Monaco vs FC Nordsjaelland Prognose

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KI-Tipp Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Monaco
64%
21%
15%
Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Monaco vs. FC Nordsjaelland Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Monaco eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 64%, für FC Nordsjaelland 15% und für ein Unentschieden 21%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 5 Nov 2026, 21:53.

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Match Report

Monaco secured a comfortable 2–0 home victory over FC Nordsjaelland in the UEFA Europa Conference League league stage, with the hosts largely in control throughout. Mathys Detourbet broke the deadlock on 33 minutes to send Monaco into the break with a deserved lead, a reflection of their dominance in possession and overall threat — their expected goals figure of 1.69 dwarfed Nordsjaelland's negligible 0.03. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Monaco win as the most likely outcome at 64%, and the performance bore that assessment out.

The second half brought further Monaco pressure but also frustration, as two goals were ruled out for offside — first from Paris Brunner on 49 minutes, then Takumi Minamino three minutes later. A flurry of substitutions from both sides reshaped the contest midway through the half without significantly altering its complexion. Nordsjaelland rarely threatened, managing no shots on target across the full 90 minutes.

Matthis Abline put the result beyond doubt in stoppage time, converting to make it 2–0 and seal a straightforward three points for Monaco on home soil.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

I. Touré Yellow Card
17' ▮
▮ 30'
Noah Markmann Yellow Card
Mathys Detourbet assist: T. Minamino
33' ⚽ 1–0
HT 1–0
Paris Brunner Goal Disallowed - offside
49' 🖵
T. Minamino Goal Disallowed - offside
52' 🖵
I. Touré ⇄ Vanderson
58' ⇄
E. Diop ⇄ Aleksandr Golovin
58' ⇄
Eric Dier ⇄ Sadibou Sané
58' ⇄
⇄ 61'
Villum Berthelsen ⇄ Ibrahim Adel
⇄ 61'
Lamine Sadio ⇄ Prince Amoako Junior
▮ 66'
Victor Nelsson Yellow Card
⇄ 70'
Ola Solbakken
⇄ 70'
Markus Walker ⇄ Runar Robinsonn Norheim
Paris Brunner ⇄ Mamadou Coulibaly
70' ⇄
Folarin Balogun ⇄ Matthis Abline
78' ⇄
Matthis Abline assist: Mathys Detourbet
90+1' ⚽ 2–0
FT 2–0
Monaco

Match Stats

FC Nordsjaelland
58% Ball Possession 42%
1.69 Expected Goals (xG) 0.03
6 Total Shots 2
2 Shots on Goal 0
2 Shots off Goal 1
2 Blocked Shots 1
6 Shots insidebox 2
Shots outsidebox
3 Corner Kicks 3
4 Offsides 1
5 Fouls 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
Red Cards
0 Goalkeeper Saves 2
729 Total passes 529
684 Passes accurate 468
94% Passes % 88%
0.19 goals_prevented 0.19
Monaco
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
4 Jordan Teze D 7.5 87' – – – 127 (121%) –
6 Denis Zakaria M 7.2 87' – – – 93 (90%) 2
7 Mathys Detourbet M 7.2 87' 1 – 1 41 (37%) –
49 I. Touré D 7.2 57' – – – 42 (38%) 3
72 Sadibou Sané D 7.0 29' – – – 44 (44%) 1
2 Vanderson D 7.0 30' – – – 27 (27%) 1
37 E. Diop M 7.0 58' – – – 67 (61%) 1
10 Aleksandr Golovin M 6.9 29' – – – 38 (36%) 1
15 Eric Dier D 6.9 58' – – – 88 (85%) –
1 Lukáš Hrádecký G 6.7 87' – – – 23 (20%) –
13 Christian Mawissa D 6.6 87' – – – 84 (80%) 2
29 Paris Brunner F 6.6 70' – – – 9 (6%) –
28 Mamadou Coulibaly M 6.5 17' – – – 9 (8%) –
11 Matthis Abline F 6.3 9' – – – 1 (1%) –
18 T. Minamino M 6.3 87' – 1 1 30 (24%) –
9 Folarin Balogun F 5.9 78' – – 2 6 (6%) –
FC Nordsjaelland
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
25 Victor Nelsson D 7.3 87' – – – 69 (64%) 1
3 Tobias Salquist D 7.0 87' – – – 83 (78%) 1
5 Juho Lähteenmäki M 6.9 87' – – – 29 (24%) 2
14 Ibrahim Adel F 6.7 26' – – 1 5 (5%) –
23 Runar Robinsonn Norheim D 6.7 17' – – – 6 (5%) 1
13 Andreas Hansen G 6.6 87' – – – 42 (35%) –
28 Markus Walker M 6.6 70' – – – 27 (26%) 3
21 Malte Heyde M 6.6 86' – – – 53 (47%) 2
29 Villum Berthelsen F 6.6 61' – – – 28 (25%) 1
40 Hjalte Boe Rasmussen M 6.5 17' – – – 2 (2%) –
6 Mark Brink M 6.3 87' – – – 66 (61%) –
37 Lamine Sadio F 6.3 61' – – – 33 (30%) 1
10 Prince Amoako Junior F 6.3 26' – – – 3 2
9 Ola Solbakken F 6.2 70' – – – 27 (16%) 1
4 Noah Markmann D 6.2 87' – – – 55 (49%) –
8 Nicklas Røjkjær M — 1' – – – 1 (1%) –
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Confidence Medium (64%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung
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Monaco
WLDWL
FC Nordsjaelland
LLWDD

Live insights

90' Goal 85% sure

Monaco now leads 2-0 with 99.9% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 9.5%.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Monaco leads 1-0. Win probability: 89%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 11%.

