 (63%) | 4 |
| 27 Sondre Ørjasæter M | 7.7 | 85' | 1 | – | 4 | 43 (37%) | – |
| 4 Ruud Nijstad D | 7.3 | 85' | 1 | – | 1 | 88 (85%) | 1 |
| 3 Robin Pröpper D | 7.3 | 85' | – | – | – | 63 (57%) | 3 |
| 29 Aske Adelgaard D | 7.2 | 85' | – | – | 1 | 70 (68%) | 3 |
| 10 Younes Taha M | 7.0 | 81' | – | 1 | 2 | 55 (47%) | – |
| 11 Daan Rots M | 6.9 | 77' | – | – | – | 41 (36%) | – |
| 25 Lucas Vennegoor of Hesselink F | 6.7 | 8' | – | – | – | 1 | 1 |
| 16 Joël Drommel G | 6.7 | 85' | – | – | – | 19 (17%) | – |
| 9 W. Weghorst F | 6.3 | 85' | – | – | 2 | 15 (11%) | 1 |
| 20 Thomas Van den Belt M | — | 4' | – | 1 | – | 1 (1%) | – |
Pafos
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 99 Radosław Majecki G | 8.2 | 85' | – | – | – | 18 (15%) | – |
| 3 Samy Mmaee D | 7.3 | 85' | – | – | – | 29 (22%) | 1 |
| 4 David Luiz D | 7.0 | 85' | – | – | – | 37 (28%) | – |
| 26 Ivan Šunjić M | 6.9 | 85' | – | – | – | 12 (8%) | 1 |
| 18 Lelê F | 6.9 | 64' | 1 | – | 4 | 15 (9%) | – |
| 50 Alexandre Brito M | 6.9 | 81' | – | – | 1 | 17 (13%) | 2 |
| 30 Vlad Dragomir M | 6.7 | 81' | – | – | – | 15 (11%) | 2 |
| 12 Ken Sema M | 6.3 | 85' | – | – | – | 16 (13%) | 2 |
| 7 Bruno D | 6.3 | 85' | – | – | – | 15 (11%) | 1 |
| 33 Anderson Silva F | 6.3 | 16' | – | – | – | 6 (3%) | – |
| 14 Nikolas Ioannou D | 6.2 | 85' | – | – | – | 19 (13%) | 1 |
| 77 João Correia M | 6.2 | 69' | – | – | 1 | 5 | – |
| 6 Gonçalo Rodrigues M | — | 4' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 8 Domingos Quina M | — | 4' | – | – | – | 2 (1%) | – |
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At a glance
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Upgrade NowLive insights
Twente now leads 3-1 with 99.9% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 18.8%.
Min 83: Twente leads 3-1. Win probability: 99.9%. Comeback chance: 0.1%.
Late goal makes it 2-1! Twente win probability: 93.1%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 32%.
Min 76: Still level at 1-1. Draw looking likely at 68.6%. Late goal chance: 33.9%.
Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 50.6%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Most likely scores
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
M. Pjaca
4 gls
D. Weidmann
3 gls
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Twente vs Pafos
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
Twente — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | H Pafos | W | 3 - 1 |
| 01 Nov | A Excelsior | W | 0 - 9 |
| 25 Oct | A AZ Alkmaar | W | 0 - 2 |
| 22 Oct | A Lincoln Red Imps FC | W | 1 - 4 |
| 18 Oct | H Utrecht | L | 1 - 2 |
Pafos — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | A Twente | L | 3 - 1 |
| 31 Oct | A Apollon Limassol | D | 2 - 2 |
| 26 Oct | A Nea Salamis | D | 0 - 0 |
| 22 Oct | H Riga | D | 1 - 1 |
| 19 Oct | H Apoel Nicosia | D | 0 - 0 |
UEFA Europa Conference League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Lugano
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 9 |
| 2 |
Panathinaikos
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | +6 | 9 |
| 3 |
Twente
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | +6 | 9 |
| 4 |
Monaco
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | +6 | 9 |
| 5 |
Brighton
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | +5 | 7 |
| 6 |
Brann
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 7 |
| 7 |
FC Copenhagen
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 7 |
| 8 |
Universitatea Craiova
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 7 |
| 9 |
Mjallby AIF
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 7 |
| 10 |
St. Truiden
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 7 |
| 11 |
Ajax
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | +6 | 6 |
| 12 |
Trabzonspor
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 6 |
| 13 |
HNK Hajduk Split
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 |
SC Freiburg
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 6 |
| 15 |
FK Crvena Zvezda
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 |
| 16 |
Atalanta
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 17 |
SC Braga
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 18 |
Gent
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 19 |
Riga
|
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 20 |
FC Thun
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 21 |
Borac Banja Luka
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 22 |
Lincoln Red Imps FC
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 3 |
| 23 |
FK Jablonec
|
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 |
| 24 |
Aarhus
|
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 2 |
| 25 |
FC Nordsjaelland
|
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 2 |
| 26 |
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
|
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 |
| 27 |
Kairat Almaty
|
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 2 |
| 28 |
CSKA Sofia
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 1 |
| 29 |
FC Iberia 1999
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 |
| 30 |
Pafos
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 1 |
| 31 |
Getafe
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 1 |
| 32 |
Heart Of Midlothian
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 |
| 33 |
KuPS
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 |
| 34 |
FC Midtjylland
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 1 |
| 35 |
Inter Club d'Escaldes
|
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 0 |
| 36 |
Kauno Žalgiris
|
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 11 | -10 | 0 |
Twente
Formation: 4-1-4-1
Coach: Seong-jae Kim
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Joël Drommel | G |
| 28 | Bart van Rooij | D |
| 3 | Robin Pröpper | D |
| 4 | Ruud Nijstad | D |
| 29 | Aske Adelgaard | D |
| 6 | Ramiz Zerrouki | M |
| 11 | Daan Rots | M |
| 10 | Younes Taha | M |
| 8 | Daouda Weidmann | M |
| 27 | Sondre Ørjasæter | M |
| 9 | Wout Weghorst | F |
Substitutes
| 22 | Remko Pasveer | G |
| 31 | Yannick Gerritsen | G |
| 2 | Michał Rosiak | D |
| 39 | Jip Meilink | D |
| 14 | Kristian Hlynsson | M |
| 18 | Jordy Bawuah | M |
| 20 | Thomas Van den Belt | M |
| 24 | Krzysztof Kurowski | D |
| 26 | Benjamin Nagel | M |
| 7 | Marko Pjaca | F |
| 25 | Lucas Vennegoor of Hesselink | F |
Pafos
Formation: 4-5-1
Coach: Seong-jae Kim
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 99 | Radosław Majecki | G |
| 7 | Bruno | D |
| 3 | Samy Mmaee | D |
| 4 | David Luiz | D |
| 14 | Nikolas Ioannou | D |
| 30 | Vlad Dragomir | M |
| 26 | Ivan Šunjić | M |
| 50 | Alexandre Brito | M |
| 77 | João Correia | M |
| 12 | Ken Sema | M |
| 18 | Lelê | F |
Substitutes
| 71 | Michalis Papastylianou | G |
| 82 | Petros Petrou | G |
| 61 | Melinos Kais | D |
| 72 | Kosmas Ioannou | D |
| 6 | Guga | M |
| 8 | Domingos Quina | M |
| 60 | Christos Evzonas | M |
| 33 | Anderson Silva | F |
| 42 | Georgios Michael | M |