53' Goal 85% sure

Monaco now leads 2-0 with 96.8% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 74.6%.

49' Goal 85% sure

Monaco now leads 2-0 with 96.4% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 78%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 1-0. Monaco leads. Win probability: 84.5%. Over 0.5 more goals: 80.8%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
64%
45%
Draw
21%
45%
Away
15%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Monaco
Paris Josua Brunner 4 gls
FC Nordsjaelland
N. Røjkjær 4 gls

AI match tools

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Head to Head: Monaco vs FC Nordsjaelland

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Monaco — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
05 Nov H FC Nordsjaelland W 2 - 0
01 Nov A Paris FC L 3 - 1
25 Oct H Lille D 1 - 1
22 Oct H SC Freiburg W 3 - 0
18 Oct A Lorient L 1 - 0

FC Nordsjaelland — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
05 Nov A Monaco L 2 - 0
01 Nov H FC Midtjylland L 2 - 3
28 Oct A Esbjerg W 0 - 1
25 Oct A Silkeborg D 1 - 1
22 Oct H CSKA Sofia D 2 - 2

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Lugano
3 3 0 0 +7 9
2
Panathinaikos
3 3 0 0 +6 9
3
Twente
3 3 0 0 +6 9
4
Monaco
3 3 0 0 +6 9
5
Brighton
3 2 1 0 +5 7
6
Brann
3 2 1 0 +4 7
7
FC Copenhagen
3 2 1 0 +4 7
8
Universitatea Craiova
3 2 1 0 +4 7
9
Mjallby AIF
3 2 1 0 +4 7
10
St. Truiden
3 2 1 0 +3 7
11
Ajax
3 2 0 1 +6 6
12
Trabzonspor
3 2 0 1 +3 6
13
HNK Hajduk Split
3 2 0 1 +1 6
14
SC Freiburg
3 2 0 1 -1 6
15
FK Crvena Zvezda
3 1 1 1 0 4
16
Atalanta
3 1 1 1 0 4
17
SC Braga
3 1 1 1 -1 4
18
Gent
3 1 1 1 -1 4
19
Riga
3 0 3 0 0 3
20
FC Thun
3 1 0 2 0 3
21
Borac Banja Luka
3 1 0 2 -1 3
22
Lincoln Red Imps FC
3 1 0 2 -3 3
23
FK Jablonec
3 0 2 1 -1 2
24
Aarhus
3 0 2 1 -1 2
25
FC Nordsjaelland
3 0 2 1 -2 2
26
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
3 0 2 1 -2 2
27
Kairat Almaty
3 0 2 1 -4 2
28
CSKA Sofia
3 0 1 2 -2 1
29
FC Iberia 1999
3 0 1 2 -3 1
30
Pafos
3 0 1 2 -4 1
31
Getafe
3 0 1 2 -4 1
32
Heart Of Midlothian
3 0 1 2 -4 1
33
KuPS
3 0 1 2 -4 1
34
FC Midtjylland
3 0 1 2 -6 1
35
Inter Club d'Escaldes
3 0 0 3 -5 0
36
Kauno Žalgiris
3 0 0 3 -10 0

Monaco

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Arturo Ruiz
1 Hrádecký
13 Mawissa
15 Dier
4 Teze
49 Touré
7 Detourbet
37 Diop
6 Zakaria
18 Minamino
29 Brunner
9 Balogun

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Lukáš Hrádecký G
49 Ilane Touré D
4 Jordan Teze D
15 Eric Dier D
13 Christian Mawissa D
18 Takumi Minamino M
6 Denis Zakaria M
37 Edan Diop M
7 Mathys Detourbet M
9 Folarin Balogun F
29 Paris Brunner F

Substitutes

2 Vanderson D
72 Sadibou Sané D
10 Aleksandr Golovin M
16 Philipp Köhn G
40 Jules Stawiecki G
20 Nazinho D
22 Mohammed Salisu D
8 Lamine Camara M
19 Pape Cabral M
28 Mamadou Coulibaly M
11 Matthis Abline F
14 Mika Biereth F

FC Nordsjaelland

Formation: 3-4-3 Coach: Arturo Ruiz
13 Hansen
4 Markmann
3 Salquist
25 Nelsson
5 Lähteenmäki
6 Brink
21 Heyde
28 Walker
29 Berthelsen
37 Sadio
9 Solbakken

Starting XI

# Player Pos
13 Andreas Hansen G
25 Victor Nelsson D
3 Tobias Salquist D
4 Noah Markmann D
28 Markus Walker M
21 Malte Heyde M
6 Mark Brink M
5 Juho Lähteenmäki M
9 Ola Solbakken F
37 Lamine Sadio F
29 Villum Berthelsen F

Substitutes

14 Ibrahim Adel F
10 Prince Amoako Junior F
16 Jakob Busk G
22 Carljohan Eriksson G
35 Villads Rutkjær D
32 Victor Gustafsen D
15 Stephen Acquah D
2 Peter Ankersen D
40 Hjalte Boe Rasmussen M
23 Runar Robinsonn Norheim D
8 Nicklas Røjkjær M
49 William Faber F

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